• Title/Summary/Keyword: duration curves

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Estimation of the Flash Flood Index by the Probable Rainfall Data for Ungauged Catchments (미계측 유역에서의 확률강우에 대한 돌발홍수지수 산정)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Choi, Hyun-Il;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2010
  • As there occurs recently and frequently a flash flood due to the climate change, a sudden local flood of great volume and short duration caused by heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time over a small area, it is increasing that significant danger and loss of life and property in Korea as well as the whole world. Since a flash flood usually occurs as the result of intense rainfall over small steep slope regions and has rapid runoff and debris flow, a flood rises quite quickly with little or no advance warning to prevent flood damage. The aim of this study is to quantify the severity of flash food by estimation of a flash flood index(FFI) from probability rainfall data in a study basin. FFI-D-F(FFI-Duration-Frequency) curves that present the relative severity of flash flood are developed for a study basin to provide regional basic information for the local flood forecasting and warning system particularly in ungauged catchments. It is also expected that FFI-D-F curves can be utilized for evaluation on flash flood mitigation ability and residual flood risk of both existing and planned flood control facilities.

An Analysis of the Effect of Climate Change on Nakdong River Environmental Flow (낙동강 유역 환경유량에 대한 기후변화의 영향 분석)

  • Lee, A Yeon;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.273-285
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    • 2011
  • This study describes the modeling of climate change impact on runoff across southeast Korea using a conceptual rainfall-runoff model TANK and assesses the results using the concept of environmental flows developed by International Water Management Institute. The future climate time series is obtained by scaling the historical series, informed by 4 global climate models and 3 greenhouse gas emission scenarios, to reflect a $4.0^{\circ}C$ increase at most in average surface air temperature and 31.7% increase at most in annual precipitation, using the spatio-temporal changing factor method that considers changes in the future mean seasonal rainfall and potential evapotranspiration as well as in the daily rainfall distribution. Although the simulation results from different global circulation models and greenhouse emission scenarios indicate different responses in flows to the climate change, the majority of the modeling results show that there will be more runoff in southeast Korea in the future. However, there is substantial uncertainty, with the results ranging from a 5.82% decrease to a 48.15% increase in the mean annual runoff averaged across the study area according to the corresponding climate change scenarios. We then assess the hydrologic perturbations based on the comparison between present and future flow duration curves suggested by IMWI. As a result, the effect of hydrologic perturbation on aquatic ecosystems may be significant at several locations of the Nakdong river main stream in dry season.

Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Distribution Scenarios over the Landslide High Risk Zones in Urban Areas (도심지 토사재해 고위험지역 극치강우 시간분포 시나리오 분석)

  • Yoon, Sunkwon;Jang, Sangmin;Rhee, Jinyoung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we analyzed the extreme rainfall distribution scenarios based on probable rainfall calculation and applying various time distribution models over the landslide high risk zones in urban areas. We used observed rainfall data form total 71 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) station and AWS (Automatic Weather Station) in KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration), and we analyzed the linear trends for 1-hr and 24-hr annual maximum rainfall series using simple linear regression method, which are identified their increasing trends with slopes of 0.035 and 0.660 during 1961-2014, respectively. The Gumbel distribution was applied to obtain the return period and probability precipitation for each duration. The IDF (Intensity-Duration-Frequency) curves for landslide high risk zones were derived by applying integrated probability precipitation intensity equation. Results from IDF analysis indicate that the probability precipitation varies from 31.4~38.3 % for 1 hr duration, and 33.0~47.9 % for 24 hr duration. It also showed different results for each area. The $Huff-4^{th}$ Quartile method as well as Mononobe distribution were selected as the rainfall distribution scenarios of landslide high risk zones. The results of this study can be used to provide boundary conditions for slope collapse analysis, to analyze sediment disaster risk, and to use as input data for risk prediction of debris flow.

Regionalization of Daily Flow Characteristics Using Flow Duration Curve and Spatial Interpolation Algorithm (유황곡선과 공간 내삽 알고리즘을 이용한 일유출량 특성의 지역화)

  • Yun, Yong-Nam;Kim, Jae-Seong;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.671-679
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    • 2000
  • Regionalization technique using flow duration curve and spatial interpolation algorithm is developed for the purpose of estimating daily flow time series at ungauged station. In this study, we assumed a part of 8 gauging stations of Nakdong River basin as ungauged stations. Then, we generated flow duration curves and daily flow hydrographs by regionalization technique at ungauged stations. And we compared generated and observed hydrographs. The simulation results showed that the observed flows were well simulated by the proposed method and that the general patterns of the observed flows were satisfactorily reproduced by the regionalization technique. From these results, it is possible that we obtain daily flow information without application of labour intensive and time consuming deterministic models, which require complicating quantification of model parameter values. And we compared the regionalization techniques with the specific discharge method which is the most general approach in hydrological practice in Korea. The results showed that the regionalization technique was superior to specific discharge method.method.

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Development of Long Term Flow Duration Curves in 4 River Basins for the Management of Total Maximum Daily Loads (수질오염총량관리를 위한 4대강수계 장기유황곡선 작성방안)

  • Park, Jun Dae;Oh, Seung Young
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.343-353
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    • 2013
  • Flow duration curve (FDC) can be developed by linking the daily flow data of stream flow monitoring network to 8-day interval flow data of the unit watersheds for the management of Total Maximum Daily Loads. This study investigated the applicable method for the development of long term FDC with the selection of the stream flow reference sites, and suggested the development of the FDC in 4 river basins. Out of 142 unit watersheds in 4 river basins, 107 unit watersheds were shown to estimate daily flow data for the unit watersheds from 2006 to 2010. Short term FDC could be developed in 64 unit watersheds (45%) and long term FDC in 43 unit watersheds (30%), while other 35 unit watersheds (25%) were revealed to have difficulties in the development of FDC itself. Limits in the development of the long term FDC includes no stream monitoring sites in certain unit watersheds, short duration of stream flow data set and missing data by abnormal water level measurements on the stream flow monitoring sites. To improve these limits, it is necessary to install new monitoring sites in the required areas, to keep up continuous monitoring and make normal water level observations on the stream flow monitoring sites, and to build up a special management system to enhance data reliability. The development of long term FDC for the unit watersheds can be established appropriately with the normal and durable measurement on the selected reference sites in the stream flow monitoring network.

Total Work Changes at Different Angular Velocities during Isokinetic Exercise (등속성 운동시 각속도에 따른 총 일량(total work)의 변화)

  • Kim, Doe-Hee;Park, Young-Seogk;Yoon, Zang-Whon;Kim, Jong-Man
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 1995
  • In general, research in isokinetic exercise has focussed on studies of peak torque. However, peak torque is not always sufficient to assess the real amount of motion or to determine endurance. In this study, the subjects were 54 healthy students who performed continuous maximal isokinetic knee flexion and extension until their total work per time reached 50% of their maximal total work. Isokinetic curves were then plotted. Total work sums, exercise durations in seconds, and the numbers of repetitions were compared with reference to subject gender, angular velocity and muscle group. The relationship between total work sum, duration and number of repetition and thigh circumference plus leg length was computed. In addition, the characteristics of total work per second and total work per time were calculated. Results showed the total work sums differed greatly from muscle group to muscle group and with different angular velocities. The duration in seconds and the numbers of repetition differed only at higher angular velocity. Males achieved higher levels in every category except for some duration in seconds and some numbers of repetitions. Thigh circumference and leg length were deciding fators in every case, but duration in seconds and number of repetitions were not. These results suggest that measures of endurance should be included along with measures of total work when isokinetic studies are done. Measures of endurance in seconds are more accurate when isokinetic exercise is performed at lower angular velocities and numbers of repetitions at higher angular velocities.

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GRB 100905A at the Epoch of Re-ionization

  • Im, Myung-Shin;Jeon, Yi-Seul;Jang, Min-Sung;Choi, Chang-Su;Kang, Eu-Gene;Jun, Hyun-Sung;Urata, Yuji;Huang, Kui-Yun;Kruehler, Thomas;Sakamoto, Taka;Gehrels, Neil;Choi, Philip I.;Larger Collaboration, Larger Collaboration
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.32.2-32.2
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    • 2012
  • Gamma Ray Bursts (GRBs) are the most energetic events in the universe, and are known to arise from the death of massive stars in many cases. Their extreme brightness makes it possible to detect them at very high redshift (z > 6.5), well into the epoch of re-ionization, providing us with an opportunity to investigate the deaths of the first stars when the universe was much younger than 1 Gyr. Here, we report the discovery of GRB 100905A, a GRB at $z$ - 7.5 (age of the universe at 700 Myr). Our observation revealed a strong spectral break between z and J band, allowing us to estimate its photometric redshift. Its gamma-ray light curve shows a very short duration of about 0.7 sec, the shortest duration event at z > 5. Investigation of this and three other known GRBs at z > 6.5 reveals that they are all short duration bursts. This is puzzling, considering that GRBs from death of massive stars do not show short duration. We suggest two possible explanations for this: (i) the BAT light curves of the high redshift GRBs suffered from observational selection effect where we are only observing the very tip of the light curve; (ii) the stars in the early universe had a peculiar nature that are different from ordinary stars at lower redshifts.

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Development of Regional Regression Model for Estimating Flow Duration Curves in Ungauged Basins (미계측 유역의 유황곡선 산정을 위한 지역회귀모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Tae Hee;Lee, Min Ho;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.427-437
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to develop the regional regression models based on the physiographical and climatological characteristics for estimating flow duration curve (FDC) in ungauged bsisns. To this end, the lower sections with duration from 185 to 355 days of FDCs were constructed from the 16 gauged streamflow data, which were fitted to the two-parameter logarithmic type regression equation. Then, the parameters of the equation were regionalized using the basin characteristics such as basin area, basin slope, drainage density, mean annual precipitation, mean annual streamflow, runoff curve number in order that the proposed regression model can be used for ungauged basin. From the comparison of the estimated by the regional regression model with the observed ones, the model with the combination of basin area, runoff curve number, mean annual precipitation showed the best performance.

Conversion Function and Relationship of Loss of Load Expectation Indices on Two Kinds of Load Duration Curve (두 종류의 부하곡선에 관한 공급지장시간기대치(LOLE)의 상호 변환관계성)

  • Lee, Yeonchan;Oh, Ungjin;Choi, Jaeseok;Cha, Junmin;Choi, Hongseok;Jeon, Donghun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.3
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    • pp.475-485
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    • 2017
  • This paper develops a conversion function and method transforming from daily peak load curve used $LOLE_D$ [days/year] to hourly load curve used $LOLE_H$[hours/year]and describes relationship between $LOLE_D$ [days/year] and $LOLE_H$ [hours/year]. The indices can not only be transformed just arithmetically but also have different characteristics physically because of using their different load curves. The conversion function is formulated as variables of capacity and forced outage rate of generator, hourly load daily load factor and daily peak load yearly load factor, etc. Therefore, the conversion function (${\gamma}={\varphi}$(.)) can not be simple. In this study, therefore, the function is formulated as linear times of separated two functions. One is an exponential formed conversion function of daily load factor. Another is formulated with an exponential typed conversion function of daily peak load yearly load factor. Futhermore, this paper presents algorithm and flow chart for transforming from $LOLE_D$[days/year] to $LOLE_H$[hours/year]. The proposed conversion function is applied to sample system and actual KPS(Korea Power System) in 2015. The exponent coefficients of the conversion functions are assessed using proposed method. Finally, assessment errors using conversion function for case studies of sample system and actual system are evaluated to certify the firstly proposed method.

Experimental und Numerical Sensitivity Analyses on Push Pull Tracer Tests

  • Hwang, Hyeon-Tae;Lee, Gang-Geun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2004.09a
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    • pp.312-316
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    • 2004
  • Single-well tracer tests, especially push pull tracer tests, are more effective to estimate hydraulic parameters and microbial metabolic activities in terms of duration and cost compared to multi-well tracer tests. However, there are some drawbacks in accuracy, complicated data analysis and uniqueness. These shortages are thought to be derived from the applied conditions which affect mass recovery curve and breakthrough curve. Factors such as extraction rate, resting period, hydraulic conductivity and hydraulic gradient are considered as the major factors determining the mass recovery rate and shape of the breakthrough curve. The results of the sensitivity analysis are summarized as follows: 1) the significant change in concentration of breakthrough curve is obtained when the extraction rate increases. This effect would also be much higher if the hydraulic conductivity is lower; 2) the mass recovery rate decreases with the increase of resting time, and the difference of mass recovery rates for different resting times is inversely proportional to the hydraulic conductivity; 3) the sensitivity values decrease with time. The hydraulic conductivity affects not only the early period, but the later period of the breakthrough curves; 4) The influence of the hydraulic gradient on the breakthrough curves is greater at earlier stage than at later stage. The mass recovery rate is inversely proportional to the hydraulic gradient.

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