• 제목/요약/키워드: drought season

검색결과 187건 처리시간 0.031초

기후변화 표준 시나리오 선정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Selection of Standard Scenarios in Korea for Climate Change)

  • 이재경;김영오
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2010
  • 현재 미래 기후변화에 따른 수자원을 전망하고, 이에 대한 적응 전략을 수립하는 연구의 가장 중요한 핵심은 바로 '불확실성'이다. 이 때문에 각 연구마다 상이한 결과를 나타내고 있으나, 이러한 불확실성을 줄이는 연구는 국내에서는 매우 미진한 상태이다. 이러한 불확실성의 근본 원인은 배출 시나리오, GCM(General Circulation Model), 상세화 기법, 강우-유출 모형 등을 각 연구마다 다르게 사용했기 때문이다. 본 연구에서는 IPCC 기후 시나리오 중 A, B 배출 시나리오를 바탕으로 생산되는 51개의 GCM 시나리오를 다운로드 받아 2001년부터 2008년까지 월평균 온도와 강수량에 대하여 한반도를 대상으로 분석하였다. 비교 결과, 온도 전망은 실측과 비슷한 경향성을 보였으나, 강수량은 홍수기를 모의하지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 한반도에 적합한 GCM 시나리오를 선정하기 위해 효율성 계수, PDF, Relative Entropy를 이용한 방법을 적용하였다. 세 방법으로 선정된 시나리오 중 공통된 4개의 GCM 시나리오, 즉 CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, B1), MIROC3.2medress(NIES, B1), CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, A2), CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, A1B)를 최종 선정하였다. 2040년 강수 전망에 있어서도 GCM 시나리오마다 최대 27.36%부터 최소 12.49%까지 서로 다른 증가 전망을 나타냈다. 선택된 GCM 시나리오는 한반도 지역이 대상이나 이수기의 모의결과에서 이질성(heterogeneity)을 나타내고 있어, 본 연구의 결과로 하나의 GCM 시나리오만으로 미래 기후를 전망한다는 것이 얼마나 위험한지 알 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서 정량적으로 제시된 GCM 시나리오들이 미래 한반도 이수기 물 공급과 가뭄 재해 정책 수립에 우선적으로 활용해야 함을 제시하였다.

양파의 생육시기별 생육요인과 기상요인 간의 관계 탐색 (A Correlation between Growth Factors and Meteorological Factors by Growing Season of Onion)

  • 김재휘;최성천;김준기;서홍석
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2021
  • 양파는 생산량 변동에 따른 가격 변화폭이 커 수급조절 대책이 필요한 대표적인 농산물로 대책의 실효성 증대를 위해서는 정확한 생산량 예측이 요구된다. 양파는 주로 노지에서 재배되기 때문에 기상변화로 인해 생산량의 정확한 추정이 어렵다. 많은 선행연구가 다양하게 시도되었지만 신뢰도 높은 분석결과를 도출하기 위한 양질의 생육 실측자료가 부족한 실정이었다. 선행연구는 기상여건을 통제한 실험설계를 통해 얻어낸 자료를 분석하거나 기상자료와 생육자료 간 지역적 범위가 동일하지 않는 연구가 대다수여서 생육요인과 기상요인 간의 관계를 명확하게 규명하기에는 한계가 있었다. 본 연구는 자연적으로 노출된 환경에서 수집한 생육 실측조사 자료와 함께 실측 대상 지역의 추정 기상자료를 사용하여 생육요인과 기상요인 간 관계를 실증적으로 분석하였다. 양파의 생산량은 구중으로 결정되지만 지상부 생육상황에 따라 구의 생장이 부진할 수 있기 때문에 본 연구에서는 구중뿐만 아니라 지상부 생장과 어떤 기상요인이 중요한지 탐색하였다. 시기별로 생육요인과 통계적으로 유의한 상관관계를 갖는 기상요인을 탐색한 후, 랜덤 포레스트 기법을 이용하여 요인들의 영향력 및 중요도를 분석하였다. 주목할만한 결과로 3월 초에는 일사량이 지상부 생육에 긍정적인 영향을 주었으며, 3월 말에는 강수량과 지상부 생장 간 음의 상관관계에 있어 가뭄에 의한 피해를 언급한 기존 문헌과 상이하였다. 또한 수확기에는 강수량과 일조시간이 지상부와 지하부 생육에 미치는 영향이 유의하게 반대로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 밝혀낸 생육시기별 중요 기상요인은 양파의 생육모형과 생산량 예측모형 개발 연구를 위한 기초자료로 유용하게 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

Effect of Delayed Sowing on Growth, Flowering Date, and Yield in Sesame

  • Lee, Sung-Woo;Kang, Churl-Whan;Kim, Dong-Hwi;Shim, Kang-Bo
    • 한국작물학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.130-133
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the decreased ratio of growth and yield by delayed seeding and flowering because drought of spring season often cause to delay seeding and sprout emergence. Equation of linear regression, y=-11.914x+818.61 ($R^2$=0.916) and y=-16.96lx+913.98 ($R^2$=-0.885) were derived from relationship between sowing date and yield of leading variety, Yangbaeckkae in 1999 and 2000, respectively. Yield was decreased by 7, 24, 40, 57, 74%, respectively, according as sowing date was delayed more 5, 15, 26, 36, 46 days than May 15, standard sowing date under the culture mulched with black P.E. film. Number of capsules per plant and length of stem bearing capsule were greatly decreased, while plant height, stem diameter, and day to flowering were affected little by delayed seeding date. Equation of linear regression, y=-0.7081x+41.04 ($R^2$=0.861) was derived from relationship between flowering date and yield of 33 accessions. Yield was decreased by 7.7, 8.3, 9.2, 10.1, 11.2%, respectively, according as flowering date was delayed more 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 days than July 3, normal flowering date of Yangbaeckkae when it was sown on May 15, and the more flowering date was delayed, the more yield was decreased. Number of capsules per plant and length of stem bearing capsules were greatly decreased, but plant height and harvest index were decreased little by delay of flowering date

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봄철 건조기 용기형 벽면녹화에서 식재지반 조성에 따른 황금줄사철의 적응성 (Growth Response on the Euonymus fortunei 'Emelad' n 'Gold' as affected by Artificial Plantings Soil Properties during Dry Spring Season)

  • 주진희;김혜란;박헌;윤용한
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제23권7호
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    • pp.1299-1305
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    • 2014
  • For evaluating the effect of various artificial planting soil properties on the Euonymus fortunei 'Emelad'n Gold' growth, a container green wall system experiment was conducted in a wall of greenhouse at Konkuk University, Glocal campus. The experimental artificial planting grounds were prepared with different organic soil conditioner ratios (Control, $A_4O_1$, $A_2O_1$ and $A_1O_1$) and with drought tolerance and an ornamental value Euonymus fortunei 'Emelad'n Gold' was planted. The soil and plant characteristics were investigated from April to Jun 2010. The volumetric soil moisture contents were significantly increasing order as the amount of organic soil conditioner level increased in order to $A_1O_1$ > $A_2O_1$ > $A_4O_1$ > Control. At 4 treatment, soil chemical properties were inversely related to organic soil container ratios increase. The differences of root collar caliper, number of branch, and survival rate between the organic soil conditioner ratio were not significantly affected by organic soil conditioner. But, plant height, internode length, leaf length and leaf width were significantly shorter on plants planted $A_1O_1$ than plants planted other treatments. Therefore, Euonymus fortunei 'Emelad'n Gold' had good growth response regardless of organic soil conditioner ratio and the plant is expected to be a highly valuable shrub for the green wall system if it should be considered in integration with stormwater retention or as a soil conditioner for increasing soil water contents in artificial planting soil.

팔당호 조류발생 특성 및 수질환경인자의 통계적 분석 (Characteristics of Algal Abundance and Statistical Analysis of Environmental Factors in Lake Paldang)

  • 박혜경;이현주;김은경;정동일
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.584-594
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    • 2005
  • The spatio-temporal abundance pattern of algae in Lake Paldang from 2002 to 2004 was investigated. The concentration of chlorophyll a representing algal biomass had fluctuated intensively throughout the year. Among three years, the highest algal biomass was shown in 2002, and typical growth peak of concentration of chlorophyll a was occurred in spring and autumn. There had been frequent rainfall in spring drought period in 2003 and it resulted in the decrease of the algal biomass. The distribution pattern of four algal groups on the surface water of Lake Paldang showed different abundance by season and by water area. In particular, different algal growth characteristics by water areas were observed. Influences of various environmental parameters on algal abundance in four water areas of Lake Paldang were analyzed statistically. From the results of Peason correlation analysis, it was understood that the kinds and affects of environmental parameters were different according to water areas and seasons. Based on the factors analysis of environmental parameters on the concentration of chlorophyll a, stepwise regression models whose independent variables were the factors produced by factor analysis and dependent variable was the concentration of chlorophyll a were derived by water areas and seasons. As a whole, factors related with organics and photosynthesis were revealed to have high affects to algal abundance, whereas limiting nutrients such as phosphorus and nitrogen showed little affect in Lake Paldang.

콘텐츠 이해도 강화를 위한 전시방식에 관한 연구 - 국내 댐 전시관을 중심으로 - (A Study on the Exhibition Method to Enhance the Visitors' Understanding Contents - Focus on the Domestic Dam Exhibition Centers -)

  • 이주형
    • 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.196-204
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    • 2010
  • Human beings are having suffered from the unexpected climate changes which are caused by global warming leaded from air pollution. More than 3 billions of people will be forced to experience insufficient water in 2015. In Korea, over 70% of precipitation has been concentrating in Summer season. Furthermore, natural disasters has been occurred constantly all over the country. The unusual flood and drought have broken out not only victims but also, property damages. By the natural condition, the effective consuming and controlling system of water is going to be the core business field and constructing dams will be encouraged and promoted for the system. To convince the objectionable against the constructing dams, a dam exhibition center stands the very important position by being responsible for the presenting positive factors and highlighting the beneficial functions. The dam exhibition center is built as complex space combined by information center regarding water resources and visitor center for the community nearby the inundated area. Combined of the different purposes, the dam exhibition center can be confused to understand the concept and contents established in the space. To enhance the visitors' understanding contents of the dam exhibition center, the spatial composition and contents are being analyzed with existing centers and define the most effective exhibition methods between the spaces and visitors. This study will be the basic quantitative analysis data for the following design works those can get the better insight how to make visitors to get information and agreement of constructing dams effectively.

지리정보시스템을 이용한 우리나라 인공함양 개발 유망지역 분석 (Site Prioritization for Artificial Recharge in Korea using GIS Mapping)

  • 서정아;김용철;김진삼;김용제
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.66-78
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    • 2011
  • It is getting difficult to manage water resources in South Korea because more than half of annual precipitation is concentrated in the summer season and its intensity is increasing due to global warming and climate change. Artificial recharge schemes such as well recharge of surface water and roof-top rainwater harvesting can be a useful method to manage water resources in Korea. In this study, potential artificial recharge site is evaluated using geographic information system with hydrogeological and social factors. The hydrogeological factors include annual precipitation, geological classification based on geological map, specific capacity and depth to water level of national groundwater monitoring wells. These factors were selected to evaluate potential artificial recharge site because annual precipitation is closely related to source water availability for artificial recharge, geological features and specific capacity are related to injection capacity and depth to water is related to storage capacity of the subsurface medium. In addition to those hydrogeological factors, social aspect was taken into consideration by selecting the areas that is not serviced by national water works and have been suffered from drought. These factors are graded into five rates and integrated together in the GIS system resulting in spatial distribution of artificial recharge potential. Cheongsong, Yeongdeok in Gyeongsangbuk-do and Hadong in Gyeongsangnam-do, and Suncheon in Jeollanam-do were proven as favorable areas for applying artificial recharge schemes. Although the potential map for artificial recharge in South Korea developed in this study need to be improved by using other scientific factors such as evaporation and topographical features, and other social factors such as water-curtain cultivation area, hot spring resorts and industrial area where groundwater level is severely lowered, it can be used in a rough site-selection, preliminary and/or feasibility study for artificial recharge.

낙동강 중 · 상류지역 하천의 표류수 및 퇴적층의 중금속 및 수질분석 (Analysis of Water Quality and Heavy Metals for Surface Water and Sediments of Upstream and Midstream in Nakdong River)

  • 이창섭
    • 대한화학회지
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    • 제44권6호
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    • pp.547-555
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    • 2000
  • 대구${\cdot}$경북지역의 상수원 및 공업용수로서 사용되고 있는 낙동강 중${\cdot}$상류지역 하천 표류수의 수질을 분석하고, 하상 퇴적층에 함유된 중금속과 유기물의 종류 및 함유량을 분석하였다. 시료 채취는 갈수기 중 6월 22, 23 양일간 안동댐 상류 청량산 도립공원 양삼교 밑을 제 1지점으로 하여, 경북 지방을 통과하는 낙동강의 최하단인 고령군 고령교까지, 주로 공단의 전후 및 하천의 합류 지점을 대상으로 총 10개 지점에서 실시하였다. 표류수의 분석은 표류수의 시험항목 중 암모니아성 질소, 아질산성 질소, COD 등 총 22개 항목에 대하여 수행하였으며, 퇴적층은 trichloroethylene 등의 유기물과 중금속 등 11개 항목에 대하여 분석하였다. 퇴적물 시료는 용출시험법 및 산분해법으로 각각 분석하여 결과를 비교하였으며, 시료 중 중금속 성분은 유도결합 플라스마 방출분광법으로 분석하였고, 기타 성분은 환경부기준 공정시험방법에 의하여 분석하였다.

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The effect of water status on productive and flowering variables in young 'Arbequina' olive trees under limited irrigation water availability in a semiarid region of Chile

  • Beya-Marshall, Victor;Herrera, Julio;Fichet, Thomas;Trentacoste, Eduardo R.;Kremer, Cristian
    • Horticulture, Environment, and Biotechnology : HEB
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    • 제59권6호
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    • pp.815-826
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    • 2018
  • The intense drought affecting olive production in Northern Chile underscores the need to research non-traditional irrigation strategies to obtain the best crop performance. Accordingly, this study aimed to obtain preliminary data to guide future research on this topic. Different water replenishment levels on crop evapotranspiration ($ET_c$ ; 13.5, 27.0, 40.5, and 54%) were established in a young orchard, cv. Arbequina, from the end of fruit drop (EFD) to full bloom in the next season. We evaluated the influence of plant water status (${\Psi}_{stem}$ ) and crop load, considered as function of fruit number divided by trunk cross-sectional area, on reproductive and productive variables using multiple linear regressions. Our results show that crop load and ${\Psi}_{stem}$ measured from EFD to harvest affected yield components. Nevertheless, ${\Psi}_{stem}$ had the strongest influence on fruit size, pulp development, oil accumulation, and yield. Oil content and yield were reduced by 54% and 50% for each MPa, respectively, from ${\Psi}_{stem\;EFD-H}$ -1.8 MPa, an effect that intensified as crop load increased. During the period of flower development (September-November), the number of flowers per inflorescence and percentage of perfect flowers were reduced when ${\Psi}_{stem}$ was less than -2.0 MPa. These preliminary results showed that bud differentiation, inflorescence and flower formation are highly sensitive to water deficit.

토지이용 및 기후 예측자료를 활용한 미래 기저유출 분석 (Analysis of Baseflow using Future Land Use and Climate Change Scenario)

  • 최유진;김종건;이동준;한정호;이관재;박민지;김기성;임경재
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권1호
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2019
  • Since the baseflow, which constitutes most of the river flow in the dry season, plays an important role in the solution of river runoff and drought, it is important to accurately evaluate the characteristics of the baseflow for river management. In this study, land use change was evaluated through time series data of land use, and then baseflow characteristics were analyzed by considering climate change and land use change using climate change scenarios. The results showed that the contribution of baseflow of scenarios considering both climate change and land use change was lower than that of scenarios considering only climate change for yearly and seasonal analysis. This implies that land use changes as well as climate changes affect base runoff. Thus, if we study the watershed in which the land use is occurring rapidly in the future, it is considered that the study should be carried out considering both land use change and climate change. The results of this study can be used as basic data for studying the baseflow characteristics in the Gapcheon watershed considering various land use changes and climate change in the future.