• 제목/요약/키워드: drought characteristics

검색결과 404건 처리시간 0.026초

농업가뭄의 수문기상학적 특성 및 공간적 분포에 관한 연구 (Hydrometeorological Characteristics and The Spatial Distribution of Agricultural Droughts)

  • 장중석
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권2호
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2019
  • For 159 administrative areas, SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index), ARDI(Agricultural Reservoir Drought Index) and ARDIs(Agricultural Reservoir Drought Index Simulated) were developed and applied to analyze the characteristics of agricultural drought index and agricultural droughts. In order to identify hydrometeorological characteristics of agricultural droughts, SPI, ARDI and ARDIs were calculated nationwide, and the applicability was compared and examined. SPI and ARDI showed significant differences in time and depth of drought in both spatial and temporal. ARDI and ARDIs showed similar tendency of change, and ARDIs were considered to be more representative of agricultural drought characteristics. The results of this study suggest that agricultural drought is a problem to be solved in the medium and long term rather than short term due to various forms of development, complexity of development, and difficulty in forecasting. Therefore, it is concluded that a preliminary and systematic approach is needed in consideration of meteorological, hydrological and hydrometeorological characteristics rather than a fragmentary approach, and that an agricultural drought index is needed to quantitatively evaluate agricultural drought.

ASSESSMENT OF SPRING DROUGHT USING MODIS VEGETATION INDEX AND LAND SURFACE WATER INDEX

  • Park, Jung-Sool;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Lee, Kyo-Sung
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
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    • pp.563-566
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    • 2006
  • In order for the evaluation and analysis of the spring drought which has been periodically occurring in Korean peninsula since 2000, the use of satellite image data is increasing to investigate temporal and spatial characteristics of the drought areas. The recent spring droughts in south Korea have some characteristics. It last for short period in spring when the activity of vegetation is not lively and it have large areal deviation in the severity of drought. In this study, considering the characteristics of the spring drought in Korean peninsular, the MODIS satellite image data which has superior spatial and radiometric resolutions was used for the analysis of the spring drought. In two basins having different spatial characteristics, the drought events were selected and their severities were analyzed using the MODIS NDVI, LSWI, and daily rainfall data since 2000, and the spatial characteristics of the drought area were analyzed using the DEM, land cover, and digital forest map of the study areas.

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Probabilistic Analysis of Drought Characteristics in Pakistan Using a Bivariate Copula Model

  • Jehanzaib, Muhammad;Kim, Ji Eun;Park, Ji Yeon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.151-151
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    • 2019
  • Because drought is a complex and stochastic phenomenon in nature, statistical approaches for drought assessment receive great attention for water resource planning and management. Generally drought characteristics such as severity, duration and intensity are modelled separately. This study aims to develop a relationship between drought characteristics using a bivariate copula model. To achieve the objective, we calculated the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) using rainfall data at 6 rain gauge stations for the period of 1961-1999 in Jehlum River Basin, Pakistan, and investigated the drought characteristics. Since there is a significant correlation between drought severity and duration, they are usually modeled using different marginal distributions and joint distribution function. Using exponential distribution for drought severity and log-logistic distribution for drought duration, the Galambos copula was recognized as best copula to model joint distribution of drought severity and duration based on the KS-statistic. Various return periods of drought were calculated to identify time interval of repeated drought events. The result of this study can provide useful information for effective water resource management and shows superiority against univariate drought analysis.

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북한의 지역별 기상학적 가뭄의 평가와 유형분류 (Assessment and Classification of Meteorological Drought Severity in North Korea)

  • 유승환;남원호;장민원;최진용
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.3-15
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    • 2008
  • North Korea is one of the most vulnerable countries of the world for drought but still it is difficult to find scientific researches for understanding of the drought characteristics. This study analyzed the temporal and spatial distribution of meterological drought severity and classified the drought development types in North Korea. All eleven drought indices were tested such as seasonal rainfall, PDS, SPI and so on, and then drew the drought risk map by each indicator using frequency analysis and GIS(Geographic Information Systems) for twenty one meteorological stations. In addition meteorological drought characteristics in North Korea was classified to six patterns on Si/Gun administrative units using cluster analysis on the drought indicators. The cluster III has the strongly drought-resistant area due to sufficient rainfall and the cluster V was considered as the most drought-vulnerable area, Pungsan and Sinpo, because of the severest drought condition for eight drought indicators. The results of this study are expected to be provided for the basic understanding of regionalized drought severity and characteristics confronting the risk of drought from climate variations in North Korea.

Spatio-temporal pattern of ecological droughts by using the Standardized Water Supply Demand Index in the Hwang River.

  • Sadiqi, Sayed Shajahan;Hong, Eun-Mi;Nam, Won-Ho
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.158-158
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    • 2022
  • Ecological drought consequences have received a lot of attention in recent years. Thus, ecological drought was proposed as a new drought category to characterize the impact of drought on ecosystems. The current study used a unique drought index, the standardized supply-demand water index (SSDI), and a run theory to detect ecological drought occurrences and characteristics such as drought-affected area, drought severity, drought duration, drought frequency, and drought orientation in the Hwang River, an environmentally valuable region. Hence, to assess drought-prone areas, the bivariate probability and return period will be calculated using a two-dimensional joint copula. The core results show that (a) the Spatio-temporal characteristics of ecological drought were successfully recognized using the spatial and temporal identification approach; (b) in comparison to the SPEI meteorological drought index, the SSDI is more credible and can more readily and effectively capture the entire properties of ecological drought information; (c) the Hwang river had seen the most severe drought occurrences between the late 1990s and the mid-2020s, with 48.3 percent occurring before the twenty-first century; (d) Severe ecological drought occurrences occurred more frequently in most areas of the Hwang River (e) Only the drought duration and severity in the Hwang area were more responsive to temperature when temperatures rise around 1.1℃, the average drought duration and severity rise around 16 % and 26 %, respectively. This suggested that the Hwang River has been exposed to more severe heat stress in the twenty-first century. Thereupon droughts in the twenty-first century occurred with bigger affected regions, longer durations, higher frequency, and more intensity.

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3차원 가뭄지도를 활용한 시공간적 가뭄 특성 변화 분석 (Analysis of Changes of Spatio-Temporal Drought Characteristics Using Three-Dimensional Drought Maps)

  • 유지영;김장경;권현한;김태웅
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.209-215
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    • 2020
  • 자연적인 가뭄의 발생특성을 이해하는 데 있어서는 서로 다른 유형의 가뭄 사이의 시공간적 관계를 해석하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄 지속시간과 3차원(즉, 위도, 경도 및 시간)의 공간 범위가 겹치는 것을 고려하여 기상 및 수문학적 가뭄사상을 정의하고 전이특성을 해석하였다. 이는 시공간적 가뭄 특성인자(지속기간, 면적, 심도, 중심)를 기반으로 하여 가뭄의 공간적 재현특성과 더불어 시간이라는 연속적인 개념을 결합한다는 것을 의미한다. 이처럼 개발된 시공간적 가뭄전이 특성을 고려한 가뭄지도는 향후 국지적으로 빈번히 발생하는 수문학적 가뭄의 발생 원인을 발견하고, 가뭄에 대한 효율적인 대응방안을 마련하는 데 활용도가 매우 높을 것으로 기대된다.

농업한발지수 설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation of Agricultural Drought Index)

  • 안병기;김태철;정도웅
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 1988
  • This study, based on the monthly rainfall data, was carried out to determine the agricultural drought index which enables to describe the regional and seasonal drought characteristics of rice cropping system in Korea. The results obtained were summarized as follows ; 1.A new agricultural drought index (ADI) was evaluated seasonally according to the product of drought intensity and duration. This ADI is proposed as standard design criterion for irrigation planning. 2.The relationship between agricultural drought index and return periods was figured out. These diagrams could be used to estimate the seasonal drought severity of a certain year and to select design year corresponding to the specific drought frequency. 3.The regional drought characteristics were classified and those are useful to determine proper rice varieties and planting time and make drought counterplans. 4.Spring drought occurred once in 3 or 4 years and in a regional respect, rather frequently occurred in Seoul and Daegu areas than in Busan, Daejeon, Kwangju and Chuncheon areas. Summer drought occurred once in 5 years in Daegu and Busan areas and once in 7 or 8 years in other areas. 5.Sequential drought which gave severe drought damage of rice production occurred once in 20 years in Daegu area and in 10 years in Kwangju area.

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북한지역에 대한 기상학적 가뭄지수의 적용 (Application of Meteorological Drought Indices for North Korea)

  • 남원호;유승환;장민원;최진용
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제50권3호
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    • pp.3-15
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    • 2008
  • North Korea is one of the vulnerable countries facing the threat of a drought, so that it is unavoidable to experience fatal damage when drought is occurred, and it is necessary to improve the drought response capability of water resources systems. However, it is still difficult to find research efforts for drought characteristics and drought management in North Korea. This study is to quantify drought duration and magnitude and to analyze drought characteristics in North Korea. In order to quantitatively identify historical drought conditions and to evaluate their variability, drought indices are commonly used. In this study, drought indices including dry-day index, deciles of normal precipitation, Phillips drought index, standardized precipitation index and Palmer drought severity index are calculated and compared monthly using the weather data for the twenty one meteorological stations in North Korea. The indices compared with the drought damage records that have reported from 1990 to present to understand how the indices can explain the drought. A comparative study was also conducted to evaluate the relative severity of the significant droughts occurred during 2000 and 2001 which were reported as the worst drought in North Korea. Drought indices calculated from this study demonstrated that those can be the effective tools in quantitatively evaluating drought severity and measures of drought. Thus it is recommended the distributed trend of drought be considered when the plan or measures for drought in North Korea are established.

표준강수증발산지수를 활용한 미래 가뭄특성의 시계열 변화전망 (Projection of Temporal Trends on Drought Characteristics using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) in South Korea)

  • 남원호
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권1호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2015
  • Recent droughts in South Korea have had large economic and environmental impacts across the country. Changes in rainfall and hydrologic patterns due to climate change can potentially increase the occurrence of extreme droughts and affect the future availability of water resources. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate drought vulnerability for water resources planning and management, and identify the appropriate mitigation actions to conduct a drought risk analysis in the context of climate change. The objective of this study is changes in the temporal trends of drought characteristics in South Korea to examine drought impacts under climate change. First, the changes of drought occurrence were analyzed by applying the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) for meteorological data on 54 meteorological stations, and were analyzed for the past 30 years (1981-2010), and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) climate change scenarios (2011-2100). Second, the changes on the temporal trends of drought characteristics were performed using run theory, which was used to compare drought duration, severity, and magnitude to allow for quantitative evaluations under past and future climate conditions. These results show the high influence of climate change on drought phenomenon, and will contribute to water resources management and drought countermeasures to climate change.

군집분석을 이용한 우리나라 가뭄특성의 공간적 분석 (Spatial Analysis of Drought Characteristics in Korea Using Cluster Analysis)

  • 유지영;최민하;김태웅
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2010
  • 최근에는 확률강우량을 산정할 경우 지점빈도해석의 단점을 보완한 지역빈도해석법이 자주 실무에 적용되고 있으나, 가뭄에 관련한 연구에서는 대부분 아직까지 지점자료를 이용한 가뭄분석을 실시하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄의 지역적 특성 분석을 실시하기 위하여 필요한 동질한 가뭄특성을 지닌 지역을 구분하는 연구를 수행하였다. 본 연구에서는 기상청 강우관측 지점자료 중 30년 이상의 강우자료를 보유한 58개의 관측지점을 대상으로 표준강수지수(SPI)를 산정하여 가뭄의 심도, 지속기간, 강도, 발생빈도 등과 같은 가뭄특성인자를 생성하였다. 가뭄특성인자는 수문학적으로 동질한 특성을 지닌 지역을 구분하는데 중요한 정보를 제공한다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 가뭄특성인자를 효율적으로 활용하여 K-means 기법을 적용한 군집분석을 실시하여 동질한 가뭄특성을 지닌 지역을 6개 지역으로 구분하였다. 이러한 지역구분은 가뭄 특성의 공간적 해석을 가능하게 할 수 있고, 지점빈도 해석의 단점을 보완하는 지역빈도 해석도 가능하게 할 수 있다.