• Title/Summary/Keyword: drought assessment

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Assessment of the Historical Variability of Meteorological Drought in Bangladesh (방글라데시의 기상학적 가뭄 변동성 평가)

  • Kamruzzaman, Mohammad;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil;Jang, Min-Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.3
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2019
  • Drought is the recurrent natural disasters which harshly affect agricultural production and society in various parts in Bangladesh. Information on the spatiotemporal variability of drought events plays a vital role to take necessary action towards drought mitigation and sustainable development. This study aims to analyze the spatial and temporal variation of meteorological drought in Bangladesh during 1981-2015 using Effective Drought Index (EDI). Monthly precipitation data for 36 years (1980-2015) were obtained from 27 meteorological stations. Drought frequency (DF) and areal extent of drought were considered to investigate the spatiotemporal structure of drought. The DF analysis showed that the northern, southwestern and central regions of the country are comparatively vulnerable to meteorological drought. The frequency of drought in all categories has considerably increased during the recent five years from 2011 to 2015. Furthermore, the most significant increasing trend of the drought-affected area was found over the central region especially for pre-monsoon (March-May) season during this period while the decreasing trend of the affected area was found within the eastern region during the study period. To prevent and mitigate the damages of drought disasters in Bangladesh, agricultural and government managers should pay more attention to those regional drought events that occur in pre-monsoon season. The outcome of the present study can be used as explanatory data in building the strategies to drought monitoring and mitigation activities in Bangladesh.

Assessment of Drought Risk in Korea: Focused on Data-based Drought Risk Map (우리나라 가뭄 위험도 평가: 자료기반 가뭄 위험도 지도 작성을 중심으로)

  • Park, Jong Yong;Yoo, Ji Young;Lee, Minwoo;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.4B
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    • pp.203-211
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    • 2012
  • Once drought occurs, it results in the extensive affected area and considerable socio-economic damages. Thus, it is necessary to assess drought risk and to prepare its counterplans. In this study, using various observation data on meteorological and socio-economical factors, drought risk was evaluated in South Korea. To quantify drought risk, Drought Hazard Index (DHI) was calculated based on the occurrence probability of drought, and Drought Vulnerability Index (DVI) was computed to reflect socio-economic consequences of drought. Drought Risk Index (DRI) was finally suggested by combining DHI and DVI. These indices were used to assess drought risk for different administrative districts of South Korea. The overall results show that the highest drought risk area was Jeolla Province where agricultural practice is concentrated. The drought risk map proposed in this study reflects regional characteristics, thus it could be utilized as a basic data for the establishment of drought preventive measures.

Assessment of the Meteorological Characteristics and Statistical Drought Frequency for the Extreme 2017 Spring Drought Event Across South Korea (2017년 극심한 봄 가뭄의 기상학적 특성 및 통계학적 가뭄빈도해석)

  • Bang, Na-Kyoung;Nam, Won-Ho;Hong, Eun-Mi;Michael, J. Hayes;Mark, D. Svoboda
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.4
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2018
  • The extreme 2017 spring drought affected a large portion of central and western South Korea, and was one of the most climatologically driest spring seasons over the 1961-2016 period of record. This drought was characterized by exceptionally low precipitation, with total precipitation from January to June being 50% lower than the mean normal precipitation (1981-2010) over most of western South Korea. In this study, for the quantitative drought impact analysis, the widely-used Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the statistical drought frequency are compared with observed meteorological characteristics and anomalies. According to the drought frequency analysis of monthly cumulative precipitation during January and May in 2017, Gyeonggi-do, Chungcheong-do, and Jeollanam-do areas showed more than drought frequency over 100 years. Gyeongsangnam-do area showed more than drought frequency over 200 years based on annual precipitation in 2017. The South Korean government (Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs (MAFRA) and Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC)) have been operating a government-level drought monitoring system since 2016. Results from this study can be used to improve the drought monitoring applications of future drought events, as well as drought planning and preparedness in South Korea.

Peak drought index analysis of cheongmicheon watershed using meteorological and hydrological drought index (기상학적 및 수문학적 가뭄지수를 이용한 청미천 유역의 첨두가뭄지수 분석)

  • Kim, Soo Hyun;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzed the peak drought severity and drought duration of the Cheongmicheon watershed from 1985 to 2015 to assess the lag time of peak drought severity between several drought indices. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) based on precipitation and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) based on precipitation and evapotranspiration were applied as meteorological drought indices. Streamflow Drought Index (SDI) based on runoff data was applied as hydrological drought index. In case of SDI, we used Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model for simulation of daily runoff data. As a result, the time of peak drought severity of SDI occurred after the occurrence of SPI and SPEI. The lag time for the peak drought severity, on average, between SDI and SPI was 0.59 months while SDI and SPEI was 0.79 months. As compared with SDI, the maximum delay was 2 months for both SPI and SPEI. This study results also shows that even though the rainfall events were able to cope with meteorological droughts, they were not always available to solve the hydrological droughts in the same time.

Assessment of Roof-rainwater Utilization System and Drought Resistance of Ground Cover Plants (지피식물을 이용한 우수저장형 옥상녹화 시스템 및 식물 내건성 평가)

  • Kang, Tai-Ho;Zhao, Hong-Xia
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2013
  • In order to evaluate 2 extensive green roof systems(Sedum Box Roof System and Roof-rainwater Utilization System) for urban greening and select ground-cover plants, which can adapt well to the drought tolerance in an extensive green roof system on 12 species. This study was carried out in order to suggest an experimental base in assessment of the Green Roof-rainwater Utilization System and selecting the drought resistance of plants. Adopting the natural drought method, this paper studies the drought resistance of 12 kinds of ground cover plants. The drought-resistance of ground cover plants subjected to dry processing time were evaluated using relative water content on leaves, relative electric conductivity and chlorophyll content in 12 kinds of plants, and the relation between soil water content under drought stress. Drought resistance of the plants were subject to rooftop drought resistance treatments. The result showed that with the increase of stress time, the relative water content and chlorophyll content on leaves were in a downward trend while the relative electric conductivity was in an upward trend. Among the 12 species of ground cover plants, excluding Pulsatilla koreana, Ainsliaea acerifolia was selected for rooftop plants because they showed resistance to drought strongly and took adaptive ability. These results showed that drought tolerance of plants in Roof-rainwater Utilization System were stronger than the Sedum Box Roof System. Therefore, the Roof-rainwater Utilization System is good for plants. It helps them adapt well to the drought tolerance in rooftops and can be used for urban greening.

Probabilistic Assessment of Hydrological Drought Using Hidden Markov Model in Han River Basin (은닉 마코프 모형을 이용한 한강유역 수문학적 가뭄의 확률론적 평가)

  • Park, Yei Jun;Yoo, Ji Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.435-446
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    • 2014
  • Various drought indices developed from previous studies can not consider the inherent uncertainty of drought because they assess droughts using a pre-defined threshold. In this study, to consider inherent uncertainty embedded in monthly streamflow data, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based drought index (HMDI) was proposed and then probabilistic assessment of hydrologic drought was performed using HMDI instead of using pre-defined threshold. Using monthly streamflow data (1966~2009) of Pyeongchang river and Upper Namhan river provided by Water Management Information System (WAMIS), applying the HMM after moving-averaging the data with 3, 6, 12 month windows, this study calculated the posterior probability of hidden state that becomes the HMDI. For verifying the method, this study compared the HMDI and Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) which is one of drought indices using a pre-defined threshold. When using the SSI, only one value can be used as a criterion to determine the drought severity. However, the HMDI can classify the drought condition considering inherent uncertainty in observations and show the probability of each drought condition at a particular point in time. In addition, the comparison results based on actual drought events occurred near the basin indicated that the HMDI outperformed the SSI to represent the drought events.

A Study on Parameter Estimation for SWAT Calibration Considering Streamflow of Long-term Drought Periods (장기 가뭄기간의 유출량을 고려한 SWAT 보정 매개변수 추정 연구)

  • Kim, Da Rae;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2017
  • Recently, the hydrological model Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) has been applied in many watersheds in South Korea. This study estimated parameters in SWAT for calibrating streamflow in long-term drought periods. Therefore, we focused on the continuous severe drought periods 2014~2015, and understand the model calibrated parameters. The SWAT was applied to a $366.5km^2$ Gongdo watershed by using 14 years (2002~2015) daily observed streamflow (Q) including two years extreme drought period of 2014~2015. The 9 parameters of CN2, CANMX, ESCO, SOL_K, SLSOIL, LAT_TIME, GW_DELAY, GWQMN, ALPHA_BF were selected for model calibration. The SWAT result by focusing on 5 normal years (2002~2006) calibration showed the 14 years average Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) for Q and 1/Q with 0.78 and 0.58 respectively. On the other hand, the 14 years average NSEs of Q and 1/Q by focusing on 2 drought years (2014~2015) calibration were 0.86 and 0.76 respectively. Thus, we could infer that the SWAT calibration trial by focusing on drought periods data can be a good approach to calibrate both high flow and low flow by controlling the 9 drought affected parameters.

Drought Resistance Assessment of Ground Cover Plants for Low Management and Light Weight Green Roof System (저관리·경량형 옥상녹화를 위한 지피식물의 내건성 평가)

  • Zhao, Hong-Xia;Kang, Tai-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 2013
  • This study was carried out to suggest an experimental base in selecting the drought resistance of plants. Adopting the natural drought method, this paper studies the drought resistance of 12 kinds of ground cover plants. focusing on analyzing the changes of relative water content on leaf, relative electric conductivity and chlorophyll content in 12 kinds of plants, and and the relation between soil water content under drought stress. The drought resistance of the plants were subject to laboratory and rooftop drought resistance treatments. The Logistic model of nonlinear regression analysis was used to evaluate the lethal time that were predicted with the range of 10.4~30.1d on roof top, and 19.5~39.0d on hothouse. The result shows that with the increase of stress time, relative water content and chlorophyll content on leaf were in a downward trend; the relative electric conductivity was upward tendency. Among 12 species of ground cover plants, exclude Pulsatilla koreana, Ainsliaea acerifolia were selected for rooftop plants because they showed resist drought strongly and took adaptive ability.

AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT RISK ASSESSMENT USING REMOTE SENSING AND GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM

  • Narongrit, Chada;Yeesoonsang, Seesai
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.991-993
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    • 2003
  • The 4 sets of environmental variables dealing with meteorology, hydrology and physiography were analyzed to generate a spatial drought risk index of Phitsanulok province of Thailand. The analysis of K-mean and discriminant were applied to the set of the selective drought variables for grouping each of spatial variable set into 4 classes. The obtained 4 classes, based on group statistics, were thus recoded in the meaning of no risk, low risk, moderate risk, and high risk. The regression coefficient between recoded classes and a set of the selective environmental variables were then applied as spatial variable weighting on thematic dataset in GIS spatial analysis. The results showed that the weighting score of drought variable was highest in meteorological variable compared to other variables.

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GIS overlay analysis for hazard assessment of drought in Iran using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)

  • Asrari, Elham;Masoudi, Masoud;Hakimi, Somaye Sadat
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.323-329
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    • 2012
  • The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is a widely used drought index to provide good estimations of the intensity, magnitude and spatial extent of droughts. The objective of this study was to analyze the spatial pattern of drought by SPI index. In this paper, the patterns of drought hazard in Iran are evaluated according to the data of 40 weather stations during 1967-2009. The influenced zone of each station was specified by the Thiessen method. It was attempted to make a new model of drought hazard using GIS. Three criteria for drought were studied and considered to define areas of vulnerability. Drought hazard criteria used in the present model included: maximum severity of drought in the period, trend of drought, and the maximum number of sequential arid years. Each of the vulnerability indicators were mapped and these as well as a final hazard map were classified into 5 hazard classes of drought: one, slight, moderate, severe and very severe. The final drought vulnerability map was prepared by overlaying three criteria maps in a GIS, and the final hazard classes were defined on the basis of hazard scores, which were determined according to the means of the main indicators. The final vulnerability map shows that severe hazard areas (43% of the country) which are observed in the west and eastern parts of country are much more widespread than areas under other hazard classes. Overall, approximately half of the country was determined to be under severe and very severe hazard classes for drought.