• 제목/요약/키워드: distribution of present value

검색결과 485건 처리시간 0.026초

Errors in GEV analysis of wind epoch maxima from Weibull parents

  • Harris, R.I.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.179-191
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    • 2006
  • Parent wind data are often acknowledged to fit a Weibull probability distribution, implying that wind epoch maxima should fall into the domain of attraction of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution. However, observations of wind epoch maxima are not fitted well by this distribution and a Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) analysis leading to a Type III fit empirically appears to be better. Thus there is an apparent paradox. The reasons why advocates of the GEV approach seem to prefer it are briefly summarised. This paper gives a detailed analysis of the errors involved when the GEV is fitted to epoch maxima of Weibull origin. It is shown that the results in terms of the shape parameter are an artefact of these errors. The errors are unavoidable with the present sample sizes. If proper significance tests are applied, then the null hypothesis of a Type I fit, as predicted by theory, will almost always be retained. The GEV leads to an unacceptable ambiguity in defining design loads. For these reasons, it is concluded that the GEV approach does not seem to be a sensible option.

Sway Added Mass of a Rectangular Cylinder in a Restricted Water

  • Hwang, J.H.;Rhee, K.P.;Kang, C.K.
    • 대한조선학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.3-14
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    • 1982
  • In this paper, the sway added mass of a rectangular cylinder in a restricted water is considered by applying Hamilton's principle as the frequency tends to zero. The present method is an extension of Isshiki's method proposed in 1978. In the present method, it is assumed that the fluid velocity distribution in each subdomain of the fluid can be represented by higher order polynomials while Isshiki assumed linear velocity distribution. The fluid flow is assumed as a rotational motion in the present analysis. However, the results obtained from the present method show good agreement with Bai's numerical results for the case of large clearances between a canal wall and a cylinder. From Kelvin's minimum energy theorem, we can see that the value of sway added mass obtained from the present method approaches the upper bound. The approximate formula obtained in the present study takes a simple form which consists of the dimensions of the canal and the cylinder. The present formulae are derived for the cases of a rectangular cylinder swaying at the center of a narrow or wide canal relative to a cylinder, at off-center location in a canal, and in the restricted water with a single wall. From the results of numerical calculation, it is concluded that the sway added mass in restricted waters is more affected by water depth than clearance between a wall and a cylinder.

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3차원 PIV에 의한 원형 개수로 유동의 속도분포 함수 측정 (Measurements of Velocity Distribution Function in Circular Open Channel Flows by Stereoscopic PIV)

  • 윤지인;성재용
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.365-374
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    • 2011
  • For the first time, the present study has measured the velocity distribution function in circular open channel flow in a three-dimensional shape using a stereoscopic PIV system. For a given channel slope, water depth was varied from 30% to 80% of the channel diameter. Then, the characteristics of the velocity distribution function was compared according to the change of the water depth. Unlike a rectangular channel, the present experiment exhibited quite different shapes in the velocity distribution function whether the water depth is higher than 50% or not. Especially, the position of maximum velocity in the central and side wall changes in a different manner for the water depth above 50%. By differentiating the velocity distribution function, local wall friction coefficient was evaluated as a function of wall position. If the water depth goes down, the difference between the maximum and minimum values in the local wall friction coefficient increases, and the averaged value a1so increases.

Axisymmetric deformation of thick circular plate in microelongated thermoelastic solid

  • Rajneesh Kumar;Aseem Miglani;Ravinder Kumar
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.231-245
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    • 2024
  • In the present work, a microelogated thermoelastic model based on Lord-Shulman (1967) and Green-Lindsay (1972) theories of thermoelasticity has been constructed. The governing equations for the simulated model are converted into two-dimensional case and made dimensionless for further simplification. Laplace and Hankel transforms followed by eigen value approach has been employed to solve the problem. The use of eigen value approach hasthe advantage of finding the solution of governing equationsin matrix form notations. This approach is straight forward and convenient for numerical computation and avoids the complicate nature of the problem. The components of displacement,stress and temperature distribution are obtained in the transformed domain. Numerical inversion techniques have been used to invert the resulting quantities in the physical domain. Graphical representation of the resulting quantities for describing the effect of microelongation are presented. A special case is also deduced from the present investigation. The problem find application in many engineering problems like thick-walled pressure vesselsuch as a nuclear containment vessel, a cylindricalroller etc.

The Determination of Stress Distribution in WC-Ni Cemented Carbide Composites by Neutron Diffraction

  • Seol, Kyeongwon
    • 한국재료학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.232-238
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    • 1995
  • The thermal stress distribution of WC and Ni binder phases In WC-26st.%Ni and WC-6wt.%Ni composites has been investigated over the temperature range 100-900 K using a time-of-flight neutron diffractometer. To determine the stress distribution, the breadths of WC and Ni peaks in the reference powder and the composites were analyzed. The peak breadths were corrected for particle size effect using a procedure based on the integral peak breadth method of particle size-strain analysis. The result shows a broad range of strain, and thus stress, is present in the WC and Ni binder phases of the composites. The strain distribution of both phases broadens as the temperature decreases, and some fraction of total strain distribution of the WC phase remains tensile regardless of the temperature. The strain distribution of the WC phase broadens as the binder content increases, and that of Ni binder phase broadens as the binder content decreases, which means the strain distribution broadens as the absolute value of residual stress increase.

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An Economic Analysis of Potential Cost Savings from the Use of Low Voltage DC (LVDC) Distribution Network

  • Hur, Don;Baldick, Ross
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.812-819
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    • 2014
  • The proposed technical work attempts to compare the two key technologies of power distribution, i.e. direct current (DC) and alternating current (AC) in a fiscal manner. The DC versus AC debate has been around since the earliest days of electric power. Here, at least four types of a low voltage DC (LVDC) distribution are examined as an alternative to the existing medium voltage AC (MVAC) distribution with an economic assessment technique for a project investment. Besides, the sensitivity analysis will be incorporated in the overall economic analysis model to cover uncertainties of the input data. A detailed feasibility study indicates that many of the common benefits claimed for an LVDC distribution will continue to grow more profoundly as it is foreseen to arise with the increased integration of renewable energy sources and the proliferation of energy storage associated with the enhanced utilization of uninterruptible power supply (UPS) systems.

An Optimal Installation Strategy for Allocating Energy Storage Systems and Probabilistic-Based Distributed Generation in Active Distribution Networks

  • Sattarpour, Tohid;Tousi, Behrouz
    • Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.350-358
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    • 2017
  • Recently, owing to increased interest in low-carbon energy supplies, renewable energy sources such as photovoltaics and wind turbines in distribution networks have received considerable attention for generating clean and unlimited energy. The presence of energy storage systems (ESSs) in the promising field of active distribution networks (ADNs) would have direct impact on power system problems such as encountered in probabilistic distributed generation (DG) model studies. Hence, the optimal procedure is offered herein, in which the simultaneous placement of an ESS, photovoltaic-based DG, and wind turbine-based DG in an ADN is taken into account. The main goal of this paper is to maximize the net present value of the loss reduction benefit by considering the price of electricity for each load state. The proposed framework consists of a scenario tree method for covering the existing uncertainties in the distribution network's load demand as well as DG. The collected results verify the considerable effect of concurrent installation of probabilistic DG models and an ESS in defining the optimum site of DG and the ESS and they demonstrate that the optimum operation of an ESS in the ADN is consequently related to the highest value of the loss reduction benefit in long-term planning as well. The results obtained are encouraging.

Extreme Value of Moving Average Processes with Negative Binomial Noise Distribution

  • Park, You-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 1992
  • In this paper, we investigate the limiting distribution of $M_n = max (X_1, X-2, \cdots, X_n)$ in the infinite moving average process ${X_t = \sum c_i Z_{t-i}}$ generated from i.i.d. negative binomial variables $Z_i$'s. While no limit result is possible, nonetheless asymptotic bounds are derived. We also present the tail behavior of $X_t$, i.e., weighted sum of i.i.d. random variables. This continues a study made by Rootzen (1986) for discrete innovation sequences.

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지진 재현수준 예측에 대한 로그-로지스틱 분포와 일반화 극단값 분포의 비교 (Comparison of log-logistic and generalized extreme value distributions for predicted return level of earthquake)

  • 고낙경;하일도;장대흥
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2020
  • 자연 재해로부터 관측되는 자료를 대상으로 재현 수준 예측 등과 같은 자료 분석을 위해 일반화 극단값 분포(generalized extreme value)가 자주 사용되어 왔다. 표본 수가 충분히 큰 경우 연속적인 블록 최댓값들은 점근적으로 일반화 극단값 분포를 따른다. 하지만 소표본인 경우 이러한 사실은 성립되지 않을 수도 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 모형 적합도 검정 및 모형 선택을 통해 로그-로지스틱(log-logistic) 분포의 사용을 제안한다. 하나의 예증으로서 중국 지진 자료를 대상으로 하여 로그-로지스틱 분포를 이용하여 재현 기간별 재현 수준 예측 및 신뢰구간을 제시한다.

배전자동화용 개폐기 시험용 소프트웨어 개발 (Distribution Automation Switch Testing Software Development)

  • 옥기정;김재성
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.446-448
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    • 2001
  • We have developed the testing software for KEPCO operators to maintain the small-scale distribution automation system effectively. The testing software is used to monitor the present status, to measure the analog value(voltage, amperage) and to control the switch and FRTU(Feeder Remote Terminal Unit) in order to find out a disabled part of the system. And at the stage of inspection of the switch and FRTU, it can screen the inferior one.

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