• Title/Summary/Keyword: digital population model

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Digital Twin based Household Water Consumption Forecasting using Agent Based Modeling

  • Sultan Alamri;Muhammad Saad Qaisar Alvi;Imran Usman;Adnan Idris
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 2024
  • The continuous increase in urban population due to migration of mases from rural areas to big cities has set urban water supply under serious stress. Urban water resources face scarcity of available water quantity, which ultimately effects the water supply. It is high time to address this challenging problem by taking appropriate measures for the improvement of water utility services linked with better understanding of demand side management (DSM), which leads to an effective state of water supply governance. We propose a dynamic framework for preventive DSM that results in optimization of water resource management. This paper uses Agent Based Modeling (ABM) with Digital Twin (DT) to model water consumption behavior of a population and consequently forecast water demand. DT creates a digital clone of the system using physical model, sensors, and data analytics to integrate multi-physical quantities. By doing so, the proposed model replicates the physical settings to perform the remote monitoring and controlling jobs on the digital format, whilst offering support in decision making to the relevant authorities.

A Study on Cross-Cultural Validation of Web-Based User Information Satisfaction (Flow) Measurement Model (웹기반 정보시스템 이용자정보만족도(Flow) 측정모델의 교차문화 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Jin-Taek
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.157-164
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    • 2008
  • The current research utilized as its target population who are current users of web based information system in Korea. The research validated the dimensions by studying he constructs within the context of the web based information system user population. Correlation was found between Flow dimensions retained as components of a ross-Cultural Model. It was determined that these two dimensions-Intrinsic Interest and Control-are significant predictors of user success. The Cross-Cultural Model was validated, and it is therefore suggested as a basis for further study of user success indicators in he cross-cultural enterprise environment.

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Implementing the Urban Effect in an Interpolation Scheme for Monthly Normals of Daily Minimum Temperature (도시효과를 고려한 일 최저기온의 월별 평년값 분포 추정)

  • 최재연;윤진일
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to remove the urban heat island effects embedded in the interpolated surfaces of daily minimum temperature in the Korean Peninsula. Fifty six standard weather stations are usually used to generate the gridded temperature surface in South Korea. Since most of the weather stations are located in heavily populated and urbanized areas, the observed minimum temperature data are contaminated with the so-called urban heat island effect. Without an appropriate correction, temperature estimates over rural area or forests might deviate significantly from the actual values. We simulated the spatial pattern of population distribution within any single population reporting district (city or country) by allocating the reported population to the "urban" pixels of a land cover map with a 30 by 30 m spacing. By using this "digital population model" (DPM), we can simulate the horizontal diffusion of urban effect, which is not possible with the spatially discontinuous nature of the population statistics fer each city or county. The temperature estimation error from the existing interpolation scheme, which considers both the distance and the altitude effects, was regressed to the DPMs smoothed at 5 different scales, i.e., the radial extent of 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 and 5.0 km. Optimum regression models were used in conjunction with the distance-altitude interpolation to predict monthly normals of daily minimum temperature in South Korea far 1971-2000 period. Cross validation showed around 50% reduction in terms of RMSE and MAE over all months compared with those by the conventional method.conventional method.

Markovian Model Analysis of Influenza System (인플루엔자 유행의 마르코프 모델 해석)

  • 정형환;김권수
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.33 no.11
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    • pp.440-446
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    • 1984
  • This thesis investigates the quantitative aspect of epidemic phenomena utilizing the analytical method of discrete time systems based on the theory of Markov processes. In particular, the pattern on the epidemic character of Influenza was analyzed by the mathematical model of Influenza system, which is derived according to the ecologic relationship between five epidemiolgic states of individuals. The quantitative aspects of the model was characterized by digital computer simulations. The main results were obtained as follows: 1) A Markovian model of influenza system represents accurate spead curve. 2) The latent period of influenza has the standard deviation of 1.98 and also the incubation period is 2.68. 3) If the value of susceptibilities in the pre-epidemic period is less than 20% of the population, the epidemic will occur sporadically. 4) The initial value of susceptibilties obtained by this markov theory is less about 10% of total population than the obtained value according to the deterministic model.

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Construction of an Analysis System Using Digital Breeding Technology for the Selection of Capsicum annuum

  • Donghyun Jeon;Sehyun Choi;Yuna Kang;Changsoo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.233-233
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    • 2022
  • As the world's population grows and food needs diversify, the demand for horticultural crops for beneficial traits is increasing. In order to meet this demand, it is necessary to develop suitable cultivars and breeding methods accordingly. Breeding methods have changed over time. With the recent development of sequencing technology, the concept of genomic selection (GS) has emerged as large-scale genome information can be used. GS shows good predictive ability even for quantitative traits by using various markers, breaking away from the limitations of Marker Assisted Selection (MAS). Moreover, GS using machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) has been studied recently. In this study, we aim to build a system that selects phenotype-related markers using the genomic information of the pepper population and trains a genomic selection model to select individuals from the validation population. We plan to establish an optimal genome wide association analysis model by comparing and analyzing five models. Validation of molecular markers by applying linkage markers discovered through genome wide association analysis to breeding populations. Finally, we plan to establish an optimal genome selection model by comparing and analyzing 12 genome selection models. Then We will use the genome selection model of the learning group in the breeding group to verify the prediction accuracy and discover a prediction model.

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A Study on the Significance of Spatial Interaction Model from the Urban Competitive Point of View (입지 경쟁력과 공간상호작용 모형의 유의성 검정)

  • Kim, Dong-Yoon
    • Journal of The Korean Digital Architecture Interior Association
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2012
  • This study aims at finding relationships between the competitiveness of cities and the size or distance of them, based on some premises; (1) the competitiveness can be measured on the interval-ratio level, that is, factor scores, (2) a hypothesis that the spatial interaction model is valid for the relationships can be generally accepted. Based on the general recognition a research hypothesis that the more is the population or the nearer is the distance from a central city the higher is the competitiveness score is constructed. According to the premises 5-factor scores and composite score are calculated by means of regression method, and the scores are regressed on cities' populations and distances from Seoul city. Using bootstrapping method for the tests of significance is effective due to small sample of 21 cities. Results of the analyses show that most aspects of the hypothesis should be rejected or adjusted. Scores on Health-welfare factor, public service factor, and commercial vitality factor have no relation to the cities' sizes or distances. But the results also find the facts that the strong (negative) relationships exist between (1) educational base factor score and population, (2) density factor score and distance. Although this study improves systematic and analytic understanding of spatial interaction patterns, the understanding should be invalid for the general context because it has used the data on 21 cities in the capital region at the time of 2009.

Study on the factors that affect the fluctuations in the price of real estate for a digital economy (디지털 경제에 부동산 가격의 변동에 영향을 주는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il;Lee, Ok-Dong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2013
  • As people invest most of their asset in real estate, there is high interest in changing in housing and real estate prices in the future for a digital economy. Various variables are affecting the housing and real estate market. Among them, four variables : households, productive population, interest rate and index price are chosen and analyzed representatively. This study is aimed to build decision model of apartment prices in Seoul empirically. From the analysis result the stock index is the only variable which is significant statistically to apartments in Seoul. From this study, the households and productive population show the same direction as shown in the previous studies before but not significant statistically. Among the independent variables, the stock index is chosen as a major variable of determinant of Seoul apartment price. From the result of the research, prediction of stock market should be preceded to forecast the movement of housing and real estate market in the future.

Adaptable Web Search User Interface Model for the Elderly

  • Khalid Krayz allah;Nor Azman Ismail;Layla Hasan;Wad Ghaban;Nadhmi A. Gazem;Maged Nasser
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.2436-2457
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    • 2023
  • The elderly population is rapidly increasing worldwide, but many face challenges in using digital tools like the Internet due to health and incapacity issues. Existing online search user interfaces (UIs) often overlook the specific usability needs of the elderly. This study proposes an adaptable web search UI model for the elderly, based on their perspectives, to enhance search performance and usability. The proposed UI model is evaluated through comparative usability testing with 20 participants, comparing it to the Google search UI. Effectiveness, efficiency, and satisfaction are measured using task completion time, error rate, and subjective preferences. The results show significant differences (p > 0.05) between the proposed web search UI model and the Google search UI. The proposed UI model achieves higher subjective satisfaction levels, indicating better alignment with the needs and preferences of elderly users. It also reduces task completion time, indicating improved efficiency, and decreases the error rate, suggesting enhanced effectiveness. These findings emphasize the importance of considering the unique usability needs of the elderly when designing search UIs. The proposed adaptable web search UI model offers a promising approach to enhance the digital experiences of elderly users. This study lays the groundwork for further development and refinement of adaptable web search UI models that cater to the specific needs of elderly users, enabling designers to create more inclusive and user-friendly search interfaces for the growing elderly population.

GIS-based Ocean Informatics for Integrated Coastal Management (연안역통합관리를 위한 GIS 기반 해양정보학)

  • Kim, Jong-Kyu
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.227-237
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    • 2004
  • Recently development trends in information technology expand the activity boundaries for human living beyond coastal zones. These rapid changes of paradigm are stimulating scientists and strategists to be encouraged in making adequate model for marine geographic information system (MGIS) and their applications. Coastal zones are places which are affected by many factors, such as water quality, tide, wave, atmosphere, population, industry, etc. Therefore information related to the coast has to be integrated and analyzed for managing it efficiently. GIS-based Ocean Informatics is suited for those purposes and used in the study for establishing and managing coastal geographic and environmental information system. This paper reviews the properties of ocean and coastal spaces, then defines some MGIS related terminologies for clarifying the scope of MGIS boundaries. In this study, coastal geographic information is established by digital geographic information and digital terrain information. Digital coast chart having information on digital chart and map can merge and analyze various coastal information and can be a useful tool for the coastal integrated management.