• 제목/요약/키워드: deterministic model

검색결과 584건 처리시간 0.025초

인플레이션율과 손해할인율을 고려한 부분재재고모형에 관한 연구 (A Study on Iventory Model with Partial Backorders considering both Continuous Inflation Rate and Continuous Discount Rate)

  • 최규탁;김정자
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 1992
  • This paper dvelops an inventory model with partial backorders considering both inflation rate and discount rate under the situation of deterministic demand and lead time and then make an economic analysis. Especially, the inventory model with partial backorders provided here is the inventory model minimizing annual total cash outflows, which is extended by the addition of inflation rate and discount rate into "Inventory Model with Partial Bakorders" of Park [6]. An iterative solution procedure is developed to find an optimal inventory policy. To provide guidelines for economic analysis of inventory model with partial backorders, sensitivity analysis for selected values of parameters is performed.performed.

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실험실 시험 장착오차를 고려한 관성측정장치 오차 모델링 (Modelling of IMU Error with Setteing Misalignment in Laboratory Test)

  • 성상만;이달호;이장규
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제48권4호
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    • pp.428-433
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    • 1999
  • The errors of IMU(Inertial Measurement Unit) can be divided into deterministic and random errors. Since the required accuracy of the IMU is very high, the errors must be compensated by using an accurate error mode. In this paper, we present a method to get a more accurate error model in a laboratory test. This was done by considering the setting misalignment in the laboratory test in the IMU error model. We considered here the IMU which consits of DTG(dynamically tuned gyroscope) and pendulum type accelerometer. First, it was shown that the estimation result from the model which does not contain the setting misalignment gives considerable estimation error at the validation test. Second, a new model considering the setting misalignment was derived. Finally, by validation test using the estimation results from new model the validity of it was proved.

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Transfer Function 모형을 이용한 수도물 수요의 단기예측 (A Short-term Forecasting of Water Supply Demands by the Transfer Function Model)

  • 이재준
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.88-103
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    • 1996
  • The objective of this study is to develop stochastic and deterministic models which could be used to synthesize water application time series. Adaptive models using mulitivariate ARIMA(Transfer Function Model) are developed for daily urban water use forecasting. The model considers several variables on which water demands is dependent. The dynamic response of water demands to several factors(e.g. weekday, average temperature, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, humidity, cloudiness, rainfall) are characterized in the model by transfer functions. Daily water use data of Kumi city in 1992 are employed for model parameter estimation. Meteorological data of Seonsan station are utilized to input variables because Kumi has no records about the meteorological factor data.To determine the main factors influencing water use, autocorrelogram and cross correlogram analysis are performed. Through the identification, parameter estimation, and diagnostic checking of tentative model, final transfer function models by each month are established. The simulation output by transfer function models are compared to a historical data and shows the good agreement.

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ANALYSIS OF THE MITIGATION STRATEGIES FOR MARRIAGE DIVORCE: FROM MATHEMATICAL MODELING PERSPECTIVE

  • TESSEMA, HAILEYESUS;MENGISTU, YEHUALASHET;KASSA, ENDESHAW
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제40권5_6호
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    • pp.857-871
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    • 2022
  • In this work, we formulated a mathematical model for divorce in marriage and extended in to an optimal control model. Firstly, we qualitatively established the model positivity and boundedness. Also we saw sensitivity analysis of the model and identified the positive and negative indices parameters. An optimal control model were developed by incorporating three time dependent control strategies (couple relationship education, reducing getting married too young & consulting separators to renew their marriage) on the deterministic model. The Pontryagin's maximum principle were used for the derivation of necessary conditions of the optimal control problem. Finally, with Newton's forward and backward sweep method numerical simulation were performed on optimality system by considering four integrated strategies. So that we reached to a result that using all three strategies simultaneously (the strategy D) is an optimal control in order to effectively control marriage divorce over a specified period of time. From this we conclude that, policymakers and stakeholders should use the indicated control strategy at a time in order to fight against Divorce in a population.

제주 정낭(錠木) 채널 Code III (Jeju Jong-Nang Channel Code III)

  • 박주용;김정수;이문호
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.91-103
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문은 제주 정낭 채널 code I, II에 이은 "수신기 협력을 이용한 간섭 디코딩 기반 3-user NOR 스위칭 채널"을 다루고 있다. 제주 정낭 코드 (Jeju Jong Nang code) 는 스위칭 회로를 "1" 또는 "0" 의 이진 심볼로 해석하는 인류 최초의 HBCC (human binary coded communication)로 여겨진다. 본 논문에서는 3-user 정낭 NOR 스위칭 채널 기반 수신기 협력 간섭 디코딩의 실제적인 예를 소개한다. 제안한 시스템 모델은 TUJN (three user Jong Nang) NOR 스위칭 on-off 로직과 3-user 결정적 (deterministic) NOR 스위칭 채널 및 수신기 협력 GIC (Gaussian interference channel)로 구성되어 있다. 따라서 이 모델은 Shannon의 이진 시스템과 erasure 채널 용량에도 잘 맞는다. 또한 자유도를 증가시키기 위해 각 협력 수신기가 이웃 수신기들을 도울 수 있다는 의미의 결정적 채널을 얻기 위한 3-user Gaussian 간섭 디코딩의 응용 예를 제시하고, 이웃 수신기 협력을 통한 최적 간섭 완화 sum rate이 7 bits에 달한다.

소규모 냉각재 상실사고하의 원자로 압력용기에 대한 확률론적 파괴역학 평가 (Evaluation of Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics for Reactor Pressure Vessel under SBLOCA)

  • 김종욱;이규만;김태완
    • 한국압력기기공학회 논문집
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2008
  • In order to predict a remaining life of a plant, it is necessary to select the components that are critical to the plant life. The remaining life of those components shall be evaluated by considering the aging effect of materials used as well as numerous factors. However, when evaluating reliability of nuclear structural components, some problems are quite formidable because of lack of information such as operating history, material property change and uncertainty in damage models. Accordingly, if structural integrity and safety are evaluated by the deterministic fracture mechanics approach, it is expected that the results obtained are too conservative to perform a rational evaluation of plant life. The probabilistic fracture mechanics approaches are regarded as appropriate methods to rationally evaluate the plant life since they can consider various uncertainties such as sizes and shapes of cracks and degradation of material strength due to the aging effects. The objective of this study is to evaluate the structural integrity for a reactor pressure vessel under the small break loss of coolant accident by applying the deterministic and probabilistic fracture mechanics. The deterministic fracture mechanics analysis was performed using the three dimensional finite element model. The probabilistic integrity analysis was based on the Monte Carlo simulation. The selected random variables are the neutron fluence on the vessel inside surface, the content of copper, nickel, and phosphorus in the reactor pressure vessel material, and initial RTNDT.

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A Case Study on Function Point Method applying on Monte Carlo Simulation in Automotive Software Development

  • Do, Sung Ryong
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2020
  • 소프트웨어 개발은 다양한 프로세스 변동을 포함하기 때문에, 결정론적 이론 보다는 확률론적 이론에 더 영향을 많이 받는다. 확률론적 방식은 결정론적 방식보다 프로젝트 활동과 관련된 불확실을 고려하고, 예상되는 결과에 대해서 확률 분포로 접근하는 장점이 있다. 그러므로 소프트웨어 프로젝트를 성공하기 위해서는 확률 분포에 기반하여 범위, 규모, 비용, 공수, 일정 그리고 품질 목표를 체계적으로 관리해야 한다. 소프트웨어 규모 산정은 불확실성이 큰 개발 초기의 활동임에도 불구하고, LOC, COCOMO, FP, SLIM과 같은 결정론적 산정 방식으로 수행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 확률적 분포 기반의 기능 점수 프로세스를 수립하고, 효과를 검증하기 위해 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션 기반의 자동차 전기전자 제어시스템 소프트웨어 개발에 적용한 사례를 제시한다. 본 연구 결과가 조직 내 기능 점수 프로세스를 수립하기 위한 가이드 및 관리자들의 정확한 의사결정 도구로 활용될 것으로 기대한다.

농업 소류역으로부터의 토양침식 및 유사량 시산을 위한 전산모의 모델 (I) (Digital simulation model for soil erosion and Sediment Yield from Small Agricultural Watersheds(I))

  • 권순국
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.108-114
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    • 1980
  • A deterministic conceptual erosion model which simulates detachment, entrainment, transport and deposition of eroded soil particles by rainfall impact and flowing water is presented. Both upland and channel phases of sediment yield are incorporated into the erosion model. The algorithms for the soil erosion and sedimentation processes including land and crop management effects are taken from the literature and then solved using a digital computer. The erosion model is used in conjunction with the modified Kentucky Watershed Model which simulates the hydrologic characteristics from watershed data. The two models are linked together by using the appropriate computer code. Calibrations for both the watershed and erosion model parameters are made by comparing the simulated results with actual field measurements in the Four Mile Creek watershed near Traer, Iowa using 1976 and 1977 water year data. Two water years, 1970 and 1978 are used as test years for model verification. There is good agreement between the mean daily simulated and recorded streamflow and between the simulated and recorded suspended sediment load except few partial differences. The following conclusions were drawn from the results after testing the watershed and erosion model. 1. The watershed and erosion model is a deterministic lumped parameter model, and is capable of simulating the daily mean streamflow and suspended sediment load within a 20 percent error, when the correct watershed and erosion parameters are supplied. 2. It is found that soil erosion is sensitive to errors in simulation of occurrence and intensity of precipitation and of overland flow. Therefore, representative precipitation data and a watershed model which provides an accurate simulation of soil moisture and resulting overland flow are essential for the accurate simulation of soil erosion and subsequent sediment transport prediction. 3. Erroneous prediction of snowmelt in terms of time and magnitute in conjunction with The frozen ground could be the reason for the poor simulation of streamflow as well as sediment yield in the snowmelt period. More elaborate and accurate snowmelt submodels will greatly improve accuracy. 4. Poor simulation results can be attributed to deficiencies in erosion model and to errors in the observed data such as the recorded daily streamflow and the sediment concentration. 5. Crop management and tillage operations are two major factors that have a great effect on soil erosion simulation. The erosion model attempts to evaluate the impact of crop management and tillage effects on sediment production. These effects on sediment yield appear to be somewhat equivalent to the effect of overland flow. 6. Application and testing of the watershed and erosion model on watersheds in a variety of regions with different soils and meteorological characteristics may be recommended to verify its general applicability and to detact the deficiencies of the model. Futhermore, by further modification and expansion with additional data, the watershed and erosion model developed through this study can be used as a planning tool for watershed management and for solving agricultural non-point pollution problems.

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선행강우지수를 고려한 홍수유출 시뮬레이션 모형 (Flood Runoff Simulation Model by Using API)

  • 허창환;임기석;안경수;지홍기
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.331-344
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구의 목적은 홍수유출해석을 위한 확정론적 유출모형의 개발에 있으며, 유출과정은 비 선형으로 취급하여 단순화시킨 개념적 모형을 유역유출모형으로 제시하였다. 개념적 모형의 구조는 지표유출을 일으키는 지표면과 지표하유출을 일으키는 토양층으로 구분하고 이들 각 구조를 지표와 지표하로 나누어 유출과정을 개념화하였으며, 지표흐름의 지체효과는 부탱크를 도입하여 나타내었다. 지표하 구조에서 중간 및 지표하 흐름의 성분들은 수치 filter를 이용하여 분리하였다. 유출계수 $\alpha$$_2$는 선행강우지수의 함수로 표현하였으며, 지표흐름에 관계되는 매개변수인 유출계수($\alpha$$_1$, $\alpha$$_{11}$)는 민감도를 분석하여 결정하였다. 본 연구에서 개념적 모형의 알고리즘은 효용도를 기준으로 자동 추출되게 하였으며, 개념적 모형에서 시뮬레이션시킨 결과는 실측 홍수수문곡선에 매우 접근하고 있음은 확인할 수 있었다.

Integrated scheduling model for PVC process

  • Kang, Min-Gu;Moon, Sung-Deuk;Kang, Jin-su;Park, Sun-Won
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.1804-1809
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    • 2003
  • In a large-scale chemical plant, there are scheduling problems in inventory and packing process although production process is stabilized. The profit of the plant is restricted by these problems. In order to improve these problems, integrated scheduling model, which is concerned with whole processes from production to shipment, has been developed in this paper. In this model, decision variables are production sequence, silo allocation, amounts of bulk shipment and packing amounts. In case of a real plant, it is hard to solve by deterministic methods because there are too many decision variables to solve. In this paper, genetic algorithm is presented to solve a PVC process scheduling model within an hour with PCs.

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