• Title/Summary/Keyword: demand prediction

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Prediction of Heating and Cooling Energy Consumption in Residential Sector Considering Climate Change and Socio-Economic (기후변화와 사회·경제적 요소를 고려한 가정 부문 냉난방 에너지 사용량 변화 예측)

  • Lee, Mi-Jin;Lee, Dong-Kun;Park, Chan;Park, Jin-Han;Jung, Tae-Yong;Kim, Sang-Kyun;Hong, Sung-Chul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.487-498
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    • 2015
  • The energy problem has occurred because of the effects of rising temperature and growing population and GDP. Prediction for the energy demand is required to respond these problems. Therefore, this study will predict heating and cooling energy consumption in residential sector to be helpful in energy demand management, particularly heating and cooling energy demand management. The AIM/end-use model was used to estimate energy consumption, and service demand was needed in the AIM/end-use model. Service demand was estimated on the basis of formula, and energy consumption was estimated using the AIM/end-use model. As a result, heating and cooling service demand tended to increase in 2050. But in energy consumption, heating decreased and cooling increased.

Mid-Term Energy Demand Forecasting Using Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machine (조건적 제한된 볼츠만머신을 이용한 중기 전력 수요 예측)

  • Kim, Soo-Hyun;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Lee, Dong-gu;Sim, Is-sac;Hwang, Yu-Min;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Kim, Hyung-suk;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2019
  • Electric power demand forecasting is one of the important research areas for future smart grid introduction. However, It is difficult to predict because it is affected by many external factors. Traditional methods of forecasting power demand have been limited in making accurate prediction because they use raw power data. In this paper, a probability-based CRBM is proposed to solve the problem of electric power demand prediction using raw power data. The stochastic model is suitable to capture the probabilistic characteristics of electric power data. In order to compare the mid-term power demand forecasting performance of the proposed model, we compared the performance with Recurrent Neural Network(RNN). Performance comparison using electric power data provided by the University of Massachusetts showed that the proposed algorithm results in better performance in mid-term energy demand forecasting.

Development of Data Visualized Web System for Virtual Power Forecasting based on Open Sources based Location Services using Deep Learning (오픈소스 기반 지도 서비스를 이용한 딥러닝 실시간 가상 전력수요 예측 가시화 웹 시스템)

  • Lee, JeongHwi;Kim, Dong Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.8
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    • pp.1005-1012
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    • 2021
  • Recently, the use of various location-based services-based location information systems using maps on the web has been expanding, and there is a need for a monitoring system that can check power demand in real time as an alternative to energy saving. In this study, we developed a deep learning real-time virtual power demand prediction web system using open source-based mapping service to analyze and predict the characteristics of power demand data using deep learning. In particular, the proposed system uses the LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) deep learning model to enable power demand and predictive analysis locally, and provides visualization of analyzed information. Future proposed systems will not only be utilized to identify and analyze the supply and demand and forecast status of energy by region, but also apply to other industrial energies.

Predicting Determinants of Seoul-Bike Data Using Optimized Gradient-Boost (최적화된 Gradient-Boost를 사용한 서울 자전거 데이터의 결정 요인 예측)

  • Kim, Chayoung;Kim, Yoon
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.861-866
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    • 2022
  • Seoul introduced the shared bicycle system, "Seoul Public Bike" in 2015 to help reduce traffic volume and air pollution. Hence, to solve various problems according to the supply and demand of the shared bicycle system, "Seoul Public Bike," several studies are being conducted. Most of the research is a strategic "Bicycle Rearrangement" in regard to the imbalance between supply and demand. Moreover, most of these studies predict demand by grouping features such as weather or season. In previous studies, demand was predicted by time-series-analysis. However, recently, studies that predict demand using deep learning or machine learning are emerging. In this paper, we can show that demand prediction can be made a little better by discovering new features or ordering the importance of various features based on well-known feature-patterns. In this study, by ordering the selection of new features or the importance of the features, a better coefficient of determination can be obtained even if the well-known deep learning or machine learning or time-series-analysis is exploited as it is. Therefore, we could be a better one for demand prediction.

Machine Learning-based hydrogen charging station energy demand prediction model (머신러닝 기반 수소 충전소 에너지 수요 예측 모델)

  • MinWoo Hwang;Yerim Ha;Sanguk Park
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2023
  • Hydrogen energy is an eco-friendly energy that produces heat and electricity with high energy efficiency and does not emit harmful substances such as greenhouse gases and fine dust. In particular, smart hydrogen energy is an economical, sustainable, and safe future smart hydrogen energy service, which means a service that stably operates based on 'data' by digitally integrating hydrogen energy infrastructure. In this paper, in order to implement a data-based hydrogen charging station demand forecasting model, three hydrogen charging stations (Chuncheon, Sokcho, Pyeongchang) installed in Gangwon-do were selected, supply and demand data of hydrogen charging stations were secured, and 7 machine learning and deep learning algorithms were used. was selected to learn a model with a total of 27 types of input data (weather data + demand for hydrogen charging stations), and the model was evaluated with root mean square error (RMSE). Through this, this paper proposes a machine learning-based hydrogen charging station energy demand prediction model for optimal hydrogen energy supply and demand.

Quantum Computing Impact on SCM and Hotel Performance

  • Adhikari, Binaya;Chang, Byeong-Yun
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2021
  • For competitive hotel business, the hotel must have a sound prediction capability to balance the demand and supply of hospitality products. To have a sound prediction capability in the hotel, it should be prepared to be equipped with a new technology such as quantum computing. The quantum computing is a brand new cutting-edge technology. It will change hotel business and even the whole world too. Therefore, we study the impact of quantum computing on supply chain management (SCM) and hotel performance. Toward the goal we have developed the research model including six constructs: quantum (computing) prediction, communication, supplier relationship, service quality, non-financial performance, and financial performance. The result of the study shows a significant influence of quantum (computing) prediction on hotel performance through the mediating role of SCM in the hotel. Quantum prediction is highly significant in enhancing the SCM in the hotel. However, the direct effect between the quantum prediction and hotel performance is not significant. The finding indicates that hotels which would install the quantum computing technology and utilize the quantum prediction could hugely benefit from the performance improvement.

Evaluation of the applicability of TBM performance prediction models based on field data (현장 굴진자료 분석에 의한 TBM 성능예측모델의 적용성 평가)

  • Oh, Ki-Youl;Chang, Soo-Ho;Kim, Sang-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.03a
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    • pp.803-812
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    • 2008
  • Along with the increasing demand for automatic and mechanical tunnel excavation methods in Korea, the Tunnel Boring Machine (TBM) method of tunnel excavation has become increasingly popular. However, in spite of this rising demand, few studies have been performed on the TBM method, in Korea. For this reason, this study focused on evaluation of the applicability of TBM performance prediction models based on field data in order to contribute to the basic and essential parts of TBM designation and the TBM method of tunnel excavation in Korea. These rock properties can be defined as the mechanical and physical factors of rock that have an influence on a disc cutter's ability to cut rock, and provide information for the evaluation of the applicability of field data. Based on outcomes from these tests, applicability of the prediction model was evaluated and the predicted performance of a TBM was compared with real field data obtained from four different TBM construction sites in Korea.

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Diagnosis of a trouble existence and development of prediction method for electrical equipment inside a building (건축물 내 전기설비 이상 유무 진단 및 예측기법 개발)

  • Kim, Young-Dal;Kim, Hyo-Jin;Kim, Dae-Sik;Kim, Jae-Hoon;Han, Sang-Ok
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07e
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    • pp.31-33
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    • 2005
  • The accelerating of industrial development causes electricity demand to increase. By that power equipments need high power, multi function and intelligence. Also consumers demand for guarantee power supplying of good quality and reasonable operating equipment. Also they require for reliance and stabilization of power facility. Therefore preventive maintenance of electric installation must be developed and improvement of domestic technical level is needed in the maintenance management of equipment. The diagnosis of trouble existence is technique that compares steady state with unusual condition, whereas the prediction technique makes a diagnosis of remaining equipments life. It is difficult for us to diagnose trouble existence of electric installation and to develop prediction method in building because of a wide scope for electric installation in building. And in this paper we will investigate diagnosis and prediction method for only switch part of electric installation in building.

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Prediction for Energy Demand Using 1D-CNN and Bidirectional LSTM in Internet of Energy (에너지인터넷에서 1D-CNN과 양방향 LSTM을 이용한 에너지 수요예측)

  • Jung, Ho Cheul;Sun, Young Ghyu;Lee, Donggu;Kim, Soo Hyun;Hwang, Yu Min;Sim, Issac;Oh, Sang Keun;Song, Seung-Ho;Kim, Jin Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.134-142
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    • 2019
  • As the development of internet of energy (IoE) technologies and spread of various electronic devices have diversified patterns of energy consumption, the reliability of demand prediction has decreased, causing problems in optimization of power generation and stabilization of power supply. In this study, we propose a deep learning method, 1-Dimention-Convolution and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (1D-ConvBLSTM), that combines a convolution neural network (CNN) and a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(BLSTM) for highly reliable demand forecasting by effectively extracting the energy consumption pattern. In experimental results, the demand is predicted with the proposed deep learning method for various number of learning iterations and feature maps, and it is verified that the test data is predicted with a small number of iterations.

Experimental Verification of Resistance-Demand Approach for Shear of HSC Beams

  • El-Sayed, Ahmed K.;Shuraim, Ahmed B.
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.513-525
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    • 2016
  • The resistance-demand approach has emerged as an effective approach for determining the shear capacity of reinforced concrete beams. This approach is based on the fact that both the shear resistance and shear demand are correlated with flexural tensile strain from compatibility and equilibrium requirements. The basic shear strength, under a given loading is determined from the intersection of the demand and resistance curves. This paper verifies the applicability of resistance-demand procedure for predicting the shear capacity of high strength concrete beams without web reinforcement. A total of 18 beams were constructed and tested in four-point bending up to failure. The test variables included the longitudinal reinforcement ratio, the shear span to depth ratio, and the beam depth. The shear capacity of the beams was predicted using the proposed procedure and compared with the experimental values. The results of the comparison showed good prediction capability and can be useful to design practice.