• 제목/요약/키워드: decay estimate

검색결과 125건 처리시간 0.022초

다변수 Bidirectional RNN을 이용한 표층수온 결측 데이터 보간 (Imputation of Missing SST Observation Data Using Multivariate Bidirectional RNN)

  • 신용탁;김동훈;김현재;임채욱;우승범
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2022
  • 정점 표층 수온 관측 데이터 중 결측 구간의 데이터를 양방향 순환신경망(Bidirectional Recurrent Neural Network, BiRNN) 기법을 이용하여 보간하였다. 인공지능 기법 중 시계열 데이터에 일반적으로 활용되는 Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs)은 결측 추정 위치까지의 시간 흐름 방향 또는 역방향으로만 추정하기 때문에 장기 결측 구간에는 추정 성능이 떨어진다. 반면, 본 연구에서는 결측 구간 전후의 양방향으로 추정을 하여 장기 결측 데이터에 대해서도 추정 성능을 높일 수 있다. 또한 관측점 주위의 가용한 모든 데이터(수온, 기온, 바람장, 기압, 습도)를 사용함으로써, 이들 상관관계로부터 보간 데이터를 함께 추정하도록 하여 보간 성능을 더욱 높이고자 하였다. 성능 검증을 위하여 통계 기반 모델인 Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations(MICE)와 기계학습 기반의 Random Forest 모델, 그리고 Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)을 이용한 RNN 모델과 비교하였다. 7일간의 장기 결측에 대한 보간에 대해서 BiRNN/통계 모델들의 평균 정확도가 각각 70.8%/61.2%이며 평균 오차가 각각 0.28도/0.44도로 BiRNN 모델이 다른 모델보다 좋은 성능을 보인다. 결측 패턴을 나타내는 temporal decay factor를 적용함으로써 BiRNN 기법이 결측 구간이 길어질수록 보간 성능이 기존 방법보다 우수한 것으로 판단된다.

Public Exposure to Natural Radiation and the Associated Increased Risk of Lung Cancer in the Betare-Oya Gold Mining Areas, Eastern Cameroon

  • Joseph Emmanuel Ndjana Nkoulou II;Louis Ngoa Engola;Guy Blanchard Dallou;Saidou;Daniel Bongue;Masahiro Hosoda;Moise Godefroy Kwato Njock;Shinji Tokonami
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2023
  • Background: This study aims to reevaluate natural radiation exposure, following up on our previous study conducted in 2019, and to assess the associated risk of lung cancer to the public residing in the gold mining areas of Betare-Oya, east Cameroon, and its vicinity. Materials and Methods: Gamma-ray spectra collected using a 7.62 cm×7.62 cm in NaI(Tl) scintillation spectrometer during a car-borne survey, in situ measurements and laboratory measurements performed in previous studies were used to determine the outdoor absorbed dose rate in air to evaluate the annual external dose inhaled by the public. For determining internal exposure, radon gas concentrations were measured and used to estimate the inhalation dose while considering the inhalation of radon and its decay products. Results and Discussion: The mean value of the laboratory-measured outdoor gamma dose rate was 47 nGy/hr, which agrees with our previous results (44 nGy/hr) recorded through direct measurements (in situ and car-borne survey). The resulting annual external dose (0.29±0.09 mSv/yr) obtained is similar to that of the previous study (0.33±0.03 mSv/yr). The total inhalation dose resulting from radon isotopes and their decay products ranged between 1.96 and 9.63 mSv/yr with an arithmetic mean of 3.95±1.65 mSv/yr. The resulting excess lung cancer risk was estimated; it ranged from 62 to 216 excess deaths per million persons per year (MPY), 81 to 243 excess deaths per MPY, or 135 excess deaths per MPY, based on whether risk factors reported by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, United Nations Scientific Committee on the effects of Atomic Radiation, or International Commission on Radiological Protection were used, respectively. These values are more than double the world average values reported by the same agencies. Conclusion: There is an elevated level of risk of lung cancer from indoor radon in locations close to the Betare-Oya gold mining region in east Cameroon. Therefore, educating the public on the harmful effects of radon exposure and considering some remedial actions for protection against radon and its progenies is necessary.

238,235U, 232Th과 40K의 베타선 및 감마선에 의한 토양의 흡수선량 환산 인자 (Dose rate conversion factor for soil by the beta-rays and gamma-rays from 238,235U, 232Th and 40K)

  • 김기동;음철헌;방준환
    • 분석과학
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.460-467
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    • 2007
  • 자연계에 존재하는 $^{238}U$, $^{235}U$, $^{232}Th$ 그리고 $^{40}K$의 감마선과 베타선에 대해 토양의 흡수선량을 평가하기 위한 유효 흡수선량 환산인자를 계산하였다. 이 때 감마선과 베타선에 대한 붕괴당 에너지, 반감기, 분기율등의 핵자료들은 National Nuclear Data Center (NNDC)의 최근 자료들을 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 계산한 흡수선량 인자 및 이를 이용하여 얻은 $^{238}U$, $^{232}Th$ 그리고 $^{40}K$의 베타선과 감마선에 유효흡수선량은 1998년 Aitken의 결과와 비교적 잘 일치하였지만, $^{235}U$의 경우는 많은 차이가 있음을 확인하였다. 한국 충북 청원군 오성에 있는 선사유적지(만수리) 내의 토양에 대해 고 분해능 감마선 분광 분석 장치(HP Ge 검출기)로 지각 방사선의 감마선 스펙트럼을 측정하고, 계산된 유효 흡수선량 환산인자를 이용하여 연간방사선량을 평가하였는데, 연간방사선량이 3.8~5.9 mGy/year으로 평가되었다. 또한 Rn 이하의 붕괴 핵종을 포함하여 연간방사선량을 평가하는 경우와, 이를 포함하지 않고 연간방사선량을 평가하는 경우는 9~30 % 차이를 나타내었다. 이 흡수선량 환산인자로 토양에 존재하는 자연 방사성 동위원소들의 베타선과 감마선에 대한 유효 흡수선량 평가법이 확립하였다.

Comparative assessment of the effective population size and linkage disequilibrium of Karan Fries cattle revealed viable population dynamics

  • Shivam Bhardwaj;Oshin Togla;Shabahat Mumtaz;Nistha Yadav;Jigyasha Tiwari;Lal Muansangi;Satish Kumar Illa;Yaser Mushtaq Wani;Sabyasachi Mukherjee;Anupama Mukherjee
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.795-806
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    • 2024
  • Objective: Karan Fries (KF), a high-producing composite cattle was developed through crossing indicine Tharparkar cows with taurine bulls (Holstein Friesian, Brown Swiss, and Jersey), to increase the milk yield across India. This composite cattle population must maintain sufficient genetic diversity for long-term development and breed improvement in the coming years. The level of linkage disequilibrium (LD) measures the influence of population genetic forces on the genomic structure and provides insights into the evolutionary history of populations, while the decay of LD is important in understanding the limits of genome-wide association studies for a population. Effective population size (Ne) which is genomically based on LD accumulated over the course of previous generations, is a valuable tool for e valuation of the genetic diversity and level of inbreeding. The present study was undertaken to understand KF population dynamics through the estimation of Ne and LD for the long-term sustainability of these breeds. Methods: The present study included 96 KF samples genotyped using Illumina HDBovine array to estimate the effective population and examine the LD pattern. The genotype data were also obtained for other crossbreds (Santa Gertrudis, Brangus, and Beefmaster) and Holstein Friesian cattle for comparison purposes. Results: The average LD between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) was r2 = 0.13 in the present study. LD decay (r2 = 0.2) was observed at 40 kb inter-marker distance, indicating a panel with 62,765 SNPs was sufficient for genomic breeding value estimation in KF cattle. The pedigree-based Ne of KF was determined to be 78, while the Ne estimates obtained using LD-based methods were 52 (SNeP) and 219 (genetic optimization for Ne estimation), respectively. Conclusion: KF cattle have an Ne exceeding the FAO's minimum recommended level of 50, which was desirable. The study also revealed significant population dynamics of KF cattle and increased our understanding of devising suitable breeding strategies for long-term sustainable development.

Analysis of Blood Flow-dependent Blood Nitric Oxide Level and Half-life of Nitric Oxide in Vivo

  • Kim Cuk-Seong;Kim Hyo-Shin;Lee Young-Jun;Park Jin Bory;Ryoo Sung-Woo;Chang Seok-Jang;Jeon Byeong-Hwa
    • International Journal of Vascular Biomedical Engineering
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2003
  • Endothelial release of nitric oxide (NO) contributes to the regulation of vascular tone by inducing vascular relaxation. To estimate the blood flow-dependent nitric oxide level and half-life (T1/2) of nitric oxide in vivo state, we investigated the change of aortic NO currents during the change of aortic blood flow rate using NO-selective electrode system and electromagnetic flowmeter in the aorta of anesthetized rats. Resting mean aortic blood flow rate was $49.6{\pm}5.6ml/min$ in the anesthetized rats. NO currents in the aorta were increased by the elevation of blood pressure and/or blood flow rate. When the aortic blood flow was occluded by the clamping, aortic NO currents were decreased. The difference of NO concentration between resting state and occluded state was $1.34{\pm}0.26{\mu}M$ (n=7). This NO concentration was estimated as blood flow-dependent nitric oxide concentration in the rats. Also, while the aortic blood flow was occluded, NO currents were decreased with exponential pattern with $12.84{\pm}2.15$ seconds of time constant and $7.70{\pm}1.07$ seconds of half-life. To summarize, this study suggested that blood flow-dependent NO concentration and half-life of nitric oxide were about $1.3{\mu}M$ and 7.7 seconds, respectively, in the aorta of anesthetized rats. The nitric oxide-selective electrode system is useful for the direct and continuous measurement of NO in vivo state.

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플럭스챔버에 의한 매립지표면 메탄의 배출량 측정과 분석 (Surface Flux Measurements of Methane from Lamdfills by Closed Chamber Technique and its Validation)

  • 김득수;장영기;전의찬
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.499-509
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    • 2000
  • Next to carbon dioxide, methane is the second largest contributor to global warming among anthropogenic greenhouse gases. Methane is emitted into the atmosphere from both natural and anthropogenic sources. Natural sources include wetlands, termites, wildries, ocean and freshwater. Anthropogenic sources include landfill, natural gas and oil production, and agriculture. These manmade sources account for about 70% of total global methane emissions; and among these, landfill accounts for approximately 10% of total manmade emissions. Solid waste landfills produce methane as bacteria decompose organic wastes under anaerobic conditions. Methane accounts for approximately 45 to 50 percent of landfill gas, while carbon dioxide and small quantities of other gases comprise the remaining to 50 to 55 percent. Using the closed enclosure technique, surface emission fluxes of methane from the selected landfill sites were measured. These data were used to estimate national methane emission rate from domestic landfills. During the three different periods, flux experiments were conducted at the sites from June 30 through December 26, 1999. The chamber technique employed for these experiments was validated in situ. Samples were collected directly by on-site flux chamber and analyzed for the variation of methane concentration by gas chromatography equipped with FID. Surface emission rates of methane were found out to vary with space and time. Significant seasonal variation was observed during the experimental period. Methane emission rates were estimated to be 64.5$\pm$54.5mgCH$_4$/$m^2$/hr from Kimpo landifll site. 357.4$\pm$68.9mgCH$_4$/$m^2$/hr and 8.1$\pm$12.4mgCH$_4$/$m^2$/hr at KwanJu(managed and unmanaged), 472.7$\pm$1056mgCH$_4$/$m^2$/hr at JonJu, and 482.4$\pm$1140 mgCH$_4$/$m^2$/hr at KunSan. These measurement data were used for the extrapolation of national methane emission rate based on 1997 national solid waste data. The results were compared to those derived by theoretical first decay model suggested by IPCC guidelines.

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여름철 가정집에서의 산성오염물질에 대한 실내 공기질 특성 (Characteristics of Indoor Air Quality of Acidic Air Pollutants in a Private Home During Home During the Summer Season)

  • 이학성;강병욱;강충민;여현구
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.193-201
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    • 2001
  • Acidic air pollutants were collected to characterize indoor air quality in a residential area in the summer. All indoor and outdoor samples were measured simultaneously using an annular denuder system(ADS) in Seoul. The data set was collected from July 26 to September 11, 1997. The mean indoor/outdoor ratios measured from this study were : 0.34 for $HNO_3$; 0.91 for $HNO_2$; 0.22 for $SO_2$; 1.34 for $NH_3$; 0.78 for $PM_{2.5}(d_p$ <2.5 $mutextrm{m}$); 0.90 for $SO_{4}^{2-}$; 0.68 for $NO_{3}^{-}$ and 0.79 for $NH_{4}^{+}$. Indoor concentrations of $HNO_3$, $SO_2$ and $PM_{2.5}$ were highly correlated with the outdoor concentrations. The relationship between indoor and outdoor air is dependent, to a large extent, on the rate of air exchange between these two environments. A tracer-gas decay technique with sulfur hexafluoride ($SF_{6}$) as a tracer gas was used to estimate the air exchange of a private home in the summer. The average air exchange rate was estimated to be 23.7 hr(sup)-1. The deposition velocities for $SO_{4}^{2-}$, $NO_{3}^{-}$ and $NH_{4}^{+}$ calculated were 0.17, 0.69 abd 0.39 cm/sec, respectively.

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최대 호흡율을 이용한 활성슬러지 모델 No.1 보정: 자가영양균 최대비성장율 추정 (Calibration of Activated Sludge Model No. 1 using Maximum Respiration Rate: Maximum Autotrophs Specific Growth Rate)

  • 최은희
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.409-413
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    • 2005
  • 본 논문에는 자가영양균의 최대비성장율 추정법이 제시되었다. 먼저 질산화균의 농도가 질산화 된 암모니아, 슬러지 일령 및 사멸계수를 이용하여 시뮬레이션 되었고, 다음단계로 과잉암모니아를 공급하여 질산화균의 호흡율을 측정하였다. 자가영양균의 최대비성장율은 ${\mu}_{max,A}\;=\;OUR_{max,A}/Y_A$의 관계를 통해 계산되어질 수 있으며 추정된 최대비성장율은 운전기간에 걸쳐 일정한 값을 가지지 앉고 시간에 따라 변화한다는 결과를 얻었다. 본 연구를 통해 최대호흡율을 이용한 최대비성장율의 동적 추정법이 수행되었고, 일정한 최대비성장율를 이용한 처리장 운전결과 예측은 처리장 거동을 예측할 수 없으며 활성슬러지공정의 성능예측을 위한 시뮬레이션을 위해서는 동적 추정된 매개변수의 사용이 필요함을 확인하였다.

OECD/NEA BENCHMARK FOR UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN MODELING (UAM) FOR LWRS - SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION OF NEUTRONICS CASES (PHASE I)

  • Bratton, Ryan N.;Avramova, M.;Ivanov, K.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.313-342
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    • 2014
  • A Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA), Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) benchmark for Uncertainty Analysis in Modeling (UAM) is defined in order to facilitate the development and validation of available uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis methods for best-estimate Light water Reactor (LWR) design and safety calculations. The benchmark has been named the OECD/NEA UAM-LWR benchmark, and has been divided into three phases each of which focuses on a different portion of the uncertainty propagation in LWR multi-physics and multi-scale analysis. Several different reactor cases are modeled at various phases of a reactor calculation. This paper discusses Phase I, known as the "Neutronics Phase", which is devoted mostly to the propagation of nuclear data (cross-section) uncertainty throughout steady-state stand-alone neutronics core calculations. Three reactor systems (for which design, operation and measured data are available) are rigorously studied in this benchmark: Peach Bottom Unit 2 BWR, Three Mile Island Unit 1 PWR, and VVER-1000 Kozloduy-6/Kalinin-3. Additional measured data is analyzed such as the KRITZ LEU criticality experiments and the SNEAK-7A and 7B experiments of the Karlsruhe Fast Critical Facility. Analyzed results include the top five neutron-nuclide reactions, which contribute the most to the prediction uncertainty in keff, as well as the uncertainty in key parameters of neutronics analysis such as microscopic and macroscopic cross-sections, six-group decay constants, assembly discontinuity factors, and axial and radial core power distributions. Conclusions are drawn regarding where further studies should be done to reduce uncertainties in key nuclide reaction uncertainties (i.e.: $^{238}U$ radiative capture and inelastic scattering (n, n') as well as the average number of neutrons released per fission event of $^{239}Pu$).

HEALTH RISK ASSESSMENT OF HOUSEHOLD EXPOSURE TO INDOOR RADON IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DWELLING'S AGE

  • Shahrokhi, Amin;Shokraee, Forough;Reza, Ali;Rahimi, Hasn
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제40권3호
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 2015
  • Radon is a naturally occurring radioactive gas and a major indoor contribution of exposure to ionizing radiation in dwellings. $^{222}Rn$ is a health hazard gas what is responsible for thousand lung cancer deaths every year. In this study, indoor radon concentrations present in thirty representative houses in Mahallat city, Iran, were determined in order to estimate lung cancer risk associated with residential radon exposure. Long-term passive method, using CR-39, was used to measure the radon concentration. The results showed an association between the age of the dwellings and the indoor radon concentration that was found, in that the concentration of radon tended to increase as the age of the dwelling also increased. The indoor radon concentrations were calculated to be within the range of $23{\pm}2$ to $350{\pm}26Bq{\cdot}m^{-3}$, with an average of $158Bq{\cdot}m^{-3}$. The annual effective dose from inhaled radon and its decay products was calculated between $0.8{\pm}0.1$ and $12.3{\pm}0.9mSv{\cdot}y^{-1}$, with an average of $5.5mSv{\cdot}y^{-1}$. By taking into consideration the EPA recommendation and ICRP statement, the average annual risk of lung cancer from inhaled radon was calculated as 0.09%, 0.06%, 0.01%, and 0.03% for current smokers (CS), those who had ever smoked (ES), never smokers (NS) and the general population, respectively.