• Title/Summary/Keyword: data-driven model

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Data-driven Model Prediction of Harmful Cyanobacterial Blooms in the Nakdong River in Response to Increased Temperatures Under Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화 시나리오의 기온상승에 따른 낙동강 남세균 발생 예측을 위한 데이터 기반 모델 시뮬레이션)

  • Gayeon Jang;Minkyoung Jo;Jayun Kim;Sangjun Kim;Himchan Park;Joonhong Park
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2024
  • Harmful cyanobacterial blooms (HCBs) are caused by the rapid proliferation of cyanobacteria and are believed to be exacerbated by climate change. However, the extent to which HCBs will be stimulated in the future due to increased temperature remains uncertain. This study aims to predict the future occurrence of cyanobacteria in the Nakdong River, which has the highest incidence of HCBs in South Korea, based on temperature rise scenarios. Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) were used as the basis for these scenarios. Data-driven model simulations were conducted, and out of the four machine learning techniques tested (multiple linear regression, support vector regressor, decision tree, and random forest), the random forest model was selected for its relatively high prediction accuracy. The random forest model was used to predict the occurrence of cyanobacteria. The results of boxplot and time-series analyses showed that under the worst-case scenario (RCP8.5 (2100)), where temperature increases significantly, cyanobacterial abundance across all study areas was greatly stimulated. The study also found that the frequencies of HCB occurrences exceeding certain thresholds (100,000 and 1,000,000 cells/mL) increased under both the best-case scenario (RCP2.6 (2050)) and worst-case scenario (RCP8.5 (2100)). These findings suggest that the frequency of HCB occurrences surpassing a certain threshold level can serve as a useful diagnostic indicator of vulnerability to temperature increases caused by climate change. Additionally, this study highlights that water bodies currently susceptible to HCBs are likely to become even more vulnerable with climate change compared to those that are currently less susceptible.

Data-driven Adaptive Safety Monitoring Using Virtual Subjects in Medical Cyber-Physical Systems: A Glucose Control Case Study

  • Chen, Sanjian;Sokolsky, Oleg;Weimer, James;Lee, Insup
    • Journal of Computing Science and Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2016
  • Medical cyber-physical systems (MCPS) integrate sensors, actuators, and software to improve patient safety and quality of healthcare. These systems introduce major challenges to safety analysis because the patient's physiology is complex, nonlinear, unobservable, and uncertain. To cope with the challenge that unidentified physiological parameters may exhibit short-term variances in certain clinical scenarios, we propose a novel run-time predictive safety monitoring technique that leverages a maximal model coupled with online training of a computational virtual subject (CVS) set. The proposed monitor predicts safety-critical events at run-time using only clinically available measurements. We apply the technique to a surgical glucose control case study. Evaluation on retrospective real clinical data shows that the algorithm achieves 96% sensitivity with a low average false alarm rate of 0.5 false alarm per surgery.

A Study of AI Impact on the Food Industry

  • Seong Soo CHA
    • The Korean Journal of Food & Health Convergence
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2023
  • The integration of ChatGPT, an AI-powered language model, is causing a profound transformation within the food industry, impacting various domains. It offers novel capabilities in recipe creation, personalized dining, menu development, food safety, customer service, and culinary education. ChatGPT's vast culinary dataset analysis aids chefs in pushing flavor boundaries through innovative ingredient combinations. Its personalization potential caters to dietary preferences and cultural nuances, democratizing culinary knowledge. It functions as a virtual mentor, empowering enthusiasts to experiment creatively. For personalized dining, ChatGPT's language understanding enables customer interaction, dish recommendations based on preferences. In menu development, data-driven insights identify culinary trends, guiding chefs in crafting menus aligned with evolving tastes. It suggests inventive ingredient pairings, fostering innovation and inclusivity. AI-driven data analysis contributes to quality control, ensuring consistent taste and texture. Food writing and marketing benefit from ChatGPT's content generation, adapting to diverse strategies and consumer preferences. AI-powered chatbots revolutionize customer service, improving ordering experiences, and post-purchase engagement. In culinary education, ChatGPT acts as a virtual mentor, guiding learners through techniques and history. In food safety, data analysis prevents contamination and ensures compliance. Overall, ChatGPT reshapes the industry by uniting AI's analytics with culinary expertise, enhancing innovation, inclusivity, and efficiency in gastronomy.

A Data-Driven Causal Analysis on Fatal Accidents in Construction Industry (건설 사고사례 데이터 기반 건설업 사망사고 요인분석)

  • Jiyoon Choi;Sihyeon Kim;Songe Lee;Kyunghun Kim;Sudong Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2023
  • The construction industry stands out for its higher incidence of accidents in comparison to other sectors. A causal analysis of the accidents is necessary for effective prevention. In this study, we propose a data-driven causal analysis to find significant factors of fatal construction accidents. We collected 14,318 cases of structured and text data of construction accidents from the Construction Safety Management Integrated Information (CSI). For the variables in the collected dataset, we first analyze their patterns and correlations with fatal construction accidents by statistical analysis. In addition, machine learning algorithms are employed to develop a classification model for fatal accidents. The integration of SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) allows for the identification of root causes driving fatal incidents. As a result, the outcome reveals the significant factors and keywords wielding notable influence over fatal accidents within construction contexts.

Data-Driven Digital Twin for Estimating Response of Pipe System Subjected to Seismic Load and Arbitrary Loads (지진하중 및 임의의 하중을 받는 배관 시스템에 대한 응답을 추정하기 위한 데이터 기반 디지털 트윈)

  • Kim, Dongchang;Kim, Gungyu;Kwag, Shinyoung;Eem, Seunghyun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.231-236
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    • 2023
  • The importance of Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) in the industry is increasing due to various loads, such as earthquakes and wind, having a significant impact on the performance of structures and equipment. Estimating responses is crucial for the effective health management of these assets. However, using numerous sensors in facilities and equipment for response estimation causes economic challenges. Additionally, it could require a response from locations where sensors cannot be attached. Digital twin technology has garnered significant attention in the industry to address these challenges. This paper constructs a digital twin system utilizing the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model to estimate responses in a pipe system under simultaneous seismic load and arbitrary loads. The performance of the data-driven digital twin system was verified through a comparative analysis of experimental data, demonstrating that the constructed digital twin system successfully estimated the responses.

Numerical Prediction of Smoke Concentration in a Compartment Fire by Using the Modified Volumetric Heat Source Model (수정된 체적열원모델을 이용한 실내 화재의 연기농도 예측)

  • Kim Sung-Chan;Lee Seong-Hyuk
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.344-350
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    • 2006
  • The present study investigates the characteristics of fire-driven heat flows and gas concentration in a compartment fire by using the modified VHS model (MVHS). The main idea of this model is to add some source terms for combustion products and oxygen consumption to the original VHS model for providing more accurate and useful information on gas concentration distributions as well as thermal fields. It is found that the present MVHS model shows fairly good agreement with the experimental data and the eddy breakup combustion model. The tilting angle of fire plume calculated by MVHS is larger than that of EBU model because the fire source of VHS is affected by ventilating flow less than EBU. However, this discrepancy is apparently reduced in the downstream region of fire source.

Mutational Data Loading Routines for Human Genome Databases: the BRCA1 Case

  • Van Der Kroon, Matthijs;Ramirez, Ignacio Lereu;Levin, Ana M.;Pastor, Oscar;Brinkkemper, Sjaak
    • Journal of Computing Science and Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.291-312
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    • 2010
  • The last decades a large amount of research has been done in the genomics domain which has and is generating terabytes, if not exabytes, of information stored globally in a very fragmented way. Different databases use different ways of storing the same data, resulting in undesired redundancy and restrained information transfer. Adding to this, keeping the existing databases consistent and data integrity maintained is mainly left to human intervention which in turn is very costly, both in time and money as well as error prone. Identifying a fixed conceptual dictionary in the form of a conceptual model thus seems crucial. This paper presents an effort to integrate the mutational data from the established genomic data source HGMD into a conceptual model driven database HGDB, thereby providing useful lessons to improve the already existing conceptual model of the human genome.

Stakeholders Driven Requirements Engineering Approach for Data Warehouse Development

  • Kumar, Manoj;Gosain, Anjana;Singh, Yogesh
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.385-402
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    • 2010
  • Most of the data warehouse (DW) requirements engineering approaches have not distinguished the early requirements engineering phase from the late requirements engineering phase. There are very few approaches seen in the literature that explicitly model the early & late requirements for a DW. In this paper, we propose an AGDI (Agent-Goal-Decision-Information) model to support the early and late requirements for the development of DWs. Here, the notion of agent refers to the stakeholders of the organization and the dependency among agents refers to the dependencies among stakeholders for fulfilling their organizational goals. The proposed AGDI model also supports three interrelated modeling activities namely, organization modeling, decision modeling and information modeling. Here, early requirements are modeled by performing organization modeling and decision modeling activities, whereas late requirements are modeled by performing information modeling activities. The proposed approach has been illustrated to capture the early and late requirements for the development of a university data warehouse exemplifying our model's ability of supporting its decisional goals by providing decisional information.

Establishment and Application of Neuro-Fuzzy Real-Time Flood Forecasting Model by Linking Takagi-Sugeno Inference with Neural Network (I) : Selection of Optimal Input Data Combinations (Takagi-Sugeno 추론기법과 신경망을 연계한 뉴로-퍼지 홍수예측 모형의 구축 및 적용 (I) : 최적 입력자료 조합의 선정)

  • Choi, Seung-Yong;Kim, Byung-Hyun;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.7
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    • pp.523-536
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to develop the data driven model for the flood forecasting that are improved the problems of the existing hydrological model for flood forecasting in medium and small streams. Neuro-Fuzzy flood forecasting model which linked the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy inference theory with neural network, that can forecast flood only by using the rainfall and flood level and discharge data without using lots of physical data that are necessary in existing hydrological rainfall-runoff model is established. The accuracy of flood forecasting using this model is determined by temporal distribution and number of used rainfall and water level as input data. So first of all, the various combinations of input data were constructed by using rainfall and water level to select optimal input data combination for applying Neuro-Fuzzy flood forecasting model. The forecasting results of each combination are compared and optimal input data combination for real-time flood forecasting is determined.

Starategy for Advanced Decision Supprot System Development for Integrated Management of Water Resources and Quality (수자원 수질 종합관리를 위한 ADSS 개발 전략)

  • 심순보
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 1992.07a
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    • pp.443-447
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    • 1992
  • This study describes the strategy for advanced decision support system (ADSS) development for integrated management of water resources and quality in reservoir systems. The developed ADSS consists of database that contain hydrologic data, observed operational data, and data to support specific reservoir operations simulation, optimization models, and water quality models. The optimization model, mass balance simulation model and water quality models are used in a general prototype ADSS, menu driven controlling framework that assists the user to specify and evaluate the alternative operational scenarios at one time. These alternative scenarios are evaluated by the models and the results are compared through the use of a graphical based display system. This graphical based system uses an icon based schematic representation of the system to organize the presentation of the results. The ADSS includes the ability to use monthly or weekly time periods of analysis for the models and it can use monthly historical or stochastically generated inflows.

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