• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제33권5호
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• pp.1861-1870
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• 2013

최근 기후변화 영향으로 인해 수문변동성이 크게 증가되고 있으며 이러한 변동성을 고려하기 위한 방안으로서 강수량 모의발생 기법에 대한 중요성이 대두되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 복잡한 강수발생 패턴을 인지하고 강수량의 다양한 분포특성을 고려할 수 있는 혼합분포를 이용한 동질성 Hidden Markov Chain(HMM) 모형을 제안하였다. HMM 모형의 개선효과를 검증하기 위해서 기존 Markov Chain 모형과 비교 하였으며 서울관측소 및 전주관측소를 대상으로 연구를 진행하였다. 계절강수량 및 일강수량 등 다양한 시간규모에서 모형의 적합성을 평가하기 위해서 천이확률, 평균, 분산, 왜곡도 및 첨예도 등을 비교하였으며 HMM 모형이 기존 Markov Chain 모형에 비해서 개선된 모의능력을 확인할 수 있었다. 특히, HMM 모형은 극치강수량을 재현하는데 있어서 기존 Markov Chain 모형에 비해서 월등한 모의능력을 보여주었다. 이러한 점에서 장기유출량 및 확률홍수량 등을 산정하기 위한 입력자료로 활용이 충분히 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제104권2호
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• pp.213-220
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• 2015

본 연구는 부산 및 울산광역시의 토석류 유출 위험지역 총 15개소에서 토석류 유출에 영향을 미치는 산림 환경인자에 대한 인자별 발생분포비율을 분석하였다. 토심은 중(30~99 cm), 방위는 동사면과 북동사면 및 북서사면, 표고는 100~200 m, 산지평균경사는 $20^{\circ}$ 미만, 모암은 화성암, 과거 토석류 유출이 있었던 지역, 최대시우량은 50~100 mm, 1일 최대강우량은 300 m 이상, 수계밀도는 $3{\sim}4km/km^2$, 산사태 발생 가능성이 있는 경사 $20^{\circ}$ 이상의 분포비율은 20~40%와 40~60%, 산사태 위험도 2등급 이상 비율은 40~60%, 유목이 있는 상태, 사방공작물 시설이 없는 지역, 4영급, 임분이 밀한 지역, 혼효림 등의 인자가 토석류 발생에 기여하는 것으로 분석되었다.

• Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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• 제5권
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• pp.143-157
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• 1987

In order to determine the design precipitation, the most probable daily precipitation and annual precipitation at every spot are calculated and iso - precipitation line are drawn. Probability of precipitation and drought phenomena of each gage station are analyzied by the method of frequency analysis from the statistical conceptions. The results summarized in this study are as the follows. 1. Annual mean precipitation in kyungpook area are 1044 mm, about 115 mm less than annual mean precipitation of Korea amounts to l1S9mm, and found to regionally unequal. 2. Monthly mean rainfall of July is 242.2mm, 23.2%, August 174.2mm, 16.7%, June 115mm, 11% and September 114.2mm, 10.9% and Rainfall depth of July-August are more than 40% of annual precipition. This shows notable summer rainy weather by typoon and low pressure storm and seasonal unbalance of water supply. 3. The relation among the maximum precipi.tation per day, per two continuous days and per three contnous days are caculated and the latter is found 31.0% increased rate of the first and the last 48.2% increased rate of first. 4. Probability precipitation in Kyungpook area are shown as 9.0%(5 year), 13.3%(10 year), 17.7%(20 year), 23.1%(50 year), 27.0%(100 year) and 31.1%(200 year) increased rate of each recurrence year compared with observed average annual precipitation. 5. From annual precipitation and maximum daily rainfall data probability of precipitation and precipitation isohyetal line are derived which shown as Table 11 and Fig. 8. 6. Drought days are divided 6 class and analysed results are shown on table 12. Average occurrence time of 10-14 continuous drought days are 2.3 time per year, 15-19 days are 0.9 time per year, 20-24 days are one per six years, 30-34 days are once per nine years and over than 35days are once per 25 years.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국농공학회 2001년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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• pp.93-98
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• 2001

This study was performed to analyse the rainfall and the rainfall-runoff characteristics of a rural watershed. The Sangwha basin($105.9km^{2}$) in the Geum river system was selected for this study. The arithmetic mean method, the Thiessen's weighing method, and the isohyetal method were used to analyse areal rainfall distribution and the Huff's quartile method was used to analyse temporal rainfall distribution. In addition, daily runoff analyses were peformed using the DAWAST and tank model. In the model calibration, the data from June through November, 1999 were used. In the model calibration, the observed runoff depth was 513.7mm and runoff rate was 45.2%, and the DAWAST model simulated runoff depth was 608.6mm and runoff rate was 53.5%, and the tank model runoff depth was 596.5mm and runoff rate was 52.5%, respectively. In the model test, the data from June through November, 2000 were used. In the model test, the observed runoff depth was 1032.3mm and runoff rate was 72.5%, and the DAWAST model simulated runoff depth was 871.6mm and runoff rate was 61.3%, and the tank model runoff depth was 825.4mm and runoff rate was 58%, respectively. The DAWAST and tank model's $R^{2}$ and RMSE were 0.85, 3.61mm, and 0.85, 2.77mm in 1999, and 0.83, 5.73mm, and 0.87, 5.39mm in 2000, respectively. Both models predicted low flow runoff better than flood runoff.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제49권6호
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• pp.3-9
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• 2007

Stream flow and water quality were measured and analyzed with respect to flow-weighted mean concentrations (FWMCs) of 21 rainfall events from a forested watershed (Forest Research Watershed: FRW) and two mixed watersheds of agriculture and forest (YuPo-Ri Watershed: YPW and WolGog-ri Watershed: WGW) located in the middle of the North Han River basin. The monitoring of each watershed was one year and conducted between 2004 and 2006. YPW showed more intensive agricultural practices than WGW where traditional practices were common. The average of the 21 FWMCs were in the order of YPF>WGW>FRW and were significantly different from each other at the level of 0.05. It was shown that the land use with intensive agricultural practices produced and discharged more NPS pollutants than that with traditional practices and forest. Specially, SS concentrations from the mixed watersheds were significantly higher than those from FRW. Influencing factors on runoff were analyzed rainfall and watershed area. And rainfall intensity was greater impact on runoff than daily rainfall. Measured water quality indices were shown positive correlations among them in general. However, no significant correlation was shown between COD and nutrients(T-N and T-P).

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제53권6호
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• pp.23-29
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• 2011

This study was conducted to identify the effect of lapse rate application according to elevation on the estimation of large scale watershed rainfall. For the Han river basin (26,018 $km^2$), the 11 years (2000-2010) daily rainfall data from 108 AWS (Automatic Weather Station) were collected. Especially, the 11 heavy rain and typhoon events from 2004 to 2009 were selected for trend analysis. The elevation effect by IDW (Inverse Distance Weights) interpolation showed the change up to +62.7 % for 1,200~1,600m elevation band. The effect based on 19 subbasins of WAMIS (Water Resources Management Information System) water resources unit map, the changes of IDW and Thiessen were -8.0 % (Downstream of Han river)~ +19.7 % (Upstream of Namhan river) and -5.7 %~+15.9 % respectively. It showed the increase trend as the elevation increases. For the 11 years rainfall data analysis, the lapse rate effect of IDW and Thiessen showed increase of 9.7 %~15.5 % and 6.6 %~9.6 % respectively.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제36권2호
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• pp.44-55
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• 1994

This paper describes the development of real-time irrigation reservoir operation models that adequately allocate available water resources for paddy rice irrigation. Water requirement deficiency index(WRDI) was proposed as a guide to evaluate the operational performance of release schemes by comparing accumulated differences between daily release requirements for irrigated areas and actual release amounts. Seven reservoir release rules were developed, which are constant release rate method (CRR), mean storage curve method(MSC), frequency analysis method of reservoir storage rate(FAS), storage requirement curve method(SRC), constant optimal storage rate method (COS), ten-day optimal storage rate method(TOS), and release optimization method(ROM). Long-term forecasting reservoir operation model(LFROM) was formulated to find an optimal release scheme which minimizes WRDIs with long-term weather generation. Rainfall sequences, rainfall amount, and evaporation amount throughout the growing season were to be forecasted and the results used as an input for the model. And short-term forecasting reservoir operation model(SFROM) was developed to find an optimal release scheme which minimizes WRDIs with short-term weather forecasts. The model uses rainfall sequences forecasted by the weather service, and uses rainfall and evaporation amounts generated according to rainfall sequences.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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• pp.5-8
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• 2002

Daily potential evapotranspiration was estimated using meteorological data which are observing regularly such as rainfall, temperature, humidity, wind speed, and duration of sunshine. Penman method is used practically in estimating evapotranspiration at present, and its regional coefficients were derived at 19 stations in the Korean Peninsular. Because meteorological data are observing at 77 stations under the Korea Meteorological Administration, the methodology of estimating evapotranspiration using meteorological data will be able to be applied in more regions than Penman method.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제85권2호
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• pp.280-287
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• 1996

강원대학교(江原大學校) 임과대학(林科大學) 부속연습림(附屬演習林)내의 임도밀도가 상이한 3유역(유역(流域) A : 6.67m/ha, B : 5.52m/ha 및 C : 미개설(未開設))의 산지급류하천을 대상으로 임도개설 전 후인 1994년 및 1995년의 강우량 변화에 따른 부유토사의 유출량 변화를 분석한 결과 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 1. 일강우량(日降雨量)이 적은 5~6월 사이에는 1994년과 1995년 모두 일유출량(日流出量)이 $0.25{\times}10^4m^3/day$ 이하였으나, 호우기(豪雨期)인 7~8월에는 일강우량에 비례하여 강우기간 중에는 $5.0{\times}10^4m^3/day$ 이상을 나타내는 등 일유출수량은 일강우량의 증감에 민감하게 반응하였다. 그러나 일유출량이 $25{\times}10^4m^3/day$ 이상은 1994년에는 2회였으나, 1995년에는 7회로 강우량이 풍부하였다. 2. 부유토사량은 임도개설전의 일강우량(日降雨量) 74mm, 92mm 및 120mm와 임도개설후의 일강우량 21mm 및 47mm에는 3유역 모두 하천수(河川水) 규제기준인 25mg/l 이하였다. 그러나 192mm의 강우에는 C유역은 변화가 없었으나, A와 B유역의 평균 부유토사량은 1,525mg/l 및 775mg/l으로 하천수 규제기준의 61배 및 31배였으며, 강우종료후 35시간동안 지속적으로 유출되었다. 3. 최대부유토사량(最大浮遊土砂量) 역시 임도개설전의 강우와 임도개설후의 적은 강우에서는 하천수 규제기준 이하였다. 그러나 일강우량 192mm인 경우에 A, B유역의 최대부유토사량은 하천수 규제기준씩 526배와 108배인 13,150mg/l 및 2,690mg/l을 기록하여 토사유출에 따른 수질오염을 시각적으로 파악할 수 있었다. 이상과 같이 임도개설이 부유토사 유출에 크게 영향을 미치며, 특히 임도밀도가 높은 유역일수록 강우량이 증가함에 따라 다량의 토사가 유출되고 있음이 확인되었으므로 부유토사의 생산원(生産源)인 임도비탈면 보호를 위한 식생공(植生工) 및 토목공(土木工)은 물론 침사지(沈砂池)와 같은 방재시설(防災施設)에 대한 대책을 강구해야 할 것이다.

• 한국지반공학회지:지반
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.55-66
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• 1990

강우는 산사태 발생유인중 가장 큰 요소중에 하나이다. 다우지역에 속하는 우리나라는 강우의 계절적 편중으로 발생되는 산사태로 매년 인명 및 재산상의 많은 피해를 받고 있으나 산사태 극심 지의 조사나 예측기구의 체계화가 충분히 실시되어 있지 못하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 사전 예방 적인 측면에서 산사태의 피해를 극소 화하기 위해 1977년에서 1987년 사이에 우리나라에서 발생된 주요 산사태에 관련된 자료 및 측영전의 강우기록을 참고하여 산사태와 강우사이의 관계가 통계적학적으로 검토 분석되었다. 본 연구 결과 우리나라에서 발생되는 산사태는 그 지역의 당일강우량과 누적강우량의 영향을 받는 정도에 따라 중부지역, 영,호남지역 및 영동지역의 3개지역으로 구분할 수 있었다. 또한 우리나라의 산사태는 최대시간강우강도와 누적강우량의 모두에 영향을 받고 있으며 이 두 기준에 의거하여 산사태를 발생규모별로 예보하는 것이 바람직하다.