• 제목/요약/키워드: daily price

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Decision-Making of Consumers with Higher Pain of Payment: Moderating Role of Pain of Payment When Payment Conditions Differ

  • Koh, Geumjoung;Sohn, Young Woo;Rim, Hye Bin
    • 감성과학
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2018
  • The present study explores two relationships: first, between number of payment and payment option preference, and second, total sum and payment option preference, with pain of payment as a mediator variable. The analyses revealed that consumers who feel higher pain of payment preferred the pennies-a-day pricing to the aggregate pricing when the per-payment price is low. Consumers who experience higher pain of payment prefer to pay in small frequent installments because they feel the small per-payment price can be comparable to daily expense. Consumers who experienced higher pain of payment preferred aggregate pricing to pennies-a-day pricing when the per-payment price was high. When the per-payment price is high, it is no longer comparable to daily expense, thus leading to greater pain of payment among consumers. The study discusses the implications for mechanism of pain of payment on payment option preference.

온라인 뉴스와 거시경제 지표, 금융 지표, 기술적 지표, 관심도 지표를 이용한 코스닥 상장 기업의 기계학습 기반 주가 변동 예측 (Machine Learning Based Stock Price Fluctuation Prediction Models of KOSDAQ-listed Companies Using Online News, Macroeconomic Indicators, Financial Market Indicators, Technical Indicators, and Social Interest Indicators)

  • 김화련;홍승혜;홍헬렌
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.448-459
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose a method of predicting the next-day stock price fluctuations of 10 KOSDAQ-listed companies in 5G, autonomous driving, and electricity sectors by training SVM, XGBoost, and LightGBM models from macroeconomic·financial market indicators, technical indicators, social interest indicators, and daily positive indices extracted from online news. In the three experiments to find out the usefulness of social interest indicators and daily positive indices, the average accuracy improved when each indicator and index was added to the models. In addition, when feature selection was performed to analyze the superiority of the extracted features, the average importance ranking of the social interest indicator and daily positive index was 5.45 and 1.08, respectively, it showed higher importance than the macroeconomic financial market indicators and technical indicators. With the results of these experiments, we confirmed the effectiveness of the social interest indicators as alternative data and the daily positive index for predicting stock price fluctuation.

The Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Movement of Composite Stock Price Index in Indonesia

  • ZAINURI, Zainuri;VIPHINDRARTIN, Sebastiana;WILANTARI, Regina Niken
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.1113-1119
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to determine the impact of the news coverage of the COVID-19 pandemic on the composite stocks' movement (IHSG) in Indonesia. This study used secondary data of daily time series with an observation range of March 2020-June 2020. This study used three main variables, namely, COVID-19 news, the daily price of a composite stock market index (IHSG), and interest rate. This study clarifies pandemic news into two forms to facilitate quantitative analysis, namely, good news and bad news. Both pandemic news conditions, which have been clarified, are then processed into the index and reprocessed along with two other variables using vector autoregressive (VAR). The results showed that the good news have a dominant effect on developing the composite stock price index (IHSG) in Indonesia during the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the good news dominates the composite stock price index (IHSG) movement in Indonesia, the bad news must also be anticipated. By implementing a series of macroeconomic policies that follow the conditions of the composite stock price index (IHSG) movements on the stock exchange floor, the bad news response can decrease the potential for a decline in investor confidence, so that the financial system's macroeconomic stability is maintained.

A Study on Multi-Period Inventory Clearance Pricing in Consideration of Consumer's Reference Price Effect

  • Koide, Takeshi;Sandoh, Hiroaki
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2013
  • It is difficult to determine an appropriate discount price for daily perishable products to increase profit from a long-term standpoint. Even if the discount pricing is efficient to increase profit of the day, consumers memorize the sales price and they might hesitate to purchase the product at a regular price the following day. The authors discussed the inventory clearance pricing for a single period in our previous study by constructing a mathematical model to derive an optimal sales price to maximize the expected profit by considering the reference price effect of demand. This paper extends the discussion to handle the discount pricing for multiple periods. A mathematical analysis is first conducted to reveal the properties on an objective function, which is the present value of total expected profits for multiple periods. An algorithm is then proposed to derive an optimal price for asymmetric consumers. Numerical experiments investigate the characteristics of the objective function and optimal pricings.

A Multi-step Time Series Forecasting Model for Mid-to-Long Term Agricultural Price Prediction

  • Jonghyun, Park;Yeong-Woo, Lim;Do Hyun, Lim;Yunsung, Choi;Hyunchul, Ahn
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2023
  • 본 논문에서는 Multi-Step Time Series의 세 가지 전략을 비교 분석하기 위해 LGBM, MLP, LSTM, GRU를 사용하여 농산물 중장기 가격 예측에 대한 최적의 모형을 제안한다. 제안 모형은 다각도로 전략을 선택하여 모델과 전략간 최적의 조합을 찾도록 설계되었다. 기존 농산물 가격 예측 연구에서는 전통 계량경제 모델인 ARIMA를 비롯하여 LSTM 계열 모델이 주로 사용된 반면 Multi-Step Time Series 관련 농산물 가격 예측 연구는 매우 제한적이다. 본 연구에서는 농산물 가격의 변동성 정도에 따라 두 개의 기간으로 나누어 실험을 진행하였으며, Direct, Hybrid, Multiple Outputs 등 세 전략의 중장기 가격 예측 결과 Hybrid 접근법이 상대적으로 우수한 성능을 보였다.본 연구 결과는 중장기 일별 가격 예측을 고도화할 수 있는 효과적인 대안을 제시한다는 측면에서 학술적, 실무적 의의를 갖는다.

굴 산지시장의 위판량과 가격관계 (The Volume and Price Relationship of the Oyster Market in Producing Area)

  • 강석규
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2001
  • The research on the price-volume relation in the market is very important because it examines into regular phenomenon revealed by market participants including producers and middlemen. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between price and trading volume in the oyster producing market. In order to accomplish the purpose of this study, the contents of empirical analysis include the time series properties of price and trading volume, the short-term and long-term relationships between price and trading volume, and the determinants of trading volume. The data used in this study correspond to daily price and trading volume covering the time period from January 1998 to April 2001. The empirical results can be summarized as follows : First, price and trading volume follow random walks and they are integrated of order 1. The first difference is necessary for satisfying the stationary conditions. Second, price and trading volume are cointegrated. This long-run relationship is stronger from trading volume to price. Third, error correction model suggests that feedback effect exists in the long-run and that price tends to lead trading volume by about five days in the short run, that is, to be required period by digging, conveying, and peeling oystershell for selling oyster. Fourth, price and price volatility is a determinant of trading volume. In particular, trading volume is a negative function of price. It is believed that the conclusion drawn from this study would provide a useful standard for the policy makers in charge of reducing the oyster price volatility risk caused by trading volume(selling quantities).

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국제 유가 변동성이 국내 휘발유 가격 비대칭성에 미치는 영향 (An Effect of Volatility of Crude Oil Price on Asymmetry of Domestic Gasoline Price Adjustment)

  • 김남제;김형건
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.351-364
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study examines the effects of Dubai oil price and the volatility on the asymmetry of domestic gasoline price adjustment. Additionally, the study investigates the effects of "Altteul" gas-station and tax-cut policies on asymmetry. Design/methodology/approach - Firstly, the study calculates proxies for asymmetry and volatility of each window(every 3-month) by error-correction model and GARCH(1, 1) using daily domestic gas price and Dubai oil price from 2008/04/15 to 2022/12/31. Secondly, the study investigates the effects of the increasing rate of Dubai oil price, volatility, "Altteul" gas-station and tax-cut policies on asymmetry. The autoregressive distributed lag regression model is employed for estimations. Findings - The study finds that changes in the increasing rate of Dubai oil price and both types of volatility of Dubai oil price increase asymmetry. While "Altteul" gas-station and tax-cut policies decrease asymmetry. Additionally, the study fails to find that asymmetry in the Korean gasoline market in the estimation with total observations. Research implications or Originality - An increase in Dubai oil price volatility means an increase in cost uncertainty for gas-station owners. Since cost uncertainty is a kind of financial risk, the increase in volatility reinforces the asymmetry. The study provides supporting evidence for the idea.

컨조인트 분석을 이용한 관여도에 따른 한식당 선택 속성 (Selection Attributes of Korean Restaurants Based on the Level of Involvement Using Conjoint Analysis)

  • 정상영;정라나
    • 한국식품조리과학회지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.553-562
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the key factors considered important by customers in the selection of a Korean restaurant through the use of conjoint analysis techniques. A total of 400 questionnaires were distributed over a 2-week period in October 2011, of which 354 were completed (88.5%). Statistical analysis was then carried out using the Windows 18.0 Statistics package. The research was based on the analysis of two target areas - daily meals and special purpose meals. Responses were measured by using Zaichkowsky's Personal Involvement Inventory (PII) and a 7-point Likert Scale. Overall it was found that in all areas of the results regarding the involvement related analyses, daily meals scored lower than special purpose meals. This implied that the choice of daily meals is more applicable to customers with a low level of involvement, whereas high-involvement customers were more likely to focus on special purpose meals. The analysis of high-involvement customers revealed that the quality of food, price, service quality and physical environment, in order of priority, were the most important factors in selecting a restaurant. The use of the optimum attribute combination revealed the following results: delicious food (0.601); friendly staff (0.170); clean restaurant (0.191); price of 20,000 won (-0.513). Furthermore, low-involvement customers considered the following factors as important when selecting a Korean restaurant: quality of food, followed by price, physical environment and service quality in that order. In this instance, the optimum attribute combination showed the following outcomes: tasty food (0.645); friendly staff (0.418); clean restaurant (0.365); price of 5,000 won (-0.847). These results indicated the importance of developing a marketing plan which was based specifically on a customer's involvement level, focusing on their main selection criteria when choosing a Korean restaurant.

The Impact of Investor Sentiment on Energy and Stock Markets-Evidence : China and Hong Kong

  • Ho, Liang-Chun
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - The oil price affects company value, which is the present value of the expected cash flow, by affecting the discount rate and cash flow. This study examines the nonlinear relationships between oil price and stock price using the AlphaShares Chinese Volatility Index as the threshold. Research design, data, and methodology - Data comprise daily closing values of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index, Shenzhen Stock Exchange Composite Index, and Hang Seng Index of ChinaWest Texas Intermediate crude oil spot price and AlphaShares Chinese Volatility Index from May 25, 2007 to May 24, 2012. The Threshold Error Correction Model is used. Results - The results demonstrate different relationships between the stock price index and oil price under different investor sentiments; however, the stock price index and oil price could adjust to a long-term equilibrium the long-term causality tests between them were all significant. Conclusions - The relationship between the WTI and HANG SENG Index is more significant than the Shanghai Composites Index and Shenzhen Composite Index, when using the AlphaShares Chinese Volatility Index (ASC-VIX) as the investor sentiment variable and threshold.

심층 신경회로망 모델을 이용한 일별 주가 예측 (Daily Stock Price Forecasting Using Deep Neural Network Model)

  • 황희수
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2018
  • 심층 신경회로망은 적합한 수학적 모델에 대한 어떠한 가정 없이 데이터로부터 유용한 정보를 추출해서 예측에 필요한 입출력 관계를 정의할 수 있기 때문에 최근 시계열 예측 분야에서 주목 받고 있다. 본 논문에서는 주가의 일별 종가를 예측하기 위한 심층 신경회로망 모델을 제안한다. 제안된 심층 신경회로망은 예측 정밀도를 높이기 위해 단일 층의 오토인코더와 4층의 신경회로망이 결합된 구조를 갖는다. 오토인코더 층은 주가 예측에 필요한 최적의 입력 특징을 추출하고 4층의 신경회로망은 추출된 특징을 사용해 주가 예측에 필요한 동특성을 반영하여 주가를 출력한다. 제안된 심층 신경회로망의 학습은 층별로 단계적으로 이뤄지며 최종 단계에서 전체 심층 신경회로망에 대해 한 번 더 학습이 실행된다. 본 논문에 제안된 방법으로 KOrea composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) 일별 종가를 예측하는 심층 신경회로망을 구현하고 기존 방법과 예측 정확도를 비교, 평가한다.