• Title/Summary/Keyword: count model

Search Result 507, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Inactivation of Human Norovirus GII. 4 on Oyster Crassostrea gigas by Electron Beam Irradiation (전자선 조사에 의한 신선굴(Crassostrea gigas) 중 휴먼노로바이러스 GII. 4의 저감화)

  • Kim, Ji Yoon;Jeon, Eun Bi;Choi, Man-Seok;Park, Shin Young
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.54 no.1
    • /
    • pp.16-22
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study investigated the reduction in human norovirus (HNV) GII. 4 count in pacific oyster Crassostrea gigas using electron beam irradiation. Infectious HNV GII. 4 was detected using RT-qPCR (real time reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction) with PMA (propidium monoazide)/sarkosyl. At electron beam doses 1, 5, 7, and 10 kGy, the count of HNV GII. 4 was 2.74, 2.37, 2.06, and 1.55 log copies/μL (control, 3.01 log copy/μL), respectively, confirming that as the irradiation dose increased, norovirus count reduced significantly (P<0.05). After PMA/sarkosyl treatment, the counts further reduced at the same irradiation dose, and 10 kGy showed significant differences between the non-treated and PMA/sarkosyl-treated samples (P<0.05). The Ed (decimal reduction dose of electron beam) value based on the first-order kinetic model was 7.33 kGy (R2=0.98). No significant difference was observed in the pH values of the control (6.2) and electron beam-irradiated samples at all doses (6.1). For sensory evaluation, the non-treated sample scored the highest in all categories (5.25-6.17), while the samples treated with 10 kGy showed the lowest score (4.67-5.33), although without statistical significance (P>0.05). Overall, our results suggest that 7 kGy electron beam is sufficient for the non-thermal sterilization of oysters without causing significant changes in quality.

Estimating Heterogeneous Customer Arrivals to a Large Retail store : A Bayesian Poisson model perspective (대형할인매점의 요일별 고객 방문 수 분석 및 예측 : 베이지언 포아송 모델 응용을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Bumsoo;Lee, Joonkyum
    • Korean Management Science Review
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.69-78
    • /
    • 2015
  • This paper considers a Bayesian Poisson model for multivariate count data using multiplicative rates. More specifically we compose the parameter for overall arrival rates by the product of two parameters, a common effect and an individual effect. The common effect is composed of autoregressive evolution of the parameter, which allows for analysis on seasonal effects on all multivariate time series. In addition, analysis on individual effects allows the researcher to differentiate the time series by whatevercharacterization of their choice. This type of model allows the researcher to specifically analyze two different forms of effects separately and produce a more robust result. We illustrate a simple MCMC generation combined with a Gibbs sampler step in estimating the posterior joint distribution of all parameters in the model. On the whole, the model presented in this study is an intuitive model which may handle complicated problems, and we highlight the properties and possible applications of the model with an example, analyzing real time series data involving customer arrivals to a large retail store.

A Study on the Impact Factors of Contents Diffusion in Youtube using Integrated Content Network Analysis (일반영향요인과 댓글기반 콘텐츠 네트워크 분석을 통합한 유튜브(Youtube)상의 콘텐츠 확산 영향요인 연구)

  • Park, Byung Eun;Lim, Gyoo Gun
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.19-36
    • /
    • 2015
  • Social media is an emerging issue in content services and in current business environment. YouTube is the most representative social media service in the world. YouTube is different from other conventional content services in its open user participation and contents creation methods. To promote a content in YouTube, it is important to understand the diffusion phenomena of contents and the network structural characteristics. Most previous studies analyzed impact factors of contents diffusion from the view point of general behavioral factors. Currently some researchers use network structure factors. However, these two approaches have been used separately. However this study tries to analyze the general impact factors on the view count and content based network structures all together. In addition, when building a content based network, this study forms the network structure by analyzing user comments on 22,370 contents of YouTube not based on the individual user based network. From this study, we re-proved statistically the causal relations between view count and not only general factors but also network factors. Moreover by analyzing this integrated research model, we found that these factors affect the view count of YouTube according to the following order; Uploader Followers, Video Age, Betweenness Centrality, Comments, Closeness Centrality, Clustering Coefficient and Rating. However Degree Centrality and Eigenvector Centrality affect the view count negatively. From this research some strategic points for the utilizing of contents diffusion are as followings. First, it is needed to manage general factors such as the number of uploader followers or subscribers, the video age, the number of comments, average rating points, and etc. The impact of average rating points is not so much important as we thought before. However, it is needed to increase the number of uploader followers strategically and sustain the contents in the service as long as possible. Second, we need to pay attention to the impacts of betweenness centrality and closeness centrality among other network factors. Users seems to search the related subject or similar contents after watching a content. It is needed to shorten the distance between other popular contents in the service. Namely, this study showed that it is beneficial for increasing view counts by decreasing the number of search attempts and increasing similarity with many other contents. This is consistent with the result of the clustering coefficient impact analysis. Third, it is important to notice the negative impact of degree centrality and eigenvector centrality on the view count. If the number of connections with other contents is too much increased it means there are many similar contents and eventually it might distribute the view counts. Moreover, too high eigenvector centrality means that there are connections with popular contents around the content, and it might lose the view count because of the impact of the popular contents. It would be better to avoid connections with too powerful popular contents. From this study we analyzed the phenomenon and verified diffusion factors of Youtube contents by using an integrated model consisting of general factors and network structure factors. From the viewpoints of social contribution, this study might provide useful information to music or movie industry or other contents vendors for their effective contents services. This research provides basic schemes that can be applied strategically in online contents marketing. One of the limitations of this study is that this study formed a contents based network for the network structure analysis. It might be an indirect method to see the content network structure. We can use more various methods to establish direct content network. Further researches include more detailed researches like an analysis according to the types of contents or domains or characteristics of the contents or users, and etc.

Traffic Accident Models using a Random Parameters Negative Binomial Model at Signalized Intersections: A Case of Daejeon Metropolitan Area (Random Parameters 음이항 모형을 이용한 신호교차로 교통사고 모형개발에 관한 연구 -대전광역시를 대상으로 -)

  • Park, Minho;Hong, Jungyeol
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.119-126
    • /
    • 2018
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to develop a crash prediction model at signalized intersections, which can capture the randomness and uncertainty of traffic accident forecasting in order to provide more precise results. METHODS : The authors propose a random parameter (RP) approach to overcome the limitation of the Count model that cannot consider the heterogeneity of the assigned locations or road sections. For the model's development, 55 intersections located in the Daejeon metropolitan area were selected as the scope of the study, and panel data such as the number of crashes, traffic volume, and intersection geometry at each intersection were collected for the analysis. RESULTS : Based on the results of the RP negative binomial crash prediction model developed in this study, it was found that the independent variables such as the log form of average annual traffic volume, presence or absence of left-turn lanes on major roads, presence or absence of right-turn lanes on minor roads, and the number of crosswalks were statistically significant random parameters, and this showed that the variables have a heterogeneous influence on individual intersections. CONCLUSIONS : It was found that the RP model had a better fit to the data than the fixed parameters (FP) model since the RP model reflects the heterogeneity of the individual observations and captures the inconsistent and biased effects.

Estimating the Economic Value of Recreational Fishing in the Jeonnam Marine Ranching Area (여행비용모형을 이용한 전남 바다목장 해역 유어활동의 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Seo, Ju-Nam;Kim, Do-Hoon;Kang, Sung-Kyung
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.43 no.2
    • /
    • pp.41-49
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study aimed to estimate the economic value of the recreational fishing in the Jeonnam marine ranching area as a part of the total socioeconomic evaluation of the Jeonnam marine ranching program. A travel cost method was applied to the estimation of economic value of the recreational fishing in the Jeonnam marine ranching area and input variables included annual fishing trip days, average travel cost per trip, average catch amount, monthly income, marriage, age, and personal perception on the marine ranching program. In the analysis, due to its characteristic of count data, both poisson model and negative binomial model were used. Model results indicated that a negative binomial model was statistically more suitable than the poisson model as the overdispersion problem occurred in the poisson model. All signs of the estimated parameters were estimated as previous studies showed. Based on the results, the economic value per trip of the recreational fishing in the Jeonnam marine ranching area was estimated to be 145,000 won and the annual total economic value of the recreational fishing in the Jeonnam marine ranching area was analyzed to be 2,514,000 won. In addition, the change of total value by catch rate showed that the economic value could be increased by 180,900 won as the catch increased by one kilogram.

A Study on Airline Service Quality Assessment using Potential Customer Satisfaction Improvement Index Based on Kano Model- Centered around Chinese Passengers (카노 모형에 기반한 항공서비스품질 분류와 잠재적 고객만족 개선지수에 관한 연구 - 중국 승객을 중심으로)

  • Qi, lin;Chung, Kyu Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.44 no.4
    • /
    • pp.813-831
    • /
    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to assess the service quality attributes of Korean airlines service for Chinese passengers and suggest revised model to count potential improvement. Methods: Using the Kano and Timko models based on survey questionnaire to classify the quality attributes and to calculate the customer satisfaction index for each service attributes. And the revised potential customers satisfaction index(R-PCSI) are used to access the improvement possibilities by Kano model's attributes. Results: The attributes by Kano model, the relative importance, and the priorities for improvement for 30 airline service quality characteristics are identified. The most important item for improvement is 'Loses and delays compensations service'. Conclusion: According to the PCSI calculation results, this paper can help for Korean Airlines to improve customer satisfaction for Chinese passengers. And R-PCSI model suggested by this paper can be used for other service quality analysis.

A Study on the Estimating Visitor's Economic Value of the Mt. Kumjung by Using Individual Travel Cost Model (개인여행비용법(Individual Travel Cost Model)에 의한 금정산 방문객의 경제적 가치추정)

  • Joo, Soo-Hyun;Lee, Dong-Cheol;Hur, Yoon-Jung
    • Management & Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.301-315
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the Kumjung Mountain, using a Individual Travel Cost Model(ITCM). This paper compares Poisson and negative binomial count data models to measure the tourism demands. Interviewers were instructed to interview only individuals. So the sample was taken in 700. A dependent variable that is defined on the non-negative integers and subject to sampling truncation is the result of a truncated count data process. The results suggest that the truncated negative binomial model is improved overdispersion problem and more preferred than the other models in the study. This study emphasizes in particular 'travel cost' that is not only monetary cost but also including opportunity cost of 'travel time'. According to the truncated negative binomial model, estimates the Consumer Surplus(CS) values per trip of about 60,669 Korean won and the total economic value was estimated to be 252,383 Korean won.

  • PDF

Multi-Stage Supply Chain Inventory Control Using Simulation Optimization (시뮬레이션 최적화 방법을 이용한 다단계 공급망 재고 관리)

  • Yoo, Jang-Sun;Kim, Shin-Tae;Hong, Seong-Rok;Kim, Chang-Ouk
    • IE interfaces
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.444-455
    • /
    • 2008
  • In the present manufacturing environment, the appropriate decision making strategy has a significance and it should count on the fast-changing demand of customers. This research derives the optimal levels of the decision variables affecting the inventory related performance in multi-stage supply chain by using simulation and genetic algorithm. Simulation model helps analyze the customer service level of the supply chain computationally and the genetic algorithm searches the optimal solutions by interaction with the simulation model. Our experiments show that the integration approach of the genetic algorithm with a simulation model is effective in finding the solutions that achieve predefined target service levels.

Fracture process of rubberized concrete by fictitious crack model and AE monitoring

  • Wang, Chao;Zhang, Yamei;Zhao, Zhe
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.51-61
    • /
    • 2012
  • According to the results of three-point bending tests of rubberized concrete and plain concrete, the parameters such as total fracture energy ($G_F$), initial fracture energy ($G_f$), and tensile strength ($f_t$) are obtained for concrete material. Using ABAQUS software and a bilinear softening fictitious crack model, the crack propagation process was simulated and compared to the experimental results. It is found that the increase of AE hit count has a similar trend with the increase of energy dissipation in FEM simulation. For two types of concretes, both experimental results and numerical simulation indicate that the rubberized concrete has a better fracture resistance.

A Study on Risk Evaluation of Crime in the Seoul Metropolitan Area based on Poisson Regression Model

  • Kim, Hag-Yeol;Yu, Hye-Kyung;Park, Man-Sik;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.25 no.5
    • /
    • pp.865-875
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this study, we identify the variables that affect the number of crime and spatial correlation in the Seoul metropolitan area, in addition, we measure the relative risk on the incidence of crime by a Poisson regression model. We suggest a statistical methodology to make a risk map for crime based on relative risk instead of the total event of crime by region using the Geographic Information System. To demonstrate the use and advantages of this methodology, this study presents an analyses of the total crime count in 25 wards in the Seoul metropolitan area.