• Title/Summary/Keyword: convergence in probability

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A Product Risk Assessment based on Scenario for Safety Management (제품안전관리를 위한 시나리오 기반의 리스크 평가기법 연구)

  • Suh, Jungdae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.8
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2014
  • In this study, a risk assessment method based on scenario for the product safety management in Korea has been developed and proposed. To this end, Korea's related regulations for product safety management should be analyzed first, and the risk assessment method necessary for the enforcement of the regulations is presented by itemizing the method into the case of general injury and toxic substances. The features of the method presented in this study are as follows: (i) It is a method based on the injury scenario which can occur during the use of product. (ii) It assesses a risk based on the probability of the scenario and the severity of injury. (iii) In the case of toxic substances, it assesses a risk considering the hazard of the toxic substances on the human body and the severity of injury. To determine the probability of the injury scenario, this study has decomposed the scenario into several configuration factors and estimates each factor's probability to calculate the whole scenario's probability. The results of risk assessment through the method of this study are presented and it is shown that the method can be applied to the product classification for the product safety management.

coaxing 효과가 피로한도에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구

  • Lee, Jung-Hyoung;Yoo, Duck-Sang;Song, Duek-Chung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.3-9
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    • 2002
  • In the field of design of mechanical structure and expectation of life time, characteristic of fatigue limit comes out to he the most important problem. In this paper, in order to get fatigue limit, (I) investigate the aspects of economy, time and confidence comparing two methods: the method by fracture probability introducing statistical conception and the staircase method. And (II) examine the experience approaching fatigue limit and coaxing effect. The value of fatigue limit by staircase method in very effective in view of practical use, and coaxing comes out by the same material effect as restraining crack progress, not as strengthening the tip of crack alone.

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Korean Speech Segmentation and Recognition by Frame Classification via GMM (GMM을 이용한 프레임 단위 분류에 의한 우리말 음성의 분할과 인식)

  • 권호민;한학용;고시영;허강인
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.18-21
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    • 2003
  • In general it has been considered to be the difficult problem that we divide continuous speech into short interval with having identical phoneme quality. In this paper we used Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) related to probability density to divide speech into phonemes, an initial, medial, and final sound. From them we peformed continuous speech recognition. Decision boundary of phonemes is determined by algorithm with maximum frequency in a short interval. Recognition process is performed by Continuous Hidden Markov Model(CHMM), and we compared it with another phoneme divided by eye-measurement. For the experiments result we confirmed that the method we presented is relatively superior in auto-segmentation in korean speech.

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Approaches to Probabilistic Localization and Tracking for Autonomous Mobility Robot in Unknown Environment (미지환경에서 무인이동체의 자율주행을 위한 확률기반 위치 인식과 추적 방법)

  • Jin, Taeseok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.341-347
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents a comparison result of two simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) algorithms for navigation that have been proposed in literature. The performances of Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) SLAM under Gaussian condition, FastSLAM algorithms using Rao-Blackwellised method for particle filtering are compared in terms of accuracy of state estimations for localization of a robot and mapping of its environment. The algorithms were run using the same type of robot on indoor environment. The results show that the Particle filter based FastSLAM has the better performance in terms of accuracy of localization and mapping. The experimental results are discussed and compared.

Model Selection for Tree-Structured Regression

  • Kim, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 1996
  • In selecting a final tree, Breiman, Friedman, Olshen, and Stone(1984) compare the prediction risks of a pair of tree, where one contains the other, using the standard error of the prediction risk of the larger one. This paper proposes an approach to selection of a final tree by using the standard error of the difference of the prediction risks between a pair of trees rather than the standard error of the larger one. This approach is compared with CART's for simulated data from a simple regression model. Asymptotic results of the approaches are also derived and compared to each other. Both the asymptotic and the simulation results indicate that final trees by CART tend to be smaller than desired.

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LIMIT THEOREM FOR ASSOCIATED RANDOM MEASURES

  • Ru, Dae-Hee
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 1996
  • In this paper we investigate a limit theorem for a non-statioary d-parameter array of associated random variables applying the criterion of the tightness condition in Donsker, M[1951]. Our re-sults imply an extension to the nonstatioary case of Convergence of Probability Measure of billingsley. P[1986]. and analogous results for the d-dimensional associated random measure. These results are also applied to show a new limit theorem for Poisson cluster random mea-sures.

A Study on the Change of Heavy Snow Strength by SST in Influence of Continental Polar Air Mass

  • Park, Geon-Young;Ryu, Chan-Su
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2014
  • The results of the synoptic meteorological analysis showed that when the cold and dry continental high pressure was extended, heavy snow occurred at dawn when the upper atmosphere cooled. In particular, when the continental high pressure was extended and the upper pressure trough passed through, heavy snow occurred due to the convergence region formed in the west coast area, sometimes in the inland of the Honam area. In addition, it was verified that the changes in the humidity coefficients in the upper and lower layers are important data for the determination of the probability, start/end and intensity of heavy snow. However, when the area was influenced by the middle-latitude low pressure, the heavy snow was influenced by the wind in the lower layer (925 hPa and 850 hPa), the equivalent potential temperature, the convergence field, the moisture convergence and the topography. In Case 2010 (30 December 2010), OSTIA had the best numerical simulation with diverse atmospheric conditions, and the maximum difference in the numerically simulated snowfall between NCEP/NCAR SST and OSTIA was 20 cm. Although there was a regional difference in the snowfall according to the difference in the SST, OSTIA and RTG SST numerical tests, it was not as significant as in the previous results. A higher SST led to the numerical simulation of larger snowfall, and the difference was greatest near Buan in the west coast area.

확률의 상관 빈도이론과 포퍼

  • Song, Ha-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.23-46
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of the paper Is to discuss and estimate early Popper's theory of probability, which is presented in his book, The Logic of of Scientific Discovery. For this, Von Mises' frequency theory shall be discussed in detail, which is regarded as the most systematic and sophisticated frequency theory among others. Von Mises developed his theory to response to various critical questions such as how finite and empirical collectives can be represented in terms of infinite and mathematical collectives, and how the axiom of randomness can be mathematically formulated. But his theory still has another difficulty, which is concerned with the inconsistency between the axiom of convergence and the axiom of randomness. Defending the objective theory of probability, Popper tries to present his own frequency theory, solving the difficulty. He suggests that the axiom of convergence be given up and that the axiom of randomness be modified to solve Von Mises' problem. That is, Popper introduces the notion of ordinal selection and neighborhood selection to modify the axiom of randomness. He then shows that Bernoulli's theorem is derived from the modified axiom. Consequently, it can be said that Popper solves the problem of inconsistency which is regarded as crucial to Von Mises' theory. However, Popper's suggestion has not drawn much attention. I think it is because his theory seems anti-intuitive in the sense that it gives up the axiom of convergence which is the basis of the frequency theory So for more persuasive frequency theory, it is necessary to formulate the axiom of randomness to be consistent with the axiom of convergence.

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Prediction of Remaining Life for Corroded Pipelines (부식 손상된 파이프라인의 잔존 수명 예측)

  • JIN, Yeung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.411-417
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    • 2004
  • Recently, researchers and engineers from, the development of reliability engineering and probability fracture mechanics, have begun to take seriously the reliability analysis and the integrity for a corroded pipeline. Pressurized pipelines containing active corrosion defects increase gradually both in extent, and depth with increased periods of exposure. This causes a reduction of the remaining strength and the carrying capacity of a pipeline; and creates uncertainty about the future capacity. The steps that are necessary in order to assess the integrity of corroded pipelines will be discussed in this paper utilizing results from an actual model.

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Collision Avoidance Maneuver Planning Using GA for LEO and GEO Satellite Maintained in Keeping Area

  • Lee, Sang-Cherl;Kim, Hae-Dong;Suk, Jinyoung
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.474-483
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, a collision avoidance maneuver was sought for low Earth orbit (LEO) and geostationary Earth orbit (GEO) satellites maintained in a keeping area. A genetic algorithm was used to obtain both the maneuver start time and the delta-V to reduce the probability of collision with uncontrolled space objects or debris. Numerical simulations demonstrated the feasibility of the proposed algorithm for both LEO satellites and GEO satellites.