• Title/Summary/Keyword: contingent center

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EVALUATION OF MINIMUM REVENUE GUARANTEE(MRG) IN BOT PROJECT FINANCE WITH OPTION PRICING THEORY

  • Jae Bum Jun
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.800-807
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    • 2009
  • The limited public funds available for infrastructure projects have led governments to consider private entities' participation in long-term contracts for finance, construction, and operation of these projects to share risks and rewards between the public and the private. Because these projects have complicated risk evolutions, diverse contractual forms for each project member to hedge risks involved in a project are necessary. In light of this, Build-Operate-Transfer(BOT) model is considered as effective to accomplish Public Private Partnerships(PPPs) with a characteristic of an ownership-reversion. In BOT projects, the government has used such an incentive system as minimum revenue guarantee(MRG) agreement to attract the private's participation. Although this agreement turns out critical in success of BOT project, there still exist problematic issues in a financial feasibility analysis since the traditional capital budgeting theory, Net Present Value(NPV) analysis, has failed to evaluate the contingent characteristic of MRG agreement. The purpose of this research is to develop real option model based on option pricing theory so as to provide a theoretical framework in valuing MRG agreement in BOT projects. To understand the applicability of the model, the model is applied to the example of the BOT toll road project and the results are compared with that by NPV analysis. Finally, we found that the impact of the MRG agreement is significant on the project value. Hence, the real option model can help the government establish better BOT policies and the developer make appropriate bidding strategies.

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Economic Value Estimation of Intelligent Crime-Zero Testbed (지능형 방범 실증지구 경제적 가치평가)

  • Choi, Woo-Chul;Na, Joon-Yeop
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.436-445
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    • 2019
  • This study quantitatively evaluates the economic value of an intelligent crime-zero testbed by using the contingent valuation method (CVM), which is the most effective for non-market valuations in fields like crime prevention. To minimize hypothetical convenience and increase respondents' awareness regarding the actual situation, an analysis was conducted for Indukwon District, Anyang City, Gyeonggi-do, by using the intelligent crime prevention technologies and solutions being developed by the KICT Research Center. This analysis was aimed at providing a systematic basis for determining the feasibility of crime prevention-related public projects. As a result, the WTP of Anyang citizens in the intelligent crime prevention demonstration district was estimated to be 7,160 won. The analysis shows that the area of Gwanyang 2, where the test bed belongs, has a high economic value of KRW 660 million per year, and KRW 51.4 billion per year when expanded to Anyang City. This study is significant in that it provides the first domestic evaluation of the crime-zero testbed. In addition, it has academic and practical value for a future-oriented service model by using intelligent crime prevention technologies and solutions that can be applied in real life and to the crime-zero testbed.

Development of Computerized Neuropsychological Tests for Functional Localization of Brain (뇌의 기능적 국소화를 위한 전산화 신경심리 검사의 개발)

  • Lee, Sung-Hoon;Ahn, Chang-Bum;Park, Hae-Jung
    • Sleep Medicine and Psychophysiology
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 1999
  • A Computerzed Neuropsychological Test(CNT) system using multimedia and object oriented technologies are developed for clinical application in psychiatry. The developed system is composed of 14 neuropsychologial tests which are capable of evaluation of various cognitive functions and functional localization of brain. The system employs Microsoft Window based graphic user interface for easy operation and it has a touch screen and a mouse as input devices from the patient. Speech perception test, color word test, verbal memory test, contingent continuos performance test, and trail making test were translated into korean language, so that usefulness of tests was maximized. Through the results of utilization of this system in the cases of patients with head trauma and psychiatric desorder, this system can be proved to be useful in the evaluation of cognitive function and functional localization of brain.

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Determination of Nursing Price using Willingness to Pay (지불용의접근법을 이용한 간호서비스의 가격결정)

  • Ko, Su-Kyoung;Park, Jeong-Young
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing Administration
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.205-221
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    • 2001
  • It will become more and more popular to use the long-term care facilities and home health care services with the chronic disease increasing. It depends on how much the consumers would pay and purchase the services. They might get more benefits from that kind of services than from ordinary hospitalization. So far, the study of determining the medical service price has focused most often on the efforts from the providers' view. But it must be reasonable to include the consumers' value for the service. This study was performed to assess WTP(Willingness to Pay) for home health care service in order to apply to the determination of nursing price in a reasonable manner. In this study, respondents were asked if they would pay for the service's intangible benefits under the four different types(open-ended minimum WTP, open-ended maximum WTP, bidding WTP, referendum WTP). The contingent valuation method is a potentially useful tool in understanding how people value the benefits of the service. As a result, average open-ended minimum WTP was W16,015 per day among 65 respondents. Average open-ended maximum WTP was W29,154 per day among 65 respondents. Average bidding WTP was W26,300 per day among 65 respondents. Average referendum WTP was W22,200 per day among 70 respondents. The results of regression analyses were also consistent with theoretical prediction, e.g., increasing WTP with consumers' value for the service, state of patients, and household income. This study demonstrated that it was more reasonable to consider the consumers' value in determining the services' price. In addition, a further study is needed to test the validity of this CV method and to determine a proper nursing price based on the consumers' view.

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A Study on the Occupational Health Personnel, Department and Job Change Before and After Economic Crisis (경제환경 변화에 따른 산업보건인력, 조직 및 직무변화)

  • Jung, Hye-sun;Kim, So Yeon;Lee, Bok-im
    • Korean Journal of Occupational Health Nursing
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.176-192
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to analysis change of industrial health and safety before and after economic crisis(1997~1998). The data were obtained through mail interview with health supervisor(occupational health nurses) during February, 1999. The final sample was consisted of 127 respondents, 97 are selected in this study. The major findings were as follows: First, the percent of industries whose empl safe supervisors, physicians and industry hygi decreased in number is 79.4%, 3.8%, 50.0 21.5% in each. Second, man receiving over 1.5 million won as an average wage of health supervisor is 27.5% in 1997, but it decreased to 25.3% in 1998. Man receiving under 100~150 million won is 48.4% in 1997, but this percent decreased to 36.3% in 1998 and 13.6% of health supervisor regularly were transformed to contingent worker in 1998. Third, especially, budgets for health and saf work place decreased to 13.8% in 1998 than 19. Fourth, industrial accident case, unre accident case, occupational disease decreased than 1997, but mortality from industrial a increased in 250%. Fifth, according to the health diagnosis report, number of case with evidence of disease increased in liver disease, tuberculosis and so on, and number of case with evidence of occupational disease increased in noise induced hearing loss, pneumoconiosis. organic solvent poisoning and so on. Sixth, this survey shows that health council, health education in duty of health supervisor was conducted passive in 1998 thin 1997, and percent of hold two or more positions is 47.6% in medical insurance, 10.7% in accountant's business 8.3 in secretory. 7.1% in telephone operator awl 22.6% in etc. Seventh, distress of health supervisor after economic crisis is 30.9% in employment instability, 19.8% in hold two or more positions and decrease of budgets. For subjugation of the trouble, the respond of active policy of government occupied most.

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Effect of Fashion Product Popularity and Type on Purchase Intention in China's Open Market (중국 오픈마켓 패션상품의 인기도와 유형이 구매의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Wenke Sang;Yang-Suk Ku;Hyun-Hee Park
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.179-189
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to explore the influence of product popularity signals on purchase intention in China's open market, with a focus on understanding the interaction effect of fashion product types. The popularity signals were measured through sales volume and review volume. For the experiment, a 2 (sales volume: high vs low) × 2 (review volume: high vs low) × 2 (fashion product type: trend vs basic) factorial design was employed. The findings of this study are summarized as follows. First, sales volume and review volume, as signals of the popularity of fashion products, did not appear to have a direct effect on purchase intention. Second, the impact of fashion product popularity on purchase intention was found to be contingent on the type of fashion product. When purchasing trendy fashion products, purchase intention was found to be higher under low popularity conditions compared to high popularity conditions. When purchasing basic fashion products, purchase intention was found to be higher under high popularity conditions compared to low popularity conditions. These findings contribute valuable insights for developing marketing strategies that leverage popularity signals for fashion products in China's open markets. Furthermore, the study improves understanding of online fashion product purchasing behavior among Chinese consumers.

Estimation of Forest Management Ratio under Article 3.4 of the Kyoto Protocol: A Case Study on the Chungcheongbuk-do (교토의정서 제3조 4항의 산림경영율 추정방안 및 사례분석 - 충청북도를 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Hyungho;Kang, Hyeondeug;Kim, Rae Hyun;Kim, Cheol Min;Koh, Kwang Chul;Lee, Kyeong Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.4
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    • pp.608-616
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study was to suggest contingent valuation method, simple random sampling method, systematic sampling method, maximum practice area method, and overlay practice area method as the estimation methods for forest management area to estimate carbon dioxide sink by forest management as stated in Article 3.4 of the Kyoto Protocol. A case study for Chungcheongbuk-do was performed using maximum practice area method which was thought of as the most rational method within MRV(Measurable, reportable and verifiable). The forest management ratio was defined as forest management area over the total forest area. Based on the definition of forest management activity, forest area was divided into practice forest land and non-practice forest land. The area of forest mangement for practices was based on the 'National Forest Management Information System' and the history of practices from the 'Proposals on Private Management Information Database'. The area of forest management for non-practices was based on the public used forest land from 'Categorial map of forest land'. It was shown that the forest management area of Chuncheongbuk-do was 115,566 ha for practice forest land, and 131,008 ha for non-practice forest land. The forest managent ratio was 49.7% of the total forest area of 495,806 ha. This study made possible to the estimation of the forest management ratio under Kyoto Protocol, and had an advantage in searching for a practical method of forest management plan in which the forest management ratio could be enhanced.

Event Related Potential and Neuropsychological Tests (사건 관계 전위와 신경심리 검사)

  • Lee, Sung-Hoon;Koo, Ae-Sook;Woo, Jong-Ho;Kim, Byung-Gun
    • Sleep Medicine and Psychophysiology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.76-86
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    • 1994
  • Objectives: This research was performed in order to observe the neuropsychological implication and functional anatomical source of event related potentials(ERP) by studying of correlations between event related potentials and neuropsychological tests. Methods: The latency and voltage of P100 of visual evoked potential (VEP), and N120 and P300 of event related potentials were studied in 56 patients and their correlations with neuropsychological tests were computed. Results: The tests showing significant correlation with latency P100 were visual continous performance test(VCPT) and contingent continous performance test(CCPT) without any significant correlation with voltage of P100. In latency of N120 category test and verbal IQ of KWIS showed significant correlation, and in voltage of N120, finger tapping test, VCPT, CCPT and digit symbol test displayed significant correlations. The latency of P300 had significant correlation with trail making A test and Stroop test. In the voltage of P300 significant correlations were shown with trail making B test, digit symbol test and Wechsler memory scale, finger tapping test, stroop test, VCPT and CCPT. Conclusion : N120 may be considered to reflect the function of medial frontal lobe and P300 may be considered to be developed from the subcortical connection of medial temporal lobe, hippocampus, thalamus, basal ganglia and medial frontal lobe.

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The Study on the Economic Effects of Advanced Water Treatment by using CVM (CVM을 이용한 고도정수처리의 경제적 효과 분석)

  • Jang, Seok Won;Kim, Shang Moon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.9
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    • pp.711-717
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    • 2015
  • This paper attempts to measure the economic benefits of advanced water treatment in five cities (Goyang, Paju, Gumi, Gimcheon, Chilgok), which are supplied water from Goyang and Gumi filtration plant. We used the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method to estimate WTP. Parametric interval-data model are used to obtaining the mean WTP estimates. The results show that the mean of additional WTP for advanced water treatment services were estimated to be KRW 231.3 and KRW 231.2 per $m^3$ using model with covariates and without covariates, respectively. Given the water supplies of Goyang and Gumi filtration plants ($59.675m^3/y$ and $93.734m^3/y$), the economic benefits of those advanced water treatments can be expected to be KRW 13.8 billion and KRE 21.68 billion. And the calculated B/C ratios are 3.7 and 2.1 when a lifespan of facility is 10 years. Advanced water treatment should be introduced in terms of the economic benefits and costs. Thus, this results can be useful in water policy decision-making.

Perceived Features of Cycling and Value of Public Bike System (공공자전거시스템의 사회적 가치와 자전거 특성의 관계성 연구)

  • Kim, Junghwa;Choi, Keechoo;Kim, Suk Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2015
  • In this study our main focus is to verify the relationship between social value of transportation system and its perceived features. To achieve this objective, we investigated the value of public bike system (PBS) through willingness to pay (WTP) analysis using contingent valuation method (CVM) and the survey was conducted for 1726 respondents who live in Suwon, Korea. Moreover the determinants related to features related to bicycle use were also gathered. The estimated binary logistic regression and censored regression reveal that the value of PBS is influenced by perceived features towards bicycle use incorporating non-congestion, transportation mode like auto and bus, and high mobility system as well as other variables such as income, bicycle ownership etc. Furthermore the results show that the perceiving of positive features to bicycle use leads to higher social value of PBS. Based on the findings, we discuss the importance of pre-review for transport policy implementation, and also explore the possibilities for application to PBS.