• Title/Summary/Keyword: conditional inference

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Kernel Inference on the Inverse Weibull Distribution

  • Maswadah, M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.503-512
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the Inverse Weibull distribution parameters have been estimated using a new estimation technique based on the non-parametric kernel density function that introduced as an alternative and reliable technique for estimation in life testing models. This technique will require bootstrapping from a set of sample observations for constructing the density functions of pivotal quantities and thus the confidence intervals for the distribution parameters. The performances of this technique have been studied comparing to the conditional inference on the basis of the mean lengths and the covering percentage of the confidence intervals, via Monte Carlo simulations. The simulation results indicated the robustness of the proposed method that yield reasonably accurate inferences even with fewer bootstrap replications and it is easy to be used than the conditional approach. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the densities and the inferential methods developed in this paper.

Two Properties of Ancillary Statistics

  • Lee, Yong-Goo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 1988
  • Two properties of ancillary statistics are considered. One is to find a role of ancillary statistics in the statistical inference by showing that the ancillary statistic can recover the lost information and to give a criteria for comparing the conditional inference with unconditional inference. The other is to find an ancillary statistic of translation model and its relationship with observed Fisher information.

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Two Kinds of Indicative Conditionals and Modus Ponens (두 가지 종류의 직설법적 조건문과 전건 긍정식)

  • Lee, Byeongdeok
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.87-115
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    • 2013
  • In my previous article "The Uncontested Principle and Wonbae Choi's Objections", I argued that the validity of modus ponens (as a deductive inference) is compatible with the claim that the Uncontested Principle is controversial. In his recent paper "The Uncontested Principle and Modus Ponens", Wonbae Choi criticizes my view again by making the following three claims: First, even though I do not take an inference of the form 'If A then (probably) C. A. $\therefore$ C' as an instance of modus ponens, this form of inference can be taken to be such an instance. Second, there is no grammatical indicator which allows us to distinguish between an indicative conditional based on a deductive inference and an indicative conditional based on an inductive inference, so that inferences based on these conditionals should not be treated as different types of inferences. Third, if we allow an indicative conditional based on an inductive inference, we thereby violate the so-called 'principle of harmony', which any logical concept should preserve. In this paper, I reply that his criticisms are all implausible.

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Virtual Machine Provisioning Scheduling with Conditional Probability Inference for Transport Information Service in Cloud Environment (클라우드 환경의 교통정보 서비스를 위한 조건부 확률 추론을 이용한 가상 머신 프로비저닝 스케줄링)

  • Kim, Jae-Kwon;Lee, Jong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2011
  • There is a growing tendency toward a vehicle demand and a utilization of traffic information systems. Due to various kinds of traffic information systems and increasing of communication data, the traffic information service requires a very high IT infrastructure. A cloud computing environment is an essential approach for reducing a IT infrastructure cost. And the traffic information service needs a provisioning scheduling method for managing a resource. So we propose a provisioning scheduling with conditional probability inference (PSCPI) for the traffic information service on cloud environment. PSCPI uses a naive bayse inference technique based on a status of a virtual machine. And PSCPI allocates a job to the virtual machines on the basis of an availability of each virtual machine. Naive bayse based PSCPI provides a high throughput and an high availability of virtual machines for real-time traffic information services.

The Efficiency of Conditional MLE for Pure Birth Processes

  • Yoon, Jong-Ook;Kim, Joo-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2002.06a
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    • pp.367-386
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    • 2002
  • The Present paper is devoted to a study of the performance, in large samples, of a conditional maximum likelihood estimator(CMLE) for the parameter ${\lambda}$ in a pure birth processes(PBP). To conduct the conditional inference for the PBP, we drove the likelihood function of time-inhomogeneous Poisson processes. The limiting distributions of CMLE under the likelihoods $L_{t}$ or $\overline{L_{t}}$ are investigated. We found that the CMLE is asymptotically efficient with respect to the both $L_{t}$ or $\overline{L_{t}}$ under the efficiency criterion of Weiss & Wolfowitz(1974).

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A Study on Prediction Techniques through Machine Learning of Real-time Solar Radiation in Jeju (제주 실시간 일사량의 기계학습 예측 기법 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Mi;Bae, Joo-Hyun;Park, Jeong-keun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.521-527
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    • 2017
  • Solar radiation forecasts are important for predicting the amount of ice on road and the potential solar energy. In an attempt to improve solar radiation predictability in Jeju, we conducted machine learning with various data mining techniques such as tree models, conditional inference tree, random forest, support vector machines and logistic regression. To validate machine learning models, the results from the simulation was compared with the solar radiation data observed over Jeju observation site. According to the model assesment, it can be seen that the solar radiation prediction using random forest is the most effective method. The error rate proposed by random forest data mining is 17%.

Nonlinear Channel Equalization Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Fiter (적응 뉴로-퍼지 필터를 이용한 비선형 채널 등화)

  • 김승석;곽근창;김성수;전병석;유정웅
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.366-366
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy filter using the conditional fuzzy c-means(CFCM) methods is proposed. Usualy, the number of fuzzy rules exponentially increases by applying the grid partitioning of the input space, in conventional adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system(ANFIS) approaches. In order to solve this problem, CFCM method is adopted to render the clusters which represent the given input and output data. Parameter identification is performed by hybrid learning using back-propagation algorithm and total least square(TLS) method. Finally, we applied the proposed method to the nonlinear channel equalization problem and obtained a better performance than previous works.

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A Study on Conditional Probability (조건부확률에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Cha-Mi
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2010
  • Conditional probability may look simple but it raises various misconceptions. Preceding studies are mostly about such misconceptions. However, instead of focusing on those misconceptions, this paper focused on what the mathematical essence of conditional probability which can be applied to various situations and how good teachers' understanding on that is. In view of this purpose, this paper classified conditional probability which have different ways of defining into two-relative conditional probability which can be get by relative ratio and if-conditional probability which can be get by the inference of the situation change of conditional event. Yet, this is just a superficial classification of resolving ways of conditional probability. The purpose of this paper is in finding the mathematical essence implied in those, and by doing that, tried to find out how well teachers understand about conditional probability which is one integrated concept.

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Improved Exact Inference in Logistic Regression Model

  • Kim, Donguk;Kim, Sooyeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.277-289
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    • 2003
  • We propose modified exact inferential methods in logistic regression model. Exact conditional distribution in logistic regression model is often highly discrete, and ordinary exact inference in logistic regression is conservative, because of the discreteness of the distribution. For the exact inference in logistic regression model we utilize the modified P-value. The modified P-value can not exceed the ordinary P-value, so the test of size $\alpha$ based on the modified P-value is less conservative. The modified exact confidence interval maintains at least a fixed confidence level but tends to be much narrower. The approach inverts results of a test with a modified P-value utilizing the test statistic and table probabilities in logistic regression model.

Estimation of the joint conditional distribution for repeatedly measured bivariate cholesterol data using Gaussian copula (가우시안 코플라를 이용한 반복측정 이변량 자료의 조건부 결합 분포 추정)

  • Kwak, Minjung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2017
  • We study estimation and inference of joint conditional distributions of bivariate longitudinal outcomes using regression models and copulas. We consider a class of time-varying transformation models and combine the two marginal models using Gaussian copulas to estimate the joint models. Our models and estimation method can be applied in many situations where the conditional mean-based models are inadequate. Gaussian copulas combined with time-varying transformation models may allow convenient and easy-to-interpret modeling for the joint conditional distributions for bivariate longitudinal data. We apply our method to an epidemiological study of repeatedly measured bivariate cholesterol data.