• 제목/요약/키워드: competing-risk

검색결과 69건 처리시간 0.026초

Liver-to-Spleen Volume Ratio Automatically Measured on CT Predicts Decompensation in Patients with B Viral Compensated Cirrhosis

  • Ji Hye Kwon;Seung Soo Lee;Jee Seok Yoon;Heung-Il Suk;Yu Sub Sung;Ho Sung Kim;Chul-min Lee;Kang Mo Kim;So Jung Lee;So Yeon Kim
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제22권12호
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    • pp.1985-1995
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    • 2021
  • Objective: Although the liver-to-spleen volume ratio (LSVR) based on CT reflects portal hypertension, its prognostic role in cirrhotic patients has not been proven. We evaluated the utility of LSVR, automatically measured from CT images using a deep learning algorithm, as a predictor of hepatic decompensation and transplantation-free survival in patients with hepatitis B viral (HBV)-compensated cirrhosis. Materials and Methods: A deep learning algorithm was used to measure the LSVR in a cohort of 1027 consecutive patients (mean age, 50.5 years; 675 male and 352 female) with HBV-compensated cirrhosis who underwent liver CT (2007-2010). Associations of LSVR with hepatic decompensation and transplantation-free survival were evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards and competing risk analyses, accounting for either the Child-Pugh score (CPS) or Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and other variables. The risk of the liver-related events was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the Aalen-Johansen estimator. Results: After adjustment for either CPS or MELD and other variables, LSVR was identified as a significant independent predictor of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio for LSVR increase by 1, 0.71 and 0.68 for CPS and MELD models, respectively; p < 0.001) and transplantation-free survival (hazard ratio for LSVR increase by 1, 0.8 and 0.77, respectively; p < 0.001). Patients with an LSVR of < 2.9 (n = 381) had significantly higher 3-year risks of hepatic decompensation (16.7% vs. 2.5%, p < 0.001) and liver-related death or transplantation (10.0% vs. 1.1%, p < 0.001) than those with an LSVR ≥ 2.9 (n = 646). When patients were stratified according to CPS (Child-Pugh A vs. B-C) and MELD (< 10 vs. ≥ 10), an LSVR of < 2.9 was still associated with a higher risk of liver-related events than an LSVR of ≥ 2.9 for all Child-Pugh (p ≤ 0.045) and MELD (p ≤ 0.009) stratifications. Conclusion: The LSVR measured on CT can predict hepatic decompensation and transplantation-free survival in patients with HBV-compensated cirrhosis.

기업보안과 비즈니스의 전략적 협력에 관한 연구 (A Study for strategic cooperaton of enterprise security and business)

  • 유형창
    • 시큐리티연구
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    • 제28호
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    • pp.103-130
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 글로벌 비즈니스 환경에서의 한국기업의 수익성과 기업안정성 제고를 위한 기업보안과 비즈니스의 전략적 협력에 관한 연구이다. 현대기업환경은 하루가 다르게 과학기술이 복잡해지고 국경에 상관없이 새로운 경쟁자들이 등장하면서 아무리 거대한 기업이라도 혁신적인 사고로 무장한 새로운 기업에게 하루 아침에 시장을 내주어야 하는 상황이 빈발하고 있다. 이러한 새로운 환경에서 살아남기 위해서는 새로운 관점의 기업경영관리기법에 대한 패러다임의 변화이다. 한국기업이 과거를 답습하는 낮은 수준의 보안리스크관리방법으로는 기업수익에 도움이 되는 보안관리가 되지 못한다. 21세기 70억에 육박하는 인구가 살고 있는 지구촌은 급격한 생태계변화에 직면해있다. 급격한 기후환경의 변화는 순식간에 수십만 명의 이재민을 발생시키고, 신종전염병으로 수백만 마리의 가축을 생매장시키는 광경을 우리는 매순간 목격하고 있다. 이러한 변화는 지구촌에 살고 있는 인간의 삶의 근본적인 방식의 변화를 추동하고 있다. 우리의 경제적인 삶의 근간인 기업생태계도 여기에 예외가 될 수는 없다. 21세기 기업환경에서 생존하기 위해서는 경영진 수준의 보안리스크관리가 필요하며, 보안리스크관리를 통한 기업경쟁력을 제고를 위해서는 기업의 보고라인을 새롭게 정립하여야 할 것이다. 기업도 변화하는 환경에 민감하지 않으면, 하루아침에 시간의 뒤안길로 사라질 수 있음을 명심하여야 한다. 현대기업의 새로운 리스크 중에 특히 한국기업들이 안이하게 대처하는 분야가 보안리스크이다. 과거와 다르게 훨씬 대규모이고 전파 속도가 빠른 보안리스크는 경영진이 다루어야 하는 주요한 기업리스크 중에 하나이다. 현대기업에 핵심적인 영향력을 미치는 보안리스크에는 기업 브랜드와 평판의 보호, 생산과 운영의 연속성, 고객신뢰의 유지가 우선한다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 보안리스크를 효과적으로 다루기 위한 기업보안과 비즈니스의 전략적 협력에 관하여 제시하였다.

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HACCP 적용을 위한 도계처리 공정내 미생물 오염의 분석 (Analysis of Microbial Contamination in Poultry Slaughtering Operations for the Application of HACCP)

  • 홍종해;권혁무;고주언
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 1996
  • The application of HACCP system, which was adopted by Codex Alimentarius Committee for the safe meat and poultry production, is one of the urgent task for competing in the world trade markets. But there have been no useful analytical studies to identify the causes of contamination in the poultry meat processing plants in Korea. This study was conducted to investigate the potential hazards during the operations by the microbiological examination for the poultry meat processing plant (20,000 birds capacity a day) located in Kangwon province. In spite of air contamination of work places, it may not directly affect the surface contamination of poultry meats. But the risk of Campylobacter jejuni/coli contamination was high. The number of total count was decreased about ten times, but remarkable changes of microbial contamination could not be recognized in each procedure during the operations. The washing water was already contaminated as much as $10^{3-6}CFU/ml$ in SPC before the operations. It means that to keep water tanks hygienic is a primary step to prevent the occurrences of microbial contamination. The overflow and recirculation of water in scalding, washing, and chilling was aslo an important factor for a hygienic control. Based on this study, the followings could be regarded as an important factors for hygenic control in the poultry slaughtering plants on a small scale. The temperature of water used for scalding should be constantly maintained on a required temperature, and the overflow rate of 1~1.5 liter per bird. The carcass surface and the body cavity should be washed thoroughly and the cross-contamination due to facilities, workers, and tools should be prevented. The chilling water sholud be maintained under 5$\circ$C of temperature with ice and overflow, and residual chlorine level of 50 ppm.

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Photodegradation of 17α-ethynylestradiol in nitrate aqueous solutions

  • Ren, Dong;Bi, Tingting;Gao, Shumei;Li, Xukun;Huang, Bin;Pan, Xuejun
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.188-195
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    • 2016
  • $17{\alpha}$-Ethynylestradiol (EE2) has gotten growing concerns due to its widely detected in the environment and high estrogenic potency. However, the knowledge on the photochemical behaviors of EE2 in natural waters is still limited. Herein, the photodegradation and estrogenic potency variation of EE2 induced by nitrate were studied using a sunlight simulator consisted by a 300 W medium pressure mercury lamp and 290 nm cut-off filters. It was found that EE2 could be photodegraded at a rate of $0.0193h^{-1}$ in pure aqueous solutions, and the photodegradation of EE2 could be significantly promoted by nitrate. The photodegradation removal rate of EE2 was increased from 9% in Milli-Q water to 85% in 2.0 mM nitrate solutions. Reactive species scavenging experiments demonstrated that the photogenerated $HO{\bullet}$ contributed about 55% to EE2 degradation. Fe(III), Cl- and dissolved humic acid (DHA) could inhibit the photodegradation of EE2 by competing the incident light and photogenerated $HO{\bullet}$, while $HCO_3{^-}$ had no influence on EE2 photodegradation. EE2 was determined to be phototransformed into organic chemicals without estrogenic potency by GC-MS and MCF-7 cell proliferation toxicity tests. These findings could extend our knowledge on the photochemical behaviors of steroid estrogens and provide information for ecological risk assessment.

한국 벤처캐피탈의 조직상황적 특성, 인적자원 특성 및 투자전략 간의 관계에 관한 연구 (An Empirical Study on the Relationship among Firm Characteristics, Human Resources and Investment Strategies of Korean Private Venture Capitals)

  • 이주헌
    • 벤처창업연구
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2007
  • 창업자본시장에는 다양한 유형의 위험자본들이 서로 경쟁하고 있다. 과거에는 국내 벤처캐피탈은 정부의 보조금과 지원으로 경쟁력이 부족함에도 불구하고 시장에서 생존할 수 있었다. 하지만 그동안 정부의 정책이 방향이 지원과보호에서 자율과 경쟁의 시장경제논리로 점차 바뀌어졌다. 국내 벤처캐피탈은 경쟁력 확보를 위해 경쟁우위의 원천이 되는 인적자원을 확보하고 지식과 기술을 축적하고 전략적 투자활동을 수행해야 할 필요가 점차 증대하였다. 본 논문에서는 국내 창업투자회사의 조직상황, 인적자본과 투자전략 간의 관계를 실증적으로 분석하였다. 기업규모는 인적자원의 규모에 유의미한 영향을 주는 반면에 조직 상황적 특성은 투자전략에 의미 있는 영향을 주지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 비론 상관관계분석과 선형회귀분석을 통해 몇몇 변수에 대해 유의미한 관계를 확인할 수 있었지만 이에 대한 해석은 주의를 기울일 필요가 있다. 논란이 있을 수 있는 관계의 검증과 명확한 해설을 위해서는 보다 면밀한 실증연구가 필요하다.

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실물옵션 게임을 활용한 해외건설시장 진출모형에 관한 기초연구 (Market Entry Decision Model in Global Construction Market Using Real Options Game)

  • 김두연;김병일;한승헌
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2007년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.652-655
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    • 2007
  • 최근 해외건설시장은 정체된 국내시장에 대한 대안으로서 국내 건설업체의 관심과 신규 진출이 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 하지만 해외건설시장은 국내 시장에 비해 상대적으로 건설업체가 직면하게 되는 리스크 부담이 크기 때문에 시장 진출에 대해서 신중하고 합리적인 의사결정이 요구되고 있다. 이에 따라 기존의 많은 연구들이 관심이 증가하고 있는 개별 시장의 리스크에 대해 분석하고 있으며, 이를 고려한 시장 진출 의사결정 모델에 관한 연구도 이루어져 왔다. 본 연구에서는 건설기업의 입장에서 신규시장 진출을 재무적인 측면에서 고려하기 위한 모델을 제시하였다. 이를 위해 시장진출 시의 경쟁 상황을 고려한 실물옵션 게임 (real options game)을 통해 시장 모형을 도출하고, 이를 통해 해당 시장진출에 대한 투자 여부를 판단하기 위한 모델을 제시하였다. 본 연구를 통해서 도출된 시장진출모형은 가정을 통해 제약된 조건 상황 속에서의 특수 모델로서, 추후 연구를 통해 정보의 불균형성, 경쟁 기업 수의 일반화 등을 고려하여 보다 현실성 있는 모델을 제시하고자 한다.

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한국 성인의 우울과 자아존중감의 종단적 상호관계에 관한 연구: 인지취약모델과 상처모델 검증을 중심으로 (The relationship between self-esteem and depression among Korean adults: Examining cognitive vulnerability model and the scar model)

  • 김혜미
    • 사회복지연구
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.233-261
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 국내 성인의 자아존중감과 우울의 인과관계를 살펴보는데 목적을 두고, 한국복지패널 1~4차 데이터를 활용하여 인과관계를 설명할 수 있는 인지취약모델과 상처모델을 검증하였다. 또한 우울과 자아존중감의 변화궤적에 영향을 미치는 인구사회학적 변인을 파악함으로써 우울과 자아존중감 손상에 취약한 인구집단을 밝히고자 하였다. 분석결과 우울의 초기값이 자아존중감 변화율에 미치는 영향과 자아존중감 초기값이 우울 수준 변화율에 미치는 영향이 모두 유의하게 나타나 외국 연구와는 달리 국내 성인집단에서는 인지취약모델과 상처모델이 모두 지지되는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 또한 이 상호관계는 인구사회학적 요인을 통제한 상태에서도 지지되었으며, 우울의 변화궤적과 자아존중감의 변화궤적 모두에 유의한 영향을 미치는 요인으로는 교육수준, 빈곤여부, 만성질환 여부 및 사회적 관계 만족도로 나타났다. 본 연구는 아직까지 연구되지 않은 성인기 집단의 우울과 자아존중감 관계의 매커니즘을 밝혔다는데 의의가 있으며, 논의를 통해 우울 예방 및 치료에 대한 실천적 함의를 제안하였다.

Анализ механизмов формирования цен на газ на мировом рынке и бизнес-модели «Сheniere Energy» (Analysis of Price Formation Mechanism of Natural Gas in the Global Market and Business Model of ''Cheniere Energy")

  • Джинсок, Сун
    • 분석과 대안
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.77-105
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    • 2021
  • Потребление природного газа в Азии растет быстрыми темпами из-за различных факторов, таких как экономический рост в регионе, урбанизация, переход с угля на газ в секторах производства электроэнергии и промышленности. Из-за географических особенностей и отсутствия международных трубопроводных соединений между странами в АТР большая часть природного газа, экспортируемого азиатским потребителям, транспортируется танкерами по морю в виде сжиженного природного газа. Поскольку азиатский рынок является наиболее прибыльным рынком с самым быстрым ростом спроса, конкуренция между продавцами сжиженного природного газа (СПГ) за долю азиатского рынка усиливается. Конкуренция ускорилась, особенно после того, как на рынок были выведены большие объемы дополнительных поставок со стороны новых экспортеров из США, Австралии и России. Cheniere Energy, первый экспортер СПГ в континентальной части США, не приняла традиционный механизм ценообразования и бизнес-модель. Традиционно цены по долгосрочным контрактам на СПГ индексируются к ценам на конкурирующие виды топлива, такие как сырая нефть. Компания приняла механизм ценообразования и бизнесмодель по системе «кост-плюс». Cheniere Energy выбрала более безопасную и безрисковую систему ценообразования, которая ежегодно гарантирует продавцу фиксированную сумму дохода. Компания зарабатывает одинаковую сумму денег, независимо от динамики цен на природный газ на внутреннем и международном рынке, возможно с меньшим доходом. Однако, успешно внедрив более безопасную и безрисковую бизнес-модель, Cheniere Energy, компания относительно меньшего размера по сравнению с крупными нефтегазовыми компаниями, стала примером для других небольших компаний в стране. Бизнес-модель компании продемонстрировала, как войти и управлять бизнесом СПГ в США в условиях растущей конкуренции между продавцами на внутреннем и международном рынке.

A Consensus Plan for Action to Improve Access to Cancer Care in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Region

  • Woodward, Mark
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권19호
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    • pp.8521-8526
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    • 2014
  • In many countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), cancer is an increasing problem due to ageing and a transition to Western lifestyles. Governments have been slow to react to the health consequences of these socioeconomic changes, leading to the risk of a cancer epidemic overwhelming the region. A major limitation to motivating change is the paucity of high-quality data on cancer, and its socioeconomic repercussions, in ASEAN. Two initiatives have been launched to address these issues. First, a study of over 9000 new cancer patients in ASEAN - the ACTION study - which records information on financial difficulties, as well as clinical outcomes, subsequent to the diagnosis. Second, a series of roundtable meetings of key stakeholders and experts, with the broad aim of producing advice for governments in ASEAN to take appropriate account of issues relating to cancer, as well as to generate knowledge and interest through engagement with the media. An important product of these roundtables has been the Jakarta Call to Action on Cancer Control. The growth and ageing of populations is a global challenge for cancer services. In the less developed parts of Asia, and elsewhere, these problems are compounded by the epidemiological transition to Western lifestyles and lack of awareness of cancer at the government level. For many years, health services in less developed countries have concentrated on infectious diseases and mother-and-child health; despite a recent wake-up call (United Nations, 2010), these health services have so far failed to allow for the huge increase in cancer cases to come. It has been estimated that, in Asia, the number of new cancer cases per year will grow from 6.1 million in 2008 to 10.6 million in 2030 (Sankaranarayanan et al., 2014). In the countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), corresponding figures are 770 thousand in 2012 (Figure 1), rising to 1.3 million in 2030 (Ferlay et al., 2012). ASEAN consists of Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam. It, thus, includes low- and middle-income countries where the double whammy of infectious and chronic diseases will pose an enormous challenge in allocating limited resources to competing health issues. Cancer statistics, even at the sub-national level, only tell part of the story. Many individuals who contract cancer in poor countries have no medical insurance and no, or limited, expectation of public assistance. Whilst any person who has a family member with cancer can expect to bear some consequential burden of care or expense, in a poor family in a poor environment the burden will surely be greater. This additional burden from cancer is rarely considered, and even more rarely quantified, even in developed nations.

3D C.G. 애니메이션에 반영된 문화적 이데올로기 - <슈렉>을 중심으로 (A study on the cultural ideology of narrative in 3D C.G. Animation )

  • 고은영
    • 만화애니메이션 연구
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    • 통권6호
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    • pp.7-22
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    • 2002
  • Animation constitutes the core of the media industry, which in turn lies at the center of the cultural industry. It is considered one of the industries where South Korea has the competitive edge over other countries. With the pool of customers getting wider, the genre of animation has become more and more diverse, forming a great market for it. Aware of this trend, this study focused on animation as a part of the pop culture, and on providing corresponding various viewpoints for future cultural studies. This researcher measured the practicality and persuasiveness of this study through Shreck, a three-dimensional C.G. animation which is acclaimed for its success in dismantling the old grammar of animation movies that represent the anti-Disney ideas. This researcher felt it imperative to heed the unique language of Shreck, which contains discourses on various cultural ideologies such as paradoxical structure that pits entertainment that is shown through dismantling of the canon, feminism and antifeminism against each other. This study analyzed the entertaining element of the animation genre by means of the Semiotics of Keith Moxey, thereby attempting to establish a legitimate social status of the genre, whose artfulness has been depreciated in the art society. In chapter II, this researcher examines the chronological development of three-dimensional C.G. animation that has shown a rapid advancement. Chapter III defines the cultural ideology of Shreck by exploring basic theories and texts employed in analysis of art works. This study started with the assumption that defines, from the viewpoint of symbology, the animation text as an aggregate of discourses on entertainment, and competitive and paradoxical ideologies. Then, this researcher analyzed the text and the generation process of meanings in Shreck. Consequently, this study has come to the following conclusions: First, Shreck induces changes of concepts about the canon by means of distorting and reversing the existing animation movies, which seems to reflect in the contemporary tendency of seeking new interpretations of entertainment. Second, Shreck shows up the cognitive changes of our age as to feminism by competing feminism against antifeminism. Although Shreck serves as a venue of competition between the two opposing ideas, it stops short of brushing off women as outsiders in society. Rather, it represents the resistance to the male chauvinism existing in the structures of animation and culture. As shown in the text analysis, Shreck presents an advent of a new ideology critical of the previous animation films. In addition, it reflects in the struggle between the pro-feminism on the part of the viewers and the anti-feminism that lies in the social and culture structure. This study, however, is limited in its scope and selection of subject. First, although this researcher has stressed the importance of understanding the animation as part of the pop culture and conducting researches within the historic paradigm, this study fails to provide an in-depth insight in the impacts that the changes in the C.G. industry and the systematic conditions may have on the three-dimensional C.G. animation genre. Furthermore, this study runs the risk of being understood as pro-American due to its selection of Shreck as its research subject.

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