• 제목/요약/키워드: comparison accuracy

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Comparison of Price Predictive Ability between Futures Market and Expert System for WTI Crude Oil Price (선물시장과 전문가예측시스템의 가격예측력 비교 - WTI 원유가격을 대상으로 -)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.201-220
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    • 2005
  • Recently, we have been witnessing new records of crude oil price hikes. One question which naturally arises would be the possibility and accuracy of forecasting crude oil prices. This study tries to answer the relative predictability of futures prices compared to the forecasts based on experts system. Using WTI crude oil spot and futures prices, this study performs simple statistical comparisons in forecasting accuracy and a formal test of differences in forecasting errors. According to statistical results, WTI crude oil futures market turns out to be equally efficient relative to EIA experts system. Consequently, WTI crude oil futures market could be utilized as a market-based tool for price forecasting and/or resource allocation for both of petroleum producers and consumers.

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Accuracy Assessment for GPS Aerial Triangulation (GPS 항공삼각측량의 정확도 분석)

  • 임삼성;김충평;노현호
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 1998
  • In this study, we utilized various type of GPS observation measurements to get a camera projection center of the aerial triangulation and consequently to determine which type is acceptable. For the accuracy and the error analysis, comparison between a projection center from the conventional model adjustment and the result determined by the kinematic DGPS positioning which is fitted to the conventional model adjustment using 3D conformal transformation method has been made. The camera projection center is located within a $\pm{2m}$ for C/A code range measurements, $\pm{14cm}$ for L1 phase measurements and $\pm{10cm}$ for L1/L2 phase measurements with $1\sigma$. In this way, the accuracy of the camera projection center by the bundle block adjustment can be predicted.

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A Numerical Experiments on the Atmospheric Circulation over a Complex Terrain around Coastal Area. Part II : (연안부근 복잡지형의 대기유동장 수치실험 II -부산광역지역에 대한 국지순환모형의 적용-)

  • 김유근
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2000
  • Since Pusan metropolitanarea where is composed complex terrain is connected to sea the sea-land breeze circulation and the mountain-valley circulation are apt to form A regional scale circulation system is formed at a region which has complex terrain because of curves of its and affect to the dispersion and advection of air pollutants. LCM Local Circulation Model which a propriety was verified described that sea breeze and valley wind at the daytime and land breeze and mountain wind at the nighttime were well devellped over the Pusan metropolital area. Next for the investigation of accuracy of simulated results an observed value at Kae-Kum and Su-Young on the pusan metropolitan area were compared with it at those points. From the comparison of the temperature and horizontal velocity between the results of LCM and an observed values they have a similar trend of a diurnal variation. For the prediction of dispersion and transportation of air pollutants the wind field should be calculated with high accuracy. A numerical simulation using LCM can provide more accuracy results around Pusan metropolitan area.

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Cytology of Crush Preparation in Central Nervous System Lesions (중추신경계 병변의 압착도말 세포학적 소견)

  • Yang, Young-Il;Park, Sul-Mi;Kim, Young-Joo;Khang, Shin-Kwang
    • The Korean Journal of Cytopathology
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 1994
  • This study was performed in order to evaluate the accuracy and the usefulness of the cytology of crush preparation in central nervous system (CNS) lesions. Forty four intraoperative biopsies were performed at the time of craniotomy including 34 benign and 10 malignant lesions. Crush preparations were prepared from tiny tissue fragments of craniotomy products. All cases were stained with toluidine blue. Intraoperative diagnoses made on cytologic examination were compared with the final paraffin section diagnoses. Comparison between the results of the cytologic and histologic findings revealed an overall diagnostic accuracy of 88.6%. This study attests to the diagnostic accuracy of cytologic examination in CNS lesions. The detailed cytologic features are described and important criteria for the cytodiagnosis of CNS lesions are discussed. This review leads us to think that cytologic examination by crush preparation in CNS lesions is considered as a simple, safe and highly diagnostically accurate method.

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Calculation of the Thrust of Linear Pulse Motor (리니어 펄스모터의 추력 산정)

  • Kim, Dong-Hee;Bae, Dong-Kwan;Kim, Kwang-Heon;Park, Hyun-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.05b
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    • pp.3-7
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    • 2003
  • Usually, the thrust is calculated by magnetic equivalent circuit modelling method for thrust capacity and accuracy progress of position control about a Linear Pulse Motor of which position precision is good and open-loop control is possible within Linear Motors. Analytical thrust deviation exists to calculating magnetic flux density by using Permeance Modelling Method, Finite Element Method, and Velocity Electric Motive Force Method. For calculating accuracy thrust by using these every method, the thrust is calculated and compared by Lorentz Force Method, Magnetic Coenergy Method, and Maxwell correspondence force Method. And that becomes important factor at the comparison of each capacity and parameter of Motor. So this study wants to compare and analyze measurement data and calculating data of the static force of Linear Pulse Motor. and then we can get more accuracy method, calculating the static thrust of Linear Pulse Motor(LPM).

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Indoor Mobile Localization System and Stabilization of Localization Performance using Pre-filtering

  • Ko, Sang-Il;Choi, Jong-Suk;Kim, Byoung-Hoon
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.204-213
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we present the practical application of an Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) for an Indoor Mobile Localization System using ultrasonic sensors. It is true that many kinds of localization techniques have been researched for several years in order to contribute to the realization of a ubiquitous system; particularly, such a ubiquitous system needs a high degree of accuracy to be practical and efficient. Unfortunately, a number of localization systems for indoor space do not have sufficient accuracy to establish any special task such as precise position control of a moving target even though they require comparatively high developmental cost. Therefore, we developed an Indoor Mobile Localization System having high localization performance; specifically, the Unscented Kalman Filter is applied for improving the localization accuracy. In addition, we also present the additive filter named 'Pre-filtering' to compensate the performance of the estimation algorithm. Pre-filtering has been developed to overcome negative effects from unexpected external noise so that localization through the Unscented Kalman Filter has come to be stable. Moreover, we tried to demonstrate the performance comparison of the Unscented Kalman Filter and another estimation algorithm, such as the Unscented Particle Filter (UPF), through simulation for our system.

Comparison of Two Methods for Size-interpolation on CRT Display : Analog Stimulus-Digital Response Vs. Digital Stimulus-Analog Response (CRT 표시장치에서 두 형태의 크기-내삽 추정 방법의 비교 연구 : 상사자극-계수 반응과 계수 자극-상사반응)

  • Ro, Jae-ho
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.14
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    • pp.127-140
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    • 1994
  • This study is concerned with the accuracy and the patterns when different methods was used in interpolation task. Although 3 methods employed the same modality for input (visual) and for output (manual responding), they differed in central processing, which method 1 is relatively more tendency of verbal processing, method 2 is realtively more tendency of spatial processing and method 3 needed a number of switching code (verbal/spatial) performing task. Split-plot design was adopted, which whole plot consisted of methods (3), orientations (horizon, vertical), base-line sizes (300, 500, 700 pixels) and split plot consisted of target locations (1-99). The results showed the anchor effect and the range effect. Method 2, method 3 and method 1 that order was better accuracy. ANOVA showed that the accuracy was significantly influenced by the method, the location of target, and its interactions ($method{\times}location$, $size{\times}location$). Analysis of error data, response time and frequency of under, just, over estimate indicated that a systematic error pattern was made in task and methods changed not only the performance but also the pattern. The results provided support for the importance of the multiple resources theory in accounting for S-C-R compatibility and task performance. They are discussed in terms of multiple resources theory and guidelines for system design is suggested by the S-C-R compatibility.

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A Study on Accuracy of Environmental Reporting in Korean Major Dailies (국내 중앙 일간지 환경보도의 정확성에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn Jong-ju
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2002
  • Generally, inaccurate reports on environmental issues occur due to various factors. The purpose of this study was to find out a way to enhance accuracy of environmental reporting. So the reporters' career and college major had been compared to the accuracy of their articles. The by-lined environmental articles in nine dailies published in 1991 were checked. Results of this study were as follows. (I) Inaccuracy rate in environmental articles was 54.2%. Inaccuracies appeared 1.7 times per an article, while the average frequency of inaccuracies in overall articles was 0.9 time. (2) Errors in the articles consist of 65.8% of subjective inaccuracies and 34.2% of subjective inaccuracies. They derive from the false usage of terminology(15.8% ),misquotation(14.5%), incorrect statistics(13%), exaggeration(13%), inaccurate title(7.9%), and false comparison(5%). (3) Inaccuracy rate by the type of articles was 66.7% in columns, 60% in feature stories, 54.5% in-depth stories, 40.9% in straight news, respectively. (4) Inaccuracy rate by the specific field was shown 71.4% in environmental impacts assessment, 52.5% in water pollution, 37.5% in waste management, and 35.7% in air pollution. (5) According to the result of chi-square test analysis, there were no statistically significant differences of inaccuracy rate and of subjective, and objective inaccuracies relevant to the period of reporters' career covering environmental reporting and the nature of articles, and college major.

Binary Classification Method using Invariant CSP for Hand Movements Analysis in EEG-based BCI System

  • Nguyen, Thanh Ha;Park, Seung-Min;Ko, Kwang-Eun;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.178-183
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we proposed a method for electroencephalogram (EEG) classification using invariant CSP at special channels for improving the accuracy of classification. Based on the naive EEG signals from left and right hand movement experiment, the noises of contaminated data set should be eliminate and the proposed method can deal with the de-noising of data set. The considering data set are collected from the special channels for right and left hand movements around the motor cortex area. The proposed method is based on the fit of the adjusted parameter to decline the affect of invariant parts in raw signals and can increase the classification accuracy. We have run the simulation for hundreds time for each parameter and get averaged value to get the last result for comparison. The experimental results show the accuracy is improved more than the original method, the highest result reach to 89.74%.

Power Efficient Classification Method for Sensor Nodes in BSN Based ECG Monitoring System

  • Zeng, Min;Lee, Jeong-A
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.9B
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    • pp.1322-1329
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    • 2010
  • As body sensor network (BSN) research becomes mature, the need for managing power consumption of sensor nodes has become evident since most of the applications are designed for continuous monitoring. Real time Electrocardiograph (ECG) analysis on sensor nodes is proposed as an optimal choice for saving power consumption by reducing data transmission overhead. Smart sensor nodes with the ability to categorize lately detected ECG cycles communicate with base station only when ECG cycles are classified as abnormal. In this paper, ECG classification algorithms are described, which categorize detected ECG cycles as normal or abnormal, or even more specific cardiac diseases. Our Euclidean distance (ED) based classification method is validated to be most power efficient and very accurate in determining normal or abnormal ECG cycles. A close comparison of power efficiency and classification accuracy between our ED classification algorithm and generalized linear model (GLM) based classification algorithm is provided. Through experiments we show that, CPU cycle power consumption of ED based classification algorithm can be reduced by 31.21% and overall power consumption can be reduced by 13.63% at most when compared with GLM based method. The accuracy of detecting NSR, APC, PVC, SVT, VT, and VF using GLM based method range from 55% to 99% meanwhile, we show that the accuracy of detecting normal and abnormal ECG cycles using our ED based method is higher than 86%.