• 제목/요약/키워드: climatology

검색결과 181건 처리시간 0.043초

Global Patterns of Pigment Concentration, Cloud Cover, and Sun Glint: Application to the OSMI Data Collection Planning

  • Kim, Yong-Seung;Kang, Chi-Ho;Lim, Hyo-Suk
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 1998년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.387-392
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    • 1998
  • To establish a monthly data collection planning for the Ocean Scanning Multispectral Imager (OSMI), we have examined the global patterns of three impacting factors: pigment concentration, cloud cover, and sun glint. Other than satellite mission constraints (e.g., duty cycle), these three factors are considered critical for the OSMI data collection. The Nimbus-7 Coastal Zone Color Scanner (CZCS) monthly mean products and the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) monthly mean products (C2) were used for the analysis of pigment concentration and cloud cover distributions, respectively. And the monthly simulated patterns of sun glint were produced by performing the OSMI orbit prediction and the calculation of sun glint radiances at the top-of-atmosphere (TOA). Using monthly statistics (mean and/or standard deviation) of each factor in the above for a given 10$^{\circ}$ latitude by 10$^{\circ}$ longitude grid, we generated the priority map for each month. The priority maps of three factors for each month were subsequently superimposed to visualize the impact of three factors in all. The initial results illustrated that a large part of oceans in the summer hemisphere was classified into the low priority regions because of seasonal changes of clouds and sun illumination. Sensitivity tests were performed to see how cloud cover and sun glint affect the priority determined by pigment concentration distributions, and consequently to minimize their seasonal effects upon the data collection planning.

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Simulation of anomalous Indian Summer Monsoon of 2002 with a Regional Climate Model

  • Singh, G.P.;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2008
  • The Indian summer monsoon behaved in an abnormal way in 2002 and as a result there was a large deficiency in precipitation (especially in July) over a large part of the Indian subcontinent. For the study of deficient monsoon of 2002, a recent version of the NCAR regional climate model (RegCM3) has been used to examine the important features of summer monsoon circulations and precipitation during 2002. The main characteristics of wind fields at lower level (850 hPa) and upper level (200 hPa) and precipitation simulated with the RegCM3 over the Indian subcontinent are studied using different cumulus parameterization schemes namely, mass flux schemes, a simplified Kuo-type scheme and Emanuel (EMU) scheme. The monsoon circulation features simulated by RegCM3 are compared with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and simulated precipitation is validated against observation from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC). Validation of the wind fields at lower and upper levels shows that the use of Arakawa and Schubert (AS) closure in Grell convection scheme, a Kuo type and Emanuel schemes produces results close to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Similarly, precipitation simulated with RegCM3 over different homogeneous zones of India with the AS closure in Grell is more close to the corresponding observed monthly and seasonal values. RegcM3 simulation also captured the spatial distribution of deficient rainfall in 2002.

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개선된 샘플링 방법에 기초한 삼각프리즘법 (Triangular Prism Method Based on an Enhanced Sampling Method)

  • 진강규
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2013
  • 프랙탈 이론은 컴퓨터 과학, 공학, 의학, 기상학 등 여러 분야에서 직면하는 복잡하고 불규칙적인 자연현상을 모델링할 수 있는 효과적인 도구로서 인정받아 왔다. 본 연구에서는 지형 및 이미지의 프랙탈 정보 추출에 많이 이용되는 삼각프리즘법의 정밀도를 개선하는 문제를 다룬다. 이를 위해 기존의 샘플링 방법들을 분석하고 그들의 장점을 취하는 새로운 샘플링 방법을 제안한다. 가상의 프랙탈 맵에서 제안된 방법을 다른 방법과 비교하며 그 유효성을 검정한다.

Characteristics of downslope winds in the Liguria Region

  • Burlando, Massimiliano;Tizzi, Marco;Solari, Giovanni
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.613-635
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    • 2017
  • Strong downslope windstorms often occur in the Liguria Region. This part of North-Western Italy is characterised by an almost continuous mountain range along its West-East axis consisting of Maritime Alps and Apennines, which separate the Padan Plain to the North from the Mediterranean Sea to the South. Along this mountain range many valleys occur, frequently perpendicular to the mountain range axis, where strong gap flows sometimes develop from the top of the mountains ridge to the sea. In the framework of the European projects "Wind and Ports" and "Wind, Ports, and Sea", an anemometric monitoring network made up of 15 (ultra)sonic anemometric stations and 2 LiDARs has been realised in the three main commercial ports of Liguria. Thanks to this network two investigations are herein carried out. First, the wind climatology and the main statistical parameters of one Liguria valley have been studied through the analysis of the measurements taken along a period of 4 years by the anemometer placed at its southern exit. Then, the main characteristics of two strong gap flows that occurred in two distinct valley of Liguria are examined. Both these studies focus, on the one hand, on the climatological and meteorological characterisation of the downslope wind events and, on the other hand, on their most relevant quantities that can affect wind engineering problems.

Development of a Drought Detection Indicator using MODIS Thermal Infrared Data

  • Park, Sun-Yurp
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2004
  • Based on surface energy balance climatology, surface temperatures should respond to drying conditions well before plant response. To test this hypothesis, land surface temperatures (LST) derived from MODIS data were analyzed to determine how the data were correlated with climatic water balance variables and NDVI anomalies during a growing season in Western and Central Kansas. Daily MODIS data were integrated into weekly composites so that each composite data set included the maximum temperature recorded at each pixel during each composite period. Time-integrated, or cumulative values of the LST deviation standardized with mean air temperatures had significantly high correlation coefficients with SM, AE/PE, and MD/PE, ranging from 0.65 to 0.89. The Standardized Thermal Index (STI) is proposed in this study to accomplish the objective. The STI, based on surface temperatures standardized with observed mean air temperatures, had significant temporal relationships with the hydroclimatological factors. STI classes in all the composite periods also had a strong correlation with NDVI declines during a drought episode. Results showed that, based on LST, air temperature observations, and water budget analysis, NDVI declines below normal could be predicted as early as 8 weeks in advance in this study area.

위성영상 기반 강수량을 활용한 동아시아 지역의 기상학적 가뭄지수 적용 (Application of Meteorological Drought Index in East Asia using Satellite-Based Rainfall Products)

  • 문영식;남원호;김태곤
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.123-123
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    • 2019
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 중국, 한국, 일본, 몽골 등을 포함한 동아시아 지역은 태풍, 가뭄, 홍수와 같은 자연재해의 발생 빈도가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 중국의 경우 2017년 극심한 가뭄으로 1,850만 (ha)의 농작물 피해가 발생하였으며, 몽골 또한 2017년 4월 이후 극심한 가뭄으로 사막화가 급속도로 진행되고 있다. 위성 기반의 강우 자료는 공간과 시간 해상도가 높아짐에 따라 지상관측소 강수량 자료의 대체 수단으로 이용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 Climate Hazards Groups InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS), Precipitation Estimation From Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR), Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) 강우 위성 자료를 활용하여 기상학적 가뭄지수인 표준강수지수 (Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)를 산정하였다. 시간 해상도는 월별 영상을 기준으로 2008년부터 2017년까지 지난 10년간의 데이터를 이용하였으며, 각각 격자가 다른 위성영상을 기존 기상관측소와 비교하였다. 피어슨 상관계수 (Pearson Correlation Coefficient, R)를 활용하여 강우 위성 영상과 지상관측소의 상관관계를 분석하고, 평균절대오차 (Mean Absolute Error, MAE), 평균제곱근오차 (Root Mean Square Error, RMSE)를 통해 통계적으로 정확도를 분석하였다. 인공위성 강수량 자료는 미계측 지역이 많은 곳이나 측정이 불가능한 지역에 효율성 측면에서 중요한 이점을 제공할 것으로 판단된다.

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북극해와 북해에서의 해빙 관련 최신 동향(2017년 7월까지) (Recent Trends of Sea Ice in the Arctic Ocean and Northern Sea Route as of July 2017)

  • 하룬 알 러쉬드 아메드;양찬수
    • 한국연안방재학회지
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.133-137
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    • 2017
  • The Arctic region remains surrounded by sea ice during most of the period of the year. In the Arctic Ocean the Northern Sea Route (NSR) has been used as an important route for shipping. The arctic sea ice is decreasing since 1979; hence needs to be monitored. In this research work sea ice concentration in the recent years and sea ice concentration anomalies of few months with long term sea ice concentration are studied. The climatology of long term ice concentration data from various satellites, and the recent sea ice concentration data from Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) were used. The results show that sea ice concentration and sea ice extent in the Arctic region decreased by around 5% from 2015 to 2016, but in 2017 increased again in smaller amount in some areas like around Novaya Zemlya, and parts of the sea in between Greenland and Longyearbyen, and around Banks Island. The percentages of sea ice area in NSR for July 7 in 2015 to 2017 were 37%, 39% and 33%, respectively, indicating a large area (around ten thousand $km^2$) become ice free in 2017 compared to the previous year.

대표 GCM을 이용한 동아시아 몬순 특성 비교 및 분석 (Comparison and Analysis of Characteristics of East Asian Monsoon Using Representative GCMs)

  • 이은정;조재필;박지훈;정임국
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.203-203
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    • 2018
  • 기후변화로 인한 몬순 강수량 변동은 세계에서 가장 인구가 많은 몬순 지역의 농업, 수자원, 에너지, 경제 및 사회와 밀접한 관련이 있으므로, 미래의 몬순 강수량 변화를 예측하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 결합 모델 상호 비교 프로젝트의 5 단계(CMIP5)에서는 복사 강제력이 2100년 이후에 약 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 및 $8.5Wm^{-2}$의 증가로 안정화된다고 가정하는 4가지의 다양한 시나리오(RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, 8.5) 자료를 제공하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 한반도의 강수량에 큰 영향을 미치는 동아시아 여름 몬순의 기후 변화에 대해 더욱 집중하고자 한다. CMIP5 모형 자료에 대하여 대표 GCM 모형 선정을 하기 위해, 수문 분야에서 활용 가능한 기후모델 성능 평가 matrix를 구축하였다. 본 연구에서 사용된 평가 matrix는 동아시아 및 한반도 지역을 대상으로 CMIP5 모형의 강수 및 최고?최저기온에 대한 평균 기후장(spatial climatology)과 연변동성(interannual variability)의 모사력을 각 모형별, 계절별 비교뿐만 아니라 극한기후 모사력도 함께 고려하여, 대표 GCM을 선정하였다. 기후변화에 따른 동아시아 지역의 몬순 특성을 더욱 자세히 살펴보기 위해, 대표 GCM으로 선정된 모형들의 2가지 시나리오(RCP4.5와 RCP.5)에 대해 동아시아 지역에서의 여름 몬순 강수 변동 및 특성을 분석 및 비교하였다.

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An Integrated Artificial Neural Network-based Precipitation Revision Model

  • Li, Tao;Xu, Wenduo;Wang, Li Na;Li, Ningpeng;Ren, Yongjun;Xia, Jinyue
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.1690-1707
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    • 2021
  • Precipitation prediction during flood season has been a key task of climate prediction for a long time. This type of prediction is linked with the national economy and people's livelihood, and is also one of the difficult problems in climatology. At present, there are some precipitation forecast models for the flood season, but there are also some deviations from these models, which makes it difficult to forecast accurately. In this paper, based on the measured precipitation data from the flood season from 1993 to 2019 and the precipitation return data of CWRF, ANN cycle modeling and a weighted integration method is used to correct the CWRF used in today's operational systems. The MAE and TCC of the precipitation forecast in the flood season are used to check the prediction performance of the proposed algorithm model. The results demonstrate a good correction effect for the proposed algorithm. In particular, the MAE error of the new algorithm is reduced by about 50%, while the time correlation TCC is improved by about 40%. Therefore, both the generalization of the correction results and the prediction performance are improved.

A Model to Identify Expeditiously During Storm to Enable Effective Responses to Flood Threat

  • Husain, Mohammad;Ali, Arshad
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2021
  • In recent years, hazardous flash flooding has caused deaths and damage to infrastructure in Saudi Arabia. In this paper, our aim is to assess patterns and trends in climate means and extremes affecting flash flood hazards and water resources in Saudi Arabia for the purpose to improve risk assessment for forecast capacity. We would like to examine temperature, precipitation climatology and trend magnitudes at surface stations in Saudi Arabia. Based on the assessment climate patterns maps and trends are accurately used to identify synoptic situations and tele-connections associated with flash flood risk. We also study local and regional changes in hydro-meteorological extremes over recent decades through new applications of statistical methods to weather station data and remote sensing based precipitation products; and develop remote sensing based high-resolution precipitation products that can aid to develop flash flood guidance system for the flood-prone areas. A dataset of extreme events has been developed using the multi-decadal station data, the statistical analysis has been performed to identify tele-connection indices, pressure and sea surface temperature patterns most predictive to heavy rainfall. It has been combined with time trends in extreme value occurrence to improve the potential for predicting and rapidly detecting storms. A methodology and algorithms has been developed for providing a well-calibrated precipitation product that can be used in the early warning systems for elevated risk of floods.