• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate factor

Search Result 839, Processing Time 0.105 seconds

Sensitivity analysis of flood vulnerability index of levee according to climate change (기후변화에 따른 제방의 홍수취약성지수 민감도 분석)

  • Lee, Hoo Sang;Lee, Jae Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.1161-1169
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this study, a new methodology was proposed to evaluate the flood vulnerability of river levee and to investigate the effect on the levee where the water level changes according to climate change. The stability of levee against seepage was evaluated using SEEP/W model which is two-dimensional groundwater infiltration model. In addition to the infiltration behavior, it is necessary to analyze the vulnerability of the embankment considering the environmental conditions of the river due to climate change. In this study, the levee flood vulnerability index (LFVI) was newly developed by deriving the factors necessary for the analysis of the levee vulnerability. The size of river levee was investigated by selecting the target area. The selected levees were classified into upstream part, midstream part and downstream part at the nearside of Seoul in the Han river, and the safety factor of the levee was analyzed by applying the design flood level of the levee. The safety ratio of the levee was analyzed by applying the design flood level considering the current flood level and the scenario of climate change RCP8.5. The degree of change resulting from climate change was identified for each factor that forms the levee flood vulnerability index. By using the levee flood vulnerability index value utilizing these factors comprehensively, it was finally possible to estimate the vulnerability of levee due to climate change.

Estimated CO2 Emissions and Analysis of Solid Recovered Fuel (SRF) as an Alternative Fuel

  • Kim, Sang-Kyun;Jang, Kee-Won;Hong, Ji-Hyung;Jung, Yong-Won;Kim, Hyung-Chun
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.48-55
    • /
    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to develop a $CO_2$ emission factor for refuse plastic fuel (RPF) combustion facilities, and calculate the $CO_2$ emissions from these facilities. The $CO_2$ reduction from using these facilities was analyzed by comparing $CO_2$ emission to facilities using fossil fuels. The average $CO_2$ emission factor from RPF combustion facilities was 59.7 Mg $CO_2$/TJ. In addition, fossil fuel and RPF use were compared using net calorific value (NCV). Domestic RPF consumption in 2011 was 240,000 Mg/yr, which was compared to fossil fuels using NCV. B-C oil use, which has the same NCV, was equal to RPF use. In contrast, bituminous and anthracite were estimated at 369,231 Mg/yr and 355,556 Mg/yr, respectively. In addition, the reduction in $CO_2$ emissions due to the alternative fuel was analyzed. $CO_2$ emissions were reduced by more than 350 Mg $CO_2$/yr compared to bituminous and anthracite. We confirmed that using RPF, an alternative fuel, can reduce $CO_2$ emissions.

Evaluation of Applicability of APEX-Paddy Model based on Seasonal Forecast (계절예측 정보 기반 APEX-Paddy 모형 적용성 평가)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Choi, Soon-Kun;Hwang, Syewoon;Park, Jihoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.99-119
    • /
    • 2018
  • Unit load factor, which is used for the quantification of non-point pollution in watersheds, has the limitation that it does not reflect spatial characteristics of soil, topography and temporal change due to the interannual or seasonal variability of precipitation. Therefore, we developed the method to estimate a watershed-scale non-point pollutant load using seasonal forecast data that forecast changes of precipitation up to 6 months from present time for watershed-scale water quality management. To establish a preemptive countermeasure against non-point pollution sources, it is possible to consider the unstructured management plan which is possible over several months timescale. Notably, it is possible to apply various management methods such as control of sowing and irrigation timing, control of irrigation through water management, and control of fertilizer through fertilization management. In this study, APEX-Paddy model, which can consider the farming method in field scale, was applied to evaluate the applicability of seasonal forecast data. It was confirmed that the rainfall amount during the growing season is an essential factor in the non-point pollution pollutant load. The APEX-Paddy model for quantifying non-point pollution according to various farming methods in paddy fields simulated similarly the annual variation tendency of TN and TP pollutant loads in rice paddies but showed a tendency to underestimate load quantitatively.

Evaluation of Agricultural Reservoirs Operation Guideline Using K-HAS and Ratio Correction Factor during Flood Season (수리·수문설계시스템 및 비율보정계수 기법을 활용한 농업용 저수지의 홍수기 운영기준 평가)

  • Jung, Hyoung-mo;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Kyounghwan;Kwak, Yeong-cheol;Choi, Eunhyuk;Yoon, Sungeun;Na, Ra;Joo, Donghyuk;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Yoon, Gwang-sik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.63 no.4
    • /
    • pp.97-104
    • /
    • 2021
  • Despite the practical limitations of calculating the amount of inflow and supply related to the operation of agricultural reservoirs, the role of agricultural reservoirs is gradually being emphasized. In particular, as interest in disaster safety has increased, the demand for preliminary measures to prepare for disasters has been rising, for instance, pre-discharging agricultural reservoirs for flood control. The aim of this study is to analyze the plans for the flood season reservoir operation considering pre-discharge period and water level limit. Accordingly, we optimized the simulation of daily storage using the ratio correction factor (RCFs) and analyzed the amount of inflow and supply using K-HAS. In addition we developed the drought determination coefficient (k) as a indicator of water availability and applied it for supplementing the risk level criteria in the Drought Crisis Response Manual. The results showed that it would be difficult to set the water level limit during the flood period in the situation of little water supply for flood control in agricultural reservoirs. Therefore, it is necessary to operate the reservoir management regulations after measures such as securing additional storage water are established in the future.

Application and Development of Carbon Emissions Factors for Deciduous Species in Republic of Korea - Robinia pseudoacacia, Betula platyphylla, and Liriodendron tulipifera - (국내 활엽수종의 탄소배출계수 개발 및 적용 - 아까시나무, 자작나무, 백합나무를 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Sun Jeoung;Yim, Jong Su;Kang, Jin Take;Kim, Raehyun;Son, Yowhan;Park, Gawn Su;Son, Yeong Mo
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.393-399
    • /
    • 2017
  • According to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), all parties have to submit the national GHG inventory report. Estimating carbon stocks and changes in Land Use, Land-Use Changes and Forestry (LULUCF) needs an activity data and emission factors. So this study was conducted to develop carbon emission factor for Robinia pseudoacacia L., Betula platyphylla var. japonica, and Liriodendron tulipifera. As a result, the basic wood density ($g/cm_3$) was 0.64 for R. pseudoacacia, 0.55 for B. platyphylla, and 0.46 for L. tulipifera. Biomass expansion factor was 1.47 for R. pseudoacacia, 1.30 for B. platyphylla, and 1.24 for L. tulipifera. Root to shoot ratio was 0.48 for R. pseudoacacia, 0.29 for B. platyphylla, and 0.23 for L. tulipifera. Uncertainty of estimated emission factors on three species ranged from 3.39% to 27.43% within recommended value (30%) by IPCC. We calculated carbon stock and change using these emission factors. Three species stored carbon in forest and net $CO_2$ removal was $1,255,398\;t\;CO_2/yr$ during 5 years. So we concluded that our result could be used as emission factors for national GHG inventory report on forest sector.

The Estimation of PM2.5 Emissions and Their Contribution Analysis by Source Categories in Korea (국내 배출원별 PM2.5 배출량 산정 및 배출 기여도 분석)

  • Jin, Hyung-Ah;Lee, Ju-Hyoung;Lee, Kyung-Mi;Lee, Hyang-Kyeong;Kim, Bo-Eun;Lee, Dong-Won;Hong, You-Deog
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.211-221
    • /
    • 2012
  • The Ministry of Environment will enforce air quality standards for $PM_{2.5}$ in 2015 because it affects human health as well as climate change and brings about other adverse effects. Until recently, even though a number of researches have reported $PM_{2.5}$ emissions according to sources, they have not precisely considered the emission factors correspondent to each source for emission estimation. For the sake of establishing $PM_{2.5}$ emission inventories, this study was undertaken using activity data of each source taken from CAPSS (Clean Air Policy Support System) multiplied by each emission factor of U.S. EPA Speciate or EEA CORINAIR. The 2008's total annual $PM_{2.5}$ emission (73.971 ton/yr) can be apportioned into five sources, such as fuel combustion facilities (62.2%), mobiles (33.8%), production processes (3.2%), fires (0.4%), and waste treatments (0.3%). The results show that fuel combustion facilities and mobiles are the predominant sources of $PM_{2.5}$, and they should be taken into great account in establishing $PM_{2.5}$ standards. In addition, it is necessary and urgent to develop effective measures for reduction of $PM_{2.5}$ emissions from those two main sources as well.

Habitat prediction and impact assessment of Neolitsea sericea (Blume) Koidz. under Climate Change in Korea (기후변화에 따른 한반도 참식나무 생육지 예측과 영향 평가)

  • Yun, Jong-Hak;Nakao, Katsuhiro;Kim, Jung-Hyun;Kim, Sun-Yu;Park, Chan-Ho;Lee, Byoung-Yoon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.101-111
    • /
    • 2014
  • The research was carried out in order to find climate factors which determine the distribution of Neolitsea sericea, and the potential habitats (PHs) under the current climate and three climate change scenario by using species distribution models (SDMs). Four climate factors; the minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC), the warmth index (WI), summer precipitation (PRS), and winter precipition (PRW) : were used as independent variables for the model. Three general circulation models under A1B emission scenarios were used as future climate scenarios for the 2050s (2040~2069) and 2080s (2070~2099). Highly accurate SDMs were obtained for N. sericea. The model of distribution for N. sericea constructed by SDMs showed that minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC) is a major climate factor in determining the distribution of N. sericea. The area above the $-4.4^{\circ}C$ of TMC revealed high occurrence probability of the N. sericea. Future PHs for N. sericea were projected to increase respectively by 4 times, 6.4 times of current PHs under 2050s and 2080s. It is expected that the potential of N. sericea habitats is expanded gradually. N. sericea is applicable as indicator species for monitoring in the Korean Peninsula. N. sericea is necessary to be monitored of potential habitats.

The Direction and Implication of Urban Development in the Age of Response Climate Change (기후변화 대응시대의 도시개발방향과 시사점)

  • Oh, Eun-Yeol
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-39
    • /
    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to present the direction and implications of urban development in relation to climate risk factors and environment for practical implementation of urban development in response to climate change. The research method was carried out through a qualitative data survey and analysis. As a result of the study, the direction of urban development according to the climate risk factors emphasized the importance of preparing conditions for urban development by establishing a damage prevention system for natural disasters and analyzing the risk of natural disasters by conducting analysis of the impact and vulnerability of climate change in urban planning. The direction of urban development on the environmental side suggested the need for the promotion of public transport oriented development (TOD) in the form of urban planning to realize sustainable and practical urban development. Future research directions will need to be supplemented with more quantitative and empirical findings.

An Analysis of the Effect of Climate Change on Nakdong River Environmental Flow (낙동강 유역 환경유량에 대한 기후변화의 영향 분석)

  • Lee, A Yeon;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.27 no.3
    • /
    • pp.273-285
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study describes the modeling of climate change impact on runoff across southeast Korea using a conceptual rainfall-runoff model TANK and assesses the results using the concept of environmental flows developed by International Water Management Institute. The future climate time series is obtained by scaling the historical series, informed by 4 global climate models and 3 greenhouse gas emission scenarios, to reflect a $4.0^{\circ}C$ increase at most in average surface air temperature and 31.7% increase at most in annual precipitation, using the spatio-temporal changing factor method that considers changes in the future mean seasonal rainfall and potential evapotranspiration as well as in the daily rainfall distribution. Although the simulation results from different global circulation models and greenhouse emission scenarios indicate different responses in flows to the climate change, the majority of the modeling results show that there will be more runoff in southeast Korea in the future. However, there is substantial uncertainty, with the results ranging from a 5.82% decrease to a 48.15% increase in the mean annual runoff averaged across the study area according to the corresponding climate change scenarios. We then assess the hydrologic perturbations based on the comparison between present and future flow duration curves suggested by IMWI. As a result, the effect of hydrologic perturbation on aquatic ecosystems may be significant at several locations of the Nakdong river main stream in dry season.

Northern distribution limits and future suitable habitats of warm temperate evergreen broad-leaved tree species designated as climate-sensitive biological indicator species in South Korea

  • Sookyung, Shin;Jung-Hyun, Kim;Duhee, Kang;Jin-Seok, Kim;Hong Gu, Kang;Hyun-Do, Jang;Jongsung, Lee;Jeong Eun, Han;Hyun Kyung, Oh
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
    • /
    • v.46 no.4
    • /
    • pp.292-303
    • /
    • 2022
  • Background: Climate change significantly influences the geographical distribution of plant species worldwide. Selecting indicator species allows for better-informed and more effective ecosystem management in response to climate change. The Korean Peninsula is the northernmost distribution zone of warm temperate evergreen broad-leaved (WTEB) species in Northeast Asia. Considering the ecological value of these species, we evaluated the current distribution range and future suitable habitat for 13 WTEB tree species designated as climate-sensitive biological indicator species. Results: Up-to-date and accurate WTEB species distribution maps were constructed using herbarium specimens and citizen science data from the Korea Biodiversity Observation Network. Current northern limits for several species have shifted to higher latitudes compared to previous records. For example, the northern latitude limit for Stauntonia hexaphylla is higher (37° 02' N, Deokjeokdo archipelago) than that reported previously (36° 13' N). The minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) is the major factor influencing species distribution. Under future climate change scenarios, suitable habitats are predicted to expand toward higher latitudes inland and along the western coastal areas. Conclusions: Our results support the suitability of WTEB trees as significant biological indicators of species' responses to warming. The findings also suggest the need for consistent monitoring of species distribution shifts. This study provides an important baseline dataset for future monitoring and management of indicator species' responses to changing climate conditions in South Korea.