• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate change impacts

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A Study on Constructing Bottom-up Model for Electric Sector (전력부문 온실가스 감축정책 평가를 위한 상향식 모형화 방안)

  • Kim, Hugon;Paik, Chunhyun;Chung, Yongjoo;Ahn, Younghwan
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.114-129
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    • 2016
  • Since the release of mid-term domestic GHG goals until 2020, in 2009, some various GHG reduction policies have been proposed to reduce the emission rate about 30% compared to BAU scenario. There are two types of modeling approaches for identifying options required to meet greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement targets and assessing their economic impacts: top-down and bottom-up models. Examples of the bottom-up optimization models include MARKAL, MESSAGE, LEAP, and AIM, all of which are developed based on linear programming (LP) with a few differences in user interface and database utilization. The bottom-up model for electric sector requires demand management, regeneration energy mix, fuel conversation, etc., thus it has a very complex aspect to estimate some various policies. In this paper, we suggest a bottom-up BAU model for electric sector and how we can build it through step-by-step procedures such that includes load region, hydro-dam and pumping storage.

Development of Composite Soil Quality Index Evaluation System based on Web GIS (Web GIS기반의 복합적 토양 질 평가 시스템 개발)

  • Sung, Yunsoo;Yang, Jae E;Kim, Sung Chul;Ryu, Jichul;Jang, Wonseok;Kum, Donghyuk;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.693-699
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    • 2015
  • It has been known that torrential rainfall events have been occurring worldwide due to climate change. The accelerated soil erosion has caused negative impacts on water quality and ecosystem of receiving waterbodies. Since soil security issues have been arising in various areas of the world, intensive interests have been given to topsoil management in Korea. Thus in this study, Web GIS-based computing system of physical, chemical, and biological topsoil quality indices were developed. In this study, five soil quality maps at national scale and top soil erosion potential were prepared for evaluation of soil quality based on soil erosion potential. For this system, the open source Web GIS engine, OpenGeo, was used as core engine of the system. With this system, decision makers or related personnel in areas of soil erosion Best Management Practices (BMPs) would be able to find the most appropriate soil erosion BMPs based on soil erosion potential and soil quality at the area of interest. The Web GIS system would be efficiently used in decision making processes because of ease-of-use interface and scientific data used in this system. This Web GIS system would be efficiently used because this system could provide scientific knowledge to decision makers or stakeholders. Currently various BMP database are being built to be used as a decision support system in topsoil management and topsoil quality areas.

A Study on Meayres to Minimize Human Damage in Natural Disaster Vulnerable Areas (자연재해 취약지역 인명피해 최소화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Jung Pyo;Cho, Won Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2014
  • Due to the recent climate change impact, natural disasters occur due to sea surface rising, typhoon attacks, flash floods, local heavy rainfalls, landslides, and coastal area erosion, continuing to cause human and property damage. These impacts, coupled with urbanization and industrialization activities, are turning the previously safe areas into disaster-vulnerable areas, increasing human and economic damage. This paper aimed to prepare measures designed to minimize human damage in natural disaster vulnerable parts of South Korea in summer. Toward that end, how vulnerable areas were managed and what the damage was like were studied. Also, cases of human damage and statistics there of were reviewed and analyzed, relevant problems were derived, and thus structural and non-structural measures designed to minimize human damage were presented.

A Comparative Study on Low-Carbon Port Management of Busan and LA/LB - On the Basis of Port Management Cost - (LA/LB항과 부산항의 저탄소 항만운영에 관한 비교연구 - 비용부담을 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Dong-Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.223-228
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    • 2010
  • In the midst of worldwide response to climate change, the advanced ports including LA/LB(Los Angeles/Long Beach) has started to reduce carbon emission from port area which has not been targets of interests in the worldwide cooperation. Recently, the Port of Busan has started to reduce carbon emission from the port area under the Green Port Strategy in Korea. However, the low-carbon port management increases the cost of port management and negatively impacts the port competitiveness in the short term. Therefore, the Busan Port Authority is carrying out the low-carbon projects directly and has not transfer the cost to the port users, such as shipowers, cargo owners and terminal operators. However, the Port Authority of LA/LB has transferred the cost at low-carbon port management to customers of port. In this study, comparative analysis on cost of low-carbon port management at Busan and LA/LB is carried out for sustainable port management.

Assessment of Future Climate and Land Use Change Impacts on Watershed Hydrology and Water Quality (미래 기후변화와 토지이용변화가 유역 수문과 수질에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Da Rae;Lee, Ji Wan;Jung, Chung Gil;Joon, Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.164-164
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    • 2017
  • 토지이용 및 토지피복 변화는 인간의 활동에 따른 결과를 반영하며 자연환경의 변화와도 밀접한 관련이 있다. 수문환경의 변화는 수로 건설이나 하천정비, 사진개간, 도시화 등과 같은 인위적인 변화와 지구온난화에 따라 변화하는 기후 패턴에도 많은 영향을 받고 있다. 본 연구에서는 안성천 공도수위관측소 상류유역을 대상으로 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment) 모형을 이용하여 현재의 유역 수문환경조건을 보다 현실적으로 분석하기 위해 연구를 실시하였다. 유역의 수문환경 조건을 정량적으로 파악하기 위하여 CLUE-s 모형을 이용한 토지이용변화가 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 수문학적 거동(지표유출, 증발산량, 총유출량, 수질거동)에 미치는 영향을 SWAT모형을 이용하여 파악하고자 하였다. 안성천의 공도 수위관측소($366.5km^2$)을 대상으로 유역 내 3지점의 기상관측소(이천, 수원, 천안)를 대상으로 40년(1976~2015)동안의 일 기상자료를 수집하여 SWAT 모형을 구축하였다. 평년 및 가뭄년을 포함하는 선별된 기간에 대하여 다양한 목적함수($R^2$, NSE, RMSE)를 활용하여 일반적인 전체기간 검보정 방법이 아닌 각각의 조합된 기간의 극단적 유출특성에 초점을 맞추어 검보정을 수행하였다. 이와 같이, 앞서 실시한 연구로 모형의 매개변수들을 해당 유역에 가뭄과 같은 극단적 유출상황에 따라 선행보정 실시하였으며, 이는 이번 연구에서의 모형의 신뢰성 있는 수문 및 수질 거동 분석을 할 수 있을 것이라 생각된다. 선행 연구 자료를 이용하여 토지이용변화를 고려한 본 연구를 통해 미래의 유역 수문환경조건 변화에 따라 수자원을 정량적으로 파악하는 데에 도움이 될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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On the Linkage Between Irrigation Facilities and Rice Production Under Drought Events (가뭄사상 및 농업수리시설물이 쌀 생산량에 미치는 영향에 대한 상관 분석)

  • Woo, Seung-Beom;Nam, Won-Ho;Jeon, Min-Gi;Yoon, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Taegon;Sung, Jae-Hoon;Kim, Han-Joong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.5
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2021
  • Drought is a disaster that causes prolonged and wide scale damage. Recently, the severity and frequency of drought occurrences, and drought damage have been increased significantly due to climate change. As a result, a quantitative study of drought factors is needed to better understand and prevent future droughts. In the case of agricultural drought, several existing studies examine the economic damage caused by droughts and their causes, but these studies are not well suited to estimating crop-oriented agricultural drought damage and the factors that absolutely affect agricultural drought. This study determines which factors most affect agricultural drought. It examines meteorological factors and those related to agricultural water supplied by irrigation facilities. Rice paddy production per unit area is lower than the average from the last two years where agricultural drought occurred. We compare the relative frequency of agricultural drought impacts with irrigation facilities, effective reservoir storage, the number of water supply facilities, and the meteorological drought index such as Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). To identify factors that affect agricultural drought, we correlate rice paddy production anomalies with irrigation water supply for the past two years. There was a high positive correlation between rice paddy production and irrigation water usage, and there was a low or moderate negative correlation between rice paddy production anomalies compared to the average of the past two years and SPI. As a result, agricultural water supply by irrigation facilities was judged to be more influential than meteorological factors in rice paddy production. This study is expected to help local governments establish policies related to agricultural drought response.

Molecular Characterization of Dissolved Organic Matter Unveils their Complexity, Origin, and Fate in Glacier and Glacial-Fed Streams and Lakes on the Tibetan Plateau

  • Kim, Min Sung;Zhou, Lei;Choi, Mira;Zhang, Yunlin;Zhou, Yongqiang;Jang, Kyoung-Soon
    • Mass Spectrometry Letters
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.192-199
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    • 2021
  • Alpine glaciers harbor a large quantity of bio-labile dissolved organic matter (DOM), which plays a pivotal role in global carbon cycling as glacial-fed streams are headwaters of numerous large rivers. To understand the complexity, origin, and fate of DOM in glaciers and downstream-linked streams and lakes, we elucidated the molecular composition of DOM in two different Tibetan Plateau glaciers, eight glacial-fed streams and five lakes, using an ultrahigh-resolution 15 Tesla Fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance (FT-ICR) mass spectrometer. The compositional changes of the DOM samples revealed that glacier DOM mostly exhibited sulfur-containing organic compounds (CHOS species). We also found that aliphatic formulae contributed more than 50% of the total abundance of assigned molecules in glacier samples, and those compounds were significantly related to CHOS species. The CHO proportions of glacial-fed streams and lakes samples increased with increasing distance from glacial terminals. The relative contribution of terrestrial-derived organics (i.e., lignins and tannins) declined while microbial-originated organics (aliphatics) increased with increasing elevation. This suggested the gradual input of allochthonous materials from non-glacial environment and the degradation of microbe-derived compounds along lower elevations. Alpine glaciers are retreating as a result of climate change and they nourished numerous streams, rivers, and downstream-linked lakes. Therefore, the interpretations of the detailed molecular changes in glacier ice, glacial-fed streams, and alpine lakes on the Tibetan Plateau could provide broad insights for understanding the biogeochemical cycling of glacial DOM and assessing how the nature of DOM impacts fluvial ecosystems.

The extent of soil organic carbon and total nitrogen in forest fragments of the central highlands of Ethiopia

  • Tolessa, Terefe;Senbeta, Feyera
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.163-173
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    • 2018
  • Background: Deforestation and degradation are currently affecting the ecosystem services of forests. Among the ecosystem services affected by deforestation and degradation are the amount of soil organic carbon (SOC) and total nitrogen (TN) stored in forest soils which have greater impacts in global climate change. This study aimed at examining the amount of SOC and TN in the forest fragments which were separated from the continuous tracts of forests of Jibat and Chillimo through fragmentation processes over four decades. Methods: We have sampled soils from 15 forest fragments of Chillimo and Jibat in the central highlands of Ethiopia. The soil samples obtained in two separate soil depths (0-30 and 30-60 cm) were bulked, dried, and sieved for analysis. Results: Our results have shown that the two sites (Jibat and Chillimo forest fragments) differed in their SOC and TN contents. While the values for Jibat were found to be 29.89 Mg/ha of SOC and 2.84 Mg/ha for TN, it was 14. 06 Mg/ha of SOC and 1.40 Mg/ha for TN for Chillimo. When all forest fragment soil samples were bulked together, Jibat site had twice the value of SOC and TN than Chillimo. When disaggregated on the basis of each fragments, there existed differences in SOC (1.86 Mg/ha and 42.15 Mg/ha) and TN (0.24 Mg/ha and 4.23 Mg/ha) values. Among the forest fragments, fragment four ($F_4$) had the highest Relative Soil Improvement Index (RSII) value of 3826.82% and fragment fifteen ($F_{15}$) had the lowest RSII value (726.87%) which indicated that the former had a better quality of soil properties than the latter. Conclusion: SOC and TN differed across sampled fragments and sites. Variations in soil properties are the reflections of inherent soil parent material, aboveground vegetation, human interferences, and other physical factors. Such differences could be very important for identifying intervention measures for restoration and enhancing ecosystem services of those fragments.

Thermal and light impacts on the early growth stages of the kelp Saccharina angustissima (Laminariales, Phaeophyceae)

  • Augyte, Simona;Yarish, Charles;Neefus, Christopher D.
    • ALGAE
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2019
  • Anthropogenic disturbances, including coastal habitat modification and climate change are threatening the stability of kelp beds, one of the most diverse and productive marine ecosystems. To test the effect of temperature and irradiance on the microscopic gametophyte and juvenile sporophyte stages of the rare kelp, Saccharina angustissima, from Casco Bay, Maine, USA, we carried out two sets of experiments using a temperature gradient table. The first set of experiments combined temperatures between $7-18^{\circ}C$ with irradiance at 20, 40, and $80{\mu}mol\;photons\;m^{-2}\;s^{-1}$. The second set combined temperatures of $3-13^{\circ}C$ with irradiance of 10, 100, and $200{\mu}mol\;photons\;m^{-2}\;s^{-1}$. Over two separate 4-week trials, in 2014 and again in 2015, we monitored gametogenesis, the early growth stages of the gametophytes, and early sporophyte development of this kelp. Gametophytes grew best at temperatures of $8-13^{\circ}C$ at the lowest irradiance of $10-{\mu}mol\;photons\;m^{-2}\;s^{-1}$. Light had a significant effect on both male and female gametophyte growth only at the higher temperatures. Temperatures of $8-15^{\circ}C$ and irradiance levels of $10-100{\mu}mol\;photons\;m^{-2}\;s^{-1}$ were conditions for the highest sporophyte growth. Sporophyte and male gametophyte growth was reduced at both temperature extremes-the hottest and coldest temperatures tested. S. angustissima is a unique kelp species known only from a very narrow geographic region along the coast of Maine, USA. The coupling of global warming with high light intensity effects might pose stress on the early life-history stages of this kelp, although, as an intertidal species, it could also be better adapted to temperature and light extremes than its subtidal counterpart, Saccharina latissima.

Low-flow simulation and forecasting for efficient water management: case-study of the Seolmacheon Catchment, Korea

  • Birhanu, Dereje;Kim, Hyeon Jun;Jang, Cheol Hee;ParkYu, Sanghyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.243-243
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    • 2015
  • Low-flow simulation and forecasting is one of the emerging issues in hydrology due to the increasing demand of water in dry periods. Even though low-flow simulation and forecasting remains a difficult issue for hydrologists better simulation and earlier prediction of low flows are crucial for efficient water management. The UN has never stated that South Korea is in a water shortage. However, a recent study by MOLIT indicates that Korea will probably lack water by 4.3 billion m3 in 2020 due to several factors, including land cover and climate change impacts. The two main situations that generate low-flow events are an extended dry period (summer low-flow) and an extended period of low temperature (winter low-flow). This situation demands the hydrologists to concentrate more on low-flow hydrology. Korea's annual average precipitation is about 127.6 billion m3 where runoff into rivers and losses accounts 57% and 43% respectively and from 57% runoff discharge to the ocean is accounts 31% and total water use is about 26%. So, saving 6% of the runoff will solve the water shortage problem mentioned above. The main objective of this study is to present the hydrological modelling approach for low-flow simulation and forecasting using a model that have a capacity to represent the real hydrological behavior of the catchment and to address the water management of summer as well as winter low-flow. Two lumped hydrological models (GR4J and CAT) will be applied to calibrate and simulate the streamflow. The models will be applied to Seolmacheon catchment using daily streamflow data at Jeonjeokbigyo station, and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies will be calculated to check the model performance. The expected result will be summarized in a different ways so as to provide decision makers with the probabilistic forecasts and the associated risks of low flows. Finally, the results will be presented and the capacity of the models to provide useful information for efficient water management practice will be discussed.

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