• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.2 no.4
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• pp.253-267
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• 2011

This study summarizes some important results from the studies on clouds and aerosols, and their effects on climate in the northeast Asia that were made mainly by Korean scientists and some other scientists from around the world. Clouds and aerosols are recognized as one of the most important factors that contributes to uncertainties in climate predictions and therefore become the subject of active research in the western developed countries in recent years. However, the researches on clouds and aerosols are very weakly done in Korea except ground based measurements of aerosol physical, chemical and optical properties. These measurements indicate that aerosol loadings in the northeast Asia are generally much higher than other parts of the world. On the other hand, researches on clouds are few in Korea. Satellite and ground remote sensing, numerical modeling and aircraft in-situ measurements of clouds are highly needed for better assessment of the role of clouds on climate in the northeast Asia.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.101 no.3
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• pp.509-516
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• 2012

In this research, it was intended to examine the vulnerability of Pinus rigida to climate changes, a major planting species in Korea. For this purpose, the distribution of Pinus rigida and its changes caused by climate changes were estimated based on the 'A1B' climate change scenario suggested by IPCC. Current distribution of Pinus rigida was analyzed by using the $4^{th}$Forest Type Map and its potential distribution in the recent year (2000), the near future (2050) and the further future (2100) were estimated by analyzing the optimized ranges of three climate indices - warmth index(WI), minimum temperature index of the coldest month (MTCI) and precipitation effectiveness index(PEI). The results showed that the estimated potential distribution of Pinus rigida declines to 56% in the near future(2050) and 15% in the further future (2100). This significant decline was found in most provinces in Korea. However, in Kangwon province where the average elevation is higher than other provinces, the area of potential distribution of Pinus rigida increases in the near future and the further future. Also the result indicated that the potential distribution of Pinus rigida migrates to higher elevation. The potential distributions estimated in this research have relatively high accuracy with consideration of classification accuracy (44.75%) and prediction probability (62.56%).

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.31-50
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• 2010

The Arctic climate change for the Last Glacial Maximum(LGM) occurred at 21,000 years ago (21ka) was investigated using simulation results of atmosphere-ocean coupled models from the second phase of the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Program(PMIP2). In the analysis, we used seven models, the NCAR CCSM of USA, ECHAM3-MPIOM of German Max-Planxk Institute, HadCM3M2 of UK Met Office, IPSL-CM4 of France Laplace Institute, CNRM-CM3 of France Meteorological Institute, MIROC3.2 of Japan CCSR at University of Tokyo, and FGOALS of China Institute of Atmospheric Physics. All the seven models reproduces the Arctic climate features found in the present climate at 0ka(pre-industrial time) in a reasonable degree in comparison to observations. During the LGM, the atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration and other greenhouse gases were reduced, the ice sheets were expanded over North America and northern Europe, the sea level was lowered by about 120m, and orbital parameters were slightly different. These boundary conditions were implemented to simulated LGM climate. With the implemented LGM conditions, the biggest temperature reduction by more than $24^{\circ}C$ is found over North America and northern Europe owing to ice albedo feedback and the change in lapse rate by high elevation. Besides, the expansion of ice sheets leads to the marked temperature reduction by more then $10^{\circ}C$ over the Arctic Ocean. The temperature reduction in northern winter is larger than in summer around the Arctic and the annual mean temperature is reduced by about $14^{\circ}C$. Compared to low mid-latitudes, the temperature reduction is much larger in high northern altitudes in the LGM. This results mirror the larger warming around the Artic in recent century. We could draw some information for the future under global warming from the knowledge of the LGM.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.4 no.4
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• pp.409-416
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• 2013

Recently, the property damage has been increasing due to climate change in South Korea. While the general public has become more aware of the environmental issues, but the environmental education system has not been able to meet up with the demands of the public. The purpose of this study is to suggest preliminary data which is needed for developing a environmental textbook. A survey was conducted to meet the following requirements. Respondent's level of interest in problems or situations concerning the following eight themes: fundamental science, health and medicine, aerospace engineering, life science, electrical electronics, telecommunication, mineral and energy resources, environment. The data was collected from 139 students in Seoul and Gyeonggi province. The results showed that health and medicine issues interest students the most (49.6%), followed by environment (46.8%). We asked the respondents who were very interested in each question for their reasons, and they answered that environmental issue is related to the improvement of their life quality (53.8%) than their curiosity (38.5%). Students were very interested in the other issues because of just curiosity. Most students (90.6%) said seasonal change was not same each year. 18.0% of respondents replied that they and their friends had experienced climate change. The majority of students (94.2%) thought that they will experience natural disaster blamed on climate change during their life. In other words, climate change is already the day-to-day events of their lives. The majority of their opinions, more then three than ten students(30.9%) said the South Korean government should conduct an energy saving campaign to climate change problems followed by expanding new renewable energy (24.5%), conducting adaptation policies of climate change(22.3 %), introducing of a system as like $CO_2$ emissions trading(20.9%) and so on. There are more Stu- dents (69.1%) who know of new renewable energy than students who don't know it; however, respondents who know the meaning very well were just 18.7% showing that most students dimly know the meaning of new renewable energy.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.33 no.6_2
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• pp.1119-1137
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• 2017

This study assessed the water provisioning and climate mitigation ecosystem services of the urban forest in Seoul and Gyeonggi-do. The ecosystem service assessment is conducted based on natural function, natural function and population, and natural function and the beneficiary of the ecosystem service. Then, the impact of climate change on ecosystem services is analyzed to figure out the sensitivity of the impact on the beneficiary when the natural function of forest destroys under climate change. Gyeonggi-do has higher function-based water provisioning ecosystem service than Seoul. And population-based water provisioning ecosystem service appears to be higher in the densely populated area. On the other hand, beneficiary-based water provisioning ecosystem service by applying both natural water supply function and beneficiary distribution appears different with the result of population-based water provisioning service assessment. In other words, regions with high beneficiary population show higher ecosystem service than those with a low beneficiary population even though they have the same water storage function. In addition, climate change has a negative impact on the water provisioning ecosystem service. Under climate change, water provisioning service is expected to decrease by 26%. For climate mitigation service, regions close to the forest seem to have a low temperature, which indicates their high climate mitigation service. The center of the city with high beneficiary population shows high beneficiary-based ecosystem service. The climate change impacts the forest growth to decrease which affect the beneficiary-based climate mitigation ecosystem service to decrease by 33%. From this study, we conclude that beneficiary-based function and ecosystem service assessment is needed as well as the supply-based classification of forest function suggested by Korea Forest Service. In addition, we suggest that not only supply-based function classification and ecosystem service assessment but also beneficiary-based function classification and ecosystem service assessment is needed for managing the urban forest, which has been destroyed by climate change. This will contribute to revaluing cases where a forest with low natural function but high beneficiary-based ecosystem service, which is not considered under the current forest function-based assessment system. Moreover, this could assist in developing a suitable management plan for the urban forest.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.175-175
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• 2018

우리나라에서 발생하는 대규모 자연재해의 상당부분은 강우에 의한 홍수피해이다. 최근 이러한 홍수피해는 기후변화와 더불어 극한강우 현상의 빈발에 의한 새로운 재해양상으로 전개되고 있으며, 이에 따라 정부에서도 재해발생시 원상복구의 개념이 아닌 항구복구의 개념으로 복구사업을 수행하고 있다. 그러나 설계에 기후변화에 대한 영향을 반영하고 있지 못하기 때문에 기후변화에 의하여 미래에 발생할 극한강우로 반복적인 피해가 예상되고 있으므로 기존의 방재성능목표 강우량의 설정 방법에 대한 개선이 필요하다. 전 세계적으로 이러한 기후변화에 의한 현상을 모의하기 위한 연구로 전지구기후모델(Global Climate Model, 이하 GCM)과 지역기후모델(Reginal Climate Model, 이하 RCM)을 사용하고 있다.우리나라 기상청에서도 CMIP5 국제사업의 표준 실험체계를 통해 전지구 기후변화 시나리오 산출을 위해서 영국 기상청 해들리센터의 GCM인 HadGEM2-AO를 도입하였다. 또한 한반도 기후변화 시나리오를 산출하기 위해 HadGEM3-RA 모형을 이용하여 전지구 기후변화 시나리오를 역학적으로 상세화하고 이를 한반도에 대해 12.5km 공간 해상도로 일 자료를 제공하고 있다. 하지만 유역규모 혹은 지점규모에서 사용하기 위해서는 이러한 일자료의 시 공간적인 상세화기법이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화를 고려한 방재성능목표 강우량 개선 방향을 제안하기 위해 다양한 연구단에서 도출된 상세화 결과를 수집하고 비교분석을 통해 기후변화를 고려하고자 하였다. 다양한 연구기관에서 생산된 미래 확률 전망을 살펴본 결과, 동일한 GCM자료를 사용하더라도 상세화 방법론에 따라 서로 다른 결과가 도출되는 것을 확인하였다. 미래 예측의 불확실성을 고려하면 특정한 방법론이 우수하다고 평가하기는 어려움에 따라 앙상블 평균을 활용한 개선방향을 제안한다. 본 연구의 결과는 전국 지자체의 강우특성만을 고려한 것으로, 연안지역의 경우 해수면 상승을 고려하여 추가적인 대책이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.268-279
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• 2021

The geospatial schemes based on topo-climatology have been developed to produce digital climate maps at a site-specific scale. Their development processes are reviewed here to derive the needs for new schemes in the future. Agricultural and forestry villages in Korea are characterized by complexity and diversity in topography, which results in considerably large spatial variations in weather and climate over a small area. Hence, the data collected at a mesoscale through the Automated Synoptic Observing System (ASOS) operated by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) are of limited use. The geospatial schemes have been developed to estimate climate conditions at a local scale, e.g., 30 m, lowering the barriers to deal with the processes associated with production in agricultural and forestry industries. Rapid enhancement of computing technologies allows for near real-time production of climate information at a high-resolution even in small catchment areas and the application to future climate change scenarios. Recent establishment of the early warning service for agricultural weather disasters can provide growth progress and disaster forecasts for cultivated crops on a farm basis. The early warning system is being expanded worldwide, requiring further advancement in geospatial schemes and digital climate mapping.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1250-1253
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• 2009

기후변화가 수자원에 미치는 영향을 평가하는데 있어서 주로 기후모형인 Global Climate Model (GCM)이 사용되고 있다. 그러나 이러한 기후모형의 공간적 해상도는 $3^{\circ}{\sim}4^{\circ}$ 정도로 한반도의 경우 바다로 묘사되기도 한다. 따라서 GCM을 이용해서 기후변화가 유역단위 수자원에 미치는 영향을 평가하기 위해서는 일반적으로 축소기법이 사용되고 있다. 현재까지 다양한 축소기법이 개발되었으며, 대표적인 모형으로는 SDSM(Statistical Down-Scaling Model)과 LARS-WG(The Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator)이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 SDSM, LARS-WG와 함께 최근에 축소기법으로 사용되고 있는 인공신경망 기법을 이용해서 CCCMA(Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis)에서 일 단위로 모의한 CGCM3 A2 시나리오를 기반으로 우포늪의 강우 및 온도시나리오를 구축하였다. 대상 지점인 우포늪은 경상남도 창녕군 우포늪(위도 $35^{\circ}$33', 경도 $128^{\circ}$25')에 위치하고 있으며, 모의 기간은 CASE1의 경우 현재, CASE2는 2050$^{\sim}$ 2080년, CASE3는 2080년$^{\sim}$2100년으로 각각 구분하여 축소기법을 적용하였다. 축소결과 축소기법에 따라 일정정도 차이를 보이기는 하였으나 강우와 온도 모두 증가하게 됨을 확인하였다.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.1-10
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• 2010

A regional climate model (RCM) can be a powerful tool to enhance spatial resolution of climate and weather information (IPCC, 2001). In this study we conducted dynamical downscaling using Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) as a RCM in order to obtain high resolution regional agroclimate indices over the Korean Peninsula. For the purpose of obtaining detailed high resolution agroclimate indices, we first reproduced regional weather for the period of March to June, 2002-2008 with dynamic downscaling method under given lateral boundary conditions from NCEP/NCAR (National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research) reanalysis data. Normally, numerical model results have shown biases against observational results due to the uncertainties in the modelis initial conditions, physical parameterizations and our physical understanding on nature. Hence in this study, by employing a statistical method, the systematic bias in the modelis results was estimated and corrected for better reproduction of climate on high resolution. As a result of the correction, the systematic bias of the model was properly corrected and the overall spatial patterns in the simulation were well reproduced, resulting in more fine-resolution climatic structures. Based on these results, the fine-resolution agro-climate indices were estimated and presented. Compared with the indices derived from observation, the simulated indices reproduced the major and detailed spatial distributions. Our research shows a possibility to simulate regional climate on high resolution and agro-climate indices by using a proper downscaling method with a dynamical weather forecast model and a statistical correction method to minimize the model bias.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.309-309
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• 2023

자연재해대책법에 따라 방재성능목표를 달성하기 위해 행안부 및 지자체는 방재성능목표강우량을 설정·운영하고 있다. 현재, 기후변화로 인한 할증률을 산정하여 방재성능목표강우량 산정에 포함하고 있으나, 기후의 내적변동성으로 인한 강수의 변화는 반영하지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기후변화뿐만 아니라, 엘리뇨, 라니뇨, ENSO 등과 같이 지구의 내적인 원인들로 인해 변화하는 기후내적변동성(Climate Internal Variability, CIV)을 추가적으로 고려하여 할증률 개념을 확장하고자 한다. 외부의 Forcing 변화(즉 기후변화)가 없더라도 자연적으로 기후가 변동하는 현상을 모의하기 위해, 크게 3개 동역학적, 통계학적, 추계학적 방법들이 적용되어 기후내적 변동성을 정량화하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후에 대한 일기를 추계학적으로 오랜 기간 동안 생성하고 생성된 시계열을 바탕으로 자연적인 변동성을 추출(Stochastic Approach)하는 방법을 사용하여 기후내적변동성을 추정할 것이다. 구체적으로, 생성된 앙상블 시계열에 Detrended 방법과Differenced 방법을 각각 적용하여 기후내적변동성의 크기를 정량화하고 상호 비교할 예정이다. 정량화된 기후내적변동성의 크기는 추계학적 할증률로 변환될 것이며 방재성능목표강우량 산정에 포함시켜 과거 기왕최대강우량을 갱신하는 지역에 대한 위험도를 추가로 제시할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.