• 한국의학물리학회지:의학물리
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.75-82
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• 1997

인체의 생리기관의 운동은 매우 복잡하고 불규칙적인 운동을 보이고 있다. 특히 말초 혈관의 운동은 매우 민감하고 복잡한 운동특성을 보이고 있다. 그중에서도 당 (glucose)에 의한 운동은 매우 민감한 변화의 운동을 반응한다. 이런 운동을 분석하기에는 기존의 선형적인 분석방법으로 복잡한 혈류운동을 분석하고 예측하기에는 많은 문제점을 가지고 있다. 그래서 비선형적 운동계의 분석방법인 카오스이론의 시계열분석방법으로 분석하는 것이 적합하다. 이런 맥락으로 본 연구는 당의 주입에 의한 토끼의 말초혈류량의 스칼라적 데이터를 획득하여 시계열분석방법으로 다차원의 벡터로 재정의하여 말초혈관의 혈류운동이 카오스적 운동임을 재확인하고 비선형적분석방법의 적합성을 확인하고자 하였다. 그 결과 당 주입에 따른 혈당치의 변화에 따라 기존의 주파수분석 및 평균치분석에서 차이가 나타나지 않았지만 비선형적분석방법으로 분석한 결과 그 차이를 확인할수 있었고, 말초 혈류의운동이 카오스적현상을 보임을 확인하였다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제31권8호
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• pp.889-895
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• 2007

Quantifying dynamic stability is important to assessment of falling risk or functional recovery for leg injured people. Human locomotion is complex and known to exhibit nonlinear dynamical behaviors. The purpose of this study is to quantify major joints of the body using chaos analysis during walking. Time series of the chaotic signals show how gait patterns change over time. The gait experiments were carried out for ten young males walking on a motorized treadmill. Joint motions were captured using eight video cameras, and then three dimensional kinematics of the neck and the upper and lower extremities were computed by KWON 3D motion analysis software. The correlation dimension and the largest Lyapunov exponent were calculated from the time series to quantify stabilities of the joints. This study presents a data set of nonlinear dynamic characteristics for eleven joints engaged in normal level walking.

• 한국수학사학회지
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.85-96
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• 2004

본 연구에서 카오스 모형을 직접적으로 검정하기 위한 표준적인 기법 중의 하나인 R/S 분석(resealed range statistical analysis)과 허스트 지수를 'sinusoid' 패턴 평가하는 데 적용하였다. 이는 다소 잡음이 섞여 있으면서 동시에 준주기 성향을 갖는 시계열자료에 대해서 허스트 지수가 이를 간접적으로 평가 할 수 있는 측도(measure)로 활용될 수 있음을 논하였다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제41권9호
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• pp.959-967
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• 2008

분해기법은 일 단위 강수시계열 자료를 시간단위로 분해하는 데 주로 사용되고 있으며, 시단위 자료는 홍수예측을 위하여 주요하게 사용될 수 있다. 그러나 현재까지 제시된 대부분의 분해기술은 강우데이터가 추계학적 특성을 가지고 있다는 기본 가정을 전제로 하고 있기 때문에 모형을 구성하는데 있어서 강우자료의 물리적 특성을 반영하는 데는 한계를 보이고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 강우자료를 각기 다른 해상도로 변환하는데 따른 가중치의 동역학적 거동이 카오스 특성을 보이는지와 카오스적 분해가 가능한지를 비선형의 확정론적 방법(카오스이론)을 이용하여 규명하는 방안을 소개하였다. 우선, 기상청 산하 서울지점을 대상으로 24h-12h, 12h-6h, 6h-3h으로 해상도를 변환하는데 따른 가중치를 계산하여 사용하였다. 가중치 시계열자료의 카오스 특성을 규명하는 데는 상관차원방법을 이용하였으며, 부분근사화 기법을 이용하여 강우를 분해하였다. 서울 지점의 모든 해상도 변환에 따른 가중치는 저차원의 상관 차수를 가지는 카오스 특성을 보임을 확인하였으며, 분해결과 실제 관측치와 유사한 값을 보임을 확인하였다(높은 상관계수와 작은 평균제곱근오차를 보임). 또한 강우의 일반적인 경향성(총량, 강우의 발생 시점)은 보존되나 극값의 경우 대부분 과소 추정됨을 알 수 있었다.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2005년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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• pp.12-14
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• 2005

In this paper, we propose a new architecture of Self-Organizing Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks(SOFPNN) by means of genetically optimized fuzzy polynomial neuron(FPN) and discuss its comprehensive design methodology involving mechanisms of genetic optimization, especially genetic algorithms(GAs). The conventional SOFPNNs hinges on an extended Group Method of Data Handling(GMDH) and exploits a fixed fuzzy inference type in each FPN of the SOFPNN as well as considers a fixed number of input nodes located in each layer. The design procedure applied in the construction of each layer of a SOFPNN deals with its structural optimization involving the selection of preferred nodes (or FPNs) with specific local characteristics (such as the number of input variables, the order of the polynomial of the consequent part of fuzzy rules, a collection of the specific subset of input variables, and the number of membership function) and addresses specific aspects of parametric optimization. Therefore, the proposed SOFPNN gives rise to a structurally optimized structure and comes with a substantial level of flexibility in comparison to the one we encounter in conventional SOFPNNs. To evaluate the performance of the genetically optimized SOFPNN, the model is experimented with using two time series data(gas furnace and chaotic time series).

• 한국공작기계학회논문집
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.67-72
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• 2006

There are many modelling methods using theoretical and experimental data. Recently, fractal interpolation methods have been widely used to estimate and analyze various data. Due to the chaotic nature of dynamic roundness profile data in roundness some desirable method must be used for the analysis which is natural to time series data. Fractal analysis used in this paper is within the scope of the fractal interpolation and fractal dimension. Also, two methods for computing the fractal dimension has been introduced which can obtain the dimension of typical dynamic roundness profile data according to the number of data points in which the fixed data are generally lower than 200 data points. This fractal analysis result shows a possible prediction of roundness profile that has some different roundness profile in round shape operation.

• 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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• 제53권8호
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• pp.551-560
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• 2004

In this paper, we propose a new architecture of Self-Organizing Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks (SOFPNN) that is based on a genetically optimized multilayer perceptron with fuzzy polynomial neurons (FPNs) and discuss its comprehensive design methodology involving mechanisms of genetic optimization, especially genetic algorithms (GAs). The proposed SOFPNN gives rise to a structurally optimized structure and comes with a substantial level of flexibility in comparison to the one we encounter in conventional SOFPNNs. The design procedure applied in the construction of each layer of a SOFPNN deals with its structural optimization involving the selection of preferred nodes (or FPNs) with specific local characteristics (such as the number of input variables, the order of the polynomial of the consequent part of fuzzy rules, and a collection of the specific subset of input variables) and addresses specific aspects of parametric optimization. Through the consecutive process of such structural and parametric optimization, an optimized and flexible fuzzy neural network is generated in a dynamic fashion. To evaluate the performance of the genetically optimized SOFPNN, the model is experimented with using two time series data(gas furnace and chaotic time series), A comparative analysis reveals that the proposed SOFPNN exhibits higher accuracy and superb predictive capability in comparison to some previous models available in the literatures.

• 복식문화연구
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• 제18권6호
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• pp.1274-1290
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• 2010

This study analyzed the design elements and fashion images of women's knitwear in collections of Paris, Milan, London and New York between 2003 and 2008, and examined knitwear trends in an effort to verify whether knitwear trends are repeated in certain cycles, whether they show complicated patterns in cycles and yet occur in quasi cycles, or whether they occur non-periodically in complicated forms of chaotic cycles. Trend cycle analysis results are deemed to identify the time series attribute of knit fashions. It also sought to categorize the attribute of various factors influencing knitwear trends with a view to determining relevancy between design elements, and to present the direction of predicting knitwear fashion trends and the progression of short-term knitwear trends. This study reached the following conclusion. According to design elements or fashion images, knitwear fashion trends occur in cycles, quasi cycles, non-periodical cycles. These cyclic characteristics can be used as scientific data for planning knitwear products. The study confirmed close relevancy between fashion images and fashion elements. It identified close relevancy between designs with similar fashion elements and images through coordinates by year and season, and it is possible to make short-term prediction of trend direction through the flow of coordinates. Time series data were insufficient, thereby making it difficult to perfectly verify chaos indices and giving limitations to this study. A study with more time series data will produce a more effective method of predicting and using knitwear fashion trends.

• 전자공학회논문지B
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• 제32B권5호
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• pp.812-820
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• 1995

This paper proposes an approach of identifying nonlinear mappings from input/output data. The approach is based on the universal approximation by the fuzzy integration of local affine mappings. A connectionist model realizing the universal approximator is suggested by using a processing unit based on both the radial basis function and the weighted sum scheme. In addition, a learning method with self-organizing capability is proposed for the identifying of nonlinear mapping relationships with the given input/output data. To show the effectiveness of our approach, the proposed model is applied to the function approximation and the prediction of Mackey-Glass chaotic time series, and the performances are compared with other approaches.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.1812-1821
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• 2014

Wind has been a rapidly growing renewable power source for the last twenty years. Since wind behavior is chaotic in nature, its forecasting is not easy. At the same time, developing an accurate forecasting method is essential when wind farms are integrated into the power grid. In fact, wind speed forecasting tools can solve issues related to grid stability and reserve allocation. In this paper 30 hours ahead wind speed profile forecast is proposed using Adaptive Wavelet Neural Network (AWNN). The implemented AWNN uses a Mexican hat mother Wavelet, and Morlet Mother Wavelet for seven, eight and nine levels decompositions. For wind speed forecasting, the time series data on wind speed has been gathered from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) website. In this work, hourly averaged 10-min wind speed data sets for the year 2004 in the Midwest ISO region (site number 7263) is taken for analysis. Data sets are normalized in the range of [-1, 1] to improve the training performance of forecasting models. Total 8760 samples were taken for this forecasting analysis. After the forecasting phase, statistical parameters are calculated to evaluate system accuracy, comparing different configurations.