• 제목/요약/키워드: changing climate

검색결과 356건 처리시간 0.03초

확률 강우량의 변동성 분석 (An Analysis of the variability of rainfall quantile estimates)

  • 정성인;유철상;윤용남
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.256-261
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    • 2004
  • Due to the problems of global warming, the frequency of meteorological extremes such as droughts, floods and the annual rainfall amount are suddenly increasing. Even though the increase of greenhouse gases, for example, is thought to be the main factor for global warming, its impact on global climate has not yet been revealed clearly in rather quantitative manners. Therefore, tile objective of this study is to inquire the change of precipitation condition due to climate change by global warming. In brief, this study want to see its assumption if rainfall quantile estimates are really changing. In order to analyze the temporal change, the rainfall quantile estimates at the Seoul rain gauge stations are estimated for the 21-year data period being moved from 1908 to 2002 with 1-year lag. The main objective of this study is to analyze the variability of rainfall quantile estimates using four methods. Next, The changes in confidence interval of rainfall quantile are evaluated by increasing the data period. It has been found that confidence interval of rainfall quantile estimates is reduced as the data period increases. When the hydraulic structures are to be designed, it is important to select the data size and to re-estimate the flood prevention capacity in existing river systems.

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Evaluation of Photosynthetic Ability in Two Representative Evergreen Broad-leaved Tree Species in Korea

  • Kim, Dong-Hak;Park, Yong Mok
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제26권10호
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    • pp.1147-1153
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    • 2017
  • To maintain a rich biological diversity is important to develop for biomaterial resources such as Korean evergreen broad-leaved tree species, the distribution of which is restricted to the southern part of Korean peninsula. We assessed photosynthetic characteristics of Quercus acuta and Castanopsis sieboldii, the representative evergreen broad-leaved trees in Korea, in order to establish a basis for conservation strategy related to distributional change in evergreen broad-leaved tree species according to climate change. Photosynthetic characteristics were evaluated in the sun and shade leaves of the two species. Sun leaves in both species revealed higher light compensation point and maximum photosynthetic rate compared to the shade leaves. In addition, photosynthetic rate was higher in Q. acuta than C. sieboldii, which was supported by a higher leaf nitrogen content and leaf mass per area. Water use efficiency was also higher in Q. acuta as compared to that in C. sieboldii. Similar photosynthetic rate, however, was shown in photosynthetic response to $CO_2$ concentration in the intercellular space. These results suggest that both species could respond differently to the changing environmental factors including climate change, suggesting the possibility of distributional changes resulting from a differential growth rate.

ResNet 기반 작물 생육단계 추정 모델 개발 (Development of ResNet based Crop Growth Stage Estimation Model)

  • 박준;김준영;박성욱;정세훈;심춘보
    • 스마트미디어저널
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2022
  • 산업화 이후 가속화된 지구 온난화 현상으로 인해 기존환경 변화 및 이상기후 발생 빈도가 증가하고 있다. 농업은 기후변화에 매우 민감한 분야의 산업으로 지구 온난화는 작물의 생산량을 감소시키고 재배 지역이 변하는 등의 문제를 발생시킨다. 또한, 환경 변화는 작물의 생육 시기를 불규칙하게 만들어 숙련된 농사꾼들도 작물의 생육단계를 쉽게 추정할 수 없도록 만들어 여러 문제를 발생시킨다. 이에 본 논문에서는 작물의 생육단계를 추정하기 위한 CNN(Convolution Neural Network) 모델을 제안한다. 제안한 모델은 ResNet의 Pooling Layer를 수정한 모델로 ResNet, DenseNet 모델의 생육단계 추정보다 높은 성능 결과를 확인하였다.

다양한 기후변화 시나리오와 기후모델에 의한 남한지역 미래가뭄의 확률론적 전망 (Projection of Future Drought of Korea Based on Probabilistic Approach Using Multi-model and Multi Climate Change Scenarios)

  • 박범섭;이주헌;김창주;장호원
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.1871-1885
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 다양한 기후변화 시나리오를 적용한 GCM으로부터 생산된 기상자료를 이용하여 남한지역 미래가뭄의 시공간적인 분포를 전망하였다. 가뭄을 정량적으로 분석하기 위하여 SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index)를 가뭄지수로 이용하였으며 가뭄빈도해석을 통하여 54개 기상관측소별 SDF(Severity-Duration-Fraquency) 곡선을 유도하여 남한지역의 지속기간별, 재현기간별 가뭄우심지역을 지도화하였다. 가뭄우심도에 의한 미래 가뭄전망 결과, 낙동강, 섬진강 유역이 과거와 동일하게 다른 유역에 비하여 가뭄이 심화될 것으로 전망되었으며 한강유역 역시 가뭄이 심화될 것으로 나타났다. 미래의 경우 A2 시나리오에서는 과거에 비해 낙동강 동해 유역에도 가뭄이 심화되는 지역이 확장되는 것으로 나타났으며 RCP8.5 시나리오에서는 중부지역에 위치한 한강유역의 가뭄이 심화될 것으로 예측되었다. 연구결과를 통해 미래 가뭄은 과거와 같이 남부지방에 국한되지 않고 한반도 전역에 걸쳐 광범위하게 나타날 것으로 전망되었고 기후변화 시나리오별, 기후모델별로 다소의 전망 차이를 나타내었다.

Statistical Interpretation of Climate Change in Seoul, Korea, over the Last 98 Years

  • Kim, Eun-Shik
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2010
  • I conducted extensive analyses of daily weather data of precipitation and temperature monitored from the Surface Synoptic Meteorological Station in Seoul from 1 October 1907 to 31 December 2009 to understand how the climate is changing and the ecological implications for Seoul, Korea. Statistical analyses of the data, including the lengths of seasons and growing degree-days (GDD), showed a clear warming trend in the Seoul area over the study period. The mean daily temperature in Seoul increased by $2.40^{\circ}C$ over the period of one hundred years, which was about three times faster than the global trend and it was striking to notice that mean daily temperature in Seoul in recent 30 years was increasing with the rate of $5.50^{\circ}C$ per hundred years, which is an extremely fast rate of increase in temperature. In the last 100 years, an increase in the number of summer days was apparent, coupled with a reduction in the average number of winter days for about 27 to 28 days based on the analysis of mean daily temperature. Although the lengths of spring and autumn have not changed significantly over the century, early initiations of spring and late onsets of autumn were quite apparent. Total annual precipitation significantly increased at the rate of 2.67 mm/year over the last 100 years, a trend not apparent if the analysis is confined to periods of 30 to 40 years. The information has the potential to be used not only for better understanding of ecological processes and hydrology in the area, but also for the sustainable management of ecosystems and environment in the region.

IPCC 온실가스 산정지침 변화에 따른 농촌지역 벼 재배부문 배출량 및 배출특성 분석 (Analysis of Changing for GHG Emissions and Regional Characteristics on Rice Cultivation by IPCC Guideline Improvements)

  • 박진선;정찬훈;정현철;김건엽;이종식;서교
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2017
  • IPCC Guidelines have been updated after the first official announcement to get more precise estimation of GHG emissions. The goal of this study is to evaluate the implications of the IPCC Guidelines improvements including equations of country-specific parameter values for estimating GHG emissions for rice cultivation on the agricultural sector. In addition, we analyze the effects of emission factors associated with organic amendment applications. The results of this study are as follows; (1) the total GHG emissions of rice cultivation based on 1996 IPCC GL are 28% lower than those estimated by 2006 IPCC GL with the same year data; (2) GHGs can be reduced up to 60% through the assumption of organic fertilizer applications; (3) Jeonnam and Chungnam are the worst regions for GHG emissions on rice cultivation and Chungbuk shows the highest reduction rate of GHG emissions, about 40%.

한국의 극한 기온 및 강수 사상의 변화 경향에 관한 연구 (Trends on Temperature and Precipitation Extreme Events in Korea)

  • 최영은
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.711-721
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    • 2004
  • 기상과 관련된 재해의 직접 원인이 되는 극한 기후 사상의 발생 빈도 및 강도의 변화 경향을 파악하는 것이 된 연구의 목적이다. 일최저기온, 일최고기온, 일강수량 자료를 이용하여, 10개 기후 변화 지시자를 산출하였다. 그 변화 경향의 공간 분포를 파악하였다. 일최저기온을 이용하여 산출된 온난야의 발생 빈도는 한반도에서 증가하는 추세를 나타냈고. 최저기온의 증가로 인하여 서리일수는 감소하고 생장기간은 증가하였다. 매해의 일최저기온과 일최고기온의 차로 산출되는 연극한기온교차는 최고기온은 변화하지 않았지만. 최저기온의 증가로 인하여 감소하고 있다. 강수와 관련된 지시자들은 기온 관련 지시자에 비하여 변화 경향이 뚜렷하지 않지만, 무강수일수의 한반도 시계열은 감소하는 경향이 나타났고, 호우지수로 분류될 수 있는 강수강도는 증가하고 있다.

진양호 환경요인과 동물플랑크톤 군집 동태 (Seasonal Changes of Zooplankton Distribution with Environmental Factors in Lake Jinyang)

  • 윤종수;정현기;권영호;신찬기;황동진
    • 환경위생공학
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2008
  • Our study indicates the zooplankton abundance with characteristics of water column and the vertical distribution in Lake Jinyang, South Korea. Seasonal changes of zooplankton community are determined by environmental parameters like water temperature, pH, dissolved oxygen, suspended solids and chlorophyll a. In lake Jinyang, this study showed that the zooplankton abundance in transition zone(St.1, St.2) was higher density than in lacustrine zone(St.3). Rotifers were dominant zooplankton and among them, Polyarthra spp., Keratella spp. and Nauplli(Copepoda) were common. But Cladoceran showed the low density. During survey period, zooplankton abundance with vertical distribution in surface layer(epilimnion) was higher than in bottom layer(hypolimninon). Zooplankton densities in Surface and middle layer showed positive relationship with water temperature and the densities in bottom layer(hypolimnion) showed positive relationship with chlorophyll a. Our assumption in spite of the short term study are supported by the facts that increase of temperature driven by climate change more maintains the thermocline duration by the summer temperature stratification. Thus the results suggest that the climate changes are an important source of changing zooplankton community feeding phytoplankton. So the zooplankton should be monitoring by the ecological management of Lake Jinyang to cope with climate changes like flood plain or drought.

정리사서의 역할변화와 업무재편에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Changing Role and Staffing of Catalog Librarian)

  • 노옥순
    • 정보관리학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.63-83
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    • 1995
  • 정리기능의 성격과 내용을 가장 초기에 그리고 크게 변화시켰으며 이로 인하여 전통적 정리부서의 구조에도 전반적 영향을 미치기 시작하는 자동화의 요인들을 알아보고, 특히 목록사서의 변화되는 역할을 조명해 보는데 본 논문의 목적이 있다. 현재 진행되고 있는 정리사서의 역할변화의 추세와 이에 따라 이들에게 새롭게 요구되는 자질도 분석해 본다. 또한 이러한 상황 인식과 대비를 통해서 도서관 전체로서의 상호작용과 정보제공기능을 한층 원할하게 수행할 수 있다는 판단에서 어느 정도 자동화를 진척시키고 있는 한국의 대학도서관 정리사서들을 면담하여 당면한 현실과 전망에 관한 의견을 종합한다.

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태양광 발전의 효율 향상을 위한 자동추적 제어 알고리즘 개발 (Development of Automatic Tracking Control Algorithm for Efficiency Improvement of PV Generation)

  • 최정식;고재섭;정동화
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제59권10호
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    • pp.1823-1831
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposes an automatic tracking control algorithm for efficiency improvement of photovoltaic generation. Increasing the power of PV systems should improve the efficiency of solar cells or the power condition system. The normal alignment of the PV module always have to run perpendicular to the sun's rays. The solar tracking system, able to improve the efficiency of the PV system, was initiated by applying that to the PV power plant. The tracking system of conventional PV power plant has been studied with regard to the tracking accuracy of the solar cells. Power generation efficiency were increased by aligning the cells for maximum exposure to the sun's rays. Using a perpendicular position facilitated optimum condition. However, there is a problem about the reliability of tracking systems unable to not track the sun correctly during environmental variations. Therefore, a novel control algorithm needs to improve the generation efficiency of the PV systems and reduce the loss of generation. This control algorithm is the proposed automatic tracking algorithm in this paper. Automatic tracking control is combined the sensor and program method for robust control in environment changing condition. This tracking system includes the insolation, rain sensor and anemometer for climate environment changing. Proposed algorithm in this paper, is compared to performance of conventional tracking control algorithm in variative insolation condition. And prove the validity of proposed algorithm through the experimental data.