• 한국패류학회지
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.277-291
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• 2012

Aquaculture is challenged by a number of constraints with future efforts towards sustainable production. Global climate change has a potential damage to the sustainability by changing environmental surroundings unfavorably. The damaging parameters identified are water temperature, sea level, surface physical energy, precipitation, solar radiation, ocean acidification, and so on. Of them, temperature, mostly temperature elevation, occupies significant concern among marine ecologists and aquaculturists. Ocean acidification particularly draws shellfish aquaculturists' attention as it alters the marine chemistry, shifting the equilibrium towards more dissolved CO2 and hydrogen ions ($H^+$) and thus influencing signaling pathways on shell formation, immune system, and other biological processes. Temperature elevation by climate change is of double-sidedness: it can be an opportunistic parameter besides being a generally known damaging parameter in aquaculture. It can provide better environments for faster and longer growth for aquaculture species. It is also somehow advantageous for alleviation of aquaculture expansion pressure in a given location by opening a gate for new species and aquaculture zone expansion northward in the northern hemisphere, otherwise unavailable due to temperature limit. But in the science of climate change, the ways of influence on aquaculture are complex and ambiguous, and hence are still hard to identify and quantify. At the same time considerable parts of our knowledge on climate change effects on aquaculture are from the estimates from data of fisheries and agriculture. The consequences may be different from what they really are, particularly in the temperature region. In reality, bivalves and tunicates hung or caged in the longline system are often exposed to temperatures higher than those they encounter in nature, locally driving the farmed shellfish into an upper tolerable temperature extreme. We review recent climate change and following environment changes which can be factors or potential factors affecting shellfish aquaculture production in the temperate region.

• 문화기술의 융합
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.111-116
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• 2021

빠르게 변화하는 경영환경에 따라 상시적인 구조조정, 고용불안의 증가는 종업원들로 하여금 조직에 대한 냉소적 태도를 가지도록 하였다. 이러한 조직 냉소주의의 확산은 조직 내 지원적 분위기를 저해하고, 조직효과성에도 부정적인 영향을 미칠 것으로 여겨진다. 본 논문은 조직 구성원들이 갖는 냉소주의적 태도가 조직의 지원적 분위기와 조직효과성에 미치는 효과 및 지원적 분위기가 조직효과성에 미치는 효과에 대해 분석하였다. 본 연구를 위한 자료는 충북 혁신도시에 있는 공공기관이 2015년에 실시한 조직혁신 프로그램을 위한 설문조사에서 응답한 172명의 자료를 사용하였다. 본 연구의 연구모형을 분석하기 위해 구조방정식 분석 방법을 활용하였다. 분석결과를 보면 지원적 분위기는 조직효과성에 긍정적인 영향을 미쳤다. 그리고 냉소주의는 지원적 분위기에 부정적인 효과를 보였다. 냉소주의가 조직효과성에 대해서는 유의한 효과를 보이지 않았지만, 조직분위기를 통해 조직효과성에 부정적인 간접효과가 있음을 밝혔다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.273-285
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• 2011

This study describes the modeling of climate change impact on runoff across southeast Korea using a conceptual rainfall-runoff model TANK and assesses the results using the concept of environmental flows developed by International Water Management Institute. The future climate time series is obtained by scaling the historical series, informed by 4 global climate models and 3 greenhouse gas emission scenarios, to reflect a $4.0^{\circ}C$ increase at most in average surface air temperature and 31.7% increase at most in annual precipitation, using the spatio-temporal changing factor method that considers changes in the future mean seasonal rainfall and potential evapotranspiration as well as in the daily rainfall distribution. Although the simulation results from different global circulation models and greenhouse emission scenarios indicate different responses in flows to the climate change, the majority of the modeling results show that there will be more runoff in southeast Korea in the future. However, there is substantial uncertainty, with the results ranging from a 5.82% decrease to a 48.15% increase in the mean annual runoff averaged across the study area according to the corresponding climate change scenarios. We then assess the hydrologic perturbations based on the comparison between present and future flow duration curves suggested by IMWI. As a result, the effect of hydrologic perturbation on aquatic ecosystems may be significant at several locations of the Nakdong river main stream in dry season.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.292-303
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• 2022

Background: Climate change significantly influences the geographical distribution of plant species worldwide. Selecting indicator species allows for better-informed and more effective ecosystem management in response to climate change. The Korean Peninsula is the northernmost distribution zone of warm temperate evergreen broad-leaved (WTEB) species in Northeast Asia. Considering the ecological value of these species, we evaluated the current distribution range and future suitable habitat for 13 WTEB tree species designated as climate-sensitive biological indicator species. Results: Up-to-date and accurate WTEB species distribution maps were constructed using herbarium specimens and citizen science data from the Korea Biodiversity Observation Network. Current northern limits for several species have shifted to higher latitudes compared to previous records. For example, the northern latitude limit for Stauntonia hexaphylla is higher (37° 02' N, Deokjeokdo archipelago) than that reported previously (36° 13' N). The minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) is the major factor influencing species distribution. Under future climate change scenarios, suitable habitats are predicted to expand toward higher latitudes inland and along the western coastal areas. Conclusions: Our results support the suitability of WTEB trees as significant biological indicators of species' responses to warming. The findings also suggest the need for consistent monitoring of species distribution shifts. This study provides an important baseline dataset for future monitoring and management of indicator species' responses to changing climate conditions in South Korea.

• International Journal of Industrial Entomology and Biomaterials
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.99-114
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• 2023

Patanga japonica Bolívar, 1898 (Orthoptera: Acrididae) is listed as a climate-sensitive indicator species in South Korea and is called southern group of insects in that the main distributional range is southern region of South Korea and Asian continent. In South Korea, thus, the species was distributed mainly in southern region of South Korea including southward a remote Jeju Island, but recently the species has often been detected in mid to northern region of South Korea, implying northward range expansion in response to climate change. Understanding the characteristics of the changes in genetic diversity during range expansion in response to climate change could be a foundation for the understanding of future biodiversity. Thus, in this study, we attempted to understand the changing pattern of the genetic diversity of the P. japonica in newly expanded regions. For the purpose of study, we collected 125 individuals from seven localities throughout South Korea including two newly distributed regions (Pyeongtaek and Yeongwol at ~37° N). These were sequenced for a segment of mitochondrial cytochrome oxidase subunit I (COI) and analyzed for genetic diversity, haplotype frequency, and population genetic structure among populations. Interestingly, northward range expansion accompanied only haplotypes, which are most abundant in the core populations, providing a significant reduction in haplotype diversity, compared to other populations. Moreover, genetic diversity was still lower in the expanded regions, but no genetic isolation was detected. These results suggest that further longer time would take to reach to the comparable genetic diversity of preexisting populations in the expanded regions. Probably, availability of qualified habitats at the newly expanded region could be pivotal for successful northward range expansion in response to climate change.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.159-169
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• 2012

본 연구의 목적은 산림생태계 분포 모델인 HyTAG모델(Hydrological and Thermal Analogy Group)과 기능 모델인 MC1 모델(MAPSS-CENTURY 1) 그리고 사회 환경적 지표를 이용하여 기후변화가 한반도 산림생태계에 미치는 영향을 파악하는 것이다. HyTAG의 식생유형분포 변화 빈도와 방향으로부터 산림식생의 민감성과 적응성을 정량화하였다. 또한 MC1으로부터 추정되는 순일차생산량 및 토양탄소저장량의 변이 및 경향으로부터 산림기능의 민감성과 적응성을 정량화하였다. 사회 환경적 지표로는 재정자주도 또는 산림관련 공무원 수 등과 같은 통계자료를 포함하였다. 모든 지표들을 정규화하고 취약성 평가식에 적용하여 취약성 결과를 도출하였다. 취약성 평가의 시간적 범위는 현재(1971-2000)와 미래(2021-2050)로 구분하였다. 국가 기후변화 정책의 우선순위를 판단하기 위해 지표 별 공간 분포 지도를 작성하고 행정구역간의 취약성을 비교한 결과, 지역별로 취약성의 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 취약성 차이는 적응능력에 따라 가장 크게 좌우되는 것으로 판단되었다. 본 연구의 취약성 평가 방법 및 결과는 산림 경영적 측면에서 의사결정 시스템 개발과 기후변화에 대한 적응정책 수립의 판단 자료로 활용될 것이다.

• 환경생물
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.37-46
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• 2017

Climate change is the biggest concern of the $21^{st}$ century. Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from various sectors are attracting attention as a cause of climate change. The DeNitrification-DeComposition (DNDC) model simulates GHG emissions from cropland. To study future GHG emissions using this simulation model, various factors that could change in future need to be considered. Because most problems are from the agricultural sector, DNDC would be unable to solve the factor-changing problem itself. Hence, it is necessary to link DNDC with separate models that simulate each element. Climate change is predicted to cause a variety of environmental disasters in the future, having a significant impact on the agricultural environment. In the process of human adaptation to environmental change, the distribution and management methods of farmland will also change greatly. In this study, we introduce some drawbacks of DNDC in considering future changes, and present other existing models that can rectify the same. We further propose some combinations with models and development sub-models.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제51권3호
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• pp.338-343
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• 2018

Recently, commercial catches of the common squid Todarodes pacificus have dramatically decreased in Korean and Japanese waters. The relationship between common squid catches and environmental factors was investigated using squid catches, climate indices and observed seawater temperatures in Korean waters. Common squid consist of three spawning stocks: autumn, winter, and summer. The autumn stock is the largest in Korea, and its main fishing season appears to have shifted from September in the 1980s to October in the 1990s. We observed negative correlations between the spring Southern Oscillation Index and Korean catches and between the winter Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Japanese catches. Despite global warming, no conspicuous increases in October seawater temperatures have been observed at 10 and 50 m in Korean waters since the mid-1900s. Instead, the 50 m water layer of the East Sea appears to be gradually cooling. Moreover, temperatures at 50 m in the East Sea and the South Sea were significantly negatively correlated with squid catches in Korea and Japan, respectively. Our preliminary analysis indicates a link between climate change, seawater temperature, and squid catches in Korean waters, which helps to inform the direction of subsequent research to identify the cause of rapid decreases in this squid resource.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.167-175
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• 2002

Sediment from six piston cores from the East Sea (Sea of Japan) was analyzed for evidence of paleoceanographic changes and paleoclimatic variation. A distinct geochemical boundary is evident in major element concentrations and organic carbon content of most cores near the 10-ka horizon. This distinctive basal Holocene change is interpreted to be largely the result of changing sediment sources, an interpretation supported by TiO_2/Al_2O_3$ ratios. Organic carbon and carbonate contents also differ significantly between the Holocene and glacial intervals. The C/N ratio of organic matter is greater than 10 during the glacial period, but is less than 10 for the Holocene, suggesting that the influx of terrigenous organic matter was more volumetrically important than marine organic matter during glacial times. The chemical index of weathering (CIW) is higher for the Holocene than the glacial interval, and changes markedly at the basal Holocene geochemical boundary. Silt fractions are higher in the glacial interval, suggesting a strong effect of climate on silt particle transportation: terrigenous aluminosilicates and continental organic carbon transport were higher during glacial times than during the Holocene. Differences in sediment composition between the Holocene and glacial period are interpreted to have been climatically induced.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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• pp.171-171
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• 2020

Decision making strategies should consider both adaptiveness and robustness in order to deal with two main characteristics of climate change: non-stationarity and deep uncertainty. Especially, robust strategies are different from traditional optimal strategies in the sense that they are satisfactory over a wider range of uncertainty and may act as a key when confronting climate change. In this study, a new framework named Robust Stochastic Dynamic Programming (R-SDP) is proposed, which couples previously developed robust optimization (RO) into the objective function and constraint of SDP. Two main approaches of RO, feasibility robustness and solution robustness, are considered in the optimization algorithm and consequently, three models to be tested are developed: conventional-SDP (CSDP), R-SDP-Feasibility (RSDP-F), and R-SDP-Solution (RSDP-S). The developed models were used to derive optimal monthly release rules in a single reservoir, and multiple simulations of the derived monthly policy under inflow scenarios with varying mean and standard deviations are undergone. Simulation results were then evaluated with a wide range of evaluation metrics from reliability, resiliency, vulnerability to additional robustness measures. Evaluation results were finally visualized with advanced visualization tools that are used in multi-objective robust decision making (MORDM) framework. As a result, RSDP-F and RSDP-S models yielded more risk averse, or conservative, results than the CSDP model, and a trade-off relationship between traditional and robustness metrics was discovered.