• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.47-47
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• 2023

Drought occurs due to lack of water resources over an extended period and its intensity has been magnified globally by climate change. In recent years, drought over South Korea has also been intensed, and the prediction was inevitable for the water resource management and water industry. Therefore, drought forecasting over South Korea was performed in the current study with the following procedure. First, accumulated spring precipitation(ASP) driven by the 93 weather stations in South Korea was taken with their median. Then, correlation analysis was followed between ASP and Df4m, the differences of two pair of the global winter MSLP. The 37 Df4m variables with high correlations over 0.55 was chosen and sorted into three regions. The selected Df4m variables in the same region showed high similarity, leading the multicollinearity problem. To avoid this problem, a model that performs variable selection and model fitting at once, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) was applied. The LASSO model selected 5 variables which showed a good agreement of the predicted with the observed value, R²=0.72. Other models such as multiple linear regression model and ElasticNet were also performed, but did not present a performance as good as LASSO. Therefore, LASSO model can be an appropriate model to forecast spring drought over South Korea and can be used to mange water resources efficiently.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.29-40
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• 2000

Process planning (selection and ordering of processes) and material selection for product manufacturing are two key things determined before taking full-scale manufacturing. Knowledge on product design. material characteristics, processes, time and cost all-together are mutually related and should be considered concurrently. Due to the complexity of problem, human experts have got only one of the feasilbe solutions with their field knowledge and experiences. We propose a hierarchical expert system framework of knowledge representation and reasoning in order to overcome the complexity. Manufacturing processes have inherently hierarchical relationships, from top level processes to bottom level operation processes. Process plan of one level is posted in process blackboard and used for lower level process planning. Process information on blackboard is also used to adjust the process plan in order to resolve the dead-end or inconsistency situation during reasoning. Decision variables for process, material, tool, time and cost are represented as object frames, and their relationships are represented as constraints and rules. Constraints are for relationship among variables such as compatibility, numerical inequality etc. Rules are for causal relationships among variables to reflect human expert\`s knowledge such as process precedence. CRSP(Constraint and Rule Satisfaction Problem) approach is adopted in order to obtain solution to satisfy both constraints and rules. The trade-off procedure gives user chances to see the impact of change of important variables such as material, cost, time and helps to determine the preferred solution. We developed the prototype system using visual C++ MFC, UNIK, and UNlK-CRSP on PC.

• 말소리와 음성과학
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.59-65
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• 2015

This study was conducted to identify the differences in voice characteristic variables before and after taking a certain amount of high-caffeine. Linear PCM-M10 Recorder (SONY) was used for the recorder and basic frequency of the voice (Fo), frequency fluctuation rate (jitter), amplitude fluctuation rate (shimmer) and Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) were measured using TF-32(University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA). First, prolonged phonation analysis results of /ah/ by male subjects showed the shimmer values after taking high-caffeine increased statistically significantly(p<.05) compared with before the intake and SNR values significantly decreased. (p<.05). On the other hand, female subjects didn't show any statistically significant differences in all variables. Second, male subjects showed statistically significant increased shimmer values after the intake compared with before the intake at /ah/ of syllable 'na' and /ah/ in 'ra' in 'autumn' paragraph (p<.05), and jitter values significantly increased at /ah/ in 'ah' (p<.05). However, female subjects didn't show any statistically significant differences in all variables. Results of this study showed that high-caffeine intake more affects male subjects than female subjects. In male subjects, shimmer and SNR changed at vowel prolonged phonation, /ah/, and study results showed that shimmer and SNR in 'Autumn' paragraph /na/, /ra/ and jitter in /ah/ could be identified as the variables to show the voice change.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.875-888
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• 2008

Hartigan과 Kleiner (1981, 1984)에 의해 제안된 모자이크 플롯은 범주형 자료의 탐색에 매우 유용한 시각화 도구이다. 모자이크 플롯은 범주 셀의 빈도를 사각형의 기에 비례하게 나타내므로 이해가 쉽고 데이터에 포함된 정보를 유지하지만 실제 모습은 변수 순서와 변수 내 범주의 순서에 따라 상당히 달라진다. 이에 우리는 본 연구에서 모자이크 플롯에서 크래머(Cramer)의 V 계수를 활용한 변수의 순서화 방법과 감마 계수를 활용한 범주의 순서화 방법을 제안하고 Titanic, Housing, PreSex 등 공개 자료에 적용한 결과를 제시한다.

• Journal of Nutrition and Health
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• 제34권2호
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• pp.222-229
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• 2001

This study describes the application of the stages of change construct to fat intake by examining the associations of the stages of change with nutritional status and beliefs on health behavior. Data were obtained from apparently healthy 596 adults(326 females and 270 males) residing in large cities. Stages of change assessed by an algorithms based on 6 items were designed each subject into one of the 5 stages: precontemplation(PC), contemplation(CO), preparation(PR), action(AC) and maintenance(MA). Beliefs on health behavior were assessed by self efficacy as well as 4 belief scales from the Locus of Illness Control(LIC) developed using factor analysis such as internal disease cure and prevention and external disease cure and prevention. Energy and fat intakes were measured by a 39 item short form food frequency questionnaire. Regarding the 5 stages of change, MA stage comprised the largest group(37.9%), followed by Ac(30.7%), PC(11.4%), CO(10.4%) and PR(9.6%). Subjects who were females, older or healthier were more likely to belong to either AC or MA. Stage assignment of individuals was corroborated by their nutritional variables. Those in PC had the most energy and fat and those in MA ate the least for females. BMI was higher in PR than any other stages for both males and females. Those in PC were distinctive in that they were more externally oriented in terms of health control showing higher scores on external disease prevention(for males) and external disease cure(for females), and lower score on internal disease cure. On the other hand, those in MA received the highest scores on internal disease prevention and self efficacy, which suggested that they were more internally oriented. Canonical discriminant function analysis indicated that the 5 stages were importantly discriminated by BMI, self efficacy, internal disease prevention and external disease prevention for males and by fat intake, self efficacy and external disease cure variables for females. The results of our study confirm differences in stages of change in fat intake in terms of nutritional status and beliefs on heath behavior and indicate the need for taking these phases of change into account in nutrition advice. (Korean J Nutrition 34(2) : 222-229, 2001)

• 대한인간공학회지
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• 제30권6호
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• pp.757-764
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• 2011

Objective: The aim of this study was to provide a method to improve the compliance and reduce the time by reducing the workload during the model change work. Background: The enterprises are constructing the small quantity batch production system by increasing the number of model change and reducing model-changing. However, the compliance is low because the work is strenuous and high skills are needed, so the system management is facing with many difficulties. Method: After classifying the model change work according to the purposes(preparation, change and adjustment) with the target of mascara filling machine, element tasks time were measured and the motion analysis(therblig symbol) and REBA analysis were performed. The study incorporated 3 independent variables as the number of motion, REBA score and the element time. The dependent variable is the type of element work as preparation, change and adjustment. The statistical test was performed by one-way ANOVA(${\alpha}$ < 0.05). Results: For the preparation, the number of motions appeared in the order of Use(U), Transport Loaded(TL), and Position(P). The order appeared in change is Use(U), Release Load(RL), and Grasp (G). The adjustment appeared in the order of Position(P) and Use(U). The results of average motion time as the element work times divided by the number of motion appeared in the order of adjustment(1.85sec/motion), preparation(1.11sec/motion), and change(0.62sec/motion). The results of REBA showed that the average risk level of change and adjustment were medium, but 53.1% of change and 42.9% of adjustment were evaluated as high. Conclusion: Reducing the avoidance and improving the compliance of work could be expected if the job autonomy were improved by improving the working postures with high risk level. Application: It is expected to solve the problem of reducing the time of model change work in the small quantity batch production system. The future work is to carry out the improvement directions found in the results and compare the results after improvement.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.52-64
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• 2019

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on air passenger demand and provide useful information to airport managers and policymakers. Therefore, using the quarterly macroeconomic indicators from 2002 to 2017, the relationship with air passenger demand was demonstrated by multiple regression analysis. In the previous studies, they used GDP, Korea Treasury Bond, KOSPI index, USD/KRW Exchange Rate, and WTI Crude Oil Price variables. In this study, we used the Coincident Composite Index, Employment Rate, Consumer Sentiment Index, and Private Consumption Rate used as additional variables. It has confirmed that if the consumption of research results expands or the economic environment is right, it will affect the increase in international passengers. In other words, it confirmed that the overall economic situation acts as the main factor determining air passenger demand. It confirmed that the economic environment at the past has a significant impact on air passenger demand.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.165-178
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• 2014

기후변화에 대처하기 위하여 2015년부터 국가 및 광역지자체와 더불어 기초지자체에서도 기후변화 적응대책을 의무적으로 수립하여야 한다. 적응대책을 수립하기 위해 우선적으로 취약성 분석이 선행되어야 하며, 원활한 취약성 평가를 위하여 취약성 평가도구인 LCCGIS를 개발하고 보급하였다. 현재 대부분의 기초지자체에서는 LCCGIS를 적극적으로 활용하고 있으나, LCCGIS의 경우, 대부분의 평가지표의 값이 동일한 값이 적용되고 있어 평가결과의 편이가 상당하다. 본 연구에서는 LCCGIS를 최대한 활용하여 취약성 평가 결과를 조금이라도 지역적 여건을 반영한 결과로 도출할 수 있는 방법으로, 우선적으로 해당 지자체에서 확보 가능한 읍면동 자료를 확보하고, 다음으로 미확보된 지표에 대해서는 최대한 유사성을 가진 해당기초지자체의 읍면동 자료로 대체하는 방법을 소개하였다. 취약성 평가는 향후 일어날지도 모르는 상황에 어느 정도 취약할 것인지를 평가해야 하기 때문에, 연구자의 주관적인 견해가 포함될 우려가 상당히 많으므로, 최대한 객관적인 지표의 선정, 현재 확보할 수 있는 자료 수준 파악, 지역의 여건에 따라 지표내용의 변경 등에 있어서 객관성을 유지하고자 노력할 필요가 있다. 결론적으로 보완된 취약성평가 결과는 기후변화적응 대책을 수립하기 위한 중요한 선행과제로서, 본 연구의 결과는 향후 LCCGIS를 활용한 취약성 평가 결과의 신뢰성을 제고하고, 지역적 특성이 반영된 기후변화적응 세부시행계획의 수립이 이루어지도록 방향을 설정하는데 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국가족관계학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.181-204
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• 2018

Objectives: The aim of this study is to integrate the results of the previous studies from 1900 to 2016 according to the types of dependent variables individually and statistically to obtain the results of the overall level of the marital education program I need to figure it out. In other words, the general and valid study on the overall effectiveness of the marriage education program will lead to more concluded conclusions and draw up an integrated and holistic conclusion about the effectiveness of the marriage education program. Method: The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of married couples' education program on married couples' education program. The results of this study are as follows. First, Comprehensive Meta-Analysis. In other words, funnel plot, forest plot, and trim & fill were used to analyze all the variables related to the education of the couple, and homogeneity test After choosing an analytical model for the analysis, we calculated the 'standardized mean difference' effect size (d) that can compare different individual studies through the analytical model. The results of this study are as follows. Results: The purpose of this study was to investigate the overall effect size of domestic couples education programs after 1990, and to investigate the effect sizes of dependent variable types and program - related variables. First, the total effect size of the domestic marriage education program was close to the level of the large effect size and had a substantial and preventive effect. Self-esteem, communication, marital adjustment, emotion, and self control have a substantial and prophylactically significant change depending on the type of subordinate variables related to the marital education program But there was no change in origin family and life satisfaction. Third, as a result of the categorization of the dependent variable categorization of the Korean couple education program, it was found that the marital relations of the participant in the individual inner and the marital relations The effect was significant enough to change. Fourth, Korean couple education program was most effective when mixed age couples were participated in various family life cycle. Conclusions: Based on the results of this study, it is necessary to study more deeply about marital education program effect of marriage education for various special groups such as married couples who are in a crisis of divorce, . It also means that the results of the research for the last 30 years from 1900 to 2016 were comprehensively and systematically summarized through meta - analysis. The results of this study provide information on how to provide the most effective couples education programs for practitioners in the field. The result of this study will be the data of judgment about how to organize the marital education program for people of any ages and characteristics in the future.

• 콘크리트학회논문집
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.267-275
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• 2014

최근 곡선교 사용이 증가함에 따라 기존 곡선 교량의 한계점을 극복하고자 PSC 곡선 주형을 이용한 곡선교에 대한 해석적 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 그러나 기존의 프레임 요소를 이용한 격자해석방법으로는 PSC 곡선교에 대한 정밀해석이 어렵다. 이에 따라 이 연구에서는 PSC 곡선교의 정밀 유한 요소 해석을 실시하여 프리캐스트 PSC 곡선교의 설계를 위한 참고자료로 사용하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 3차원 솔리드 요소를 사용한 모델링을 실시하고, 거더 수, 하중 재하 위치, 단면 변화, 긴장력 변화 및 편긴장력 도입 여부와 같은 매개변수에 대한 거동을 평가하였다. 해석 결과 경간장 50 m 3주형 교량의 항복하중과 파괴 하중이 경간장 40 m 2주형 교량에 비해 200% 이상의 성능을 보였고, 외측거더에 하중을 가하였을 경우 도심의 위치에 따라 하중저항력 및 거더 간의 처짐 편차가 낮게 평가되는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 거더 단면을 변화시킨 경우 단면의 증가에 따라 구조성능이 향상되는 것으로 나타났으나 PS도입량의 변화에 의한 효과에 비해 경제성과 시공성에서 불리한 것으로 나타났다. PS 도입량 변화에 따른 영향을 분석한 결과 PS 도입량이 증가함에 따라 솟음량과 하중저항력이 비례하여 증가하였으며 거더 간 처짐 편차가 줄어드는 경향을 보였다. 또한, 편긴장력을 도입하였을 시 도입량 증가에 비례하여 내외측 거더 모두에서 하중저항력이 증가하며, 특히 외측거더에 편긴장력이 도입되었을 때 더 우수한 성능을 보이는 것으로 나타나, PSC 곡선교의 경제성 및 안정성을 확보하는데 효율적인 것으로 나타났다.