• 제목/요약/키워드: change of variables

검색결과 2,582건 처리시간 0.038초

Climate change and design wind load concepts

  • Kasperski, Michael
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.145-160
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    • 1998
  • In recent years, the effects of a possible climate change have been discussed in regard to wind loading on buildings and structures. Simple scenarios based on the assumption of global warming suggest an increase of storm intensities and storm frequencies and a possible re-distribution of storm tracks. Among recent publications, some papers seem to verify these scenarios while others deny the influence of climatic change. In an introductory step, the paper tries to re-examine these statements. Based on meteorological observations of a weather station in Germany, the existence of long-term trends and their statistical significance is investigated. The analysis itself is based on a refined model for the wind climate introducing a number of new basic variables. Thus, the numerical values of the design wind loads used in modern codes become more justified from the probabilistic point of view.

박슬라브 주형에 따른 용강내의 상변화현상에 대한 수치적 해석 (Numerical Prediction of Phase Change within the Molten Steel with Thin Slab Casting)

  • 최원록;유홍선;최영기
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.14-22
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    • 2000
  • A numerical analysis has been performed on the two-dimensional rectangular gallium melting problem using the enthalpy method. The major advantage of this method is that the physical domain is discretized with fixed grids without transforming variables and the interface conditions of phase change are accounted for the definition of suitable source terms in the governing equations. But in the fixed method, there is some ambiguity in defining the porosity constant which has no physical interpretation. If the velocity correction is included in the momentum equation, for the appropriate range of porosity constant, the realistic predictions are obtained. The object of the present work is to predict the phase change within the molten steel with thin riser slab using the modified enthalpy-porosity method. The computational procedures for predicting velocity and temperature are based on the finite volume method and the non-staggered grid system. The influence of natural convection on the melting process is considered. A comparison with the experimental results shows that the modified method is better than the previous one.

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Input Variable Importance in Supervised Learning Models

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe;Lee, Yong Goo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2003
  • Statisticians, or data miners, are often requested to assess the importances of input variables in the given supervised learning model. For the purpose, one may rely on separate ad hoc measures depending on modeling types, such as linear regressions, the neural networks or trees. Consequently, the conceptual consistency in input variable importance measures is lacking, so that the measures cannot be directly used in comparing different types of models, which is often done in data mining processes, In this short communication, we propose a unified approach to the importance measurement of input variables. Our method uses sensitivity analysis which begins by perturbing the values of input variables and monitors the output change. Research scope is limited to the models for continuous output, although it is not difficult to extend the method to supervised learning models for categorical outcomes.

사회복지에 대한 거시경제 판단지수의 예측 가능성에 관한 소고(小考) (The Analysis on Social Happiness and Macroeconomics Variables)

  • 김종권
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2009년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.387-397
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    • 2009
  • In these OECD countries, left-wingers Government focus on unemployment, but right-wingers Government cares more about inflation. It is that inflation and unemployment don't have differential effects across rich and poor and the happiness levels of these two groups are unaffected by identity of the Government in power. The poor people choose to left-wingers Government, but rich people prefer to right-wingers Government. I estimate whether above opinion is correct or not. Especially I check how my results change when I control for aggregate economy activity and government consumption, two variables that could be correlated with inflation and unemployment and affect each Government's happiness differentially. This paper, and I believe much of the happiness literature, can be understood as an application of experienced utility, a conception that emphasis the pleasures derived from private consumption and sentiment of it. In Granger Causality test, private consumption sentiment index related with industrial production interactively in Korea. The business cycles affect on private consumption sentiment index.

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종속 오차에 대한 분포 변화 검정법 (Test for Distribution Change of Dependent Errors)

  • 나성룡
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.587-594
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    • 2009
  • 이 논문에서는 선형회귀모형의 오차항에 대한 변화점 검정 문제를 다룬다. 고정 혹은 변동 모형의 독립 변수와 약한 종속성을 가지는 오차항을 가정하는 관계로 통상적인 중회귀모형뿐만 아니라 ARMA 등의 시계열 모형까지 본 논문에서 포괄한다고 하겠다. 오차항의 분포 변화를 검정하기 위하여 회귀모형의 잔차에 기초한 확률밀도함수 추정값을 이용한다. 적절한 가정하에서 잔차를 이용한 검정이 실제 오차를 이용한 경우와 동일한 극한 분포를 가짐을 보였다.

대변형 효과를 고려한 원주방향 관통균열 엘보우의 닫힘굽힘 한계하중에 미치는 내압 영향 평가 (Effect of Internal Pressure on Plastic Limit Loads for Elbows with Circumferential Through-wall Crack under Closing Bending Incorporating Large Geometry Change Effects)

  • 홍석표;김윤재
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회A
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    • pp.1778-1782
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    • 2007
  • Based on three-dimensional (3-D) FE limit analyses, this paper estimates effect of internal pressure on plastic limit loads for elbows with circumferential through-wall crack under in-plane bending incorporating large geometry change effects. Circumferential through-wall crack in extrados is considered. The FE limit analyses using the large geometry change option provide plastic collapse loads (using the twice-elastic-slope method). For the bending mode, closing bending is considered. Other relevant variables affecting plastic limit loads are systematically varied, related to pipe bend geometry (the mean radius, thickness and bend curvature) and defect geometry (the length of circumferential through-wall crack).

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6시그마 성공요인이 변화관리활동과 경영성과에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Success Factors of Six Sigma on Change Management Activity and Business Performance)

  • 장길상;안완준
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.151-164
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    • 2017
  • This study is an empirical study on the relationships among success factors of six sigma(support of top management, education and training, performance-based reward, customer and quality focused thought) on change management activity and business performance. In particular, mediating effect of change management activity on the relationship between success factors of six sigma and business performance is empirically analysed to find causes and impacts among these variables. The study results are as follows: First, there were positive relationships between critical success factors of six sigma(except support of top management) and change management activity. Second, there was also a positive relationship between change management activity and business performance. Third, there were also positive relationships between critical success factors of six sigma and business performance. Finally, change management activity was partial mediating effects on the relationship between critical success factors of six sigma(education and training, performance-based reward, customer and quality focused thought) and business performance. On the other hand, support of top management had no mediating effect on business performance.

범이론 모형을 기초로 한 농촌지역 성인의 금연행위에 영향을 미치는 요인 (Predictive Factors of Aspects of the Transtheoretical Model on Smoking Cessation in a Rural Community)

  • 안옥희;윤은자;권성복;정혜경;류은정
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제35권7호
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    • pp.1285-1294
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: This study was done to evaluate the predictive value of aspects of the Transtheoretical model (TTM) of behavior change as applied to smoking cessation in a rural population. Method: A convenience sample was recruited from a public health center in a community. A total of 484 participants were recruited, including 319 smokers, 116 ex-smokers and 49 non-smokers. A cross-sectional and descriptive design was used in this study. Data was analyzed using descriptive statistics, frequency statistics, ANOVA and Logistic regression. Result: The major findings were 1) The participants were assessed at baseline for their current Stage of Change resulting in a distribution with $42.1\%$ in Precontemplation, $24.1\%$ in Contemplation, $9.7\%$ in Preparation, $6.2\%$ in Active, and $17.9\%$ in the Maintenance stage. 2) There were statistically significant differences of processes of change, decisional balance and situational temptation across the stages of change. 3) The main factors that affect smoking cessation were age, number of years smoking, age when began smoking, self-liberation and negative/affective situations, which combined explained $33.2\%$ of the smoking cessation. Conclusion: TTM variables measured prior to a smoking cessation program added little predictive value for cessation outcome beyond that explained by demographic and smoking history variables.

골프 드라이버 스윙 시 의도적인 구질 변화에 따른 운동학적 분석 (Kinematic Analysis According to the Intentional Curve Ball at Golf Driver Swing)

  • 홍수영;소재무;김용석
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.269-276
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of This study's aim is to examine the difference in the changes of body segment movement, variables for ball quality, and carry at golf driver swing according to the ball quality using comparative analysis. Regarding the impact variables according to the ball quality using the track man and carry, club speed was the fastest at draw shot, ball speed was the fastest at straight shot, and smash factor was the lowest at draw shot. About the vertical launch angle, the fade shot showed the highest launch angle while the max height of the ground and ball was the highest at fade shot. And carry was the longest at draw shot. For the flight time, it was the longest at draw shot. The landing angle was the largest at fade shot. About the club head position change and trajectory, at the overall event point, the fade shot drew a more outer trajectory at the point of the follow through(E6) than the straight or draw shot. Regarding the angular speed of shoulder rotation, at the overall event point, the fade shot showed the greatest angular speed change in the follow through(E6). Also, about the angular speed of pelvic rotation, at the overall event point, the draw shot showed the greatest angular speed change at the point of down swing(E4). Concerning the stance angle change, both straight and fade shots were open as the concept of open stance whereas the draw shot was close as that of close stance. Regarding the previous study, the most important factor of deciding Ball Quality is the club face angle's open and close state at Impact. In short, the Ball Quality and carry were decided by this factor.

실험계획법을 이용한 전륜 토우각의 최적설계 및 조종 안정성능 평가 시뮬레이션 (Optimum Design of Front Toe Angle Using Design of Experiment and Dynamic Simulation for Evaluation of Handling Performances)

  • 서권희;민한기;천인범
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.120-128
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    • 2000
  • At the initial design stage of a new vehicle, the chassis layout has the most important influence on the overall vehicle performance. Most chassis designers have achieved the target performances by trial and error method as well as individual knowhow. Accordingly, a general procedure for determining the optimum location of suspension hard points with respect to the kinematic characteristics needs to be developed. In this paper, a method to optimize the toe angle in the double wishbone type front suspension of the four-wheel-drive vehicle is presented using the design of experiment, multibody dynamic simulation, and optimum design program. The handling performances of two full vehicle models having the initial and optimized toe angle are compared through the single lane change simulation. The sensitive design variables with respect to the kinematic characteristics are selected through the experimental design sensitivity analysis using the perturbation method. An object function is defined in terms of the toe angle among those kinematic characteristics. By the design of experiment and regression analysis, the regression model function of toe angle is obtained. The design variables which make the toe angle optimized ae extracted using the optimum design program DOT. The single lane change simulation and test of the full vehicle model are carried out to survey the handling performances of vehicle with toe angle optimized. The results of the single lane change simulation show that the optimized vehicle has the more improved understeer tendency than the initial vehicle.

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