• Title/Summary/Keyword: causes of risk

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Prediction of Maintenance Period of Equipment Through Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plants (화력발전설비 위험도 평가를 통한 기기별 정비주기 예측)

  • Song, Gee Wook;Kim, Bum Shin;Choi, Woo Song;Park, Myung Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.10
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    • pp.1291-1296
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    • 2013
  • Risk-based inspection (RBI) is a well-known method that is used to optimize inspection activities based on risk analysis in order to identify the high-risk components of major facilities such as power plants. RBI, when implemented and maintained properly, improves plant reliability and safety while reducing unplanned outages and repair costs. Risk is given by the product of the probability of failure (POF) and the consequence of failure (COF). A semi-quantitative method is generally used for risk assessment. Semi-quantitative risk assessment complements the low accuracy of qualitative risk assessment and the high expense and long calculation time of quantitative risk assessment. The first step of RBI is to identify important failure modes and causes in the equipment. Once these are defined, the POF and COF can be assessed for each failure. During POF and COF assessment, an effective inspection method and range can be easily found. In this paper, the calculation of the POF is improved for accurate risk assessment. A modified semi-quantitative risk assessment was carried out for boiler facilities of thermal power plants, and the next maintenance schedules for the equipment were decided.

Terror Risk Analysis of High-rise Building by Rapid Visual Screening (Rapid Visual Screening을 통한 국내 고층건물의 테러 위험도 분석)

  • Ji, Jung-Hwan;Yoon, Sung-Won
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2011
  • While frequency of occurrence of terrorism has recently increased, it intensively occurs in buildings that many unspecified persons gather. Terrorism which occurs in high-rise buildings causes a lot of damage. It is necessary for design approach to reduce terrorism damage from explosive of buildings. Terror risk analysis of domestic tall and high-rise buildings is evaluated by fema 455, Rapid Visual Screening which is found to be comparatively simple and practicable. Common risk factors of terrorism in domestic buildings were investigated. The results of terror risk assessment of all buildings are found to be a medium risk score, Main reason is that domestic tall or high-rise buildings have similar external-environmental factors.

Vehicular Collision Risk Assessment on the Highway Bridges in South Korea (국내 고속도로 교량의 차량 충돌 위험도 평가)

  • Min, Geun-Hyung;Kim, Woo-Seok;Cho, Jun-Sang;Gil, Heung-Bae
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2016
  • Vehicle collision to bridges has been known as one of the causes of bridge collapse, and the emergency plans and disaster management has been recently emphasized to secure public safety. This study conducted risk assessment of vehicular collision to bridges for highway bridges in Korea. Risk assessment consists of three steps; preliminary risk analysis(PRA), simplified risk analysis(SRA) and detailed risk analysis(DRA). The PRA firstly screens out the possibility of occurrence of the event. The SRA identifies influencial factors to risk of the event and evaluates risk scores to determine risk levels and necessity of DRA that investigates the risk of the bridge in detail. This study focuses on the methodology of the risk assessment, especially the SRA, and the stratification methods which evaluate risk levels of vehicular collision. The analysis results were compared to the reported vehicular collision accidents. The proposed method can be utilized in similar disaster management area.

A Study On Power Data Analysis And Risk Situation Prediction Using Smart Plug (스마트 플러그를 이용한 전력 데이터 분석 및 위험 상황 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Se Hoon;Kim, June Young;Park, Jun;Jang, Seung Min;Sim, Chun Bo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.870-882
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    • 2020
  • It is that failure of equipment at the factory site causes personal injury and property damage. We are required a real-time monitoring and risk forecasting techniques to prevent for equipment failure. In this paper, we proposed a 3-phase smart plug and real-time monitoring system that can be used in factories, and collected environmental information and power information using a smart plug to analyze the data. In order to analyze the correlation between the risk situation and the collected data, we predicted the risk situation using Linear Regression, SVM, and ANN algorithms. As a result, the SVM and ANN algorithms obtained high predictive accuracy and developed a mobile app that could use it to check the risk forecast results.

Management of Recurrent Cerebral Aneurysm after Surgical Clipping : Clinical Article

  • Kim, Pius;Jang, Suk Jung
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.61 no.2
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    • pp.212-218
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    • 2018
  • Objective : Surgical clipping of the cerebral aenurysm is considered as a standard therapy with endovascular coil embolization. The surgical clipping is known to be superior to the endovascular coil embolization in terms of recurrent rate. However, a recurrent aneurysm which is initially treated by surgical clipping is difficult to handle. The purpose of this study was to research the management of the recurrent cerebral aneurysm after a surgical clipping and how to overcome them. Methods : From January 1996 to December 2015, medical records and radiologic findings of 14 patients with recurrent aneurysm after surgical clipping were reviewed retrospectively. Detailed case-by-case analysis was performed based on preoperative, postoperative and follow-up radiologic examinations and operative findings. All clinical variables including age, sex, aneurysm size and location, type and number of applied clips, prognosis, and time to recurrence are evaluated. All patients are classified by causes of the recurrence. Possible risk factors that could contribute to those causes and overcoming ways are comprehensively discussed. Results : All recurrent aneurysms after surgical clipping were 14 of 2364 (0.5%). Three cases were males and 11 cases were females. Mean age was 52.3. At first treatment, nine cases were ruptured aneurysms, four cases were unruptured aneurysms, and one case was unknown. Locations of recurrent aneurysm were determined; anterior communicating artery (A-com) (n=7), posterior communicating artery (P-com) (n=3), middle cerebral artery (n=2), anterior cerebral artery (n=1) and basilar artery (n=1). As treatment of the recurrence, 11 cases were treated by surgical clipping and three cases were treated by endovascular coil embolization. Three cases of all 14 cases occurred in a month after the initial treatment. Eleven cases occurred after a longer interval, and three of them occurred after 15 years. By analyzing radiographs and operative findings, several main causes of the recurrent cerebral aneurysm were found. One case was incomplete clipping, five cases were clip slippage, and eight cases were fragility of vessel wall near the clip edge. Conclusion : This study revealed main causes of the recurrent aneurysm and contributing risk factors to be controlled. To manage those risk factors and ultimately prevent the recurrent aneurysm, neurosurgeons have to be careful in the technical aspect during surgery for a complete clipping without a slippage. Even in a perfect surgery, an aneurysm may recur at the clip site due to a hemodynamic change over years. Therefore, all patients must be followed up by imaging for a long period of time.

A Review of HAZID/Bowtie Methodology and its Improvement (해지드/보우타이 기법의 한계와 개선에 대하여)

  • Kim, Sung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.59 no.3
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    • pp.164-172
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    • 2022
  • A HAZID is a brainstorming workshop to identify hazards in an early phase of a project. It should be flexible to capture all probable accidents allowing experienced participants to exploit their expertise and experiences. A bowtie analysis is a graphical representation of major accident hazards elaborating safety measures i.e. barriers. The result of these workshops should be documented in an organized manner to share as good as possible details of the discussion through the lifetime of the project. Currently results are documented using a three-step representation of an accident; causes, top event and consequences, which cannot capture correctly sequence of events leading to various accidents and roles of barrier between two events. Another problem is that barriers would be shown repeatedly leading to a misunderstanding that there are an enough number of safety measures. A new bowtie analysis method is proposed to describe an accident in multiple steps showing relations among causes or consequences. With causes and consequences shown in a format of a tree, the frequencies of having the top event (Fault tree analysis) and various consequences (Event tree analysis) are evaluated automatically based on the frequency of initiating causes and the probabilities of failure of barriers. It will provide a good description of the accident scenario and help the risk to be assessed transparently.

Late Results of the Senning and Mustard Operations for TGA in Children (Senning 및 Mustard 수술후 장기 성적)

  • 서경필
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 1989
  • We scrutinized the 64 cases of TGA and Taussig-Bing anomaly who underwent Senning and Mustard operations from Jan. 1981 to May 1988. The ratio of male to female was 45; 19, and the age at operation varied from 2 months to 18 years [mean 18.9*32.9 months]. The in-hospital mortality was in 24 cases [37.5%] and the major causes were myocardial failure and congestive heart failure associated with arrhythmias. The risk factors for hospital mortality were complex TGA, prolonged bypass time and high postoperative CVP. In addition, mortality increased during the first year the procedure was used. Late mortality occurred in 6 cases and the major causes was congestive heart failure, and there was not any significant risk factor noted in late mortality. Early arrhythmia developed in 37.5%, all of which were transient and self limited and 7 cases of early mortality were related to the arrhythmias. Late arrhythmias developed in 8 cases, but 7 cases were transient. One case died with junctional tachycardia. Of significance the one case that died late by arrhythmia had a similar junctional tachycardia in the early postoperative period. The survival rate in all cases disregarding initial in-hospital mortality 1YSR 89.8% and 5YSR 84.3%, but because of short duration of follow up this is not significant. We concluded that early hospital mortality could be decreased by operating at an earlier age and by adjusting the appropriate operation method.

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A Note on Risk Factors for Calf Mortality in Large-Scale Dairy Farms in the Tropics : A Case Study on Rift Valley Area of Kenya

  • Bebe, B.O.;Abdulrazak, S.A.;Ogore, P.O.;Ondiek, J.O.;Fujihara, T.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.855-857
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    • 2001
  • The aim of this study was to assess the associations of some potential risk factors and occurrence of calf mortality in large-scale dairy farms. Njoro area of the Rift valley, Kenya was selected due to its potential of large-scale dairy farms, since the time of the Europeans settlers. The study was retrospective and focused on the calves dying from January 1996 through October 1998. Sample of studied population consisted of 105 calves extracted from the farm records. Data was collected using a questionnaire and were grouped into farm-level and animal-level factors. Calf mortality was 15.6% and important risk factors for calf mortality were sex of calf, season of birth, pneumonia disease, age of dam when calf was born and house type for calves. Female calve born during colder wet seasons and born to dams of 2-4.5 years of age were equally at higher risk. Calves raised in movable pens compared to those raised in permanent pens were at higher risk of mortality from pneumonia. Animal level factors were major causes of calf mortality in commercial farms used in this study and therefore details study is needed in these factors in controlling the calf mortality rates.

Prevalence and Causes of Musculoskeletal Disorders in Korean Dentists (한국 치과의의 근골격계질환 실태 및 원인 조사)

  • Ryu, Taebeum
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2012
  • Dentists are known to be highly exposed to the musculoskeletal disorders (MSD). The present study investigated the prevalence of MSD among Korean dentists and association between their MSD and physical workload. In addition, detailed causes related to the physical workloads were identified in dental operation, and needs for improvement of dental instrument and environment were collected from Korean dentists. The standardized Nordic questionnaire was used to survey body troubles and three types of questionnaires were made to investigate the physical workloads, causes of the physical workloads and improvement priority of dental equipments, respectively. A total of 104 Korean dentists were participated in the survey. Neck trouble (82%) was the most prevalent in Korean dentists, and shoulder (68%) and low back trouble (56%) followed, while low back trouble was reported to be most frequent in previous studies. The body troubles were related to the physical workload of the corresponding body parts, although they were not associated with personal characteristics. Most Korean dentists selected 'to keep direct view inside patient's mouth' and 'no support of the hand with dental instruments' as the causes of awkward and strenuous work postures. They wanted design improvement for some equipment in their operating room such as operating light and arrangement of workplace.

A Study on the Safety Risk of Telescoping Work of Tower Cranes (타워크레인 텔레스코핑 작업의 안전리스크 대응방안 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Hoon;Choi, Jae-Hwi;Kim, Sun-Kuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2009.05b
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    • pp.9-13
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    • 2009
  • As recent construction projects are bigger and higher, the importance of lifting is increasing. In construction sites tower cranes are an essential lifting equipment covering were than 50% of all construction activities. But due to neglect of safety supervision, tower crane-related accidents are frequently taking place. Since most of construction activities is done in heights, the accidents are more likely to be catastrophic. According to an analysis of the causes of tower crane-related accidents, 49% of all accidents claimed for certain periods($1999{\sim}2003$) occurred in the process of telescoping work. Therefore, this research is conducted with the object of analyzing telescoping work of tower cranes and presenting solutions against safety risk. It is expected that the results of this study can be used as useful basic data or material when preparing for effective safety management for tower cranes.

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