• Title/Summary/Keyword: causal map

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Spatial Analysis Methods for Asbestos Exposure Research (석면노출연구를 위한 공간분석기법)

  • Kim, Ju-Young;Kang, Dong-Mug
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.369-379
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: Spatial analysis is useful for understanding complicated causal relationships. This paper focuses trends and appling methods for spatial analysis associated with environmental asbestos exposure. Methods: Literature review and reflection of experience of authors were conducted to know academic background of spatial analysis, appling methods on epidemiology and asbestos exposure. Results: Spatial analysis based on spatial autocorrelation provides a variety of methods through which to conduct mapping, cluster analysis, diffusion, interpolation, and identification. Cause of disease occurrence can be investigated through spatial analysis. Appropriate methods can be applied according to contagiousness and continuity. Spatial analysis for asbestos exposure source is needed to study asbestos related diseases. Although a great amount of research has used spatial analysis to study exposure assessment and distribution of disease occurrence, these studies tend to focus on the construction of a thematic map without different forms of analysis. Recently, spatial analysis has been advanced by merging with web tools, mobile computing, statistical packages, social network analysis, and big data. Conclusions: Because the trend in spatial analysis has evolved from simple marking into a variety of forms of analyses, environmental researchers including asbestos exposure study are required to be aware of recent trends.

System Thinking Analysis on The Expert Decision Making: Focusing on The Rescue Process of Se-Wol Accident (전문가 의사결정의 인지적 인과지도에 관한 연구: 세월호 참사 구조 과정을 중심으로)

  • Yang, Jeong-Ho
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.5-32
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    • 2015
  • Last year, a disastrous accident happened on the sea. Car ferry Se-wol which was on its way from In-cheon to Je-ju sank in the middle of the western sea. 304 passengers were drowned at the sea in the accident. There were no passengers who were waiting on board ship rescued in the accident. This study is to review the pattern of decision making in the middle of saving a life, right after Se-wol was about to sink. The starting point of this study is decision making on the rescue by rescue corps with no expert knowledge at the initial stage. When it comes to saving victims, there was no expert on rescue on the sea. Failure in rescue at Se-wol disaster lets us find a vicious circle of positive feedback loop. Experts with no experience act like well-qualified persons. Unqualified persons(leaders) have no expertise. Those who pretend to be expert occupy the important post in the hierarchy. It means we could not accumulate expertise of know-how in rescue division. That's why a vicious circle of positive feedback is formed in areas of disasters. It is necessary to train experts in Government Organizations to weaken the vicious circle of positive feedback.

Characterization of Pyrenophora graminea Markers Associated with a Locus Conferring Virulence on Barley

  • Mokrani, Lubna;Jawhar, Mohammad;Shoaib, Amina;Arabi, Mohammad Imad Eddin
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.290-294
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    • 2012
  • The fungus Pyrenophora graminea is the causal agent of barley leaf stripe disease. Two leaf stripe isolates PgSy3 (exhibiting high virulence on the barley cultivar 'Arabi Abiad') and PgSy1 (exhibiting low virulence on Arabi Abiad), were mated and 63 progeny were isolated and phenotyped for the reaction on Arabi Abiad. The population segregated in a 1:1 ratio, 32 virulent to 31 avirulent (${\chi}^2$ = 0.05, P = 0.36), indicating single gene control of PgSy3 virulence on Arabi Abiad. Among 96 AFLP markers identified, three AFLP markers, E37M50-400, E35M59-100 and E38M47-800 were linked to the virulence locus VHv1 in isolate PgSy3. The results of this study indicate that (the three markers) are closely linked to VHv1 and are unique to isolates carrying the virulence locus. This work represents an initial step towards map-based cloning of VHv1 in P. graminea.

Dynamic Analysis on the Policy Agenda Setting Process of the CO2 Emissions Trading (탄소배출권 거래제도 의제형성과정의 역동성 분석)

  • Lee, Eun-Kyu
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.53-79
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    • 2009
  • The main purpose of this study is to find what steps are needed for a system for CO2 emissions trading to be formulated as government policy, using System Thinking approach. First, this paper analyzed Korean newspapers to consider the social issue regarding CO2 emissions trading. There were more articles related to international issues than domestic ones before 2008. This trend, however, became reversed from January 2008, which means that consideration of CO2 emissions trading has been discussed as a domestic social issue from 2008. Second, it analyzed speeches by former president Roh Moo-Hyun and current president Lee Myung-bak. In particularly, President Lee Myung-bak declared "Low Carbon and Green Growth" as a new growth engine and a Korea's vision of the future national development. Third, it examined which government agencies, including departments and committees, are pursuing policies regarding climate change, global warming, and CO2 emissions trading. Most policy has originated in the Ministry of Environment, although policy alternatives have been proposed in other agencies including the Ministry of Knowledge Economy. The study concludes that the political consideration has played a major role in the policy agenda-setting process of the CO2 emissions trading in Korea.

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Development of Tunnel Construction Cost Model Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 터널공사비 모델 개발)

  • Park, Yong-Woo;Park, Hee-Sung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.468-475
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    • 2012
  • Construction cost of tunnel is decided on construction area, site conditions, and construction methods. However, there is few research on developing models to estimate early construction costs. Therefore, this paper presents a model for early estimation tool for NATM tunnel using system thinking. The effect factors for tunnel construction cost were defined and the causal map is developed. Then empirical case analysis were performed to identify the cost difference due to tunnel length, excavation volume, and rock quality. The proposed model would be an alternative to estimate early construction cost of NATM tunnel.

A Study on the outcome-oriented evaluation using System Dynamics: Focused on the Field of Disaster and Safety Management in the Combined Evaluation of Local Governments (SD를 활용한 성과지향적 평가에 관한 연구: 자치단체 합동평가 재난안전분야를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Kun Wee;Choi, In Soo;Jeon, Dae Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.143-163
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    • 2013
  • This study is firstly aiming at diagnosing the present problems of evaluating the performance, especially in the field of disaster and safety management, of LGA (Local Government Authorities) in Korea. The study also deals with developing alternatives to solve a series of barrier factors revealed during the evaluation process using System Dynamics. This paper therefore presents literature review including the official documents published by the government and the performance evaluation studies of LGA. Moreover the authors analyze the current practice of the CELG (Combined Evaluation of Local Governments) as performance management, address and map a series of barrier factors in the CELG process to elaborate the CLDs (Causal-Loop Diagrams) and find solutions using system thinking with the CLDs. According to the analysis results, the core barrier factors to overcome is lack of proactive indicators/indices in the current practice of the CLEG. The authors therefore recommend to develop more proactive indicators that leads to avoid difficulties in measuring the LGA output, as well as to lessen the burden in competition for rankings and goal of the displaced.

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A Research on Value Chain Structure on Experience of VR and AR Focused on Means-End Chain Theory on VR and AR (가상현실 미디어 체험이 가치사슬구조형성에 미치는 영향 연구 VR-AR 수단-목적 사슬이론 적용 중심으로)

  • Kweon, Sang Hee
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 2018
  • This research explores a value chain structure of VR-AR media including user's perception, uses, and evaluation. The purpose of this research focused on factor analysis and the relationship among user's VR-AR adoption motivations and utilities. This research explores correlation between personal value and using motivation. This study was to identify the value structure of respondent on VR-AR usages based on means-end chain theory. The research used structured APT laddering questions and 251 data was analysed. Through such analysis, category difference by stage and relationship difference were identified and hierarchical value map was compared. There are four different value ladders: first is attributes, functional consequences, psychological consequences, and final value. This study is based on the analysis of the value chain structure factors that affect VR and AR use behavior (attributes, functional benefits, psychological benefits, use value), 'Hierarchical Value Map' between users' The purpose of the model is to construct a model. For this, 'means-end chain theory' was applied to measure the causal relationship between personal value and VR related use behavior. In order to solve this research problem, 135 people were analyzed through the structured questionnaire using the AR and VR content fitness measure and the second APT laddering, and the use of VR-AR : 1) Functional benefits; 2) Psychological benefits; 3) Means to reach value, 4) Objective value chain structure was identified. The results show that VR users tried to smooth the social life through the new virtual reality audiovisual element, the newness of experience, fun, and pleasure through the departure of reality, vividness of experience, and leading fashion. The AR fitness was a game and a new program, and the value of interacting with other people and the value of 'periwinkle' played an important role through the vividness and peripheral interaction of AR, It was an important choice. The important basic values of users' VR and AR selection were correlated with psychological attributes of interaction with others, achievement, happiness and favorable values.

Related Conception s to Earth System and Applying of Systems Thinking about Carbon Cycle of the Preservice Teachers (예비교사들의 탄소 순환에 대한 지구시스템의 관련개념과 시스템 사고의 적용)

  • Jeong, Jin-Woo;kyung, Jai-Bok;Koh, Yeong-Koo;Youn, Seok-Tae;Kim, Hai-Gyoung;Oh, Kang-Ho;Moon, Byoung-Chan
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.25 no.8
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    • pp.684-696
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    • 2004
  • Using six preservice teachers as subjects, this was purpose to research about concepts in understanding carbon cycle, which of concepts were related to the conception of the system, and finally whether or not the systems thinking was sufficiently around carbon cycle. To achieve this study purpose , an instrument related to carbon cycle was developed and administered to the six teachers. The study found that a total of 42 conceptions within the system were concepts related to carbon cycle. The consisted of 15 conceptions in atmosphere, 11 in atmosphere 9 in hydrosphere, and 7 in lithosphere. In aspect of applying the system thinking, 4 subjects who couldn't compose the feedback loop in their causal map failed to apply this type of thinking. The other two who applied systems thinking had 2 and 1 feedback loop each, in their causal maps. But, one of the feedback loop from the subject who made two was based on unscientific reasoning. As a result, the subjects had lower understanding of concepts related to carbon cycle in lithosphere than in atmosphere, atmosphere, and hydrosphere. Futhermore, the subjects' application of the earth systems thinking on carbon was at a low standard.

Effects of Initial Responses in Steps for the Release Accidents of Hydrofluoric Acid (불산수용액 누출사고에 대한 초기대응 단계별 영향)

  • Choi, Jae Sik;Choi, Jae U;Shim, Ju Yong;Lee, Mu Chul
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.68-76
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    • 2021
  • As hazardous chemicals are releasing in process industries such as chemical & petro-chemical plants, the importance of initial responses has been always emphasized. However, little attention of quantitative analysis of the consequence by different initial responses during releasing of the chemicals has been done. The main objective of current paper is to investigate the effects of initial responses for the release accidents of hydrofluoric acid. For this, a simplified equation that can easily calculate the effect distance by varying concentrations of hydrofluoric acid was firstly deduced. In addition, a causal loops for the initial response steps using the system dynamics technique was constructed during release of 50% hydrofluoric acid. The effect distances according to different scenarios of the initial actions were also quantitatively analyzed by applying the simplified equation to the causal map. As a result, the highest reduction rate on the maximum effect distance was obtained with 'start time of action after leak detection' being about 87% while the lowest was 'arrival time of professional response team' being about 50%, as expected. It is expected that the results gained from the current study can be helpful as of basics of the initial response to the workplace, dealing with the hydrofluoric acid.

A Study on Identifying Factors Affecting Improvement for Academic Libraries Multimedia Services Using Six Sigma Methodology (6시그마 도구를 활용한 대학도서관 멀티미디어 서비스 개선 변수 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Noh, Dong-Jo;Nam, Min-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.111-129
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzed the process of multimedia services and indexed the core quality characteristics through the tools employed in 'Define' and 'Measure' steps of the 6 Sigma DMAIC methodology. To achieve the goal, as a case study of 'S' University Central Library, first, brainstorming technique was used to tap the librarians, second, interview with the half-time student workers, third, user's opinion on homepage was analyzed and lastly, the interview with the users. This study also drew some potential causal factors which would likely to affect the multimedia service using Process Map and C&E Diagram. Those factors were prioritized using X-Y matrix and Pareto Chart. This study revealed 14 factors affecting multimedia services: 'presence/absence of the persons who are in charge of selection', 'cycle of selection materials', 'presence/absence of seperated multimedia room', 'materials arrangement method', 'notification of popular materials', 'notification of documents arrivals', 'methods of noticing new arrivals', 'methods of ordering materials', 'cycle of checking order status', 'types of persons requesting materials', 'methods of requesting materials', 'checking of the status of the returned materials', 'methods of noticing materials in housed', and 'methods of ways to return overdue materials'.