• 제목/요약/키워드: cash flow analysis

검색결과 163건 처리시간 0.026초

Preparing a Construction Cash Flow Analysis Using Building Information Modeling (BIM) Technology

  • Kim, Hyunjoo;Grobler, Francois
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2013
  • Construction is a competitive industry and successful contractors must be able to win bids to obtain projects. Cash flow analysis not only determines actual profit at the end of the project, but also estimates required cash resources or cash ballances at the end of every month. Cash flow analysis is important in managing a construction project; however, it requires extensive information that is not immediately available to the general contractor. Before contractors can perform cash flow analysis, they must first complete a series of pre-requisites such as the quantity take off, scheduling, and cost estimating, followed by accurate assessments of project costs incurred and billable progress made. Consequently, cash flow analysis is currently a lengthy, uncertain process. This paper suggests improved cash flow analysis can be developed using data extraction in Building Information Modeling (BIM). BIM models contain a wealth of information and tools have been developed to automate a series of process such as quantity takeoff, scheduling, and estimating. This paper describes a prototype tool to support BIM-based, automated cash flow analysis.

공공건설임대주택사업의 현금흐름에 대한 리스크분석 (A Study of the Analysis and Identification of Risk Factor in Regard to Cash Flow in Public Rental Housing Development Project)

  • 이상곤;이재영;이학기
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2004년도 제5회 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.423-426
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    • 2004
  • 공공건설임대주택의 사업비는 국민주택기금, 임대료, 임대보증금, 공사비, 금융비용 등 다양한 수익과 비용이 복합적으로 나타나게 된다. 따라서 공공건설임대주택 사업은 그 특성상 유동성과 재무탄력성에 대한 유용한 정보를 제공해 줄 수 있는 현금흐름예측이 필요하다. 그러나 현금흐름분석은 일부 시행하고 있었으나, 이를 예측 $\cdot$ 관리하고 있는 곳은 전무한 것으로 나타났다. 현금흐름 예측을 위한 일반적인 사항들은 실적자료와 문헌을 통하여 알 수 있으나, 현금흐름 예측의 정확성을 높이기 위한 리스크에 대한 연구는 전무한 실정이었다. 기존의 리스크에 대한 연구는 사업 전체에 대한 연구로 현금흐름과 정확한 상관관계를 알 수 없었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 수익성 측면에서의 사업성분석 방법으로 현금흐름 예측방법을 제안하고 공공건설임대주택사업의 정확한 현금흐름예측과 관리를 위하여 현금흐름 각 항목에 영향을 미치는 리스크 인자들을 식별 $\cdot$ 분석 하고 그 대응방안을 모색하고자 한다.

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Robustness of Cash Flow Value: Investment in ASEAN

  • LAU, Wei Theng;MAHAT, Fauziah Binti
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.247-255
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    • 2019
  • This study examines the different roles of cash flow in assessing investment returns in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). The analysis covers over 900 listed firms across Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand for the period post the Asian financial crisis of 2001-2017. Firm-level panel data analysis shows that cash flow factors are important in all contexts of cash return on assets, earnings quality and market value multiple across the region even after controlling for typical measures of profitability. The results suggest that firms should manage cash flow prudently in considerations of firm value from the shareholder's perspective, measured directly using stock return. Cash profitability on assets should become an important firm performance indicator, whilst higher cash component over reported earnings is preferred. The market also tends to respond favourably to cash flow yield as a price multiple in valuation, outpacing the role of earnings yield. Such findings are robust across the pre and post subprime crisis periods, across estimation methods pertaining to finance panel standard errors, as well as across static and dynamic considerations of returns. It is hence sensible to consider cash flow factors in the research pertaining to asset pricing and factor investing in the ASEAN region.

병원의 미래 현금흐름 정보예측 (A Study on the Predictability of Hospital's Future Cash Flow Information)

  • 문영전;양동현
    • 한국병원경영학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.19-41
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    • 2006
  • The Objective of this study was to design the model which predict the future cash flow of hospitals and on the basis of designed model to support sound hospital management by the prediction of future cash flow. The five cash flow measurement variables discussed in financial accrual part were used as variables and these variables were defined as NI, NIDPR, CFO, CFAI, CC. To measure the cash flow B/S related variables, P/L related variables and financial ratio related variables were utilized in this study. To measure cash flow models were designed and to estimate the prediction ability of five cash flow models, the martingale model and the market model were utilized. To estimate relative prediction outcome of cash flow prediction model and simple market model, MAE and MER were used to compare and analyze relative prediction ability of the cash flow model and the market model and to prove superiority of the model of the cash flow prediction model, 32 Regional Public Hospital's cross-section data and 4 year time series data were combined and pooled cross-sectional time series regression model was used for GLS-analysis. To analyze this data, Firstly, each cash flow prediction model, martingale model and market model were made and MAE and MER were estimated. Secondly difference-test was conducted to find the difference between MAE and MER of cash flow prediction model. Thirdly after ranking by size the prediction of cash flow model, martingale model and market model, Friedman-test was evaluated to find prediction ability. The results of this study were as follows: when t-test was conducted to find prediction ability among each model, the error of prediction of cash flow model was smaller than that of martingale and market model, and the difference of prediction error cash flow was significant, so cash flow model was analyzed as excellent compare with other models. This research results can be considered conductive in that present the suitable prediction model of future cash flow to the hospital. This research can provide valuable information in policy-making of hospital's policy decision. This research provide effects as follows; (1) the research is useful to estimate the benefit of hospital, solvency and capital supply ability for substitution of fixed equipment. (2) the research is useful to estimate hospital's liqudity, solvency and financial ability. (3) the research is useful to estimate evaluation ability in hospital management. Furthermore, the research should be continued by sampling all hospitals and constructed advanced cash flow model in dimension, established type and continued by studying unified model which is related each cash flow model.

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현금흐름모형 고찰에 의한 확장모형의 개발 및 적용 (Development and Implementation of Extension Models Based on the Review of Cash Flow Models)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.435-448
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this study is to investigate and develop the extended models for Economic Cash Amount(ECA), Cash Break Even-Point(BEP), and Cash Flow Statement(CFS) by referencing systematic literature review in the field. The study develops three extended models to determine the optimal cash amount: ECA model with interest opportunity cost, financing transaction cost and financing fail cost, ECA model with daily cash supply and interest opportunity cost, ECA model with financing fail cost and interest opportunity cost. Earnings Before Interests, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization(EBITDA) is obtained by subtracting noncash depreciation costs from Earning Before Interest and Tax(EBIT), which is efficient metric to evaluate operating cash flow. The research also develops two extended Cash BEP models, considered as interest and corporate tax, in order to indentify the break-even point as EBITDA equals zero. Furthermore, this paper proposes the modified version of CFS by introducing the reclassification of operating and financing accounts in the statement of financial position. In addition, the study also present the reclassification of five types of profit, such as gross profit, EBIT, ordinary profit, special profit, and net profit within the statement of comprehensive income. In order to provide a better understanding of the proposed cash flow models, numerical examples, such as two-sample t test and Analysis of Variance(ANOVA), are presented to demonstrate the statistical significance according to the industrial types for net working capital(i.e cash-to-cash), net profit, operating cash flow and free cash flow.

소득계층별 적자가계의 소비 지출 분석: 2000, 2005, 2010년의 가계를 대상으로 (Analysis of Household Income and Expenditure of Households with a Negative Cash Flow Across Income Groups in 2000, 2005, and 2010)

  • 이종희;양세정
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.125-143
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study was to gain a better understanding of households with a negative cash flow. The Household Budget Survey conducted in 2000, 2005, and 2010 by the Bureau of Statistics in South Korea were used for this study. The households used in this study were divided into four groups according to their income levels; they were categorized the lowest, low, middle, and high income groups. This study made several findings regarding households with a negative/positive cash flow. Firstly, the demographic and economic characteristics were different between those who have a negative cash flow and those with a positive cash flow. A female household head, a household head age 65 and older, a household head with a lower educational attainment, an unemployed household head, and the presence of a child/children in schools were related with the household deficit. Secondly, the households with a positive cash flow had a higher income level compared to the households with a negative cash flow, while the households with a negative cash flow had a much higher consumption level compared to the households with a positive cash flow. Thirdly, the household deficit to total income ratio of the lowest income group was higher when compared to any other income group. Lastly, the multivariate statistics showed that households including a child/children in schools are more likely to be a household with a negative cash flow. Especially, the expenditures on education and transportation were related with the likelihood of a household deficit.

영구임대주택의 현금흐름을 고려한 리모델링 시기 추정에 관한 연구 (The Prediction of Remodelling Timing Based on the Cash Flow of Permanent Rental Housing)

  • 김두석;하현석;김용수
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to predict remodeling timing of Permanent Rental Housing through historic data and cash flow analysis. For this aim, the study has estimated cash flow of Permanent Rental Housing considering initial construction costs, government supporting fund, rental incomes and maintenance expenses. Based on the expected cash flow analysis, reasonable remodeling timing is predicted for Permanent Rental Housing. The results of this study are as follows: (1) it is analyzed that building a8e of about 27 years is the best time for remodeling because cumulative surplus amounts reach maximum level, (2) it is required that remodeling should be made before 34 years of age roughly because cumulative surplus amounts change into minus from this time.

현금흐름 패턴을 고려한 경제성 평가모델 (A Model on Economy Evaluation Regarding to Cash Flow Pattern)

  • 강성수
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.177-187
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    • 2008
  • It is very important to select optimal investment alternative. The common method of economic evaluation is to compare of NPV, FW, AE by MARR, or the rate of return for the cash flow of alternatives. This method is undergoing by assumption that cash flow can be always evaluated by MARR, but the cash flow is not always increased or discounted like MARR. So this paper suggests a model on an economic analysis and evaluation regarding to various cash pattern, that is helpful for the person in the field to use easily.

Past Performance and Earnings Management: The Effect of Free Cash Flow

  • SARI, Martdian Ratna;DJOHANPUTRO, Bramantyo;KOUNTUR, Ronny
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2021
  • The main objective of this study is to discuss the effect of free cash flow as a moderating variable on managers' decisions as regard earnings management. Companies with free cash flow are expected to refrain from taking opportunistic actions such as earnings management. The research used quantitative methods with sub-group moderating analysis. It is found that there is a significant relationship between past performance and earnings management, where the free cash flow is the moderating variable. The effect of past performance on earnings management is shown to slightly increase as free cash flow is considered. The findings of this study prove that earnings management is a practice that is often done by utilizing the flexibility of accounting recording and recognition mechanisms. Past performance becomes the main variable in encouraging managers to manage earnings by reducing revenue in the current period. This research can also be a reference in explaining managerial behavior and can be a reference to improving ethical human resource capabilities. This research focuses on companies in Indonesia that conduct earnings management by lowering profits as a result of declining past performance and examines aspects of free cash flow that reinforces the conduct of earnings management.

재무지표 비교 분석에 의한 병원도산예측모형 평가 (Evaluation on Bankruptcy Prediction Model of Hospital using the comparative Analysis of Financial Index)

  • 김재명;안영창
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.81-109
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    • 2005
  • According to many recent studies suggesting that cash flow analysis method tends to be more effective than traditional financial index analysis method to predict corporate bankruptcy, this study applies the cash flow analysis method to hospital business to identify the significant variables which can distinguish between superior hospitals and bankruptcy hospitals. The author analyzed recent 3 years, i.e. from the year of 2000 to the year of 2002, financial statements of 31 bankrupt hospitals In 2003, and the same number of superior hospitals through using Multiple Discriminant Analysis and Logit Analysis. The results are belows; First, the study releases that Logit Analysis is more likely to be effective than Multiple Discriminant Analysis. Second, this research also shows that traditional financial index analysis method is more superior compare to cash flow analysis method for hospital bankruptcy predict model. Finally, this study suggest that the significant variables, which can distinguish superior hospitals from bankrupt hospitals, are Operating/Current Liabilities$(Y_2)$, CFO/Equity$(Y_5)$ for cash flow analysis method and Net Worth to Total Assets Ratio$(X_1)$, Quick Ratio $(X_3)$, Return on Assets$(X_6)$, Growth Rate of Patient Revenues$(X_{16})$ for traditional financial index analysis method.