• Title/Summary/Keyword: calibrated equation

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Predicting nutrient excretion from dairy cows on smallholder farms in Indonesia using readily available farm data

  • Al Zahra, Windi;van Middelaar, Corina E.;de Boer, Imke J.M;Oosting, Simon J.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.33 no.12
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    • pp.2039-2049
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    • 2020
  • Objective: This study was conducted to provide models to accurately predict nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) excretion of dairy cows on smallholder farms in Indonesia based on readily available farm data. Methods: The generic model in this study is based on the principles of the Lucas equation, describing the relation between dry matter intake (DMI) and faecal N excretion to predict the quantity of faecal N (QFN). Excretion of urinary N and faecal P were calculated based on National Research Council recommendations for dairy cows. A farm survey was conducted to collect input parameters for the models. The data set was used to calibrate the model to predict QFN for the specific case. The model was validated by comparing the predicted quantity of faecal N with the actual quantity of faecal N (QFNACT) based on measurements, and the calibrated model was compared to the Lucas equation. The models were used to predict N and P excretion of all 144 dairy cows in the data set. Results: Our estimate of true N digestibility equalled the standard value of 92% in the original Lucas equation, whereas our estimate of metabolic faecal N was -0.60 g/100 g DMI, with the standard value being -0.61 g/100 g DMI. Results of the model validation showed that the R2 was 0.63, the MAE was 15 g/animal/d (17% from QFNACT), and the RMSE was 20 g/animal/d (22% from QFNACT). We predicted that the total N excretion of dairy cows in Indonesia was on average 197 g/animal/d, whereas P excretion was on average 56 g/animal/d. Conclusion: The proposed models can be used with reasonable accuracy to predict N and P excretion of dairy cattle on smallholder farms in Indonesia, which can contribute to improving manure management and reduce environmental issues related to nutrient losses.

Experimental Study on Hysteresis Phenomena in Porous Media (다공성 매질에서 이력현상에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • 강우영;박재현
    • Water for future
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 1995
  • The water retention function which has the hysteresis phenomena is required to analyze the Richards equation which is a governing equation of the unsaturated flow, and its hysteresis phenomena has influence upon the characteristics of the unsaturated flow. The accuracy of the published hysteresis models is compared by using experimental data of the water retention function. The apparatus to experiment the hysteresis phenomena on the soil is developed, and experimental data for the main wetting process and the main drying process of the water retention function are obtained. The parameters of the van Genuchten equation are calibrated by using experimentally obtained data. As a result of the comparison of the selected hysteresis models which simulate the main drying curve from the main wetting curve, the Model I-1(Mualem) overestimates and the Model II-1(Mualem) underestimates but the Model III-2(Park and Sonu) similarly estimates the experimental data of the main drying curve.

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Prediction from Linear Regression Equation for Nitrogen Content Measurement in Bentgrasses leaves Using Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (근적외선 분광분석기를 이용한 잔디 생체잎의 질소 함량 측정을 위한 검량식 개발)

  • Cha, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Kyung-Duck;Park, Dae-Sup
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.77-90
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    • 2009
  • Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy(NIRS) is a quick, accurate, and non-destructive method to measure multiple nutrient components in plant leaves. This study was to acquire a liner regression equation by evaluating the nutrient contents of 'CY2' creeping bentgrass rapidly and accurately using NIRS. In particular, nitrogen fertility is a primary element to keep maintaining good quality of turfgrass. Nitrogen, moisture, carbohydrate, and starch were assessed and analyzed from 'CY2' creeping bentgrass clippings. A linear regression equation was obtained from accessing NIRS values from NIR spectrophotometer(NIR system, Model XDS, XM-1100 series, FOSS, Sweden) programmed with WinISI III project manager v1.50e and ISIscan(R) (Infrasoft International) and calibrated with laboratory values via chemical analysis from an authorized institute. The equation was formulated as MPLS(modified partial least squares) analyzing laboratory values and mathematically pre-treated spectra. The accuracy of the acquired equation was confirmed with SEP(standard error of prediction), which indicated as correlation coefficient($r^2$) and prediction error of sample unacquainted, followed by the verification of model equation of real values and these monitoring results. As results of monitoring, $r^2$ of nitrogen, moisture, and carbohydrate in 'CY2' creeping bentgrass was 0.840, 0.904, and 0.944, respectively. SEP was 0.066, 1.868, and 0.601, respectively. After outlier treatment, $r^2$ was 0.892, 0.925, and 0.971, while SEP was 0.052, 1.577, and 0.394, respectively, which totally showed a high correlation. However, $r^2$ of starch was 0.464, which appeared a low correlation. Thereof, the verified equation appearing higher $r^2$ of nitrogen, moisture, and carbohydrate showed its higher accuracy of prediction model, which finally could be put into practical use for turf management system.

Real-Time Forecasting of Flood Discharges Upstream and Downstream of a Multipurpose Dam Using Grey Models (Grey 모형을 이용한 다목적댐의 유입 홍수량과 하류 하천 홍수량 실시간 예측)

  • Kang, Min-Goo;Cai, Ximing;Koh, Deuk-Koo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2009
  • To efficiently carry out the flood management of a multipurpose dam, two flood forecasting models are developed, each of which has the capabilities of forecasting upstream inflows and flood discharges downstream of a dam, respectively. The models are calibrated, validated, and evaluated by comparison of the observed and the runoff forecasts upstream and downstream of Namgang Dam. The upstream inflow forecasting model is based on the Grey system theory and employs the sixth order differential equation. By comparing the inflows forecasted by the models calibrated using different data sets with the observed in validation, the most appropriate model is determined. To forecast flood discharges downstream of a dam, a Grey model is integrated with a modified Muskingum flow routing model. A comparison of the observed and the forecasted values in validation reveals that the model can provide good forecasts for the dam's flood management. The applications of the two models to forecasting floods in real situations show that they provide reasonable results. In addition, it is revealed that to enhance the prediction accuracy, the models are necessary to be calibrated and applied considering runoff stages; the rising, peak, and falling stages.

Reliability Analysis and Evaluation of Partial Safety Factors for Wave Run-up (처오름에 대한 신뢰성 해석 및 부분안전계수 산정)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.355-362
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    • 2008
  • A reliability model of Level II AFDA is proposed to analyze the wave run-up occurring by the interaction of incident waves and sloped coastal structures. The reliability model may be satisfactorily calibrated by Level III Monte-Carlo simulation. Additionally, the partial safety factors of random variables related to wave run-up can be straightforwardly evaluated by the inverse-reliability method that use influence coefficients and uncertainties of random variables, and target probability of failure. In particular, a design equation for wave run-up is derived in the same form as that of deterministic design method so that the reliability-based design method of Level I may be applied easily. Finally, it is confirmed that results redesigned by the reliability-based design method of Level I with partial safety factors suggested in this paper are satisfactorily compared with results of CEM(2006) as well as those of Level II AFDA.

Reliability analysis of proposed capacity equation for predicting the behavior of steel-tube concrete columns confined with CFRP sheets

  • Raza, Ali;Khan, Qaiser uz Zaman;Ahmad, Afaq
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.383-400
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    • 2020
  • Due to higher stiffness to weight, higher corrosion resistance, higher strength to weight ratios and good durability, concrete composite structures provide many advantages as compared with conventional materials. Thus, they have wide applications in the field of concrete construction. This research focuses on the structural behavior of steel-tube CFRP confined concrete (STCCC) columns under axial concentric loading. A nonlinear finite element analysis (NLFEA) model of STCCC columns was simulated using ABAQUS which was then, calibrated for different material and geometric models of concrete, steel tube and CFRP material using the experimental results from the literature. The comparative study of the NLFEA predictions and the experimental results indicated that the proposed constitutive NLFEA model can accurately predict the structural performance of STCCC columns. After the calibration of NLFEA model, an extensive parametric study was performed to examine the effects of different critical parameters of composite columns such as; (i) unconfined concrete strength, (ii) number of CFRP layers, (iii) thickness of steel tube and (iv) concrete core diameter, on the axial load capacity. Furthermore, a large database of axial strength of 700 confined concrete compression members was developed from the previous researches to give an analytical model that predicts the ultimate axial strength of composite columns accurately. The comparison of the predictions of the proposed analytical model was done with the predictions of 216 NLFEA models from the parametric study. A close agreement was represented by the predictions of the proposed constitutive NLFEA model and the analytical model.

A Study on the Estimation of Sediment Yield Based on a Distributed System Concept (분포형 개념을 이용한 토사유출량 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ung-Tae;Yun, Yong-Nam;Park, Mu-Jong;Yu, Cheol-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2001
  • The present study is focused on improving the methodology for the determination of parameters involved in USLE(Universal Soil Loss Equation) based on distributed system concept and investigation of sediment delivery ratio. Generally the distributed system concept consists of grid networks throughout the watershed and sediment can be traced from grid to rid in the direction of the steepest descent. The sediment yield data together with physical data of 10 small irrigation reservoirs in Kyounggi-Do are collected. After the sediment delivery ratio of a grid is defined to be related tothe fraction of forested or covered with delivery proofing area of the grid, the preportionality coefficient(C$_1$) is introduced. The distributed system model is calibrated using the available data for 8 reservoirs and is verified with the data for the ramaining 2 reservoirs, and regression analysis is made to express the proportionality coefficient $C_1$ in terms of watershed physical characteristics. By applying this results the verification of the distributed system model for 2 reservoirs showed a fair result, which justifies the applicability of the proposed method in the present study.

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Unsteady Flow Analysis in the Youngsan River Using Explicit and Implicit Finite Difference Methods (양해법과 음해법을 이용한 영산강에서의 부정류해석)

  • Choi, Sung-Uk;Yeo, Woon-Kwang;Choo, Cheol;Kim, Chang-Wan;O, Yu-Chang
    • Water for future
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 1991
  • Flood routing in the Youngsan River was performed for the flood event of July, 1989 by two finite difference methods. The Saint Venant eq., a kind of hyperbolic partial differential equation is employed as governing equation and the explicit scheme (Leap Frog) and implicit scheme (Preissmann) are used to discretize the GE. As for the external boundary conditions, discharge and tidal elevation are upstream and downstream BC, respectively and estuary dam is included in internal BC. Lateral inflows and upstream discharges are the hourly results from storage function method, At Naju station, a Relatively upstream points in this river, the outputs are interpreted as good ones by comparing two numerical results of FDMs with the observed data and the calibrated results by storage function method. and two computational results are compared at the other sites, from middle stream and downstream points, and thus are considered reliable. Therefore, we can conclude from this research that these numerical models are adaptable in simulating and forecasting the flood in natural channels in Korea as well as existing hydrologic models. And the study about optimal gate control at the flood time is expected as further study using these models.

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Large Scale Mass Flow Measurement Using Bellmouth and Rake (벨마우스와 레이크를 이용한 대용량 유량 계측)

  • Kim, Jeong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 2012
  • For an aerodynamic test facility, it is very important to get the precise measurement data of pressure, temperature and mass flow rate at the upstream to the test article. Hence, a new measurement method using a bellmouth and rakes was studied for the large scale system of which the corrected mass flow is between 5 kg/s and 8 kg/s. The bellmouth was designed by ISO standard for 0.5% accuracy, and the rakes were designed by using the equal area method. From the results of 9 test trials, it is found that the Reynolds number of rakes and the mass flow rate ratio can be simply formulated by an one-dimensional equation. The mass flow rate of rakes was calibrated by this equation. By the result of calibration, The maximum error rate was -0.507%, and the average error rate was -0.000274%.

Ductile Fracture of a Marine Structural Steel based on HC-DSSE Combined Fracture Strain Formulation (HC-DSSE 조합 파단 변형률 정식화에 기반한 선박해양 구조물용 강재의 연성 파단 예측)

  • Park, Sung-Ju;Lee, Kangsu;Cerik, Burak Can;Kim, Younghyn;Choung, Joonmo
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.82-93
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, the ductile fracture criteria for a marine structural steel (EH36) are presented and validated. The theoretical background of the recently developed Hosford-Coulomb (HC) fracture strain model and the DSSE fracture strain model which was developed to apply to the shell elements is described. In order to accurately estimate the flow stress in the large strain range up to the fracture, the material constants for the combined Swift-Voce constitutive equation were derived by the numerical analyses of the smooth and notched specimens made from the EH36 steel. As a result of applying the Swift-Voce flow stress to the other notched specimen model, a very accurate load - displacement curve could be derived. The material constants of the HC fracture strain and DSSE fracture strain models were independently calibrated based on the numerical analyses for the smooth and notch specimen tests. The user subroutine (VUMAT of Abaqus) was developed to verify the accuracy of the combined HC-DSSE fracture strain model. An asymmetric notch specimen was used as verification model. It was confirmed that the fracture of the asymmetric specimen can be accurately predicted when a very small solid elements are used together with the HC fracture strain model. On the other hand, the combined HC-DSSE fracture strain model can predict accurately the fracture of shell element model while the shell element size effect becomes less sensitive.