• Title/Summary/Keyword: budget estimate

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An Estimation on the Economic Value of Emergency Medical Facilities (응급의료시설의 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Lee, Hojun;Hong, Sok Chul
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.103-133
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    • 2014
  • We consider the economic value of emergency medical facilities. An emergency medical facility affects the medical environments in a community, and thus the social demand on the facility increases as the demand of qualified public health service increases. Regarding the increased demand and the limited resources of fiscal budget, it is important to scientifically evaluate the social benefit of the public investment on emergency medical facilities, as the results of evaluation can help make better budgetary decision on each public investment project of emergency medical facilities. In this paper, we try to estimate the economic value of emergency medical facilities based upon the estimated changes in preventable death rate by the facility and the statistical value of life. We hope the results contribute to improve the budgetary decision making on the emergency medical facility projects, thus the public health policies.

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Impact of the Smoke Aerosol from Russian Forest Fires on the Atmospheric Environment over Korea during May 2003 (2003년 5월 러시아지역에서 발생한 산불로 인한 스모크 에어로졸 플룸의 영향)

  • Lee, Kwon-Ho;Kim, Jeong-Eun;Kim, Young-Joon;Kim, Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.603-613
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    • 2004
  • Extensive forest fires occurred across the border in Russia. particularly east of Lake Baikal between the Amur and Lena rivers in May 2003. These forest fires released large amounts of particulates and gases into the atmosphere. resulting in adverse effects on regional air quality and the global radiation budget. Smoke pollution from the Russian fires near Lake Baikal was sometimes transported to Korea through Mongolia and eastern China. In this study ground based radiation (visible and UV-B) data measured during May 2003 at Seoul and Kwangju were analyzed to estimate smoke aerosol impacts on solar radiation. Surface criteria air pollutants ($PM_{10}$, CO, $O_3$) data were also obtained from National Institute of Environmental Research (NIER) during smoke aerosol event period (19 May~24 May 2003). Large Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) 1.0~3.0 was observed during this period due to the influence of the long range transport of smoke aerosol plume from the Russian fires, resulting in short-wavelength direct aerosol radiative forcing of -90~ -200W/$m^2$. These smoke aerosol plume caused decrease in surface UV-B radiation up to 80% and increase in PM_(10) concentration up to 200${\mu}g/m^3$ exceeding the 24 hour ambient air quality standard.

Water vapor in high-mass star-forming regions and PDRs: the Herschel/HIFI view

  • Choi, Yunhee;van der Tak, Floris F.S.;van Dishoeck, Ewine F.;Bergin, Edwin A.
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.42.2-43
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    • 2015
  • Massive stars play a major role in the interstellar energy budget and the shaping of the galactic environment. The water molecule is thought to be a sensitive tracer of physical conditions and dynamics in star-forming regions because of its large abundance variations between hot and cold regions. Herschel/HIFI allows us to observe the multiple rotational transitions of H2O including the ground-state levels, and its isotopologues toward high-mass star-forming regions in different evolutionary stages. Photodissociation regions (PDRs) are also targeted to investigate the distribution of water and its chemistry. We present line profiles and maps of H2O using data from two guaranteed-time key programs "Water In Star-forming regions with Herschel" and "Herschel observations of EXtra-Ordinary Sources". We analyze the temperature and density structures using LTE and non-LTE methods. We also estimate turbulent and expansion velocities, and abundance of water in the inner and outer envelopes using the 1D radiative transfer code. Around high-mass protostars we find H2O abundances of ~10-8-10-9 for the outer envelope and ~10-4-10-5 for the inner envelope, and expansion and turbulent velocities range from 1.0 km s-1 to 2.0 km s-1. The abundances and kinematic parameters of the sources do not show clear trends with evolutionary indicators. The Herschel/HIFI mapping observations of H2O toward the Orion Bar PDR show that H2O emission peaks between the shielded dense gas and the radicals position, in agreement with the theoretical and the observational PDR structure. The derived H2O abundance is ~10-7 and peaks at the depth of AV ~8 mag from the ionization front. Together with the low ortho-to-para ratio of H2O (~1) presented by Choi et al. (2014), our results show that the chemistry of water in the Orion Bar is dominated by photodesorption and photodissociation.

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Suggestion and Verification of Assessment model on Construction Cost of Steel Box Girder Bridge in Project Performance Phases (사업 수행 단계별 강박스거더교 공사비 산정 모델 제시 및 검증)

  • Jeon, Eun-Kyoung;Kyung, Kab-Soo;Park, Jin-Eun;Kang, Sin-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2010
  • To effectively secure and execute the national budget, it is very important to estimate the reasonable construction cost of each process in the construction of public facilities and works. The construction cost is generally estimated at the time when the design of the targeted structures has been completed. Without detailed sectional drawings and with only simple information on bridge structures in the planning stage or in the early design stage. it would be very difficult to predict the approximate construction cost. In this study, a more efficient and appropriate approximate construction cost estimation model in the planning stage and in the early design stage is presented and verified as reliable by analyzing the construction cost data of 61 existing steel box girder bridges from previous studies. The results of this study show that when the construction cost that was predicted using the construction cost estimation model in the design stage was compared with the cost from the conventional standards, the suggested model in this study produced results with a very high confidence level.

Recent Trend for the Application of Total Economic Value (TEV) Estimation to Groundwater Resources (지하수자원의 경제적 가치 평가 적용과 관련한 최근동향)

  • Song, Sung-Ho;White, Paul;Zemansky, Gil
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2012
  • Total Economic Value (TEV) provides a framework to estimate the economic value of water resources including groundwater with multiple applications to natural resource economics and environmental economics. Crucial to the application of economic analysis to natural resources are techniques to value the resources as an economic value that is expressed in monetary terms. On the other hand, the aim of TEV estimation is to determine the economic value of water resources including 'use' with production and recreation and 'non-use' such as existence values. TEV is used to assess the economic value of water resources for the multiple goods, and environmental 'services' that are provided by a water resource and also used to assess options for water use, for example balancing production values provided by water resource use against the cost of resource degradation by that use. The value of TEV can be assessed over time where pollution or unsustainable use may reduce the economic value of an environmental asset. Therefore, values are used to assess options of resource use, sometimes leading to policies on resource conservation or allocation. In conclusion, the application of TEV would be well adjusted over Jeju Island where groundwater resources account for more than 98% water resources and the budget of water demand/supply shows disparity over the Island.

A Study On Developing Weapon System CERs With Considering Various Data Characteristics (다양한 데이터 특성을 고려한 무기체계 비용추정관계식 개발 연구)

  • Jung, Won-Il;Kim, Dong-Kyu;Kang, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.43-56
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    • 2010
  • Recently, the acquisition environment of the Korean defense weapon system is emphasizing more the importance of cost analysis in terms of efficient execution for defense acquisition budget. While cost analysis, however, is emphasized in law and process, its infrastructures are still insufficient We have been using computerized cost models to obtain an estimate at early phase of project. But those models have been developed by foreign companies, and so they have many limitations when using in Korean defense environment. For this reason, it began to sympathize that we need the development of the Korean version cost estimation model suitable for our defense industry environment, and now many studies are proceeding. In this study, we suggest Cost Estimating Relationships(CERs) developing methodologies which is key logics of Korean version cost estimation model. Especially, we proposed a new CER's development process depending upon data characteristics such as, multicolinearity, outlier, small samples and heteroscedasticity. Also, we presented a case study for artillery weapon system using these methods we developed. We find that these CERs could be verified through theoretical methods.

A Study on Improvement of High Resolution Regional NWP by Applying Ocean Mixed Layer Model (해양혼합층 모델 적용을 통한 고해상도 지역예측모델 성능개선에 대한 연구)

  • Min, Jae-Sik;Jee, Joon-Bum;Jang, Min;Park, Jeong-Gyun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.317-329
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    • 2017
  • Ocean mixed layer (OML) depth affects diurnal cycle of sea surface temperature (SST) induced by change of solar radiation absorption and heat budget in ocean. The diurnal SST variation can lead to convection over the ocean, which can impact on localized precipitation both over coastal and inland. In this study, we investigate the OML characteristics affecting the diurnal cycle of SST for the Korean Peninsula and surrounding areas. To analyze OML characteristics, HYCOM oceanic mixed layer depth (MLD) and wind field at 10 m from ERA-interim during 2008~2016 are used. In the winter, MLD is deeply formed when the strong wind field is located on perpendicular to continental slope over deep seafloor areas. Besides, cooling SST-induced vertical mixing in OML is reinforced by dry cold air originated from Siberia. The OML in summer is shallowly distributed about 20 m. In order to estimate the impact of OML model in high resolution NWP model, four experimental simulations are performed. At this time, the prognostic scheme of skin SST is applied in NWP to simulate diurnal SST. The simulation results show that CNTL (off-OML) overestimates diurnal cycle of SST, while EXPs (on-OML) indicate similar results to observations. The prediction performance for precipitation of EXPs shows improvement compared with CNTL over coastal as well as inland. This results suggest that the application of the OML model in summer season can contribute to improving the prediction for performance of SST and precipitation over coastal area and inland.

The Impact of Air Temperature During the Growing Season on NEE of the Apple Orchard (사과 생육기의 기온이 사과원의 NEE에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Gun-Yeob;Lee, Seul-Bi;Lee, Jong-Sik;Choi, Eun-Jung;Ryu, Jong-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.1211-1215
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    • 2012
  • Terrestrial ecosystem are a strong sink of carbon. Forest ecosystem, one of them, has been expected to play an important role in climate changing process by absorbing atmospheric carbon dioxide. On the other hand, agricultural ecosystem that consists mainly of annual crops is regarded as poor contributor to carbon accumulation, because its production (carbon hydrate) is decomposed into carbon at a short period, which is emitted to the atmosphere. However, it is thought that fruit tree plays a great role in decreasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, same as forest. Net ecosystem exchange of $CO_2$ (NEE) was measured to estimate carbon fixation capacity using an eddy covariance (EC) system method in 2 years from 2005 to 2006 at an apple orchard in Uiseong, Gyeongbuk. Average air temperature values were higher in 2006 than in 2005 during the dormant season, and lower by about $5^{\circ}C$ over the growing season causing visible cold injuries. Accordingly, we investigated long-term exchange of carbon to determine how much difference of carbon fixation capacity was shown between 2006 and 2005 in terms of environmental and plant variables such as NEE, leaf area index (LAI), and Albedo. NEE was $4.8Mg\;C\;ha^{-1}yr^{-1}$ in 2005 and $4.7Mg\;C\;ha^{-1}yr^{-1}$ in 2006, respectively. Low temperature after July in 2006 decreased LAI values faster than those in 2005. Meanwhile, Albedo values were higher after July in 2006 than in 2005. These results show that the low temperature after July in 2006 apparently affected apple growth.

Improved Differential Wavefront Sampling algorithm for efficient alignment of Space optical system

  • Kim, Yun-Jong;Yang, Ho-Soon;Lee, Yun-Woo;Kim, Sug-Whan
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.34.4-35
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    • 2008
  • The significant I&T process gain represented by reduction in overall budget expenditure can be obtained from the use of efficient alignment technique for large space optical systems. Such process gain tends to increase rapidly with an increase in aperture and/or in number of optical elements within the system. However, in practice, the alignment of multiple optical components tends to be rather difficult task because of the multiple coupling effects among the elements within the target system. In order to understand and hence identify the complex interplay of the wavefront coupling effects from the alignment process, the original differential wavefront sampling(DWS) method was presented elsewhere in recent years. DWS uses partial differential of the wavefront of optical component and perturbation value of the optical component against a particular alignment factor. The straightforward application of DWS for an off-axis optical system revealed that it tends to give incorrect estimation of the given misalignment state. In this study, we added off-axis correction terms to the original DWS algorithm and investigated its alignment performance. The performance simulation result for a Korsch type space optical system shows that the modified DWS is capable of bringing the misaligned system into the target alignment tolerance only after 3 iterations. It also shows that this new improved algorithm can be used to estimate the source misalignment as well. We are planning to apply this method for the alignment of a 800mm Korsch type telescope in the near future. We discuss the computational technique, simulation results and implications in details.

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Mission Orbit Design of CubeSat Impactor Measuring Lunar Local Magnetic Field

  • Lee, Jeong-Ah;Park, Sang-Young;Kim, Youngkwang;Bae, Jonghee;Lee, Donghun;Ju, Gwanghyeok
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.127-138
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    • 2017
  • The current study designs the mission orbit of the lunar CubeSat spacecraft to measure the lunar local magnetic anomaly. To perform this mission, the CubeSat will impact the lunar surface over the Reiner Gamma swirl on the Moon. Orbit analyses are conducted comprising ${\Delta}V$ and error propagation analysis for the CubeSat mission orbit. First, three possible orbit scenarios are presented in terms of the CubeSat's impacting trajectories. For each scenario, it is important to achieve mission objectives with a minimum ${\Delta}V$ since the CubeSat is limited in size and cost. Therefore, the ${\Delta}V$ needed for the CubeSat to maneuver from the initial orbit toward the impacting trajectory is analyzed for each orbit scenario. In addition, error propagation analysis is performed for each scenario to evaluate how initial errors, such as position error, velocity error, and maneuver error, that occur when the CubeSat is separated from the lunar orbiter, eventually affect the final impact position. As a result, the current study adopts a CubeSat release from the circular orbit at 100 km altitude and an impact slope of $15^{\circ}$, among the possible impacting scenarios. For this scenario, the required ${\Delta}V$ is calculated as the result of the ${\Delta}V$ analysis. It can be used to practically make an estimate of this specific mission's fuel budget. In addition, the current study suggests error constraints for ${\Delta}V$ for the mission.