• Title/Summary/Keyword: binomial method

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Extended Quasi-likelihood Estimation in Overdispersed Models

  • Kim, Choong-Rak;Lee, Kee-Won;Chung, Youn-Shik;Park, Kook-Lyeol
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.187-200
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    • 1992
  • Samples are often found to be too heterogeneous to be explained by a one-parameter family of models in the sense that the implicit mean-variance relationship in such a family is violated by the data. This phenomenon is often called over-dispersion. The most frequently used method in dealing with over-dispersion is to mix a one-parameter family creating a two parameter marginal mixture family for the data. In this paper, we investigate performance of estimators such as maximum likelihood estimator, method of moment estimator, and maximum quasi-likelihood estimator in negative binomial and beta-binomial distribution. Simulations are done for various mean parameter and dispersion parameter in both distributions, and we conclude that the moment estimators are very superior in the sense of bias and asymptotic relative efficiency.

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Measuring Recreational Benefits of Chilgap Reservoir Using TCM (TCM을 이용한 칠갑저수지의 레크리에이션 편익 분석)

  • Hong, Seungjee;Kim, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2016
  • The study attempts to estimate the recreational benefits of Chilgap multi-purpose reservoir using the on-site survey sample of 130 visitors. The individual travel cost method is used for measuring the recreational benefits of Chilgap multi-purpose reservoir and a zero-truncated negative binomial model is used to elicit the travel demand function. The price elasticities of visit demand are ranged from 0.29 to 0.39. Recreational benefits are ranged from 119 to 156 thousand won per visit and are ranged from 292 to 383 thousand won per annual. When the number of annual visitors to Chilgap reservoir is appled, then the recreational benefits are ranged from 2.7 to 3.6 billion won. This study could contribute to the advancement of post-construction evaluation in the public construction field similar to Chilgap reservoir.

A Study on the Evaluation of Economic Value of the Gulf of Mexico Recreational Red Grouper Fishery (여행비용모형 분석을 통한 유어(遊漁)활동의 경제적 가치 추정 -미국 멕시코만 Red Grouper 유어부문을 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.36 no.2 s.68
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    • pp.121-134
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    • 2005
  • In order to evaluate the effectiveness of management measures and to provide policy suggestions for the allocation of total allowable catch between recreational and commercial sectors, the economic value of red grouper recreational fishery in the United States Gulf of Mexico was estimated using a Travel Cost Method(TCM), Due to the characteristic of count data, a Poisson model(PM) and a Negative binomial model(NBM) were used in the TCM. Results of models showed that the NBM was statistically more suitable than the PM since the overdispersion problem occurred in the PM. Results also indicated all signs of the estimated parameters were as expected and were significant, except for a Boat parameter in both models. Based on the results of NBM, the total economic value of the recreational red grouper fishery was estimated to be $\$698.6$ and the value per trip was $\$179.5$. In addition, the total changes in expected consumer surplus due to changes in catch rates was $ \$42.3$.

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Bayesian Analysis of Software Reliability Growth Model with Negative Binomial Information (음이항분포 정보를 가진 베이지안 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hui-Cheol;Park, Jong-Gu;Lee, Byeong-Su
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.852-861
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    • 2000
  • Software reliability growth models are used in testing stages of software development to model the error content and time intervals betwewn software failures. In this paper, using priors for the number of fault with the negative binomial distribution nd the error rate with gamma distribution, Bayesian inference and model selection method for Jelinski-Moranda and Goel-Okumoto and Schick-Wolverton models in software reliability. For model selection, we explored the sum of the relative error, Braun statistic and median variation. In Bayesian computation process, we could avoid the multiple integration by the use of Gibbs sampling, which is a kind of Markov Chain Monte Carolo method to compute the posterior distribution. Using simulated data, Bayesian inference and model selection is studied.

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A study on patterns shown in the process of solving a linear equation - Centering around the first grade of middle school - (일차방정식의 풀이 과정에 나타난 유형에 관한 연구 - 중학교 1학년을 중심으로 -)

  • Seo, Jong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.281-308
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    • 2009
  • In the process of solving a linear equation, some questions had equal sign('=') relation properly, while other questions did not have equal sign('=') relation properly. Since whether students could express equal sign('=') relation properly or not is determined by questions, the direction for teaching should be instituted, and instruction and teaching should be conducted by comparing and analyzing after conducing tests on may items. Most of students who got the answer for items without the method of solving a linear equation solved the items using binomial. For questions asking to solve using the characteristic of equality, most of students solved the questions using binomial instead of using the characteristic of equality. Therefore, instruction and learning to solve equations using both the characteristic of equality and binomial have to be achieved.

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Development of Recognition and Reaction Time Prediction Model in Road Signs using Negative Binomial Regression (음이항회귀식을 이용한 도로표지의 인지반응시간 추정모형 개발)

  • Park, Hyung-Jin;Lee, Ki-Young;Kim, Jung-Young
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to determine the economical standard of road signs by verifying the difference of driver's recognition and reaction time according to the space rate of letters on the road signs. For this reason, indoor simulations was conducted to confirm difference of recognition and reaction time on six sign-targets having different space rate. Also, a negative binomial regression model was used to find the main factors which could lower the rate of misreading. For this model, increasing of legibility of sign is not only simple enlargement of sign, but also suitable match of letters and sign. The result of this study is capable of verifying the importance of the space rate in road signs, and being utilized as a effective method to determine the standard of the road signs.

Comparison of Estimators of Dependence Related Parameter in Generalized Binomial Distribution (일반화 이항분포모형에서 시행간 종속성 규정모수의 추정량 비교 연구)

  • Moon, Myung-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.279-288
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    • 1999
  • In many cases where the conventional binomial distribution fails to apply to real world data, it is mainly due to the lack of independence among Bernoulli trials. Several authors have proposed models that are useful when independence assumption is not satisfied. In this paper, one proposed model is adapted, and estimators of dependence related parameter that is crucial in defining that model are considered. Simulation is performed to compare two estimators(method of moment estimator and maximum likelihood estimator) of dependence related parameter, and conclusions are made.

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Analysis of the Frailty Model with Many Ties (동측치가 많은 FRAILTY 모형의 분석)

  • Kim Yongdai;Park Jin-Kyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2005
  • Most of the previously proposed methods for the frailty model do not work well when there are many tied observations. This is partly because the empirical likelihood used is not suitable for tied observations. In this paper, we propose a new method for the frailty model with many ties. The proposed method obtains the posterior distribution of the parameters using the binomial form empirical likelihood and Bayesian bootstrap. The proposed method yields stable results and is computationally fast. To compare the proposed method with the maximum marginal likelihood approach, we do simulations.

Zengcheng Kaifangfa and Zeros of Polynomials (증승개방법(增乘開方法)과 다항방정식(多項方程式)의 해(解))

  • Hong, Sung Sa;Hong, Young Hee;Kim, Chang Il
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.303-314
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    • 2020
  • Extending the method of extractions of square and cube roots in Jiuzhang Suanshu, Jia Xian introduced zengcheng kaifangfa in the 11th century. The process of zengcheng kaifangfa is exactly the same with that in Ruffini-Horner method introduced in the 19th century. The latter is based on the synthetic divisions, but zengcheng kaifangfa uses the binomial expansions. Since zengcheng kaifangfa is based on binomial expansions, traditional mathematicians in East Asia could not relate the fact that solutions of polynomial equation p(x) = 0 are determined by the linear factorization of p(x). The purpose of this paper is to reveal the difference between the mathematical structures of zengcheng kaifangfa and Ruffini-Honer method. For this object, we first discuss the reasons for zengcheng kaifangfa having difficulties to connect solutions with linear factors. Furthermore, investigating multiple solutions of equations constructed by tianyuanshu, we show differences between two methods and the structure of word problems in the East Asian mathematics.

Developing an Accident Model for Rural Signalized Intersections Using a Random Parameter Negative Binomial Method (RPNB모형을 이용한 지방부 신호교차로 교통사고 모형개발)

  • PARK, Min Ho;LEE, Dongmin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.554-563
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    • 2015
  • This study dealt with developing an accident model for rural signalized intersections with random parameter negative binomial method. The limitation of previous count models(especially, Poisson/Negative Binomial model) is not to explain the integrated variations in terms of time and the distinctive characters a specific point/segment has. This drawback of the traditional count models results in the underestimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) of the derived coefficient and finally affects the low-reliability of the whole model. To solve this problem, this study improves the limitation of traditional count models by suggesting the use of random parameter which takes account of heterogeneity of each point/segment. Through the analyses, it was found that the increase of traffic flow and pedestrian facilities on minor streets had positive effects on the increase of traffic accidents. Left turning lanes and median on major streets reduced the number of accidents. The analysis results show that the random parameter modeling is an effective method for investigating the influence on traffic accident from road geometries. However, this study could not analyze the effects of sequential changes of driving conditions including geometries and safety facilities.