• Title/Summary/Keyword: binomial logistic regression model

Search Result 30, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Impact of Level of Physical Activity on Healthcare Utilization among Korean Adults (성인의 신체활동 정도가 의료이용에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Ji-Yun;Park, Seung-Mi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
    • /
    • v.42 no.2
    • /
    • pp.199-206
    • /
    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was done to identify the impact of physical activity on healthcare utilization among Korean adults. Methods: Drawing from the 2008 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES IV-2), data from 6,521 adults who completed the Health Interview and Health Behavior Surveys were analyzed. Association between physical activity and healthcare utilization was tested using the $X^2$-test. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to calculate the odds ratios of using outpatient and inpatient healthcare for different levels of physical activity after adjusting for predisposing, enabling, and need factors. A generalized linear model applying a negative binomial distribution was used to determine how the level of physical activity was related to use of outpatient and inpatient healthcare. Results: Physically active participants were 16% less likely to use outpatient healthcare (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.97) and 23% less likely to use inpatient healthcare (OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.63-0.93) than physically inactive participants. Levels of outpatient and inpatient healthcare use decreased as levels of physical activity increased, after adjusting for relevant factors. Conclusion: An independent association between being physically active and lower healthcare utilization was ascertained among Korean adults indicating a need to develop nursing intervention programs that encourage regular physical activity.

A study on the prediction of korean NPL market return (한국 NPL시장 수익률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyeon Su;Jeong, Seung Hwan;Oh, Kyong Joo
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.123-139
    • /
    • 2019
  • The Korean NPL market was formed by the government and foreign capital shortly after the 1997 IMF crisis. However, this market is short-lived, as the bad debt has started to increase after the global financial crisis in 2009 due to the real economic recession. NPL has become a major investment in the market in recent years when the domestic capital market's investment capital began to enter the NPL market in earnest. Although the domestic NPL market has received considerable attention due to the overheating of the NPL market in recent years, research on the NPL market has been abrupt since the history of capital market investment in the domestic NPL market is short. In addition, decision-making through more scientific and systematic analysis is required due to the decline in profitability and the price fluctuation due to the fluctuation of the real estate business. In this study, we propose a prediction model that can determine the achievement of the benchmark yield by using the NPL market related data in accordance with the market demand. In order to build the model, we used Korean NPL data from December 2013 to December 2017 for about 4 years. The total number of things data was 2291. As independent variables, only the variables related to the dependent variable were selected for the 11 variables that indicate the characteristics of the real estate. In order to select the variables, one to one t-test and logistic regression stepwise and decision tree were performed. Seven independent variables (purchase year, SPC (Special Purpose Company), municipality, appraisal value, purchase cost, OPB (Outstanding Principle Balance), HP (Holding Period)). The dependent variable is a bivariate variable that indicates whether the benchmark rate is reached. This is because the accuracy of the model predicting the binomial variables is higher than the model predicting the continuous variables, and the accuracy of these models is directly related to the effectiveness of the model. In addition, in the case of a special purpose company, whether or not to purchase the property is the main concern. Therefore, whether or not to achieve a certain level of return is enough to make a decision. For the dependent variable, we constructed and compared the predictive model by calculating the dependent variable by adjusting the numerical value to ascertain whether 12%, which is the standard rate of return used in the industry, is a meaningful reference value. As a result, it was found that the hit ratio average of the predictive model constructed using the dependent variable calculated by the 12% standard rate of return was the best at 64.60%. In order to propose an optimal prediction model based on the determined dependent variables and 7 independent variables, we construct a prediction model by applying the five methodologies of discriminant analysis, logistic regression analysis, decision tree, artificial neural network, and genetic algorithm linear model we tried to compare them. To do this, 10 sets of training data and testing data were extracted using 10 fold validation method. After building the model using this data, the hit ratio of each set was averaged and the performance was compared. As a result, the hit ratio average of prediction models constructed by using discriminant analysis, logistic regression model, decision tree, artificial neural network, and genetic algorithm linear model were 64.40%, 65.12%, 63.54%, 67.40%, and 60.51%, respectively. It was confirmed that the model using the artificial neural network is the best. Through this study, it is proved that it is effective to utilize 7 independent variables and artificial neural network prediction model in the future NPL market. The proposed model predicts that the 12% return of new things will be achieved beforehand, which will help the special purpose companies make investment decisions. Furthermore, we anticipate that the NPL market will be liquidated as the transaction proceeds at an appropriate price.

Analysis of Factors Affecting Satisfaction with Commuting Time in the Era of Autonomous Driving (자율주행시대에 통근시간 만족도에 영향을 미치는 요인분석)

  • Jang, Jae-min;Cheon, Seung-hoon;Lee, Soong-bong
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.20 no.5
    • /
    • pp.172-185
    • /
    • 2021
  • As the era of autonomous driving approaches, it is expected to have a significant impact on our lives. When autonomous driving cars emerge, it is necessary to develop an index that can evaluate autonomous driving cars as it enhance the productive value of the car by reducing the burden on the driver. This study analyzed how the autonomous driving era affects commuting time and commuting time satisfaction among office goers using a car in Gyeonggi-do. First, a nonlinear relationship (V) was derived for the commuting time and commuting time satisfaction. Here, the factors affecting commuting time satisfaction were analyzed through a binomial logistic model, centered on the sample belonging to the nonlinear section (70 minutes or more for commuting time), which is likely to be affected by the autonomous driving era. The analysis results show that the variables affected by the autonomous driving era were health, sleeping hours, working hours, and leisure time. Since the emergence of autonomous driving cars is highly likely to improve the influencing variables, long-distance commuters are likely to feel higher commuting time satisfaction.

Women's Empowerment Facilitates Complete Immunization in Indonesian Children: A Cross-sectional Study

  • Wirawan, Gede Benny Setia;Gustina, Ni Luh Zallila;Pramana, Putu Harrista Indra;Astiti, Made Yuliantari Dwi;Jonathan, Jovvita;Melinda, Fitriana;Wijaya, Teo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.55 no.2
    • /
    • pp.193-204
    • /
    • 2022
  • Objectives: The primary objective of this study was to examine the effect of women's empowerment on the immunization of Indonesian children. The secondary objective was to examine the effect of wealth as a factor modifying this association. Methods: We utilized data from the 2017 Indonesian Demographic and Health Survey (IDHS). The subjects were married women with children aged 12-23 months (n=3532). Complete immunization was defined using the 2017 IDHS definition. Multiple components of women's empowerment were measured: enabling resources, decision-making involvement, and attitude toward intimate partner violence. The primary analysis was conducted using binomial logistic regression. Model 1 represented only the indicators of women's empowerment and model 2 controlled for socio-demographic variables. Subgroup analyses were conducted for each wealth group. Results: The primary analysis using model 1 identified several empowerment indicators that facilitated complete immunization. The analysis using model 2 found that maternal education and involvement in decision-making processes facilitated complete immunization in children. Subgroup analyses identified that wealth had a modifying effect. The indicators of women's empowerment were strong determinants of complete immunization in lower wealth quintiles but insignificant in middle-income and higher-income quintiles. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this study is the first to explore women's empowerment as a determinant of child immunization in Indonesia. The results indicate that women's empowerment must be considered in Indonesia's child immunization program. Women's empowerment was not found to be a determinant in higher wealth quintiles, which led us to rethink the conceptual framework of the effect of women's empowerment on health outcomes.

Analysis of Factors Related to the Use of Korean Medicine Treatment in Patients with Mood Disorders: Based on 2019 Korea Health Panel Annual Data (기분장애 환자에서 한의치료 이용과 관련된 요인분석: 제2기 한국의료패널 자료를 중심으로)

  • Kyoungeun Lee;Chan-Young Kwon
    • Journal of Oriental Neuropsychiatry
    • /
    • v.34 no.4
    • /
    • pp.349-358
    • /
    • 2023
  • Objectives: We used the 2019 Korea Health Panel Annual Data to analyze factors related to visits to Korean medicine (KM) outpatient clinics among patients with mood disorders in Korea. Methods: Individuals aged 19 years or older, with depressive or bipolar disorders, and with a record of using Western medicine (WM) and/or the KM medical service were included. The 266 subjects were classified into the WM group or the integrative medicine (IM) group. The Andersen healthcare utilization model was used to analyze factors that potentially influenced the subjects' healthcare utilization. Binomial logistic regression analysis was used to analyze factors influencing the use of IM medical services. Results: Among the subjects, 75.56% (n=201) were in the WM group, and 24.44% (n=65) were in the IM group. Statistically significant differences were observed in residential areas, total annual income, the presence of disability, and the level of pain/discomfort between the two groups. Regression analysis found that residential areas and pain/discomfort were factors related to the use of IM services. Specifically, reporting "a lot" of pain/discomfort compared to "no" pain/discomfort showed a significant positive relationship with the use of IM (odds ratio=4.57, 95% confidence interval=1.79 to 11.70). Conclusions: This study was the first to analyze the status of KM medical service use and related factors among patients with mood disorders in Korea. The finding that the presence of pain/discomfort was positively correlated with the use of KM services is potentially related to medically unexplained physical symptoms or somatization phenomena.

A Study on the Incentive Method for Inducing Safe Driving (안전운전 유도를 위한 인센티브 제공 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Insik;Jang, Jeong Ah;Lee, Won Woo;Song, Jaeyong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.43 no.4
    • /
    • pp.485-492
    • /
    • 2023
  • Among the methods to improve traffic congestion by providing real-time traffic information and solving problems like traffic congestion and traffic crashes, private enterprise is implementing policies to lower insurance premiums like compensation for drivers' driving safety scores. Despite the emergence of various incentive policies, a study on the level of incentive payment for safe/eco-friendly driving is insufficient. The research analyzed the satisfactory factors that affect the scale of incentives through questionnaires and the applicable scale of incentives that enable safe/eco-friendly driving using a binary logistic regression model. As a result of analyzing the incentive scale of the appropriate payment amount for each driving score increase, 0.4% of the toll fee was derived when the driving score increased by 20 points, and 0.5% of the toll fee was derived when the driving score increased by 30 points. This study on calculating the appropriate incentive payment scale for driver information sharing and driving score increase will help optimize incentives and prepare system implementation plans.

Discriminative validity of the timed up and go test for community ambulation in persons with chronic stroke

  • An, Seung Heon;Park, Dae-Sung;Lim, Ji Young
    • Physical Therapy Rehabilitation Science
    • /
    • v.6 no.4
    • /
    • pp.176-181
    • /
    • 2017
  • Objective: The timed up and go (TUG) test is method used to determine the functional mobility of persons with stroke. Its reliability, validity, reaction rate, fall prediction, and psychological characteristics concerning ambulation ability have been validated. However, the relationship between TUG performance and community ambulation ability is unclear. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether the TUG performance time could indicate community ambulation levels (CAL) differentially in persons with chronic stroke. Design: Cross-sectional study. Methods: Eighty-seven stroke patients had participated in this study. Based on the self-reporting survey results on the difficulties experienced when walking outdoors, the subjects were divided into the independent community ambulation (ICA) group (n=35) and the dependent community ambulation group (n=52). Based on the area under the curve (AUC), the discrimination validity of the TUG performance time was calculated for classifying CAL. The Binomial Logistic Regression Model was utilized to produce the likelihood ratio of selected TUG cut-off values for the distinguishing of community ambulation ability. Results: The selected TUG cut-off values and the area under the curve were <14.87 seconds (AUC=0.871, 95% confidence interval=0.797-0.945), representing a mid-level accuracy. Concerning the likelihood ratio of the selected TUG cut-off value, it was found that the group with TUG performance times shorter than 14.87 seconds showed a 2.889 times higher probability of ICA than those with a TUG score of 14.87 seconds or longer (p<0.05). Conclusions: The TUG can be viewed as an assessment tool that is capable of classifying CAL.

A convergence study on sex differences in association between age at drinking onset and BMI (음주시작연령과 BMI의 연관성에 대한 융복합 연구: 성별 차이를 중심으로)

  • Heo, Min-Hee;Jang, Ha-Eun;Jeong, Yun-Ji;Noh, Jin-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.131-142
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study aims to explore the relationship between onset drinking age and the current Body Mass Index (BMI) level stratified by sex. This study used the data of Korea Community Health Survey (KCHS) 2019, of which 206,987 participants included in study populations for multivariable binomial logistic regression model. The study results show the evidence that the early age of onset alcohol consumption had significantly associated with abnormal BMI status in adult male. These results could be explained by high alcohol consumption and sex difference in social atmosphere which encourages men to drink more. Our findings suggest the need to prevent problem drinking for reducing the long-term side effects of health.

Development of a Failure Probability Model based on Operation Data of Thermal Piping Network in District Heating System (지역난방 열배관망 운영데이터 기반의 파손확률 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Hyoung Seok;Kim, Gye Beom;Kim, Lae Hyun
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.55 no.3
    • /
    • pp.322-331
    • /
    • 2017
  • District heating was first introduced in Korea in 1985. As the service life of the underground thermal piping network has increased for more than 30 years, the maintenance of the underground thermal pipe has become an important issue. A variety of complex technologies are required for periodic inspection and operation management for the maintenance of the aged thermal piping network. Especially, it is required to develop a model that can be used for decision making in order to derive optimal maintenance and replacement point from the economic viewpoint in the field. In this study, the analysis was carried out based on the repair history and accident data at the operation of the thermal pipe network of five districts in the Korea District Heating Corporation. A failure probability model was developed by introducing statistical techniques of qualitative analysis and binomial logistic regression analysis. As a result of qualitative analysis of maintenance history and accident data, the most important cause of pipeline damage was construction erosion, corrosion of pipe and bad material accounted for about 82%. In the statistical model analysis, by setting the separation point of the classification to 0.25, the accuracy of the thermal pipe breakage and non-breakage classification improved to 73.5%. In order to establish the failure probability model, the fitness of the model was verified through the Hosmer and Lemeshow test, the independent test of the independent variables, and the Chi-Square test of the model. According to the results of analysis of the risk of thermal pipe network damage, the highest probability of failure was analyzed as the thermal pipeline constructed by the F construction company in the reducer pipe of less than 250mm, which is more than 10 years on the Seoul area motorway in winter. The results of this study can be used to prioritize maintenance, preventive inspection, and replacement of thermal piping systems. In addition, it will be possible to reduce the frequency of thermal pipeline damage and to use it more aggressively to manage thermal piping network by establishing and coping with accident prevention plan in advance such as inspection and maintenance.

The Policy Effects on Traditional Retail Markets Supported by the Korean Government (정부의 전통시장 지원 정책 효과에 대한 실증연구)

  • Lee, Kyu-Hyun;Kim, Yong-Jae
    • Journal of Distribution Science
    • /
    • v.13 no.11
    • /
    • pp.101-109
    • /
    • 2015
  • Purpose - A traditional retail market is a place that offers economic opportunity to employees and employers alike it also is a place where the community can meet. The Korean government has invested three trillion won to improve physical and non-physical aspects in traditional retail markets since 2004. However, little research on this has been conducted. We explore this research gap that could lead to theory extension. We analyze consumption behavior with respect to traditional retail markets through an empirical analysis, thus overcoming limits in previous research. We empirically analyze policy effects of traditional retail market projects supported by the Korean government. Research design, data, and methodology - We propose a traditional retail market improvement plan via the relation between cause and effect resulting from the analysis. More specifically, logit analysis was carried out with 1,754 consumers in 16 cities nationwide. In order to analyze consumer consumption behaviors nationwide, the probability was analyzed using a logit model. This research analyzes the link between support and non-support by the Korean government using binary values. The dependent variable is whether Korean government support is implemented; the binomial logistic regression is used as the statistical estimation technique. The object variables are:1 (support) or 0 (nonsupport), and the prediction value is between 1 and 0. As a result of the factor analysis of questions related to attributes of service quality, four factors were extracted: convenience, product, facilities, and service. Results - The results indicate that convenience, product, and facilities have a significant influence on consumer satisfaction in accordance with the government's traditional retail market support. Additionally, the results reveal that convenience, product, facilities, and service all have a significant influence on consumer satisfaction in a traditional retail market's service quality and consumer satisfaction. Finally, the analysis indicates that the highly satisfied traditional retail market customer has a significant influence on revisit intention. Moreover, the results reveal that the highly satisfied traditional retail market customer has a significant influence on recommendation intention. Conclusions - This research focused on consumers nationwide to measure policy effects of traditional retail markets compared to previous research that focused on one traditional retail market or a specific area. We verified the relationship of service quality and customer satisfaction and consumer behavior based on service quality theory. The results indicate that consumer satisfaction of traditional retail markets supported by service quality factors has a significant impact. In a concrete form, the results indicate that these effects are from facility modernization projects and marketing support projects of the Korean government. The results also imply that these facility and management support effects from the Korean government have been consistent. We realize that the Korean government has to selectively support traditional retail markets in major cities and small and medium-sized cities. To that end, the Korean government needs to select a concentration strategy for the revitalization of traditional retail markets.