• Title/Summary/Keyword: binomial

Search Result 726, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Estimating the Economic Value of Recreation Sea Fishing in the Yellow Sea: An Application of Count Data Model (가산자료모형을 이용한 서해 태안군 유어객의 편익추정)

  • Choi, Jong Du
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.331-347
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the recreational sea fishing in the Yellow Sea using count data model. For estimating consumer surplus, we used several count data model of travel cost recreation demand such as a poisson model(PM), a negative binomial model(NBM), a truncated poisson model(TPM), and a truncated negative binomial model(TNBM). Model results show that there is no exist the over-dispersion problem and a NBM was statistically more suitable than the other models. All parameters estimated are statistically significant and theoretically valid. The NBM was applied to estimate the travel demand and consumer surplus. The consumer surplus pre trip was estimated to be 254,453won, total consumer surplus per person and per year 1,536,896won.

On the Privacy Preserving Mining Association Rules by using Randomization (연관규칙 마이닝에서 랜덤화를 이용한 프라이버시 보호 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Ju-Sung;Cho, Sung-Hoon;Yi, Ok-Yeon;Hong, Do-Won
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
    • /
    • v.14C no.5
    • /
    • pp.439-452
    • /
    • 2007
  • We study on the privacy preserving data mining, PPDM for short, by using randomization. The theoretical PPDM based on the secure multi-party computation techniques is not practical for its computational inefficiency. So we concentrate on a practical PPDM, especially randomization technique. We survey various privacy measures and study on the privacy preserving mining of association rules by using randomization. We propose a new randomization operator, binomial selector, for privacy preserving technique of association rule mining. A binomial selector is a special case of a select-a-size operator by Evfimievski et al.[3]. Moreover we present some simulation results of detecting an appropriate parameter for a binomial selector. The randomization by a so-called cut-and-paste method in [3] is not efficient and has high variances on recovered support values for large item-sets. Our randomization by a binomial selector make up for this defects of cut-and-paste method.

Binomial Sampling Plans for the Citrus Red Mite, Panonychus citri(Acari: Tetranychidae) on Satsuma Mandarin Groves in Jeju (온주밀감에서 귤응애의 이항표본조사법 개발)

  • 송정흡;이창훈;강상훈;김동환;강시용;류기중
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
    • /
    • v.40 no.3
    • /
    • pp.197-202
    • /
    • 2001
  • The density of citrus red mite(CRM), Panonychus citri(McGregor), on the commercial satsuma mandarin Citrus unshiu L. groves were determined by counts of the number of CRM per leaf using by leaf sample in Jeju for 2 years. Binomial sampling plans were developed based on the relationship between the mean density per leaf(m) and the proportion of leaf infested with less than T mites per leaf($P_{T}$), according to the empirical model $ln(m)={\alpha}+{\beta}ln(-ln(1-P_{T}))$. T was defined as tally threshold, and set to 1, 3, 5 and 7 mites per leaf in this study. Increasing sample size, regardless of tally threshold, had little effects on the precision of the binomial sampling plan. Increasing sampling size had little effect on the precision of the estimated mean regardless of tally thresholds. T=1 was chosen as the best tally threshold for estimating densities of CRM based on the precision of the model. The binomial model with T=1 provided reliable predictions of mean densities of CRM observed on the commercial satsuma mandarin groves. Binomial sequential sampling procedure were developed for classifying the density of CRM. A binomial sampling program for decision-making CRM population level based on action threshold of 2 mites per leaf was obtained.

  • PDF

Confidence Intervals for a Linear Function of Binomial Proportions Based on a Bayesian Approach (베이지안 접근에 의한 모비율 선형함수의 신뢰구간)

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.257-266
    • /
    • 2007
  • It is known that Agresti-Coull approach is an effective tool for the construction of confidence intervals for various problems related to binomial proportions. However, the Agrest-Coull approach often produces a conservative confidence interval. In this note, confidence intervals based on a Bayesian approach are proposed for a linear function of independent binomial proportions. It is shown that the Bayesian confidence interval slightly outperforms the confidence interval based on Agresti-Coull approach in average sense.

Random Parameter Negative Binomial Models of Interstate Accident Frequencies on Interchange Segment by Interchange Type/Region (RPNB 모형을 이용한 고속도로 인터체인지 구간에서의 교통사고모형 - 인터체인지 형태별/지역별로)

  • Lee, Geun Hee;Park, Minho;Roh, Jeonghyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.16 no.5
    • /
    • pp.133-142
    • /
    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The objective was to develop the advanced method which could not explain each observation's specific characteristic in the present negative binomial method that results in under-estimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) and affects the confidence of whole derived results. METHODS : This study dealt with traffic accidents occurring within interchange segment on highway main line with RPNB(Random Parameter Negative Binomial) method that enables to take account of heterogeneity. RESULTS : As a result, AADT and lighting installation type on the road were revealed to have random parameter and in terms of other geometric variables, all were derived as fixed parameter(same effect on every segment). Also, marginal effects were adapted to analyze the relative effects on traffic accidents. CONCLUSIONS : This study proves that RPNB method which considers each observation's specific characteristics is better fitted to the accident data with geometrics. Thus, it is recommended that RPNB model or other methods which could consider the heterogeneity needs to be adapted in accident analysis.

The Research of Q-edge Labeling on Binomial Trees related to the Graph Embedding (그래프 임베딩과 관련된 이항 트리에서의 Q-에지 번호매김에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Yong-Seok
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
    • /
    • v.42 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-34
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose the Q-edge labeling method related to the graph embedding problem in binomial trees. This result is able to design a new reliable interconnection networks with maximum connectivity using Q-edge labels as jump sequence of circulant graph. The circulant graph is a generalization of Harary graph which is a solution of the optimal problem to design a maximum connectivity graph consists of n vertices End e edgies. And this topology has optimal broadcasting because of having binomial trees as spanning tree.

Interval Estimation for a Binomial Proportion Based on Weighted Polya Posterior (이항 비율의 가중 POLYA POSTERIOR 구간추정)

  • Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.607-615
    • /
    • 2005
  • Recently the interval estimation of a binomial proportion is revisited in various literatures. This is mainly due to the erratic behavior of the coverage probability of the will-known Wald confidence interval. Various alternatives have been proposed. Among them, Agresti-Coull confidence interval has been recommended by Brown et al. (2001) with other confidence intervals for large sample, say n $\ge$ 40. On the other hand, a noninformative Bayesian approach called Polya posterior often produces statistics with good frequentist's properties. In this note, an interval estimator is developed using weighted Polya posterior. The resulting interval estimator is essentially the Agresti-Coull confidence interval with some improved features. It is shown that the weighted Polys posterior produce an effective interval estimator for small sample size and a severely skewed binomial distribution.

Bivariate Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Regression Model with Heterogeneous Dispersions (서로 다른 산포를 허용하는 이변량 영과잉 음이항 회귀모형)

  • Kim, Dong-Seok;Jeong, Seul-Gi;Lee, Dong-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.18 no.5
    • /
    • pp.571-579
    • /
    • 2011
  • We propose a new bivariate zero-inflated negative binomial regression model to allow heterogeneous dispersions. To show the performance of our proposed model, Health Care data in Deb and Trivedi (1997) are used to compare it with the other bivariate zero-inflated negative binomial model proposed by Wang (2003) that has a common dispersion between the two response variables. This empirical study shows better results from the views of log-likelihood and AIC.

Urban and Rural Roundabout Accident Occurrence Models (도시 및 지방 회전교차로 사고 발생 모형)

  • Beck, Tea Hun;Lim, Jin Kang;Park, Byung Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.17 no.5
    • /
    • pp.39-46
    • /
    • 2015
  • PURPOSES: The operational characteristics of roundabouts are generally influenced by location as well as traffic volume. The goal of this study is to develop urban and rural roundabout accident models and to discuss safety improvement guidelines based on the model. METHODS : To analyze accidents, count data models are utilized in this study. This study used accident data from 2010 to 2013 for 56 roundabouts collected from the Traffic Accident Analysis System (TASS) of Road Traffic Authority. Poisson and negative binomial regression models were developed for this study using NLOGIT 4.0. RESULTS : The main results are as follows. First, the hypotheses that there are distributional differences in the number of accidents and injuries/fatalities among rural and urban roundabouts were accepted. Second, Poisson and negative binomial regression accident models, which were all statistically significant, were developed. Seven independent variables, which were statistically significant, were adopted. Third, the common variable of models was evaluated to be traffic volume. CONCLUSIONS : This study developed two negative binomial roundabout accident models and suggested some accident reduction strategies. The results are expected to give some implications to the safety improvement of roundabout.