• 제목/요약/키워드: bias term

검색결과 202건 처리시간 0.031초

신장이식후 발생한 유두상 갑상선암 (Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma in Renal Allograft Recipients)

  • 이잔디;홍협;정종주;남기현;정웅윤;소의영;박정수
    • 대한두경부종양학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.64-68
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    • 2008
  • Purpose:The chronic use of immunosuppressive therapy in transplant recipients can increase the long-term risk of carcinoma. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence, biological behaviors, and treatment outcomes in PTC(papillary thyroid carcinoma) in renal allograft recipients. Material and Methods:The present study examined the incidence and biological behavior of PTCs in RA recipients. A total of 1,739 RA patients treated between January 1986 and December 1999 were followed-up for a median 137(84-238) months. During the follow-up period, 129(7.4%) recipients were identified as having posttransplant malignancies. Of those, 12(0.7%) had PTCs, and these comprised six male and six female patients with a median age of 41(23-57) years. Results:Nine cases(incidentalomas) were diagnosed based on ultrasonography(US) screening. Eight of those nine were TNM stage I, and two of the three clinical carcinomas were TNM stage IVa. During a median follow-up of 94(18-159) months, two(16.7%) PTC patients developed loco-regional recurrence, but no patients showed distant metastasis. Posttransplant PTC showed no gender bias, and was often associated with aggressive lymphatic metastasis. However, most incidentalomas showed a favorable treatment outcome. Conclusion:In conclusion, routine surveillance of the thyroid gland using US screening is recommended to ensure early detection, treatment and favorable prognosis in RA patients with PTC.

선형 활성화 함수를 이용한 개선된 퍼지 단층 퍼셉트론 (An Enhanced Fuzzy Single Layer Perceptron With Linear Activation Function)

  • 박충식;조재현;김광백
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제11권7호
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    • pp.1387-1393
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    • 2007
  • 기존의 단층 퍼셉트론은 출력 노드가 선형 분리 가능한 패턴들만을 분류할 수 있고 XOR과 같은 비선형 문제에 대해서는 분류할 수 없는 단점이 있다. 퍼지 단층 퍼셉트론은 퍼지 소속 함수(Fuzzy Membership Function)를 적용하여 단층 구조로 XOR 문제와 같은 고전적인 문제를 개선하였다. 그러나 퍼지 단층 퍼셉트론은 기존의 단층 퍼셉트론과 마찬가지로 결정 경계선이 진동하는 경우가 생기며 초기 가중치의 범위와 학습률에 따라 수렴성이 매우 낮아지는 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 바이어스항을 도입하여 결정 경계선이 진동하는 것을 방지하여 수렴성을 개선시키고 선형 활성화 함수를 제안하고 학습률과 모멘텀 개념을 도입 한 개선된 델타규칙을 적용함으로써 학습 시간을 단축시키는 개선된 퍼지 단층 퍼셉트론 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안된 방법과 퍼지 단층 퍼셉트론간의 학습 성능을 분석하기 위하여 인공 신경망에서 벤치마크로 사용되는 XOR 문제와 패턴 분류에 적용하여 Epoch 수와 수렴성을 비교한 결과, 제안된 방법이 기존의 퍼지 단층 퍼셉트론보다 학습 시간이 적게 소요되고 수렴성이 개선된 것을 확인하였다.

Effects of CO2 and Climate on water use efficiency and their linkage with the climate change

  • Umair, Muhammad;Kim, Daeun;Choi, Minha
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.149-149
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    • 2019
  • Gross Primary production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) are the two critical components of carbon and water cycle respectively, linking the terrestrial surface and ecosystem with the atmosphere. The ratio between GPP to ET is called ecosystem water use efficiency (EWUE) and its quantification at the forest site helps to understand the impact of climate change due to large scale anthropogenic activities such as deforestation and irrigation. This study was conducted at the FLUXNET forest site CN-Qia (2003-2005) using Community land model (CLM 5.0). We simulated carbon and water fluxes including GPP, ecosystem respiration (ER), and ET using climatic variables as forcing dataset for 30 years (1981-2010). Model results were validated with the FLUXNET tower observations. The correlation showed better performance with values of 0.65, 0.77, and 0.63 for GPP, ER, and ET, respectively. The model underestimated the results with minimum bias of -0.04, -1.67, and -0.40 for GPP, ER, and ET, respectively. Effect of climate 'CLIM' and '$CO_2$' were analyzed based on EWUE and its trend was evaluated in the study period. The positive trend of EWUE was observed in the whole period from 1981-2010, and the trend showed further increase when simulated with rising $CO_2$. The time period were divided into two parts, from 1981-2000 and from 2001 to 2010, to identify the warming effect on EWUE. The first period showed the similar increasing trend of EWUE, but the second period showed slightly decreasing trend. This might be associated with the increase in ET in the wet temperate forest site due to increase in climate warming. Water use efficiency defined by transpiration (TR) (TWUE), and inherent-TR based WUE (IT-WUE) were also discussed. This research provides the evidence to climate warming and emphasized the importance of long term planning for management of water resources and evaporative demand in irrigation, deforestation and other anthropogenic activities.

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강우앙상블자료 편의보정에 따른 단기강우예측모델의 적용성 분석 (Application Analysis of Short-term Rainfall Forecasting Model according to Bias Correlation in Rainfall Ensemble Data)

  • 이상협;성연정;쉬크샤 바스톨라;추인교;정영훈
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.119-119
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    • 2019
  • 최근 기후변화와 이상기후의 영향으로 국지성 호우 및 가뭄, 홍수, 태풍 등 재해 발생 규모가 커지고 그 빈도 또한 많아지고 있다. 이러한 자연재해 및 이상현상에 대한 피해를 예방하고 빠르게 대처하기 위해서는 정확한 강우량 추정 및 강우의 시간적 예측이 필요하다. 이러한 강우의 불확실성을 해결하기 위해서 기상청 등에서는 단일 수치예보가 가지는 결정론적인 예측의 한계를 보완한 초기조건, 물리과정, 경계조건 등이 다른 여러 개의 모델을 수행하여, 확률적으로 미래를 예측하는 앙상블 예측 시스템을 예보기술에 응용하고 있으며 기존 수치모델의 정보와 예보 불확실성에 대한 정보를 동시에 제공하고 있다. 그러나 다양한 자연조건에 대한 불완전한 물리적 이해와 연산 능력 등의 한계로 높은 불확실성이 내포되어 있으므로 불확실성을 최소화하기 위한 편의보정이 수행될 필요가 있다. 강우분석의 적용 이전에 해당 자료의 타당성과 신뢰도의 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 LENS(Local ENsemble prediction System) 예측값과 시강우 관측값을 단기예측모델에 맞추어 3시간 누적하여 비교하였다. 비교 기간은 호우가 집중되는 2016년 10월로 선정하였으며 대상지역은 울산중구로 선정하였다. LENS를 대상 지역의 관측소 지점값과 행정구역 면적값을 따로 추출한 후, 불확실성을 최소화하기 위해 활용되고 있는 CF 기법과 QM 기법을 이용하여 LENS 모델을 재가공하고 이에 따른 편의보정 기법에 따른 LENS 모델을 과거의 실제강우 관측값과의 비교분석을 이용해 적용성을 검토 및 평가하였다.

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기상청 전지구예측시스템 자료에서의 2016~2017년 북반구 블로킹 예측성 분석 (Predictability of Northern Hemisphere Blocking in the KMA GDAPS during 2016~2017)

  • 노준우;조형오;손석우;백희정;부경온;이정경
    • 대기
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.403-414
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    • 2018
  • Predictability of Northern Hemisphere blocking in the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) is evaluated for the period of July 2016 to May 2017. Using the operational model output, blocking is defined by a meridional gradient reversal of 500-hPa geopotential height as Tibaldi-Molteni Index. Its predictability is quantified by computing the critical success index and bias score against ERA-Interim data. It turns out that Northwest Pacific blockings, among others, are reasonably well predicted with a forecast lead time of 2~3 days. The highest prediction skill is found in spring with 3.5 lead days, whereas the lowest prediction skill is observed in autumn with 2.25 lead days. Although further analyses are needed with longer dataset, this result suggests that Northern Hemisphere blocking is not well predicted in the operational weather prediction model beyond a short-term weather prediction limit. In the spring, summer, and autumn periods, there was a tendency to overestimate the Western North Pacific blocking.

How Shipping Company Satisfies Shippers Through Service Quality in South Korea: The Mediation Role of Trust

  • Roh, Taewoo;Park, Keun-Sik;Oh, Yeeun;Noh, Jinho
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.19-38
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study aims to verify the direct causal relationship between cost competitiveness and global network competitiveness, which are the tangible service quality factors determined by the shipping company, which in turn affect the shipper's customer satisfaction. Additionally, we empirically investigate the intangible, related service qualities determined by shipping companies, such as operational competitiveness and customer relationship quality, and how these then positively affect customer satisfaction through the formation of trust. Therefore, we examine the mediating effect of trust formation among different contractors for shipping services. Design/methodology - In order to examine the shipping company's tangible and intangible service-qualities perceived by the shipper on customer satisfaction and the process of trust formation between contractors, we collected valid data from 114 respondents out of 200 distributed questionnaires. The respondents consisted of domestic freight forwarders who engage with domestic and international shipping and logistics agencies. Descriptive statistics, confirmatory factor analysis, reliability, convergent and discriminant validities, common method bias, and PLS-SEM (partial least square-structural equation model) were analyzed using the program STATA 16. Findings - The findings of this study are as follows. First, our results showed that all hypotheses assumed in this study had statistically significant supporting evidence. Second, it was found that the mediating effect of trust was significant in affecting the quality of intangible service- qualities for customer satisfaction. Third, through supplementary analysis, we found that the global network competitiveness of domestic shipping companies will increase in importance in the future. In conclusion, the theoretical and practical implications of these findings are presented. Originality/value - This study reaffirmed the traditional causal relationship between customer satisfaction and tangible service quality. Additionally, we also contribute to the literature on the understanding of the causal relationship between trust formation and customer satisfaction through intangible interactions from a long-term perspective.

Evaluation of GSICS Correction for COMS/MI Visible Channel Using S-NPP/VIIRS

  • Jin, Donghyun;Lee, Soobong;Lee, Seonyoung;Jung, Daeseong;Sim, Suyoung;Huh, Morang;Han, Kyung-soo
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.169-176
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    • 2021
  • The Global Space-based Inter-Calibration System (GSICS) is an international partnership sponsored by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) to continue and improve climate monitoring and to ensure consistent accuracy between observation data from meteorological satellites operating around the world. The objective for GSICS is to inter-calibration from pairs of satellites observations, which includes direct comparison of collocated Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO)-Low Earth Orbit (LEO) observations. One of the GSICS inter-calibration methods, the Ray-matching technique, is a surrogate approach that uses matched, co-angled and co-located pixels to transfer the calibration from a well calibrated satellite sensor to another sensor. In Korea, the first GEO satellite, Communication Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS), is used to participate in the GSICS program. The National Meteorological Satellite Center (NMSC), which operated COMS/MI, calculated the Radiative Transfer Model (RTM)-based GSICS coefficient coefficients. The L1P reproduced through GSICS correction coefficient showed lower RMSE and Bias than L1B without GSICS correction coefficient applied. The calculation cycles of the GSICS correction coefficients for COMS/MI visible channel are provided annual and diurnal (2, 5, 10, 14-day), but long-term evaluation according to these cycles was not performed. The purpose of this paper is to perform evaluation depending on the annual/diurnal cycles of COMS/MI GSICS correction coefficients based on the ray-matching technique using Suomi-NPP/Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) data as reference data. As a result of evaluation, the diurnal cycle had a higher coincidence rate with the reference data than the annual cycle, and the 14-day diurnal cycle was the most suitable for use as the GSICS correction coefficient.

Datamining 기법을 활용한 단기 항만 물동량 예측 (Forecasting the Daily Container Volumes Using Data Mining with CART Approach)

  • 하준수;임채환;조광휘;하헌구
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 항만의 단기 물동량을 예측하기 위해 ARIMA 모형과 CART 모형을 활용한 단기 수요예측 모형을 제시하였다. 제시한 모형은 2단계로 구성된다. 1단계에서는 시계열 예측치와 주요 교역국의 주당 근로일수를 변수로 사용하여 CART 모형을 추정하고 주별 물동량 예측을 진행한다. 2단계에서는 1단계에서 도출한 예측치와 요일 정보, 주요국 공휴일 정보, 주요국 행사 기간 정보를 설명변수로 활용하여 최종적인 일별 물동량 예측 모형을 추정한다. 제시한 수요예측 모형을 활용하여 2020년 10월 1일부터 12월 31일까지 92일의 부산항 물동량을 예측한 결과 제시한 모형의 평균 정확도가 기존 시계열 모형보다 '22.5%' 높은 것으로 나타났다. 제시 모형은 일별 물동량의 추세뿐만 아니라 물동량이 급등락하는 지점에서도 높은 정확도를 보였으며 시계열 예측 모형을 사용했을 때 비해 총 166,504(TEU)의 오차를 줄일 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 항만의 효율적인 운영을 위해 필수적인 단기 물동량 예측에 적합한 예측 모형을 제시한 본 연구는 충분한 활용 가치가 있을 것으로 판단된다.

외상 후 스트레스 장애에 대한 옥시토신의 역할: 체계적 문헌 고찰 (Role of Oxytocin in Post-traumatic Stress Disorder: A Systematic Review)

  • 오재욱;김민수;추상희
    • Journal of Korean Biological Nursing Science
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Recently, oxytocin has been introduced experimentally as a pharmacological treatment for post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). This study attempted to investigate the possibility of oxytocin as a treatment option for patients with PTSD by examining its dose, interval, and effectiveness in patients with PTSD. Methods: A systematic review was done on articles published from 1967 to 2020 using the PubMed, PsycINFO, and Cochrane databases. Our inclusion criteria were 1) subjects 18 years of age or older diagnosed with PTSD or exposed to a traumatic event that met criterion A of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) for PTSD, 2) oxytocin was administered at least once, 3) clinical trials, and 4) studies published in Korean or English. Two independent researchers reviewed 22 articles and recorded the contents. The risk of bias was evaluated to determine the quality of the reviewed article. Results: The parameters for evaluating the effectiveness of oxytocin were identified as socio-behavioral measures in 11 articles, neuronal imaging in 9, and biomarkers in 4. In 5 papers, oxytocin was administered multiple times. Socio-behavioral measures were improved in 3 out of 5 studies in which oxytocin was administered multiple times. In 2 studies in which prolonged exposure treatment and nasal oxytocin administration were combined for 10 weeks, patient symptoms were decreased compared to the control group. Conclusion: The possibility of oxytocin as an adjuvant treatment for PTSD psychotherapy was confirmed. Further studies are necessary to evaluate the long term effectiveness of administering oxytocin multiple times combined with psychotherapy.

단어-역문서 빈도 벡터화를 통한 한국 걸그룹의 음반 메타 정보 군집화 (Clustering Meta Information of K-Pop Girl Groups Using Term Frequency-inverse Document Frequency Vectorization)

  • 현준서;조재혁
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.12-23
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    • 2023
  • 2020 년대 K-Pop 시장은 보이그룹보다 걸그룹이, 3 세대보다 4 세대가 전반에서 주목받았다. 해당 논문은 걸그룹의 세대가 바뀌기 시작했는지 알아보고자 가사 군집화에 대한 방법과 결과를 제시한다. 2013 년부터 2022 년까지 발표된 47 개 그룹의 1469 곡에 대한 메타정보를 수집하여 가사 정보와 가사 외 메타정보로 분류하여 각각 수치화했다. 가사 정보는 선행연구를 기반으로 단어역문서 빈도 벡터화를 적용한 뒤 상위 벡터 값만 선정하는 전처리를 하였다. 가사 외 메타정보는 가사 정보만 사용했을 때의 편향성을 줄이고 더 좋은 군집화 결과를 보여주기 위해 One-Hot Encoding 으로 전처리하여 적용했다. 전처리된 데이터에 대한 군집화 성능은 Spherical K-Means 의 Silhouette Coefficient, Calinski-Harabasz Score 가 Hierarchical Clustering 에 비해 각각 129%, 45% 더 높았다. 본 연구는 한국 대중가요 발전사와 걸그룹 가사 분석 및 군집화 연구에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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