• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.28 no.12C
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• pp.1200-1208
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• 2003

Affective computing plays an important role in intelligent Human Computer Interactions(HCI). To detect emotional events, it is desirable to construct a computing model for extracting emotion related features from video. In this paper, we propose a statistical model based on the probabilistic distribution of low level features in video shots. The proposed method extracts low level features from video shots and then from a GMM(Gaussian Mixture Model) for them to detect emotional shots. As low level features, we use color, camera motion and sequence of shot lengths. The features can be modeled as a GMM by using EM(Expectation Maximization) algorithm and the relations between time and emotions are estimated by MLE(Maximum Likelihood Estimation). Finally, the two statistical models are combined together using Bayesian framework to detect emotional events in video.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.40 no.7
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• pp.629-635
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• 2016

This paper presents a method for predicting and tracking the irregular motion of bio-systems, - such as petals of flowers, butterflies or seeds of dandelion - based on the particle filtering theory. In bio-inspired system design, the ability to predict the dynamic motion of particles through adequate, experimentally verified models is important. The modeling of petal particle systems falling in air was carried out using the Bayesian probability rule. The experimental results show that the suggested method has good predictive power in the case of random disturbances induced by the turbulence of air.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2006.06b
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• pp.112-114
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• 2006

최근 영상 인식 정보를 서비스 로봇 도메인에서 사용하기 위한 연구와 함께 전통적인 영상 인식 방법의 성능을 높이기 위한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 기존의 방법들은 기하학적 모델을 기반으로 예측 가능한 환경에서 상황을 인식하였기에 이를 실내 환경과 같은 동적인 환경에 적용하는 것은 정확도나 인식의 효율 면에서 한계를 갖는다. 이에 지식 기반 접근 방법을 통해 정확도를 항상 시키거나 계산 비용을 감소시킴으로써 영상 인식성능을 높이기 위한 다양한 연구가 있어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 서비스 로봇이 물체를 탐색할 때, 대상 물체가 다른 물체에 의해 가려짐으로써 발생하는 불확실한 상황을 해결하기 위한 방법을 제안한다. 제안하는 방법은 발견된 물체를 컨텍스트 정보로 사용하여 대상 물체의 존재 여부를 추론하며, 이를 위해 신뢰도를 모델링할 수 있는 확률적 모델인 베이지안 네트워크와 도메인 지식을 모델링 할 수 있는 온톨로지를 함께 사용한다. 효과적인 모델링을 위해 본 논문에서는 기본적인 물체 관계를 모듈화 하여 설계하기 위한 베이지안 네트워크 구조와 확률 값 선정 방법. 이들을 온톨로지를 기반으로 주어진 상창에 따라 결합하는 방법을 제안한다. 이는 물체 관계를 모델링할 때 발생하는 중복 설계를 감소시켜주고 유지 및 보수를 용이하게 한다. 설계된 추론 모듈은 실험 결과 5가지 장소에서 높은 정확도를 보여주었다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.425-445
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• 2021

A generalization of the log-logistic (LL) distribution called exponentiated log-logistic (ELL) distribution on lines of exponentiated Weibull distribution is considered. In this paper, based on progressive type-II censored samples, we have derived the maximum likelihood estimators and Bayes estimators for three parameters, the survival function and hazard function of the ELL distribution. Then, under the balanced squared error loss (BSEL) and the balanced linex loss (BLEL) functions, their corresponding Bayes estimators are obtained using Lindley's approximation (see Jung and Chung, 2018; Lindley, 1980), Tierney-Kadane approximation (see Tierney and Kadane, 1986) and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (see Hastings, 1970; Gelfand and Smith, 1990). Here, to check the convergence of MCMC chains, the Gelman and Rubin diagnostic (see Gelman and Rubin, 1992; Brooks and Gelman, 1997) was used. On the basis of their risks, the performances of their Bayes estimators are compared with maximum likelihood estimators in the simulation studies. In this paper, research supports the conclusion that ELL distribution is an efficient distribution to modeling data in the analysis of survival data. On top of that, Bayes estimators under various loss functions are useful for many estimation problems.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.184-184
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• 2020

수자원 계획 및 관리 시 증발산량의 정량적 분석은 필수적으로 고려되는 사항 중 하나이다. 일단위 이하의 잠재증발산량 산정은 세계식량기구(FAO)가 Penman-Monteith 방법을 기반으로 개발한 FAO56 PM 방법을 주로 활용하며, 이는 다른 방법에 비하여 높은 정확성과 적용성이 뛰어나다. 그러나 FAO56 PM 방법의 입력 매개변수는 다양한 기상자료이며, 장기간의 신뢰성 높은 자료를 구축하는 것은 어려운 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 증발산량 공식인 Hargreaves 공식을 활용하여 FAO56 PM 방법으로 산정된 잠재증발산량과 기온차 사이의 시계열 관계를 재구성한 회귀분석 기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 모형에 유역면적을 적용하여 유역면적별 잠재증발산량을 산정하였으며, 이를 기존의 잠재증발산량과의 비교를 통해 모형의 적합성을 평가하였다. 결과적으로, 복잡한 잠재증발산량식을 단순한 대체모형(surrogate model)으로 제시함으로써 효율적인 증발산량 정량적 평가와 제한적인 기상자료 조건에 보편적 활용이 가능하다. 향후 연구에서는 회귀분석방법에 Bayesian 추론기법을 활용하여 구성함으로 잠재증발산량의 불확실성을 정량적으로 표현하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.307-307
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• 2021

개념적 강우-유출모형에서 토양수분과 관련된 물리적 거동은 간략화 된 형태로 강우 및 온도자료를 활용하여 중간변량(state variable)으로 간접적으로 고려되고 있다. 특히 강우-유출모형에 초기함수 조건은 선행함수조건을 고려하여 수문지질학적 평가를 통하여 결정되어야 하나, 일반적으로 가정되거나 모형에서 간략화 된 분석과정을 통해 추정되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 토양의 Water Balance 모형 기반의 개념적 토양수분 추정모형을 활용하였다. 토양수분의 시간적 변동성을 평가하는데 있어서 연속적으로 측정된 In-situ 토양수분 자료를 이용하여 모형의 적합성을 평가하였다. Green-Ampt 방법과 중력식 침투방법과 온도를 활용한 증발산 추정기법을 연계한 토양함수 평가 모형을 개발하였다. In-situ 토양수분 자료와 유역의 강수량 및 온도자료를 이용한 관련 매개변수를 Bayesian 기법을 통해 추정하였으며 매개변수의 민감도를 평가하여 제시하였다. 최종적으로 제안된 모형의 활용측면에서 강우-유출모형의 초기함수 조건으로써의 역할을 평가하였다. 구체적으로 첨두유량 및 유출고와 초기함수조건과의 관계를 제시하고 강우-유출모형에서 활용방안을 제시하고자 한다.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.755-778
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• 2024

In recent years, the number of devices being connected to the internet has grown enormously, as has the intrusive behavior in the network. Thus, it is important for intrusion detection systems to report all intrusive behavior. Using deep learning and machine learning algorithms, intrusion detection systems are able to perform well in identifying attacks. However, the concern with these deep learning algorithms is their inability to identify a suitable network based on traffic volume, which requires manual changing of hyperparameters, which consumes a lot of time and effort. So, to address this, this paper offers a solution using the extended compact genetic algorithm for the automatic tuning of the hyperparameters. The novelty in this work comes in the form of modeling the problem of identifying attacks as a multi-objective optimization problem and the usage of linkage learning for solving the optimization problem. The solution is obtained using the feature map-based Convolutional Neural Network that gets encoded into genes, and using the extended compact genetic algorithm the model is optimized for the detection accuracy and latency. The CIC-IDS-2017 and 2018 datasets are used to verify the hypothesis, and the most recent analysis yielded a substantial F1 score of 99.23%. Response time, CPU, and memory consumption evaluations are done to demonstrate the suitability of this model in a fog environment.

• Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.11-16
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• 2023

Accurate hospital case modeling and prediction are crucial for efficient healthcare. In this study, we demonstrate the implementation of regression analysis methods in machine learning systems utilizing mathematical statics and machine learning techniques. The developed machine learning model includes Bayesian linear, artificial neural network, decision tree, decision forest, and linear regression analysis models. Through the application of these algorithms, corresponding regression models were constructed and analyzed. The results suggest the potential of leveraging machine learning systems for medical research. The experiment aimed to create an Azure Machine Learning Studio tool for the speedy evaluation of multiple regression models. The tool faciliates the comparision of 5 types of regression models in a unified experiment and presents assessment results with performance metrics. Evaluation of regression machine learning models highlighted the advantages of boosted decision tree regression, and decision forest regression in hospital case prediction. These findings could lay the groundwork for the deliberate development of new directions in medical data processing and decision making. Furthermore, potential avenues for future research may include exploring methods such as clustering, classification, and anomaly detection in healthcare systems.

• Journal of KIISE
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• v.42 no.4
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• pp.451-458
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• 2015

Previous multimodal learning methods focus on problem-solving aspects, such as image and video search and tagging, rather than on knowledge acquisition via content modeling. In this paper, we propose the Multimodal Concept Hierarchy (MuCH), which is a content modeling method that uses a cartoon video dataset and a character-based subtitle generation method from the learned model. The MuCH model has a multimodal hypernetwork layer, in which the patterns of the words and image patches are represented, and a concept layer, in which each concept variable is represented by a probability distribution of the words and the image patches. The model can learn the characteristics of the characters as concepts from the video subtitles and scene images by using a Bayesian learning method and can also generate character-based subtitles from the learned model if text queries are provided. As an experiment, the MuCH model learned concepts from 'Pororo' cartoon videos with a total of 268 minutes in length and generated character-based subtitles. Finally, we compare the results with those of other multimodal learning models. The Experimental results indicate that given the same text query, our model generates more accurate and more character-specific subtitles than other models.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.12
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• pp.985-999
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• 2019

Over the last decade, droughts have become more severe and frequent in many regions, and several studies have been conducted to explore the recent drought. Copula-based bivariate drought frequency analysis has been widely used to evaluate drought risk in the context of point frequency analysis. However, the relatively significant uncertainties in the parameters are problematic when available data are limited. For this reason, the primary purpose of this study is to develop a regional drought frequency model based on the Copula function. All parameters, including marginal and copula functions in the regional frequency model, were estimated simultaneously. Here, we present a case study of recent drought 2013-2015 over the Han-River watershed where severe drought risk is consistently found to increase. The proposed model provided a reliable way to significantly reduce the uncertainty of parameters with a Bayesian modeling framework. The uncertainty of the joint return period in the regional frequency analysis is nearly three times lower than that of the point frequency analysis. Accordingly, DIC values in the regional frequency analysis model are significantly decreased by 15. The results confirm that the proposed model is not only reliably representing characteristics of historical droughts and dependencies between drought variables, but also providing the efficacy of understanding regional drought characteristics.