• Title/Summary/Keyword: back prediction

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A Study on the Design of Database to Improve the Capability of Managing Offshore Wind Power Plant (해상풍력 풍력시스템의 관리능력 향상을 위한 데이터베이스 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Hyung;Kim, Chang-Suk;Kyong, Nam-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2010
  • As for the present wind power industry, most of the computerization for monitoring and control is based on the traditional development methodology, but it is necessary to improve SCADA system since it has a phenomenon of backlog accumulation in the applicable aspect of back-data as well as in the operational aspect in the future. Especially for a system like offshore wind power where a superintendent cannot reside, it is desirable to operate a remote control system. Therefore, it is essential to establish a monitoring system with appropriate control and monitoring inevitably premised on the integrity and independence of data. As a result, a study was carried out on the modeling of offshore wind power data-centered database. In this paper, a logical data modeling method was proposed and designed to establish the database of offshore wind power. In order for designing the logical data modeling of an offshore wind power system, this study carried out an analysis of design elements for the database of offshore wind power and described considerations and problems as well. Through a comparative analysis of the final database of the newly-designed off-shore wind power system against the existing SCADA System, this study proposed a new direction to bring about progress toward a smart wind power system, showing a possibility of a service-oriented smart wind power system, such as future prediction, hindrance-cause examination and fault analyses, through the database integrating various control signals, geographical information and data about surrounding environments.

Design of a Retrodirective Active Array Antenna for the LS Band (LS 밴드용 역지향성 능동배열 안테나 설계)

  • Chun Joong-Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.171-175
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we have developed a retrodirective active array operating in the 2 GHz LS band. The retrodirective array has the property of redirecting any electromagnetic wave back to the incoming direction without any priory informations. The system is integrated with phase conjugators and antenna array. Microwave phase conjugators can be implemented by microwave mixers. In this research, 2-port gate mixers using pHEMT and $1{\times}4$ monopole array have been used to achieve the retrodirectivity. The measured results have been compared with the theoretical prediction, and it has been shown that there exists a reasonable agreement between them. The monopole array can be used easily in many areas for simplicity and cost-effective property, and the retrodirective array developed in this research can be applied directly in the base station facilities for the wireless mobile communications. indoor wireless LAN and RFID transponders.

Determination of the linear elastic stiffness and hygroexpansion of softwood by a multilayered unit cell using poromechanics

  • Gloimuller, Stefan;de Borst, Karin;Bader, Thomas K.;Eberhardsteiner, Josef
    • Interaction and multiscale mechanics
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.229-265
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    • 2012
  • Hygroexpansion of wood is a known and undesired characteristic in civil engineering. When wood is exposed to changing environmental humidity, it adsorbs or desorbs moisture and warps. The resulting distortions or - at restrained conditions - cracks are a major concern in timber engineering. We herein present a multiscale model for prediction of the macroscopic hygroexpansion behavior of individual pieces of softwood from their microstructure, demonstrated for spruce. By applying poromicromechanics, we establish a link between the swelling pressure, driving the hygroexpansion of wood at the nanoscale, and the resulting macroscopic dimensional changes. The model comprises six homogenization steps, which are performed by means of continuum micromechanics, the unit cell method and laminate theory, all formulated in a poromechanical framework. Model predictions for elastic properties of wood as functions of the moisture content closely approach corresponding experimental data. As for the hygroexpansion behavior, the swelling pressure has to be back-calculated from macroscopic hygroexpansion data. The good reproduction of the anisotropy of wood hygroexpansion, based on only a single scalar calibration parameter, underlines the suitability of the model. The multiscale model constitutes a valuable tool for studying the effect of microstructural features on the macroscopic behavior and for assessing the hygroexpansion behavior at smaller length scales, which are inaccessible to experiments. The model predictions deliver input parameters for the analysis of timber at the structural scale, therewith enabling to optimize the use of timber and to prevent moisture-induced damage or failure.

Application of Flat DMT and ANN for Reliable Estimation of Undrained Shear Strength of Korean Soft Clay (국내 연약지반의 신뢰성있는 비배수 전단강도 추정을 위한 flat DMT와 인공신경망 이론의 적용)

  • 변위용;김영상;이승래;정은택
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2004
  • The flat dilatometer test (DMT) is a geotechnical tool to estimate in-situ properties of various types of ground materials. The undrained shear strength is known to be the most reliable and useful parameter obtained by DMT. However, the existing relationships which were established for other local deposits depend on the regional geotechnical characteristics. In addition, the flat dilatometer test results have been interpreted using three intermediate indices - material index $(I_D)$, horizontal stress index $(K_D)$, and dilatometer modulus (E$_{D}$) and the undrained shear strength has been estimated merely using the horizontal stress index $(K_D)$. In this paper, the applicability of the flat dilatometer to Korean soft clay deposit has been investigated. Then an artificial neural network was developed to evaluate the undrained shear strength by DMT and the ANN, based on the $p_0, p_1, p_2, {\sigma '}_v$ and porewater pressure. The ANN which adopts the back-propagation algorithm was trained based on the DMT data obtained from Korean soft clay. To investigate the feasibility of ANN model, the prediction results obtained from data which were not used to train the ANN and those obtained from existing relationships were compared.

An Experimental Study on Flapping Motion of Forward Flight Condition used to Articulated Hub Rotor (관절형 허브 로터를 이용한 전진비행조건에서의 플래핑 운동에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Ryi, Jae-Ha;Back, Dong-Min;Rhee, Wook;Choi, Jong-Soo;Song, Keun Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, wind tunnel test and analytical prediction are compared for result of flapping motion in helicopter forward flight condition. Tests were performed at low speed wind tunnel at Chungnam National University, test section of wind tunnel has 1.8 by 1.8 meter open-jet test section area. According to the results of measured data for aerodynamic performance of model rotor in forward flight. It has to observed the difference of analytical and measured results of power coefficient for fixed thrust coefficient. And calculated and measured data of helicopter rotor flapping angles in forward flight are compared for a model rotor in a wind tunnel. A test was conducted to verify the measured data of coning and lateral/longitudinal flapping angle with predicted values.

Power Prediction of P-Type Si Bifacial PV Module Using View Factor for the Application to Microgrid Network (View Factor를 고려한 마이크로그리드 적용용 고효율 P-Type Si 양면형 태양광 모듈의 출력량 예측)

  • Choi, Jin Ho;Kim, David Kwangsoon;Cha, Hae Lim;Kim, Gyu Gwang;Bhang, Byeong Gwan;Park, So Young;Ahn, Hyung Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.182-187
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    • 2018
  • In this study, 20.8% of a p-type Si bifacial solar cell was used to develop a photovoltaic (PV) module to obtain the maximum power under a limited installation area. The transparent back sheet material was replaced during fabrication with a white one, which is opaque in commercial products. This is very beneficial for the generation of more electricity, owing to the additional power generation via absorption of light from the rear side. A new model is suggested herein to predict the power of the bifacial PV module by considering the backside reflections from the roof and/or environment. This model considers not only the frontside reflection, but also the nonuniformity of the backside light sources. Theoretical predictions were compared to experimental data to prove the validity of this model, the error range for which ranged from 0.32% to 8.49%. Especially, under $700W/m^2$, the error rate was as low as 2.25%. This work could provide theoretical and experimental bases for application to a distributed and microgrid network.

Analysis of Multivariate-GARCH via DCC Modelling (DCC 모델링을 이용한 다변량-GARCH 모형의 분석 및 응용)

  • Choi, S.M.;Hong, S.Y.;Choi, M.S.;Park, J.A.;Baek, J.S.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.995-1005
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    • 2009
  • Conditional correlation between financial time series plays an important role in risk management, asset allocation and portfolio selection and therefore diverse efforts for modeling conditional correlations in multivariate-GARCH processes have been made in last two decades. In particular, CCC (cf. Bollerslev, 1990) and DCC(dynamic conditional correlation, cf. Engle, 2002) models have been commonly used since they are relatively parsimonious in the number of parameters involved. This article is concerned with DCC modeling for multivariate GARCH processes in comparison with CCC specification. Various multivariate financial time series are analysed to illustrate possible advantages of DCC over CCC modeling.

Evaluation of the CALPUFF Model Using Improved Meteorological Fields in Complex Terrain of East Sea Coast (동해안의 복잡지형에서 기상장 개선에 따른 CALPUFF 모델의 평가)

  • Lee, Chong-Bum;Kim, Jea-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2009
  • Donghae city is one of the most representative cement industrial city in Korea. The area is faced with the East Sea to the East and with high montane region of Tae-Back mountain range to the West. Many pollutant sources of air pollution are located near the coast, but the largest point sources of the region are located at the bottom of the mountain area in Donghae city. The local wind is highly affected by local topography and plays an important role in transport and dispersion of contaminants from the pollution sources. This study was designed to evaluate enhancement of MM5 predictions by using Four Dimensional Data Assimilation (FDDA), the SONDE data and the national meteorological station, data only. The alternative meteorological fields predicted with and without FDDA were used to simulate spatial and temporal variations of NOx in combined with Atmospheric Dispersion Models (CALPUFF). For the modeling domain, the alternative meteorological fields with 1.1 km spatial resolution were interpolated to the CALMET with 0.5 km resolution. The vertical layers set to have 35 and 12 layers for MM5 and CALPUFF, respectively. MM5 with the FDDA did not resulted in significant improvement of meteorological field prediction in Donghae region, which is primarily because of complex geography and wind scheme. The result of CALPUFF, however, showed reduction of uncertainty errors by using the interpolation scheme of the actual measurement data.

Applications of Artificial Neural Networks for Using High Performance Concrete (고성능 콘크리트의 활용을 위한 신경망의 적용)

  • Yang, Seung-Il;Yoon, Young-Soo;Lee, Seung-Hoon;Kim, Gyu-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.3 no.4 s.11
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2003
  • Concrete and steel are essential structural materials in the construction. But, concrete, different from steel, consists of many materials and is affected by many factors such as properties of materials, site environmental situations, and skill of constructors. Concrete have two kinds of properties, immediately knowing properties such as slump, air contents and time dependent one like strength. Therefore, concrete mixes depend on experiences of experts. However, at point of time using High Performance Concrete, new method is wanted because of more ingredients like mineral and chemical admixtures and lack of data. Artificial Neural Networks(ANN) are a mimic models of human brain to solve a complex nonlinear problem. They are powerful pattern recognizers and classifiers, also their computing abilities have been proven in the fields of prediction, estimation and pattern recognition. Here, among them, the back propagation network and radial basis function network ate used. Compositions of high-performance concrete mixes are eight components(water, cement, fine aggregate, coarse aggregate, fly ash, silica fume, superplasticizer and air-entrainer). Compressive strength, slump, and air contents are measured. The results show that neural networks are proper tools to minimize the uncertainties of the design of concrete mixtures.

The Hybrid Multi-layer Inference Architectures and Algorithms of FPNN Based on FNN and PNN (FNN 및 PNN에 기초한 FPNN의 합성 다층 추론 구조와 알고리즘)

  • Park, Byeong-Jun;O, Seong-Gwon;Kim, Hyeon-Gi
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.49 no.7
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    • pp.378-388
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks(FPNN) based on Polynomial Neural Networks(PNN) and Fuzzy Neural Networks(FNN) for model identification of complex and nonlinear systems. The proposed FPNN is generated from the mutually combined structure of both FNN and PNN. The one and the other are considered as the premise part and consequence part of FPNN structure respectively. As the consequence part of FPNN, PNN is based on Group Method of Data Handling(GMDH) method and its structure is similar to Neural Networks. But the structure of PNN is not fixed like in conventional Neural Networks and self-organizing networks that can be generated. FPNN is available effectively for multi-input variables and high-order polynomial according to the combination of FNN with PNN. Accordingly it is possible to consider the nonlinearity characteristics of process and to get better output performance with superb predictive ability. As the premise part of FPNN, FNN uses both the simplified fuzzy inference as fuzzy inference method and error back-propagation algorithm as learning rule. The parameters such as parameters of membership functions, learning rates and momentum coefficients are adjusted using genetic algorithms. And we use two kinds of FNN structure according to the division method of fuzzy space of input variables. One is basic FNN structure and uses fuzzy input space divided by each separated input variable, the other is modified FNN structure and uses fuzzy input space divided by mutually combined input variables. In order to evaluate the performance of proposed models, we use the nonlinear function and traffic route choice process. The results show that the proposed FPNN can produce the model with higher accuracy and more robustness than any other method presented previously. And also performance index related to the approximation and prediction capabilities of model is evaluated and discussed.

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