• Title/Summary/Keyword: back prediction

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Prediction of Probabilistic Distribution of a Loudspeaker's Performance Due to Manufacturing Tolerances by Performance Moment Integration Method (성능 모멘트 적분법을 이용한 제작공차에 의해 발생하는 스피커 성능함수의 확률분포 특성 예측)

  • Kang, Byung-su;Back, Jong Hyun;Kim, Dong-Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Magnetics Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.81-85
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    • 2016
  • This paper introduces a performance integration method to predict variation characteristic of a performance function of electromagnetic machines or devices due to manufacturing tolerances. A normalized performance function space and a hybrid mean value technique are adapted to effectively predict mean and variance, which can identify probabilistic distribution of the performance function. To verify the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method, a mathematical problem and a loudspeaker model are tested, and numerical results are compared with those of existing methods such as Monte Carlo simulation and univariate dimension reduction method.

Analysis of Angular Deformation in Multi-pass Butt Joint Welding of Thick Plates with X-shape Grooves using the Finite Element Method (X형 개선을 가진 후판 맞대기 용접에 있어서 유한요소법을 이용한 각변형 해석)

  • Yang, Young-Soo;Bae, Kang-Yul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.169-176
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    • 2018
  • Removal of angular deformation induced during the welding of butt joints in thick steel plates needs expert skill and is costly. To reduce deformation, proper joint designs are studied with a prediction of deformation prior to welding. However, as the thickness of a plate increases, a predictive analysis of the welding process is more difficult, especially if there is an increase in the number of welding passes in the joint. In this study, a numerical model with the finite element method (FEM) was developed to analyze the angular deformation in the multi-pass welding of butt joints of plates made of AH32 steel that had a thickness of up to 100 mm. A series of numerical simulations were then performed based on the developed model to predict the deformations for thick plates. With the results obtained by the analyses, this study suggested optimal X-shape grooves for the butt joints of thick plates to minimize the angular deformation. As the thickness of the plate increased to 100 mm, the ratio of the depth of the front-side groove to that of the back-side groove should be gradually increased to nearly 1:3.

Prediction of Preceding Displacement of a Soil-Tunnel by Displacement Monitoring using Horizontal Inclinometer (수평경사계를 이용한 토사터널의 선행변위 예측)

  • Kim, Chu-Hwa;Chae, Young-Su;Park, Yeon-Jun
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.355-365
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    • 2008
  • Displacement caused by tunneling is difficult to predict since it is affected by many factors such as ground condition, excavation method and supplementary method of reinforcement. In this study, horizontal inclinometer was employed to monitor ground settlements above a tunnel face before and after the excavation. Monitoring results were analyzed to predict the preceding displacement and settlement of the surface structures. The result of the analysis can be used to establish a proper counter measure which keeps the serviceability of the surface structures. Based on the analysis of the monitoring result, ground properties of the site were deduced and the influence of the tunnel excavation on the settlement of the foundation above the tunnel is analyzed.

Acoustic based Two Dimensional Underwater Localization Considering Directional Ambiguity (방향 모호성을 고려한 수중 음향 기반의 2차원 위치 추정 기술 개발)

  • Choi, Jinwoo;Lee, Yeongjun;Jung, Jongdae;Park, Jeonghong;Choi, Hyun-Taek
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.402-410
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    • 2017
  • Acoustic based localization is essential to operate autonomous robotic systems in underwater environment where the use of sensorial data is limited. This paper proposes a localization method using artificial underwater acoustic sources. The proposed method acquires directional angles of acoustic sources using time difference of arrivals of two hydrophones. For this purpose, a probabilistic approach is used for accurate estimation of the time delay. Then, Gaussian sum filter based SLAM technique is used to localize both acoustic sources and underwater vehicle. It is performed by using bearing of acoustic sources as measurement and inertial sensors as prediction model. The proposed method can handle directional ambiguity of time difference based source localization by generating Gaussian models corresponding to possible locations of both front and back sides. Through these processes, the proposed method can provide reliable localization method for underwater vehicles without any prior information of source locations. The performance of the proposed method is verified by experimental results conducted in a real sea environment.

EDISON Co-rotational Plane Beam Transient analysis solver를 이용한 위험 Gust profile 역-추적 알고리즘 개발

  • Jeong, Ji-Seop;Kim, Se-Il;Sin, Sang-Jun
    • Proceeding of EDISON Challenge
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    • 2017.03a
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    • pp.259-269
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    • 2017
  • Gust load is a very important load factor in designing various structures of an aircraft and judging its stability. This is because the blast effect on the aircraft in operation increases the risk of damage to the structure of the aircraft and causes a negative impact such as shortening the fatigue life by generating vibration. Particularly in the case of wing, a change in angle of attack is caused by gust load, and an additional lift acts on the wing, thereby being exposed to various excitational environments. Severe structural damage to the aircraft may occur if the natural frequencies of the aircraft wing are close to or coincident with the frequencies of the gust load applied to the wing. Recent trends of research include flight dynamics analysis considering discontinuous gusts or structural optimization of the blades under gust load. A number of studies have been conducted to interpret gust load response in consideration of irregularities in gusts. In this paper, we tried to imagine the situation of the aircraft subjected to the gust load as realistic as possible, and proposed an algorithm to track back the critical gust profile according to given aircraft characteristics from the viewpoint of preliminary engineering prediction.

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A Screening Test of Extensibility and the Prediction of Clothing Pressure for Commercial Compression T-shirts (시중 컴프레션 티셔츠의 신장 특성에 대한 스크리닝 테스트와 의복압 예측)

  • Kim, Nam Yim;Hong, Kyunghi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.1010-1021
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    • 2017
  • Adjustment of clothing pressure for compression wear is critical to the physiological and psychological satisfaction of the wearer; however, there are limited studies on the practical relationship among extensibility of materials, pattern reduction of compression wear and resultant clothing pressure. This study provides consumers and designers with information on clothing pressure using a screening extensibility test suggested by Ziegert and Keil (1988) even for the final products. As the first step, ten commercial products were collected and their size, extensibility and corresponding clothing pressure were analyzed. It was found that clothing pressure around the waist level could be predicted well from the information of Ziegert and Keil's (1988) % extensibility of the material (Z stretch %) and the actual application of Z stretch amount to the pattern reduction rate (applied % of Z stretch), with an $r^2$ of around 0.80, especially at the waist level. However, it was not simple for the case of clothing pressure around the back of the chest level due to the various design variation and the complexity of the anatomical structure around the trapezius.

A Model for Analyzing the Performance of Wireless Multi-Hop Networks using a Contention-based CSMA/CA Strategy

  • Sheikh, Sajid M.;Wolhuter, Riaan;Engelbrecht, Herman A.
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.2499-2522
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    • 2017
  • Multi-hop networks are a low-setup-cost solution for enlarging an area of network coverage through multi-hop routing. Carrier sense multiple access with collision avoidance (CSMA/CA) is frequently used in multi-hop networks. Multi-hop networks face multiple problems, such as a rise in contention for the medium, and packet loss under heavy-load, saturated conditions, which consumes more bandwidth due to re-transmissions. The number of re-transmissions carried out in a multi-hop network plays a major role in the achievable quality of service (QoS). This paper presents a statistical, analytical model for the end-to-end delay of contention-based medium access control (MAC) strategies. These strategies schedule a packet before performing the back-off contention for both differentiated heterogeneous data and homogeneous data under saturation conditions. The analytical model is an application of Markov chain theory and queuing theory. The M/M/1 model is used to derive access queue waiting times, and an absorbing Markov chain is used to determine the expected number of re-transmissions in a multi-hop scenario. This is then used to calculate the expected end-to-end delay. The prediction by the proposed model is compared to the simulation results, and shows close correlation for the different test cases with different arrival rates.

Optical Properties of Aerosols Related to Haze Events over Seoul Inferred from Skyradiometer and Satellite-Borne Measurements (서울지역 연무와 관련된 에어로졸의 광학 특성: 스카이라디오미터 및 위성관측연구)

  • Shi, Hoyeon;Lee, Sang-Sam;Chun, Hyuong-Wook;Song, Hwan-Jin;Noh, Young-Chan;Sohn, Byung-Ju
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.289-299
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    • 2016
  • Optical properties of aerosols associated with haze events over Seoul were examined using ground-based skyradiometer and satellite-borne CALIOP and MODIS measurements over the 2009~2010 period. It is shown that aerosol optical thickness (AOT), ${\AA}ngstr{\ddot{o}}m$ exponents (${\alpha}$), and fine-mode particles increase during the haze events. The CALIOP-measured vertical profiles of aerosol during the haze events revealed that most of aerosols are loaded within layers below 4 km altitude. A large portion of these events appear to be related to the long-range transport of aerosols from China; about 35% and 18% of the haze events observed over Seoul were traced back to northern China and southern China, respectively. Compared with optical properties for locally-induced haze events (25%), these long-range transported aerosols are found to have relatively higher AOTs.

Deformation prediction by a feed forward artificial neural network during mouse embryo micromanipulation

  • Abbasi, Ali A.;Vossoughi, G.R.;Ahmadian, M.T.
    • Animal cells and systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2012
  • In this study, a neural network (NN) modeling approach has been used to predict the mechanical and geometrical behaviors of mouse embryo cells. Two NN models have been implemented. In the first NN model dimple depth (w), dimple radius (a) and radius of the semi-circular curved surface of the cell (R) were used as inputs of the model while indentation force (f) was considered as output. In the second NN model, indentation force (f), dimple radius (a) and radius of the semi-circular curved surface of the cell (R) were considered as inputs of the model and dimple depth was predicted as the output of the model. In addition, sensitivity analysis has been carried out to investigate the influence of the significance of input parameters on the mechanical behavior of mouse embryos. Experimental data deduced by Fl$\ddot{u}$ckiger (2004) were collected to obtain training and test data for the NN. The results of these investigations show that the correlation values of the test and training data sets are between 0.9988 and 1.0000, and are in good agreement with the experimental observations.

Failure Pressure Prediction of Composite Cylinders for Hydrogen Storage Using Thermo-mechanical Analysis and Neural Network

  • Hu, J.;Sundararaman, S.;Menta, V.G.K.;Chandrashekhara, K.;Chernicoff, William
    • Advanced Composite Materials
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.233-249
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    • 2009
  • Safe installation and operation of high-pressure composite cylinders for hydrogen storage are of primary concern. It is unavoidable for the cylinders to experience temperature variation and significant thermal input during service. The maximum failure pressure that the cylinder can sustain is affected due to the dependence of composite material properties on temperature and complexity of cylinder design. Most of the analysis reported for high-pressure composite cylinders is based on simplifying assumptions and does not account for complexities like thermo-mechanical behavior and temperature dependent material properties. In the present work, a comprehensive finite element simulation tool for the design of hydrogen storage cylinder system is developed. The structural response of the cylinder is analyzed using laminated shell theory accounting for transverse shear deformation and geometric nonlinearity. A composite failure model is used to evaluate the failure pressure under various thermo-mechanical loadings. A back-propagation neural network (NNk) model is developed to predict the maximum failure pressure using the analysis results. The failure pressures predicted from NNk model are compared with those from test cases. The developed NNk model is capable of predicting the failure pressure for any given loading condition.