• Title/Summary/Keyword: assessment curve

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An Assessment Method for Voltage Sag in Power Distribution System using a Fuzzy Model (퍼지 모델을 이용한 배전 계통에서의 순간전압강하 평가 방식)

  • Yun, Sang-Yun;O, Jeong-Hwan;Kim, Eon-Seok;Kim, Nak-Gyeong;Kim, Jae-Cheol
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we proposes a method for assessing the effect of voltage sag in power distribution systems using fuzzy model. The proposed method is based on the reliability data of distribution system and specified computer business equipment manufacturer association(SCBEMA) curve that express the representative power acceptability curve by voltage sag for each customer type. The SCBEMA curves are made by using the CBEMA curves obtained from the experiment for the customers sensitive equipment. In order to transform SCBEMA curves to the differential damage by voltage sag, a fuzzy model is used. The proposed fuzzy model is composed to reflect two parameters of customers damage by voltage sag. One is the duration and magnitude of voltage sag and the other is the different risk due to the customer types. The Monte Carlo simulation method and the historical reliability data in KEPCO ae used for case studies.

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Evaluation of Fracture Toughness by J-A$_2$ Method Considering Size Effect (시편크기의 영향을 고려한 J-A$_2$ 방법에 의한 파괴인성 평가)

  • 이정윤;김영종;김용환;김재훈
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.153-163
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    • 2000
  • The size effect on fracture toughness was investigated by introducing $J-A_2$ theory. For this application,small size specimens were chosen to establish $J-A_2$ assessment curve with FEM analysis. Two-dimensional FEM analysis was conducted with plane strain model using ABAQUS by domain integral method to calculate both crack tip stress and fracture toughness which were used to establish $J-A_2$ curve. The assessment curve predicted the fracture toughness of large specimens very well when compared to the test values. The results showed good prediction for deep crack specimen, though there were acceptable deviations in shallow cracked specimens, presumably caused by constraint effect. When the curve applied to reactor vessel in order to predict end of life fracture toughness with assumption of on-power pressure test condition, it provided the reasonable pressure compared to the existing design value. Better predictions would be possible if more test data were available.

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A Study on the Assessment of Running Safety of Railway Vehicle passing through Curve (곡선부 통과 열차의 주행안전성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kwang-Soo;Lee, Hi-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.492-498
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    • 2007
  • For the running safety assessment of Saemaul train passing through curves, an analysis model for multibody system has been developed. By using this model and ADAMS/Rail, sensitivity analyses depending on the variation of parameters related to the derailment coefficients have been conducted. At low speed, the derailment coefficient and the unload ratio of right wheel showed higher than left wheel, while those of left wheel showed higher than right wheel at high speed. According to decrease of curve radius, the derailment coefficient and the unload ratio were increased. When the length of transition curve was increased, the derailment coefficient was increased but there was no change on the unload ratio. According to the increase of cant, the derailment coefficient and the unload rate were increased.

Applicability of Load Duration Curve to Nakdong River Wateished Management (낙동강 유역관리를 위한 부하량 유황곡선의 적용 가능성)

  • Han, Suhee;Shin, Hyun Suk;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.620-627
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    • 2007
  • In this study a general analysis method for watersheds with the entire runoff conditions and corresponding water quality is proposed and its applicability based on the currently available information is investigated. Using the 8-day-interval data set of runoff and water quality observed by Nakdong River Environment Research Center, the flow duration curve and discharge-load relation curve for each unit watershed are established, then the load duration curve is finally constructed. This paper discusses how the load duration curve can be used in the assessment of TMDL. The entire Nakdong river watershed is also divided into prior managing areas of point sources or non-point sources in a way of general management. It is thought that LDC can be a great tool for visualizing overall probabilities of current water quality and thus for the TMDL management.

A Study on Construction of the CMELDC at Load Points (각 부하지점별 유효부하지속곡선 작성법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hong-Sik;Mun, Seung-Pil;Choe, Jae-Seok
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.195-198
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    • 2000
  • This paper illustrates a new method for constructing composite power system effective load duration curve(CMELDC) at load points. The main concept of proposed method is that the CMELDC can be obtain from convolution integral processing of the outage probabilistic distribution function of not supplied power and the load duration curve given at each load point. The effective load duration curve (ELDC) at HLI plays an important part in probabilistic production simulation, reliability evaluation, outage cost assessment and power supply margins assesment for power system planning and operation. And also, the CMELDC at HLII will extend the application areas of outage cost assessment and reliability evaluation at each load point. The CMELDC at load points using the Monte Carlo method and a DC load flow constrained LP have already been developed by authors. The effective load concept at HLII, however, has not been introduced sufficiently in last paper although the concept is important. In this paper, the main concept of the effective load at HLII which is proposed in this study is defined in details as the summation of the original load and the probabilistic loads caused by the forced outage of generators and transmission lines at this load point. The outage capacity probabilistic distribution function at HLII can be obtained by combining the not supplied powers and the probabilities of the not supplied powers at this load point. It si also expected that the proposed CMELDC can be applied usefully to research areas such as reliability evaluation, probabilistic production cost simulation and analytical outage cost assessment, etc. at HLII in future. The characteristics and effectiveness of this methodology are illustrated by case study of IEEE-RTS.

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Life Risk Assessment of Landslide Disaster in Jinbu Area Using Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀분석모델을 활용한 평창군 진부 지역의 산사태 재해의 인명 위험 평가)

  • Rahnuma, Bintae Rashid Urmi;Al, Mamun;Jang, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.65-80
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    • 2020
  • This paper deals with risk assessment of life in a landslide-prone area by a GIS-based modeling method. Landslide susceptibility maps can provide a probability of landslide prone areas to mitigate or proper control this problems and to take any development plan and disaster management. A landslide inventory map of the study area was prepared based on past historical information and aerial photography analysis. A total of 550 landslides have been counted at the whole study area. The extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two different groups, 50% of the landslides were used for model calibration and the other were used for validation purpose. Eleven causative factors (continuous and thematic) such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in hazard analysis. The correlation between landslides and these factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. Eventually, a landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a logistic regression model based on entire events. Moreover, the landslide susceptibility map was plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculated the area under the curve (AUC) and tried to extract a success rate curve. Based on the results, logistic regression produced an 85.18% accuracy, so we believed that the model was reliable and acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis on the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, vulnerability scale were added for social thematic data layer. The study area predictive landslide affected pixels 2,000 and 5,000 were also calculated for making a probability table. In final calculation, the 2,000 predictive landslide affected pixels were assumed to run. The total population causalities were estimated as 7.75 person that was relatively close to the actual number published in Korean Annual Disaster Report, 2006.

A study on the deterministic temperature-time curves and required resistance times by fire model for assessment of fire resistance of tunnel structures (터널의 내화성능 평가용 화재온도곡선과 화재모델별 내화시간에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Hyo-Gyu;Park, Kyung-Whan;Yoon, Myong-O;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2005
  • A variety of research projects have been undertaken due to the recent catastrophic tunnel fires throughout the world, Among them, more emphasis was given to full scale and scale model fire experiments, and recently the area of fire resistance of tunnel structures attract more interests, On the contrary to the cases in most of the advanced countries where design standards as well as recommendations have already been announced, no local criteria for design can be found, This paper aims at deriving the fire characteristics appropriate for the assessment criteria of fire resistance of structures in local tunnels through studying the existing fire temperature curves including ISO 834 standard temperature curve, HC curve, RWS curve, ZTV curve and EBA curve.

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Application of the Load Duration Curve (LDC) to Evaluate the Achievement Rate of Target Water Quality in the Han-River Watersheds (부하지속곡선(Load Duration Curve; LDC)을 이용한 한강수계 오염총량관리 목표수질 평가방법 적용 방안)

  • Kim, Eunkyoung;Ryu, Jichul;Kim, Hongtae;Kim, Yongseok;Shin, Dongseok
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.732-738
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    • 2015
  • Water quality in four major river basin in Korea was managed with Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) System. The unit watershed in TMDL system has been evaluated with Target Water Quality (TWQ) assessment using average water quality, without considering its volume of water quantity. As results, although unit watershed are obtained its TWQ, its allocated loads were not satisfied and vice versa. To solve these problems, a number of TWQ assessments with using Load Duration Curve (LDC) have been studied at other watersheds. The purpose of this study was to evaluate achievement of TWQ with Flow Duration Curve (FDC) and Load Duration Curve(LDC) at 26 unit watersheds in Han river basin. The results showed that achievement rates in TWQ assessment with current method and with LDC were 50~56 % and 69~73%, respectively. Because of increasing about 20% of achievement rates with using LDC, the number of exceeded unit watershed at Han river Basin was decreased about 4~6 unit watersheds.

Seismic fragility and risk assessment of an unsupported tunnel using incremental dynamic analysis (IDA)

  • Moayedifar, Arsham;Nejati, Hamid Reza;Goshtasbi, Kamran;Khosrotash, Mohammad
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.705-714
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    • 2019
  • Seismic assessment of underground structures is one of the challenging problems in engineering design. This is because there are usually many sources of uncertainties in rocks and probable earthquake characteristics. Therefore, for decreasing of the uncertainties, seismic response of underground structures should be evaluated by sufficient number of earthquake records which is scarcely possible in common seismic assessment of underground structures. In the present study, a practical risk-based approach was performed for seismic risk assessment of an unsupported tunnel. For this purpose, Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) was used to evaluate the seismic response of a tunnel in south-west railway of Iran and different analyses were conducted using 15 real records of earthquakes which were chosen from the PEER ground motion database. All of the selected records were scaled to different intensity levels (PGA=0.1-1.7 g) and applied to the numerical models. Based on the numerical modeling results, seismic fragility curves of the tunnel under study were derived from the IDA curves. In the next, seismic risk curve of the tunnel were determined by convolving the hazard and fragility curves. On the basis of the tunnel fragility curves, an earthquake with PGA equal to 0.35 g may lead to severe damage or collapse of the tunnel with only 3% probability and the probability of moderate damage to the tunnel is 12%.

Tsunami Hazard Evaluation for the East Coast of Korea by using Empirical Tsunami Data (경험자료에 의한 동해안의 지진해일 재해도 평가)

  • Kim, Min-Kyu;Choi, In-Kil;Kang, Keum-Seok
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2010
  • In this study, a tsunami hazard curve was determined for a probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of a tsunami event at a Nuclear Power Plant site. A Tsunami catalogue was developed by using the historical tsunami record prior to 1900 and the instrumental tsunami record after 1900. For the evaluation of the return period of the tsunami run-up height, power-law, upper-truncated power law and exponential function were considered for the assessment of regression curves and each result was compared. Although there were in total only 9 tsunami records on the east coast of Korea during the time period of the tsunami catalogue, there is no research like this about tsunami hazard curve evaluation, so this research lays a foundation for probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (PTHA)