• 제목/요약/키워드: artificial neural network ANN

검색결과 1,069건 처리시간 0.036초

Estimation of the wind speed in Sivas province by using the artificial neural networks

  • Gurlek, Cahit;Sahin, Mustafa;Akkoyun, Serkan
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the artificial neural network (ANN) method was used for estimating the monthly mean wind speed of Sivas, in the central part of Turkey. Eighteen years of wind speed data obtained from nine measurement stations during the period of 2000-2017 at 10 m height was used for ANN analysis. It was found that mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) ranged from 3.928 to 6.662, mean bias error (MBE) ranged from -0.089 to -0.003, while root mean square error (RMSE) ranged from 0.050 to 0.157 and R2 ranged from 0.86 to 0.966. ANN models provide a good approximation of the wind speed for all measurement stations, however, a tendency to underestimate is also obvious.

Multivariate Time Series Analysis for Rainfall Prediction with Artificial Neural Networks

  • Narimani, Roya;Jun, Changhyun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.135-135
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    • 2021
  • In water resources management, rainfall prediction with high accuracy is still one of controversial issues particularly in countries facing heavy rainfall during wet seasons in the monsoon climate. The aim of this study is to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) for predicting future six months of rainfall data (from April to September 2020) from daily meteorological data (from 1971 to 2019) such as rainfall, temperature, wind speed, and humidity at Seoul, Korea. After normalizing these data, they were trained by using a multilayer perceptron (MLP) as a class of the feedforward ANN with 15,000 neurons. The results show that the proposed method can analyze the relation between meteorological datasets properly and predict rainfall data for future six months in 2020, with an overall accuracy over almost 70% and a root mean square error of 0.0098. This study demonstrates the possibility and potential of MLP's applications to predict future daily rainfall patterns, essential for managing flood risks and protecting water resources.

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Artificial Neural Networks for Flood Forecasting Using Partial Mutual Information-Based Input Selection

  • Jae Gyeong Lee;Li Li;Kyung Soo Jun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.363-363
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    • 2023
  • Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) is a powerful tool for addressing various practical problems and it has been extensively applied in areas of water resources. In this study, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) were developed for flood forecasting at specific locations on the Han River. The Partial Mutual Information (PMI) technique was used to select input variables for ANNs that are neither over-specified nor under-specified while adequately describing the underlying input-output relationships. Historical observations including discharges at the Paldang Dam, flows from tributaries, water levels at the Paldang Bridge, Banpo Bridge, Hangang Bridge, and Junryu gauge station, and time derivatives of the observed water levels were considered as input candidates. Lagged variables from current time t to the previous five hours were assumed to be sufficient in this study. A three-layer neural network with one hidden layer was used and the neural network was optimized by selecting the optimal number of hidden neurons given the selected inputs. Given an ANN architecture, the weights and biases of the network were determined in the model training. The use of PMI-based input variable selection and optimized ANNs for different sites were proven to successfully predict water levels during flood periods.

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A System Engineering Approach to Predict the Critical Heat Flux Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

  • Wazif, Muhammad;Diab, Aya
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.38-46
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    • 2020
  • The accurate measurement of critical heat flux (CHF) in flow boiling is important for the safety requirement of the nuclear power plant to prevent sharp degradation of the convective heat transfer between the surface of the fuel rod cladding and the reactor coolant. In this paper, a System Engineering approach is used to develop a model that predicts the CHF using machine learning. The model is built using artificial neural network (ANN). The model is then trained, tested and validated using pre-existing database for different flow conditions. The Talos library is used to tune the model by optimizing the hyper parameters and selecting the best network architecture. Once developed, the ANN model can predict the CHF based solely on a set of input parameters (pressure, mass flux, quality and hydraulic diameter) without resorting to any physics-based model. It is intended to use the developed model to predict the DNBR under a large break loss of coolant accident (LBLOCA) in APR1400. The System Engineering approach proved very helpful in facilitating the planning and management of the current work both efficiently and effectively.

HMM/ANN복합 모델을 이용한 회전 블레이드의 결함 진단 (Fault Diagnosis of a Rotating Blade using HMM/ANN Hybrid Model)

  • 김종수;유홍희
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제23권9호
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    • pp.814-822
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    • 2013
  • For the fault diagnosis of a mechanical system, pattern recognition methods have being used frequently in recent research. Hidden Markov model(HMM) and artificial neural network(ANN) are typical examples of pattern recognition methods employed for the fault diagnosis of a mechanical system. In this paper, a hybrid method that combines HMM and ANN for the fault diagnosis of a mechanical system is introduced. A rotating blade which is used for a wind turbine is employed for the fault diagnosis. Using the HMM/ANN hybrid model along with the numerical model of the rotating blade, the location and depth of a crack as well as its presence are identified. Also the effect of signal to noise ratio, crack location and crack size on the success rate of the identification is investigated.

A new empirical formula for prediction of the axial compression capacity of CCFT columns

  • Tran, Viet-Linh;Thai, Duc-Kien;Kim, Seung-Eock
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.181-194
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents an efficient approach to generate a new empirical formula to predict the axial compression capacity (ACC) of circular concrete-filled tube (CCFT) columns using the artificial neural network (ANN). A total of 258 test results extracted from the literature were used to develop the ANN models. The ANN model having the highest correlation coefficient (R) and the lowest mean square error (MSE) was determined as the best model. Stability analysis, sensitivity analysis, and a parametric study were carried out to estimate the stability of the ANN model and to investigate the main contributing factors on the ACC of CCFT columns. Stability analysis revealed that the ANN model was more stable than several existing formulae. Whereas, the sensitivity analysis and parametric study showed that the outer diameter of the steel tube was the most sensitive parameter. Additionally, using the validated ANN model, a new empirical formula was derived for predicting the ACC of CCFT columns. Obviously, a higher accuracy of the proposed empirical formula was achieved compared to the existing formulae.

ANN에 의한 유도전동기의 회전자 저항 추정 (Rotor Resistance Estimation of Induction Motor by ANN)

  • 고재섭;최정식;정동화
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제20권10호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문은 드라이브의 간적벡터제어에서 ANN을 이용하여 유도전동기의 회전자 저항을 온라인 추정하기 위한 새로운 기법을 제시한다. 약전파 알고리즘은 신경회로망의 학습을 위해 사용된다. 신경회로망의 실제 상태값과 유도전동기의 요구값 사이의 오차는 신경회로망 모델의 하중값 조절을 위하여 역전파 하여 실제값이 요구값을 추정하도록 한다. 드라이브의 회전자 저항, 토크, 자속응답 성능등 이러한 추정기의 성능은 고유값으로부터 회전자 저항을 연구하게 된다. 회전자 저항은 유도전동기 드라이브의 벡터제어에서 제시된 ANN을 사용하여 추정한다.

SEM-Artificial Neural Network 2단계 접근법에 의한 클라우드 스토리지 서비스 이용의도 영향요인에 관한 연구 (A SEM-ANN Two-step Approach for Predicting Determinants of Cloud Service Use Intention)

  • ;권순동
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.91-111
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to identify the influencing factors of intention to use cloud services using the SEM-ANN two-step approach. In previous studies of SEM-ANN, SEM presented R2 and ANN presented MSE(mean squared error), so analysis performance could not be compared. In this study, R2 and MSE were calculated and presented by SEM and ANN, respectively. Then, analysis performance was compared and feature importances were compared by sensitivity analysis. As a result, the ANN default model improved R2 by 2.87 compared to the PLS model, showing a small Cohen's effect size. The ANN optimization model improved R2 by 7.86 compared to the PLS model, showing a medium Cohen effect size. In normalized feature importances, the order of importances was the same for PLS and ANN. The contribution of this study, which links structural equation modeling to artificial intelligence, is that it verified the effect of improving the explanatory power of the research model while maintaining the order of importance of independent variables.

인공신경회로망에 의한 유도전동기의 회전자 저항 추정 (Rotor Resistance Estimation of Induction Motor by Artificial Neural-Network)

  • 김길봉;최정식;고재섭;정동화
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전기기기 및 에너지변환시스템부문
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    • pp.50-52
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    • 2006
  • This paper Proposes a new method of on-line estimation for rotor resistance of the induction motor in the indirect vector controlled drive, using artificial neural network (ANN). The back propagation algorithm is used for training of the neural networks. The error between the desired state variable of an induction motor and actual state variable of a neural network model is back propagated to adjust the weight of a neural network model, so that the actual state variable tracks the desired value. The performance of rotor resistance estimator and torque and flux responses of drive, together with these estimators, are investigated variations rotor resistance from their nominal values. The rotor resistance are estimated analytically, using the proposed ANN in a vector controlled induction motor drive.

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웨이블렛 변환을 적용한 인공신경망에 의한 충주댐 일유입량 예측 (Forecast of the Daily Inflow with Artificial Neural Network using Wavelet Transform at Chungju Dam)

  • 류용준;신주영;남우성;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제45권12호
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    • pp.1321-1330
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 비선형적 모델인 웨이블렛-인공신경망을 적용하여 충주댐 유역의 일유입량을 예측하였다. 일반적으로 시계열 자료는 경향성, 주기성 및 추계학적 성분의 선형조합으로 이루어져 있다. 그러나 이러한 자료를 통해 시계열 모형 구축 시 경향성 및 주기성은 제거되어야하는 성분이다. 따라서 수문기상자료에 포함되어있는 경향성 및 주기성과 같은 비선형 동역학적 잡음과 측정과정에서 발생하는 단순잡음을 제거시키기 위해 디노이징기법인 웨이블렛 변환을 적용하였다. 웨이블렛 변환을 적용한 자료를 입력자료로 사용한 웨이블렛-인공신경망(WANN)과 원자료를 사용한 인공신경망(ANN)을비교하였다. 산정결과 결정계수와 선형회귀를 통한 기울기는 WANN이 ANN보다 각각0.032, 0.0115 더 큰값을 나타냈고, 타겟값과 예측값 사이의 오차를 나타내는 RMSE와 RRMSE는 WANN 모형이 ANN 보다 각각 37.388, 0.099 더 작은값을 나타냈다. 따라서 본 연구에서 적용한 WANN 모형이 ANN 보다 정확한 결과를 나타내었으며, 웨이블렛 변환을 통한 디노이징 기법의 적용이 잡음이 포함되어 있는 원자료의 사용보다 더 정확한 예측을 하는 것으로 판단된다.