• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.754-770
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• 1994

미국 북캐롤라이나의 동해안에 위치하는 뉴우스강 하구를 대상으로 1988년 2월부터 1989년 2월까지 매월 부유퇴적물의 분포와 유속 및 염분을 조사하여, 최대혼탁수의 형성과 물리적 환경요인(담수유출량, 풍향 및 풍속, 조석 등)에 따른 시간적, 공간적 변화를 조사하였다. 대부분의 조사기간동안, 염하구 순환과 관련된 미약한 최대혼탁수의 형성이 염수 침입한계 근처에서 관측되었으며, 염수 침입한계의 연중 이동과 수반하여 강 상류의 약 20 km 지역에 걸쳐 이동하면서 분포하였다. 이 지역 계절풍의 주된 풍향(북동-남서)과 Pamlico Sound의 지형적 방향성의 일치로 인하여, 염분 성충구조와 염하구 순환의 발달정도는 바람의 영향을 크게 받으며, 따라서 최대혼탁수의 형성과 변동 양상도 조석의 영향보다는 담수유출량과 바람의 영향을 뚜렷이 나타내었다.

• Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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• 제35권3호
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• pp.129-152
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• 2000

The Cheju Current (CC), defined here as a mean eastward flow in the Cheju Strait, mostly carries water of high temperature and salinity originating from the Kuroshio in winter and spring, the Cheju Warm Current Water (CWCW). The strong core of the eastward component of the CC is found close to Cheju Island (Cheju-Do, hereafter) in winter and spring with a peak speed of about 17.0 cm/s. The eastward flow weakens towards the northern Cheju Strait, and a weak westward flow occurs occasionally close to the southern coast of Korea. The volume transport ranges from 0.37 to 0.45 Sv(1 Sv=10$^6$ m$^3$/s) in winter and spring. Seasonal thermocline and harocline are formed in summer and eroded in November. The occurrence of the CWCW is confined in the southern Cheju Strait close to Cheju-Do below the seasonal thermocline in summer and fall, and cold water occupies the lower layer north of the CWCW which is thought to be brought into the area from the area west of Cheju-Do along with the CWCW. Stratification acts to increase both the speed of the CC with a peak speed of greater than 30 cm/s and the vertical shear of the along-strait currents. The strong core of the CC detached from the coast of Cheju-Do and shifted to the north during the stratified seasons. The volume transport in summer and fall ranges 0.510.66 Sv, which is about 1.5 times larger than that in winter and spring. An annual cycle of the cross-strait sea level difference shows its maximum in summer and fall and minimum in winter and spring, whose tendency is consistent with the annual variability of the CC and its transport estimated from the ADCP measurements. Moored current measurements west of Cheju-Do indicate the clockwise turning of the CC, and the moored current measurements in the Cheju Strait for 1530 days show the low-frequency variability of the along-strait flow with a period of about 37 days.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.15-27
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• 2018

Parametric method of flood frequency analysis involves fitting of a probability distribution to observed flood data. When record length at a given site is relatively shorter and hard to apply the asymptotic theory, an alternative distribution to the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is often used. In this study, we consider the beta-P distribution (BPD) as an alternative to the GEV and other well-known distributions for modeling extreme events of small or moderate samples as well as highly skewed or heavy tailed data. The L-moments ratio diagram shows that special cases of the BPD include the generalized logistic, three-parameter log-normal, and GEV distributions. To estimate the parameters in the distribution, the method of moments, L-moments, and maximum likelihood estimation methods are considered. A Monte-Carlo study is then conducted to compare these three estimation methods. Our result suggests that the L-moments estimator works better than the other estimators for this model of small or moderate samples. Two applications to the annual maximum stream flow of Colorado and the rainfall data from cloud seeding experiments in Southern Florida are reported to show the usefulness of the BPD for modeling hydrologic events. In these examples, BPD turns out to work better than $beta-{\kappa}$, Gumbel, and GEV distributions.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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• pp.229-232
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• 2002

This study was conducted to estimate the design flood by the determination of best fitting order of LH-moments of the annual maximum series at six and nine watersheds in Korea and Australia, respectively. Adequacy for flood flow data was confirmed by the tests of independence, homogeneity, and outliers. Gumbel (GUM), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Pareto (GPA), and Generalized Logistic (GLO) distributions were applied to get the best fitting frequency distribution for flood flow data. Theoretical bases of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments were derived to estimate the parameters of 4 distributions. L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moment ratio diagrams (LH-moments ratio diagram) were developed in this study.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제39권3호
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• pp.83-95
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• 1997

This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Gamma distribution models of the annual maximum series at eight watersheds along Geum , Yeong San and Seom Jin river Systems, Design floods obtained by different methods for evaluation of parameters and for plotting positions in the Gamma distribution models were compared by the relative mean errors and graphical fit along with 95% confidence interval plotted on Gamma probability paper. The results were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1.Adequacy for the analysis of flood flow data used in this study was confirmed by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity and detection of Outliers. 2.Basic statistics and parameters were calculated by Gamma distribution models using Methods of Moments and Maximum Likelihood. 3.It was found that design floods derived by the method of maximum likelihood and Hazen plotting position formular of two parameter Gamma distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by other methods for parameters and for plotting positions from the viewpoint of relative mean errors. 4.Reliability of derived design floods by both maximum likelihood and method of moments with two parameter Gamma distribution was acknowledged within 95% confidence interval.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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• pp.16-16
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• 2011

Statistics of extreme rainfall play a vital role in engineering practice from the perspective of mitigation and protection of infrastructure and human life from flooding. While flood frequency assessments, based on river flood flow data are preferred, the analysis of rainfall data is often more convenient due to the finer spatial nature of rainfall recording networks, often with longer records, and potentially more easily transferable from site to site. The rainfall frequency analysis as a design tool has developed over the years in New Zealand from Seelye's daily rainfall frequency maps in 1947 to Thompson's web based tool in 2010. This paper will present a history of the development of New Zealand rainfall frequency analysis methods, and the details of the latest method, so that comparisons may in future be made with the development of Korean methods. One of the main findings in the development of methods was new knowledge on the distribution of New Zealand rainfall extremes. The High Intensity Rainfall Design System (HIRDS.V3) method (Thompson, 2011) is based upon a regional rainfall frequency analysis with the following assumptions: $\bullet$ An "index flood" rainfall regional frequency method, using the median annual maximum rainfall as the indexing variable. $\bullet$ A regional dimensionless growth curve based on the Generalised Extreme Value (GEV), and using goodness of fit test for the GEV, Gumbel (EV1), and Generalised Logistic (GLO) distributions. $\bullet$ Mapping of median annual maximum rainfall and parameters of the regional growth curves, using thin-plate smoothing splines, a $2km\times2km$ grid, L moments statistics, 10 durations from 10 minutes to 72 hours, and a maximum Average Recurrence Interval of 100 years.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.197-210
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• 1999

본 연구는 추계학적 과정을 고려함으로써 연유출의 핵심적 통계치를 한발 확률 분포에 관련된 통계치로 유도하는데 사용하여 재현 기간과 물 수요의 다양한 조합에 대하여 한발 기간과 누가부족유출량을 산정함으로써 한발의 심각성을 검토하였다. 초기 단계에선는 기록기간, 기록의 질을 특정 기준에 적합한 것으로 판정된 우리 나라의 하천 관측 기록의 분석을 실시하고 분석에 의하여 선택된 하천의 연속 한발에 대한 추계학적 형태를 정의하는데 필요한 연유량을 결정하였다. 앞의 연구 결과를 사용하여 연속 이론을 적용함으로써 실제 또는 추정된 연유량 통계치를 최대 한발 사상의 확률 분포와 연관시켰다. 이 결과로 계측 지점에서의 한발 사상에 재현 기간을 부여할 수 있었으며 한발 기록의 확률 평가가 가능하였다.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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• pp.695-698
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• 2008

기후변화와 지구온난화현상은 지구 전체에 걸쳐 분명하게 나타나고 있으며 그에 따라 발생할 수 있는 수문 변화에 대한 연구가 다양하게 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 수문 변동 분석을 위하여 SWAT 모형을 이용하였으며 금강 상류유역에 적용하였다. 모형의 보정은 1982-1995년의 월평균 하천유량을 이용하였고 1996-2005년의 자료를 이용하여 검증하였다. 기후변화에 따른 수문 변동을 정량적으로 분석하기 위하여 1988-2002년을 기준시나리오 기간으로 설정하였으며 이산화탄소 농도, 기온, 강수의 변화에 따른 총 6개의 시나리오를 구성하였다. 시나리오 $1\sim6$은 수문 변화의 민감도를 나타내는 시나리오로 배증 이산화탄소를 반영하는 시나리오는 평균 11%의 하천유량 증가를 예측하였고, -42, -17, 17, 42%의 강수량 변화에 따라서는 -55, -24, 26, 65%의 하천유량 증감이 예측되었다.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.61-68
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• 1993

Since November 1990, the observations of carbon dioxide$(CO_2)$ levels have been carried out at Tae-ahn Peninsula(TAP) in Korea. Analysis on atmospheric data obtained in the period from November 1990 to August 1992 is carried out and the results are included in this study. It is observed that variations of monthly average level on $CO_2$ are in the range of 315.72 $\sim$ 365.37ppm(amplitude 17.65ppm). The seasonal variation is large with a maximum occurring in March-April and with a minimum in July-August. A comparison of TAP data is made with data obtained at Ryori in Japan for 1991. The annual average value of TAP is 1.79ppm higher than that of Ryori. It is also found that in summer the minimum level of $CO_2$ at TAP is almost same as the $CO_2$ level occurring at Quinghai Province in China and at Ulaan Uul in Mongolia. Albeit, a maximum concentration of $CO_2$ at TAP is slightly higher than that of the same gas observed at other sites in spring. We interpret that TAP is generally under the influence of airflows coming from China. According to analysis of trajectories and airflows, we find the high values of $CO_2$ when an air flow is originated mainly from China and when an airflow is both of local(Korea) and of China origins. In contrast, when an airflow of maritime origin arrives, a low value of the atmospheric constituent is observed at TAP.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.833-842
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• 2012

In this study Window interface to Hydrological Simulation Program-FORTRAN (HSPF) developed by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) was applied to the upstream of Namgang watershed to estimate its applicability for estimating Delivery Ratio (DR) of water pollutants for Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL). BASINS/HSPF which is selected in this study, is found to be appropriate for simulation of daily flow and water quality in target basins. DR was estimated utilizing discharge loads of unobserved sub-basin and delivery load of unobserved locations obtained not by actual evaluation but by simulation through validation and verification. Annual average DR of BOD, TN and TP were 0.97 ~ 1.50, 2.23 ~ 3.21, and 0.81 ~ 1.09 respectively. Net DR of dependent basins excluding influence of upstream basin was 1.50 ~ 1.70, 0.55 ~ 0.69, and 0.24 ~ 0.31, all of which are lower than those of independent basins area. Utilizing the model selected by this research, DR and Net DR of unobserved basins will be estimated, which will help determine priorities in management of basin areas.