• 제목/요약/키워드: annual distribution

검색결과 1,317건 처리시간 0.034초

Expected Overtopping P개bability Considering Real Tide Occurrence

  • Kweonl, Hyuck-Min;Lee, Young-Yeol;Oh, Young-Min
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.479-483
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    • 2004
  • A new calculation method of expected overtopping probability of rubble mound breakwater considering real tide occurrence has been proposed. A calculation method of expected overtopping probability of rubble mound breakwater was proposed by Kweon and Suh (2003). In their calculation, the fluctuation of tidal elevation was expressed by the sinusoidal change that yields the uniform distribution of occurrence frequency. However, the realistic distribution of tidal elevation should influence on the overtopping chance. In this study, the occurrence frequency of tidal elevation obtained from the real sea is included. The tidal elevation used in this study is collected from the east coastal part of Korean peninsular. Analyzing the annual data of the tidal fluctuation measured hourly during 355 days, the distribution of occurrence frequency is formulated utilizing by the normal distribution with one peak. Among the calculation procedures of annual maximum wave height, wave height-period joint distribution, wave run-up height and occurrence frequency of tide, only the annual maximum wave height is again chosen randomly from normal distribution to consider the uncertainty. The others are treated by utilizing the distribution function or relationship itself, It is found that the inclusion of the variability of tidal elevation has great influence on the computation of the expected overtopping probability of rubble mound breakwater. The bigger standard deviation of occurrence frequency is, the lower the overtopping probability of rubble mound breakwater is.

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Analysis on the evolution of water resources situation in Qiandao Lake Basin from 1960 to 2020

  • DU Junkai;Qiu Yaqin
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.27-27
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    • 2023
  • To analyze the evolution of water resources in Qiandao Lake Basin under the condition of climate change, a WEP-L distributed hydrological model was established to simulate the water cycle process in the basin during 1960-2020. The Mann-Kendall non-parametric test method and Hurst index method were used to analyze the inter-annual variation and annual distribution characteristics of the total water resources in the basin. The multi-scale temporal and spatial distribution and evolution trend of water resources in Qiandao Lake Basin were evaluated. The results show that: (1) The WEP-L model has good simulation results in the Qiandao Lake basin, and the Nash coefficient rate is above 0.83 in the periodic period and above 0.85 in the verification period. (2) The water yield coefficient of the whole basin ranges from 0.436 to 0.630. The annual average total water resource is 12.25 billion m3, equivalent to 1176.4mm of water depth. The annual distribution process shows a unimodal structure, and the water depth of each sub-basin ranges from 742 mm to 1266 mm, and the spatial distribution is higher in the west and lower in the east. (3) The annual water resources series in the basin showed an insignificant upward trend, and the Hurst index was 0.86, indicating a continuous upward trend. From the perspective of monthly water resources, January and February increased significantly, the other months were not significant changes.

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강우강도 최악월 분포와 년 분포간의 상관관계 분석 (Statistical Relation between Worst Month and Annual Distribution for Rainfall Rate)

  • 이주환;최용석김재명
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 1998년도 추계종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.203-206
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    • 1998
  • Since it has been very difficult to collect Korean rain data for winter season, e.g. from November to March, it would be very useful to design satellite communication links if there is a method to extract annual distribution from rain data collected for a specific month. This paper presents a conversion method to annual rainfall rate distribution from rain data for worst month of a year, and illustrates some analysis of the conversion results.

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서울시역 한강수계의 합성세제 분해세균의 분포 (The distribution and annual variation of detergent-degrading bacteria in the Han river downstream)

  • 배경숙;이혜주;하영칠;홍순우
    • 미생물학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 1982
  • The distribution and annual variation of detergent-degrading bacteria which were isolated from the Han River downstream running through the center of Seoul area were studied. The concentration of dissolved detergent was the lowest, 2.16 ppm at site 1 and it was gradually increased to downstream, the highest, 2.67 ppm at site 4. Population density of detergent degrading bacteria was about $10^2{\sim}10^3 cells/ml$. The density of LAS degrading bacteria was 1.1 - 1.8 times larger than that of SDBS-degrading bacteria. In annual variation the lowest density was appeared on January and the highest on July. In seasonal distribution of LAS-degrading bacteria, annual dominant group was genus Pseudomonas. There were few except genus Pseudomonas in winter and the subdomiannt group in spring and summer was genus Aeromonas and Enterobacteriaceae respectively. In autumn genus Pseudomonas, Aeromonas and Enterobacteriaceae were equally distributed. In SDBS-degrading bacteria, the annual dominant group was also genus Pseudomonas.

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베타분포를 이용한 서울 지점 연 최대치 독립 호우사상의 대표 시간분포 특성 분석 (Analysis on the Characteristics about Representative Temporal-distribution of Rainfall in the Annual Maximum Independent Rainfall Events at Seoul using Beta Distribution)

  • 전창현;유철상
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.361-372
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 1961~2010년 사이의 서울 지점 연 최대치 독립 호우사상들을 베타분포로 분석하여 서울지점의 대표 호우사상을 결정하였다. 구체적으로 살펴보면, 먼저, 첨두강우량을 기준으로 연최대치 호우사상들을 상위 50%와 하위 50%로 구분한다. 각각의 경우에 대해 첨두강우량의 평균을 지나는 베타분포를 유도한다. 마지막으로, 유도된 두 베타분포의 산술평균을 우량주상도로 나타내어 대표 호우사상을 결정한다. 이렇게 유도된 대표 호우사상은 실제 호우사상과 유사한 모양을 갖는 것으로 확인되었으며, 특히 Huff 분포에 비해 큰 첨두 강우량을 갖는 것으로 확인되었다. 여러 강우시간분포 모형들과 비교해 본 결과 Keifer & Chu 모형이 본 연구의 결과와 가장 유사한 것으로 나타났다.

확률분포에 의한 지속기간 및 빈도별 가뭄우량 추정 (Estimation of Drought Rainfall According to Consecutive Duration and Return Period Using Probability Distribution)

  • 이순혁;맹승진;류경식
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.1103-1106
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    • 2004
  • The objective of this study is to induce the design drought rainfall by the methodology of L-moment including testing homogeneity, independence and outlier of the data of annual minimum monthly rainfall in 57 rainfall stations in Korea in terms of consecutive duration for 1, 2, 4, 6, 9 and 12 months. To select appropriate distribution of the data for annual minimum monthy rainfall by rainfall station, the distribution of generalized extreme value (GEV), generalized logistic (GLO) as well as that of generalized pareto (GPA) are applied and the appropriateness of the applied GEV, GLO, and GPA distribution is judged by L-moment ratio diagram and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. As for the annual minimum monthly rainfall measured by rainfall station and that stimulated by Monte Carlo techniques, the parameters of the appropriately selected GEV and GPA distributions are calculated by the methodology of L-moment and the design drought rainfall is induced. Through the comparative analysis of design drought rainfall induced by GEV and GPA distribution by rainfall station, the optimal design drought rainfall by rainfall station is provided.

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An alternative approach to extreme value analysis for design purposes

  • Bardsley, Earl
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.201-201
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    • 2016
  • The asymptotic extreme value distributions of maxima are a natural choice when designing against future extreme events like flood peaks or wave heights, given a stationary time series. The generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) is often utilised in this context because it is seen as a convenient single expression for extreme event analysis. However, the GEV has a drawback because the location of the distribution bound relative to the data is a discontinuous function of the GEV shape parameter. That is, for annual maxima approximated by the Gumbel distribution, the data is also consistent with a GEV distribution with an upper bound (no lower bound) or a GEV distribution with a lower bound (no upper bound). A more consistent single extreme value expression for design purposes is proposed as the Weibull distribution of smallest extremes, as applied to transformed annual maxima. The Weibull distribution limit holds here for sufficiently large sample sizes, irrespective of the extreme value domain of attraction applicable to the untransformed maxima. The Gumbel, Type 2, and Type 3 extreme value distributions thus become redundant, together with the GEV, because in reality there is only a single asymptotic extreme value distribution required for design purposes - the Weibull distribution of minima as applied to transformed maxima. An illustrative synthetic example is given showing transformed maxima from the normal distribution approaching the Weibull limit much faster than the untransformed sample maxima approach the normal distribution Gumbel limit. Some New Zealand examples are given with the Weibull distribution being applied to reciprocal transformations of annual flood maxima, where the untransformed maxima follow apparently different extreme value distributions.

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연초과치 계열의 홍수빈도 분석에 관한 연구 -금강유역을 중심으로- (Study on the flood frequency analysis for the annual exceedance series -Centering along the Geum River basin-)

  • 박영근;이순혁
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 1982
  • This study was attempted to find best fitted distribution and the equations for probable maximum flow with the evaluation of parameters by the method of moment for the rat- ional design of hydraulic structures in the annual exceedance series. Six subwatersheds were selected as studying basins along Geum River basin. The results obtained through this study were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1. Fitted probability distribution was showed in the order of Three Parameter Lognorm al, Type 1 Extremal, Exponential, Pearson Type III, and Log Pearson Type I distribu- tion as the results of x$^2$ goodness of fit test. 2. Kolmogorov-Smirnov test showed in the order of Three Parameter Lognormal, Exp- onential' Pearson Type III, Log Pearson Type III and Type 1 Extremal distribution for the fitted probability distribution. 3. It can be concluded that Three parameter Lognormal distribution is a best fitted one among some other distributions out of respect for each both tests. An Exponential distribution was proposed as a suitable one by Chow, V.T. showeci lower fittness than that of Three Parameter Lognormal in Geum River basin. 5. Probable flood flow equations followins the return periods for each station were obt- ained by Three Parameter Lognormal distribution. 6. It is urgently essential that best fitted probability distribution should be established for the annual exceedance series in the main river systems of Korea.

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년유출량의 적정확률 분포형에 관한 연구 -낙동강 유역을 중심으로- (A Study of Probability Functions of Best Fit to Distribution of Annual Runoff -on the Nakdong River Basin-)

  • 조규상;이순탁
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.107-111
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    • 1974
  • Annual runoff in the Nakdong river basin has been analyzed to find the probability functions of best fit to distribution of historical annual runoff. The results obtained are as follows; (1) Log-normal 3-parameter disrtibution is believed as the probability function of best fit to historical distribution (2) Log-normal 3-parameter disrtibution is believed as the best fit probability function among Log-normal dist-ributions. (3) In the test of goodness of fit, $x^2-test$ shows that probability of $x^2-valus$ in Log-normal 3-parameter distribution is nearly more than 90%. But in the Simirnov-Kolmogorov test, hypotheses for the probability distributions cannot be rejected at significance level 5% & 1%. (4) Among 7 gauging stations, Dongchon & Koryung-Bridge's records show lower fitness to the theoretical probability functions than other 5 gauging station's

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국내(國內) 패션기업(企業)의 사회지향적(社會指向的) 마케팅 실천(實踐)에 관한 연구(硏究) (A Study on the Practice of Social Marketing in Domestic Fashion Business)

  • 권미정;이계숙;박숙현
    • 패션비즈니스
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the practice d social marketing of fashion business in Korea. A questionnaire was designed by the researcher and consisted of items of 30 items of social marketing practice in fashion business. Responsers are administrators and merchandisers who work in fashion business. Data were analyged using SPSS by frequency, mean, standard deviation, $x^2$-test, ANOVA and Duncan's multiple range test. The results of this study were as follows : 1. In decision-making method of social marketing, degrees of practice were shown comparatively high. And, three practice factors (consumerism, humanism, and environmentalism) showed indifference in six business characteristics (store type, staff number, annual budget, annual education method, education frequency, and the location). 2. In feedforward method of social marketing, degrees of practice were shown comparatively high. And, two practice factors (business strategy, and product strategy) showed indifference in seven business characteristics (date of establishment, store type, staff number, annual budget, education method, annual education frequency, and the location). 3. In administrative method of social marketing, degrees d practice were shown comparatively high. And, four practice factors (product development, price decision, distribution management, and advertisement and promotion) showed indifference in eight business characteristics (date d establishment, store type, staff number, annual budget, education method, annual education frequency, the location, and distribution structure). 4. In total system method of social marketing, degrees of practice were shown comparatively high. And, two practice factors (marketing planning, and self-audits system) showed indifference in six business characteristics (business size, store type, annual budget, education method, annual education frequency, and distribution structure). The present findings provide that social marketing of fashion business in korea has been practiced comparatively high.