• Title/Summary/Keyword: and system dynamics

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A Study on the Dynamics of the Local Government Finance in Accordance with the Aging Population (고령화에 따른 지방재정의 동태성 분석)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.5-31
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    • 2012
  • This paper aims at investigating the dynamics between aging population and local finance. In recent years, the aging rate has been accelerating the pace. The trend implies that Korea is moving towards the aging society, presumably, with unprecedented speed in the world. Aging society's biggest problems are centered around the explosive growth of the financial needs. In particular, these problems are apt to appear more seriously in local governments, as most of them are confronted with high level of aging population and poor financial bases. Firstly, it analyzes how the population structure in the local government impacts local finance, income and expenditure. Based upon in-depth literature reviews, this study examines variables related to aging population and local fiance. Secondly, it focuses on a series of positive and negative feedback loops which would reveal the essence of the mutual interaction structure between aging population and local governments' fiscal behaviors.

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Electromechanical coupled nonlinear dynamics of euler beam rails for electromagnetic railgun

  • Xu, Lizhong;Wu, Dewen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.213-224
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    • 2017
  • The electromagnetic field can cause an essential change of the dynamic behavior of the railgun. The evaluation of the dynamics performance of railgun is a mandatory task. Here, a nonlinear electromagnetic force equation of the railgun is given in which the clearance, the thickness and the width of the rail are considered. Based on it, the nonlinear electromechanical coupled dynamics equations of Euler beam rails for the railgun are proposed. Using the equations, the nonlinear free vibration frequency of the railgun is investigated and the effects of the system parameters on the frequency are analyzed. The nonlinear forced responses of the rail to the electromagnetic excitation are investigated as well. The results show that as the nonlinearity of the railgun system is considered, the vibration frequencies of the railgun system increase; as the current in the rail increases, the difference between the natural frequencies and the nonlinear vibration frequencies increases significantly; the nonlinearity of the railgun system is more obvious for smaller distance between the two rails, smaller rail thickness, and smaller stiffness of the elastic foundation; the unstable dynamics state of the rail system occurs when the armature runs to the exit of the railgun. The results are useful for design and application of the railgun system.

System Dynamics Approaches on Green Car Diffusion Strategies and the Causal Diagram Analysis (친환경차 확산전략에 대한 시스템다이내믹스 접근과 인과지도 분석)

  • Park, Kyungbae
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.33-55
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    • 2012
  • The research is to identify important diffusion factors and their effects on green car diffusion process using system dynamics perspectives and a causal-loop analysis. Through a deep review on previous research, we have found the important factors of green car diffusion process. Price, driving range, network effect, recharge system, fuel cost had important facilitation on consumer attraction and green car diffusion. Based on the review, we have constructed a causal loop diagram explaining hybrid car diffusion process. We have found 3 important reinforcing loops in the causal loop diagram. Loop for learning & economies of scale(supply side), loop for network effect(consumer side), and loop for battery development(technology side) had most significant roles in the whole diffusion process. Through a deliberate analysis on the 3 causal loops, we have found meaningful results. First, there seems to exist a critical mass in the diffusion. Second, of the 3 loops, the battery technology had most significant role. Third, not consumer installed base but sales must be a standard to decide whether the critical mass is achieved or not. Based on these findings, several meaningful implications are suggested for the government and corporations related to the green car industries.

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A Study on the Application of System dynamics for Market Strategy : In The Local Government Server Market (시장전략 수립을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스의 적용)

  • 박상현;연승준;김상욱
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.29-48
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    • 2002
  • Most of companies have analyzed markets continually and founded market strategies based on these analyses to gain competitive advantage. But sometimes some mistaken market analyses make the strategic decision-making of companies bring unexpected results. This because many companies just research or consider only the present condition, so they can't reflect dynamic change and the delayed feedback effect and then found the market strategy in the short-term angle rather than analyze the structural features of market on the whole. For that reason, this paper will describe how effective system thinking and system dynamics are as they found strategy of company for solving the problems and trying to find better alternative proposal by explaining process of founding market strategy with a casual loop diagram and a simulation model in the local government server market.

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A Study on Mechanisms of Trucking Industry and Prerequisites to Solve its Problems (화물자동차 운송시장의 메커니즘과 문제해결을 위한 선결과제 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Soo;Choi, Hyung-Rim;Hong, Soon-Goo;Jung, Jae-Un;Lee, Jin-Wook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.5-26
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    • 2010
  • To revitalize the trucking market, many studies are being done but it still has a lot of problems such as imbalance between supply and demand, poor profit structure of truck owners, ect. Therefore, it aims to study what kinds of prerequisite are needed to solve these problems through analyzing system structure and mechanism of the market. To achieve it, System Dynamics methodology, appropriate to make a simulation model and analyze dynamics of the system, is utilized. To obtain an empirical research point of view, time series data related on trucking market-provided by The Korea Transport Institute-are used. In addition, interview with a local representative logistics company and a ICD(Inland Container Depot) operation company is performed to find out technical and functional supporting factors to solve the existing problems in the market.

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Resource Demand/Supply and Price Forecasting -A Case of Nickel- (자원 수급 및 가격 예측 -니켈 사례를 중심으로-)

  • Jung, Jae-Heon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.125-141
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    • 2008
  • It is very difficult to predict future demand/supply, price for resources with acceptable accuracy using regression analysis. We try to use system dynamics to forecast the demand/supply and price for nickel. Nickel is very expensive mineral resource used for stainless production or other industrial production like battery, alloy making. Recent nickel price trend showed non-linear pattern and we anticipated the system dynamic method will catch this non-linear pattern better than the regression analysis. Our model has been calibrated for the past 6 year quarterly data (2002-2007) and tested for next 5 year quarterly data(2008-2012). The results were acceptable and showed higher accuracy than the results obtained from the regression analysis. And we ran the simulations for scenarios made by possible future changes in demand or supply related variables. This simulations implied some meaningful price change patterns.

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SD 기법을 활용한 컨테이너 터미널 경쟁력 강화 모델 개발

  • Choe, Hyeong-Rim;Park, Byeong-Ju;Yu, Dong-Ho;Gang, Mu-Hong;Yun, Su-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.93-105
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    • 2006
  • A container terminal should concentrate on efficient terminal operation in the long view and analyze an effect through introduction of hi-technology, automated equipments and intelligent information system, when they want to improve their reliability and competitive power in intense global competition. To do this, first this study finds out factors which affect competitive power of a container terminal, and relation between them. And then we used System Dynamics method to analyze an effect according to a value fluctuation of the factors in the long term.

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Designing Test Methods for IT-Enabled Energy Storage System to Evaluate Energy Dynamics

  • Kim, Young Gon;Kim, Dong Hoon;Lee, Eun-Kyu
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.1487-1495
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    • 2017
  • With increasing interests in renewables, more consumers are installing an energy storage system (ESS) in their backyards, and thus, the ESS will play a critical role in the emerging smart grid. Due to mechanical properties, however its operational dynamics must be well understood before connecting the ESS to the smart grid (and eventually to an IT system). To this end, we investigate charging and discharging processes in detail. This paper, then, proposes methods for four type tests (state of charge test, conversion efficiency test, response time test, and ramp rate test) that can assess the dynamics of the ESS. The proposed methods can capture accurate delay values of mechanical processes in the ESS, and it is expected for those values to help design real-time communication systems in the smart grid involving the ESS.

Evaluation of Urban Growth Management Policy using Urban Dynamics Model (도시동태모형을 이용한 도시성장관리정책의 평가)

  • 문태훈
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.5-27
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    • 2002
  • This paper evaluate and compare effectiveness of urban growth management measures in Korea using system dynamics model. Simple urban dynamics model was used to compare urban growth management measures. Since the late 1960s, Korean government has been implementing various urban growth management measures without much success. In the 1960s, factories, universities, and public agencies were strongly encouraged to move out to local areas. During the 1970s, regulations on greenbelt area was adopted to prevent urban sprawl. Besides, regulations to prevent location of population inducing facilities, and promoting dislocation of those facilities were implemented simultaneously. During the 1990, regulations on total number of factories in the metropolitan area, development fees were adopted. These various method of urban management were compared. Simulation results shows that promoting decentralization of population, preventing population immigration, expanding greenbelt area are effectiveness ones compared to controlling total number of population inducing facilities, and preventing construction of new industries. Some implications of the findings were discussed.

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Integrated dynamics modeling for supercavitating vehicle systems

  • Kim, Seonhong;Kim, Nakwan
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.346-363
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    • 2015
  • We have performed integrated dynamics modeling for a supercavitating vehicle. A 6-DOF equation of motion was constructed by defining the forces and moments acting on the supercavitating body surface that contacted water. The wetted area was obtained by calculating the cavity size and axis. Cavity dynamics were determined to obtain the cavity profile for calculating the wetted area. Subsequently, the forces and moments acting on each wetted part-the cavitator, fins, and vehicle body-were obtained by physical modeling. The planing force-the interaction force between the vehicle transom and cavity wall-was calculated using the apparent mass of the immersed vehicle transom. We integrated each model and constructed an equation of motion for the supercavitating system. We performed numerical simulations using the integrated dynamics model to analyze the characteristics of the supercavitating system and validate the modeling completeness. Our research enables the design of high-quality controllers and optimal supercavitating systems.