• Asian Journal of Business Environment
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.23-28
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• 2019

Purpose - With rapid population aging in Korea, changes in the population structure will result in a rise in the fiscal burden. This paper investigates the effects of population aging on fiscal spending based on Korea's province data and country panel data from the OECD. Research design, data, and methodology - We use province-level fiscal data from Local Finance Integrated Open System and the Korean Statistical Information Service and also collect country panel data from the OECD. To investigate the relationship between population aging and fiscal expenditures, our analysis uses the fixed effects model. Results - The empirical analysis based on Korean local finance and country panel data show that population aging has a positive impact on social welfare expenditures and it also has a positive impact on spending related to children and the elderly, implying that population aging may lead to an increase in fiscal spending via an increase in social welfare expenditures and spending related to children and the elderly. Conclusion - These empirical results suggest that countries like Korea that expect to experience rapid population aging need to pay more attention to prepare for the expected increase in age-related spending in the near future.

• 한국지리정보학회지
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.39-53
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• 2014

우리나라의 인구 고령화 현상은 매우 빠르게 진행되고 있으며 농촌지역의 인구 고령화가 도시지역보다 더욱 빠르게 진행되고 있다. 그러나 지금까지 인구 고령화에 관련한 정책이나 연구들은 농촌지역보다 주로 도시지역에 초점을 두고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 농촌지역의 고령화 문제에 대한 심각성을 일깨우고, 나아가 지역 맞춤형 인구 고령화 정책을 수립하기 위한 기초정보를 제공한다. 이를 위해 농촌지역의 인구 고령화 수준을 미시적으로 제시하고 인구 고령화 현상의 공간적 확산 패턴을 분석하였다. 분석 결과 첫째, 읍면 단위의 농촌지역에 따라 인구 고령화 수준과 공간적 확산 패턴이 각각 다르게 분석되었다. 둘째, 고령화의 시공간적 확산 측면에서 인구 고령화 지수가 높으면서 공간적으로 집중되어 있는 지역(High-High, hot spot 지역)과 지수가 낮으면서 집중되어 있는 지역(Low-Low, cold spot 지역)은 뚜렷하게 구분되었다. 이상의 분석결과를 통해, 본 연구는 지역 맞춤형 인구 고령화 정책, 특히 농촌지역의 인구 고령화 정책을 수립하는데 기여하고자 한다.

• KIEAE Journal
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.5-14
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• 2017

Purpose: In korea, Aging in Place is underway as an alternative to elderly housing for the aging population. Currently, research is being actively conducted mainly for the baby boomer generation and older generation. There is not much research on various ages that will be needed continuously in elderly housing and aging in place in the future. Therefore, this study suggests aging in place of urban elderly housing through analysis of urban preference of all ages. Method: An analysis of prior studies related to elderly housing, Field interpretation about Aging in Place, An analysis of the city preference through the survey of the elderly, Existing Literature Survey, Housing Survey, Future Population Projection, Survey of the elderly and confirmed the necessity of the Aging in Place of urban elderly housing. Result: As there are many generations living in the city and many people prefer it, studies on urban elderly housing should be actively conducted and should be studied as Aging in Place that can be used for all ages. In addition, it is necessary to study the advantages and disadvantages of using Aging in Place in the city through domestic or overseas case analysis.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.341-369
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• 2012

국내의 심각한 저출산 문제와 평균수명의 연장으로 인하여 고령화가 다른 어떤 나라들보다도 빠르게 진행되고 있기 때문에 고령화 문제를 심각하게 다루고 다양한 사회적 파급효과를 분석하여 대응할 필요가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 고령화가 가정용 전력수요에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 1965년~2010년까지 46년간의 연도별 시계열 자료를 분석한 연구 결과에 의하면 가정용 전력수요는 전력가격, 소득 수준, 고령화에 유의하게 반응하고 있는 것으로 분석되었고, 특히 고령화가 가정용 전력수요에 미치는 영향은 단기적으로 더욱 크게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 고령화가 전력수요에 복합적인 영향을 미치는데 단기적으로 수요를 감소시키는 요인이 더욱 강력하게 영향을 주는 반면, 수요를 증가시키는 요인은 장기적으로 서서히 나타나기 때문일 것이다. 그러나 장기적으로도 고령화는 가정용 전력수요를 감소시키는 것으로 나타났고, 정부가 예측한 속도로 고령화가 진행될 경우 가정용 전력수요는 연간 3%보다 낮은 수준으로 증가할 것으로 예상된다.

• 농촌계획
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.69-78
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• 2012

Korean population has been rapidly aging. Most of people regard the aging population as future crisis due to the rate of change and agree to prepare for a soft-landing on aging society in South Korea. Particularly, the aging population growth in rural areas is much faster than urban areas. Also rural areas relatively have poorer social and economic conditions so the countermeasures for population aging considering related social and economic indices are required. Moreover, each rural region has the different preparedness level for rural aging based on regional socio-economic characteristics. In this study, we analyzed correlations of the rural aging rate and local characteristics and developed an evaluation index to show the regional preparedness status for rural aging. To test the applicability of developed indicators, we applied them to 161 rural regions and assessed regional preparedness level for rural aging. This study would provide basic data for establishing policies for rural aging.

• 농촌계획
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.139-146
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• 2016

Aging phenomenon is an important issue in Korea national policy. This aging phenomenon depends on the social and environmental characteristics of regions. Also aging phenomenon and regional characteristics have spatial dependency. The purpose of this study is to discover the spatial changes in aging population rate and to find local factors of regional aging phenomenon considering spatial autocorrelation. For spatial analysis of ageing phenomenon, local Moran's I and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) were applied. As the results, the most significant changes of aging phenomenon appeared between 2000 and 2005, and most of hot-spot regions (aged regions) were distributed in Jullanam-do and Jullabuk-do. The results of GWR (R-square: 0.681) shows that total fertility rate, the number of doctor per 1,000 people and forest area rate have positive relation with aging population rate, but the number of private academy per 1,000 people has negative relation.

• 한국주거학회논문집
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.35-43
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• 2014

Korea is the most rapidly aging country in the OECD countries, becoming 'an aging society' in 2010, when over 12% of the population had reached the age 65 and beyond. Along with the population aging, problems of the elderly have become a social issue. Also, the elderly population in most farming villages is increasing due to the cityward concentration of younger generation and the rapid urbanization centered around the capital area. Yet no definite success in revitalization of these villages has been reported despite the acknowledgement of the problems arising from such phenomena. Therefore, by examining "marginal villages" (communities whose joint social activities are difficult to maintain as over 50% of the population is 65 years or older) in Japan, which at this point has entered "the ultra-aged society" before Korea, this study intends to compare and analyze the countermeasure plans for the population decrease in these villages. The case study has been done with the focus on the literary references published in Japan such as papers, various reports, statistics, newspapers, and journals.

• Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.119-124
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• 1999

Before considering health promotion programs carried out in Japan, I would like to explain a summary of today's health conditions of Japan for a while. Current major concern in public health world as well as political or economic world is an aging society. To say more precisely, it would be an aging society with relatively small children's population. Estimated total population is 126,166,000 in 1997. Among these, almost 10％ population loves in Tokyo Metropolitan Area. (omitted)

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.75-91
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• 2015

The price-volume in land by land categories is evaluated with dynamic approaches in the era of aging society This research tries to investigate in the respect of major factors such as real estate, macro-economics, and population that is simulated by land categories. The system dynamics approaches on price-volume in land are forecasted until 2020 using the data in the period of 2000-2014. In regard to methodologies, this research adopted system dynamics to evaluate the relationships between price-volume in land and aging society. The meaningful results have been found during the last over 10 year's analysis as the dynamic relations with major factors. Regarding land categories, this research tries to overcome former research limitations. As an implication from the price-volume in land, it confirmed that the multifaceted aspects show that system dynamics approach effectively simulated them by price-volume in land with the population of aging society.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.105-140
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• 2004

Korea is entering the class of aging population nations. This paper investigates the extent demographic factors and the aging population affect the saving rate, using an extended life-cycle/permanent-income hypothesis on saving. The results of the tests with Korean household survey data from 1977 to 2002 reveal that real saving rates increase when the duration of lifetime and per household real disposable income rise, and decrease when the growth rate of income and net worth-to-GDP ratio rises. The growth rate of per household real disposable income has negative effects, suggesting that households calculate their life cycle income in a forward looking manner. The elasticities with respect to a change in the lifetime horizon and the growth rate of per household income are 0.58 and -0.03, respectively. A one percent rise in the net worth to GDP ratio reduces the saving rate by 0.3 percent. A one percent rise in per household income increases it by 0.33 percent. The younger-age and the elder-age dependency ratios have insignificant effects on the household saving rate behavior. When Korean life expectancy rises, the private saving rate declines modestly and the government saving rate declines substantially. The economy's real net saving rate declines from 33 percent in 2002 to 30 percent by the year 2030.