• 제목/요약/키워드: age-based model

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Clustering-based identification for the prediction of splitting tensile strength of concrete

  • Tutmez, Bulent
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2009
  • Splitting tensile strength (STS) of high-performance concrete (HPC) is one of the important mechanical properties for structural design. This property is related to compressive strength (CS), water/binder (W/B) ratio and concrete age. This paper presents a clustering-based fuzzy model for the prediction of STS based on the CS and (W/B) at a fixed age (28 days). The data driven fuzzy model consists of three main steps: fuzzy clustering, inference system, and prediction. The system can be analyzed directly by the model from measured data. The performance evaluations showed that the fuzzy model is more accurate than the other prediction models concerned.

비례 수명 감소 모형을 사용한 절삭공구의 연마효과 및 경제적 수명 분석 (An Analysis of Grinding Effects and Economic Life of Cutting Tool with Proportional Age Reduction Model)

  • 오숭열;홍정완;이상천;이창훈
    • 산업공학
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.316-323
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    • 2006
  • In this study, based on Weibull proportional age reduction model and age replacement policy, we analyze economic life of cutting tool which allows re-grinding. Re-grinding task, usually for high-priced machining tools(e.g., broaching tool), is a kind of preventive maintenance activities to extend tool life at the completion of a lot production. The numerical results are also presented. Among the parameters of Weibull proportional age reduction model, the re-grinding effect parameter and Weibull shape parameter have a strong effect on economic tool life, and in the cost parameters, shortage cost is most sensitive. With further study on the parameter estimation of tool life process and cost function, this study can be expected to give more practical contribution to management of general machining tools.

The Effect of Horizontal Branch Stars on the Age-Dating of Simple Stellar Populations

  • Chung, Chul;Lee, Young-Wook;Yoon, Suk-Jin
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.81.2-81.2
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    • 2010
  • Based on Yonsei Evolutionary Population Synthesis (YEPS), we have investigated the effect of horizontal branch stars (HBs) on the age-dating of simple stellar populations (SSPs). A detailed comparison of YEPS SSP with H_beta of M31 globular clusters (GCs) reveals (1) that the age dating without HB prescription gives ~5 Gyr younger ages for metal-poor M31 GCs, and (2) the age dating with HB prescription does not need any age gap between metal-poor and metal-rich GCs. This result is parallel to the well-known discrepancy in ages derived from integrated Balmer strengths and isochrone fittings of Milky Way GCs (MWGCs). Without a synthetic blue HB model, we cannot explain strong Balmer indices of metal-poor and old MWGCs. Our results suggest that the SSP model with well calibrated HBs should be used for the age-dating of SSPs to avoid a serious underestimation of ages due to the strong Balmer indices.

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Thermal cracking analysis of concrete with cement hydration model and equivalent age method

  • Tian, Ye;Jin, Xianyu;Jin, Nanguo
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.271-289
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    • 2013
  • In this research, a developed microstructural model of cement particles was presented to describe the cement hydration procedure. To simplify the hydration process, the whole hydration was analyzed in a series of sub-steps. In each step, the hydration degree, as well as the microstructural size of the hydration cell, was calculated as a function of the radius of the unreacted cement particles. With the consideration of the water consumption and the reduction of the interfacial area between water and hydration products, the micro-level expressions of the cement hydration kinetics were established. Then the heat released and temperature history of the concrete was carried out with the hydration degree obtained from each sub-steps. The equivalent age method based on the Arrhenius law was introduced in this research. Based on the equivalent age method, a maturity model was applied to describe the evolution of the mechanical properties of the material during the hydration process. The finite element program ANSYS was used to analyze the temperature field in concrete structures. Then thermal stress field was calculated using the elasticity modulus obtained from code formulate. And the risk of thermal cracking was estimated by the comparison of thermal stress and concrete tensile strength.

폐경 여성에서 트리기반 머신러닝 모델로부터 골다공증 예측 (Predictive of Osteoporosis by Tree-based Machine Learning Model in Post-menopause Woman)

  • 이인자;이준호
    • 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
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    • 제43권6호
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    • pp.495-502
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the prevalence of osteoporosis was predicted based on 10 independent variables such as age, weight, and alcohol consumption and 4 tree-based machine-learning models, and the performance of each model was compared. Also the model with the highest performance was used to check the performance by clearing the independent variable, and Area Under Curve(ACU) was utilized to evaluate the performance of the model. The ACU for each model was Decision tree 0.663, Random forest 0.704, GBM 0.702, and XGBoost 0.710 and the importance of the variable was shown in the order of age, weight, and family history. As a result of using XGBoost, the highest performance model and clearing independent variables, the ACU shows the best performance of 0.750 with 7 independent variables. This data suggests that this method be applied to predict osteoporosis, but also other various diseases. In addition, it is expected to be used as basic data for big data research in the health care field.

경영컨설팅이 기업의 경영성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 컨설팅 요소의 탄력성 분석과 기업의 업력 기준 집단분석 (A Study on the Effects of Business Consulting on the Business Performance: Analysis of Elasticity of Consulting Factors and a Group Analysis Based on Firm Age)

  • 이유환;서영욱
    • 지식경영연구
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.39-58
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    • 2018
  • This study explores the effects of business consulting on the business performance of firms by using a unique survey for various industry sectors in Korea. We attempt to build a consulting model that shows the structural relationship between consulting factors and consulting performance. Moreover, through the consulting model, we conduct the analysis of elasticity of consulting factors and the group analysis based on firm age. First, the findings show that all consulting factor has a positive impact on the consulting performance, but in the results of factor elasticity, they have a somewhat different impact. Second, while the support of CEOs is relatively more elastic than other consulting factors with respect to the completion of consulting projects, the institutional condition for consulting is relatively more elastic than other factors with respect to the contribution to business performance. Third, since the high-firm age group has a greater capacity to absorb and utilize external knowledge and resource, the consultant competency and institutional conditions have a more impact on the consulting performance than the low-firm age group. On the other hand, in the low-firm age group, the result indicates that the support of CEOs has a more impact in the consulting performance than the high-firm age group. According to the total effect, the support of CEOs in the entire model has the highest impact on the consulting performance. Thus, it is probably difficult to achieve the improvement of business performance through consulting as well as the successful consulting projects without the CEOs' commitment and awareness about the consulting projects.

초기재령 콘크리트의 응결특성 모델링 (Modeling of the Setting Characteristics of Early-age Concrete)

  • 조호진;송하원;변근주
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2002년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.391-396
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    • 2002
  • The so called setting is defined as the onset of rigidity in fresh concrete. In the analysis of the early-age concrete behavior, we consider fresh concrete as a structural element immediately after mixing. But for the activation of real structural behavior of fresh concrete, it takes some time after the beginning of hydration reaction. So, the very early age deformations due to hydration heat and shrinkage which occur before the setting do not produce restraint stresses. In this paper, we propose a setting characteristic model based on the so called percolation theory. From the analysis using the model, the influence of curing temperature is investigated and analytical results are compared with experimental results. From the comparison, the validity of proposed model is verified. This model is also applied to evaluate stress development in a temperature-stress test machine (TSTM) specimen and then the effect of setting time on the stress development is discussed.

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정규화된 형상 모델을 이용한 뼈 나이 측정 방법 (A Bone Age Assessment Method Based on Normalized Shape Model)

  • 유주환;이종민;김회율
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2009
  • 뼈 나이 측정은 소아의 내분비계 관련 질병 진단을 위해 소아과에서 널리 사용되는 방법이다. 그러나 전문 인력이 부족하여 자동화된 측정 방법에 대한 꾸준한 요구가 있었다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 패턴 인식기법을 이용한 자동화된 뼈 나이 측정 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안하는 알고리즘은 X-ray 영상에서 손가락뼈의 각 부분을 자동으로 분류하는 과정과 분류된 뼈 영상으로부터 정규화된 형상 모델을 추출하는 과정, 그리고 정규화된 형상 모델로부터 뼈 나이를 측정하는 과정으로 구성된다. 제안하는 알고리즘은 능동 형상 모델(Active Shape Model: ASM)을 이용하여 나이 측정에 사용되는 특정값 추출의 정확도를 향상시켰으며, 뼈 나이 분류를 위해 사용된 Support Vector Machine(SVM)의 입력으로 정규화된 형상 모델로부터 얻어진 각 뼈의 크기와 비율을 특징값으로 사용하였다. 성능 평가를 위해서 한양대학교 부속병원에서 제공한 영상에 대해 전문가가 평가한 나이와 제안한 알고리즘을 이용하여 측정된 나이를 통계적으로 비교 분석하였다. 실험을 통하여 본 논문에서 제안한 특징값과 알고리즘으로 뼈 나이를 진단한 결과, 전문가에 의한 결과와 평균 0.679살의 오차 이내의 뛰어난 뼈 나이 측정 성능을 보였다.

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시스템다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 차급별 월간 자동차 수요 예측 모델 개발 (Development of a System Dynamics Model for Forecasting the Automobile Market)

  • 곽상만;김기찬;안수웅;장원혁;홍정석
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.79-104
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    • 2002
  • A system dynamics project is going on for forecasting automobile market in Korea. The project is made up of three stages, and the first stage has been wrapped up. As the first attempt, most efforts have been focused on the sound foundation rather than the exact forecast. The model consists of three sectors; the supply sector, the demand sector, and the population sector. The supply sector is a simple stock and flow diagrams representing the supply capacities of all automobile types. The major effort is made on the demand sector and the population sector. The demands are divided into three categories; replacement demands, new demands, and additional demands. The model applies “one car per person" concept, and assumes there will be no additional demands for a while. The replacement demands are calculated based on a simple stock and flow diagram. The new demands are calculated via Bass models; each bass model represents a diffusion for each age group. The population is divided into 101 age groups (age 0 to age 100). The model has been calibrated with past 10 year data (1990 - 1999), and tested for the next two years (2000-2001). The results ware acceptable, although a fine tuning is required. Now the second stage is going on, and most of efforts are made how to incorporate the economic and cultural factors.

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장래인구추계를 위한 출산력 가정치의 설정 (Development of Fertility Assumptions for the Future Population Projection)

  • 전광희
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.53-88
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구의 목적은 장래인구추계를 위하여 논리적이고 상대적으로 정확한 연령별 출산율의 가정치를 설정하는 것이다. 먼저 코호트별 출산순위별 연령별 출산율의 추정과 추계를 위하여 Coale-McNeil 모형을 일반화한 로그감마분포모형을 선택한다. 다음은 보정형의 연령별 출산율 모형을 재생산을 완료하지 않은 상대적으로 젊은 출생코호트를 포함하는 실적치 자료에 맞추기 위하여, 출산력 파라메터를 추정하는 방법을 설명한다. 본 연구는 일련의 출생코호트의 출생순위별 연령별 출산율을 역출하여, 장래의 특정연도 대하여 연령별 출산율을 추계한다. 가령, 2010년의 20세의 연령별 출산율은 1990년에 태어난 출생코호트의 20세에서의 연령별 출산율이고, 2010년의 21세의 연령별 출산율은 1989년에 태어난 출생코호트의 21세에서의 연령별 출산율에 해당한다. 결국 2010년에 태어난 코호트까지의 연령별 출산율의 추계치를 얻게 되면, 2055년도 까지의 기간별(연도별_령별 출산율에 대한 가정치를 설정할 수 있다. 본 연구의 출산력 가정치와 통계청의 2005년 장래인구 특별추계의 가정치 사이에 차이가 나는 것은 털 연구의 출산예측모형에서 혼인연령의 상승과 독신여성의 증가로 인한 출산력 저하의 최근 추세를 제대로 반영하였기 때문이라고 할 수 있으며, 이러한 점에서 본 연구의 출산력 가정치가 논리적이고 합리적이라고 주장할 수 있을 것이다. 그러나 장래인구추계와 관련하여, 출산력 가정치 설정을 위한 출산예측모형의 본질적 과제는 어떻게 기간효과(를 슬기롭게 다루느냐 하는 것이다. 코호트모형을 근간으로 하여, 최근의 실적치를 바탕으로 약간의 기간적 수정을 하는 것을 제외하고는 기간효과를 별도로 취급하기는 쉽지 않다.