• Title/Summary/Keyword: actuarial analysis

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A Comparison between Asia-Pacific Region Criteria and Entropy Model Criteria about Body Mass Index of Elderly Females Using Morbidity of Chronic Disease (만성질환 이환율을 이용한 여자노인의 체질량지수에 대한 아시아-태평양지역 기준과 Entropy모델 기준 비교)

  • Jeong, Gu-Beom;Park, Jin-Yong;Kwon, Se-Young;Park, Kyung-Ok;Park, Pil-Sook;Park, Mi-Yeon
    • Korean Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.490-498
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: This study was conducted to propose the need of re-establishing the criteria of the body weight classification in the elderly. We compared the Asia-Pacific Region Criteria (APR-C) with Entropy Model Criteria (ENT-C) using Morbidity rate of chronic diseases which correlates significantly with Body Mass Index (BMI). Methods: Subjects were 886 elderly female participating in the 2007-2009 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES). We compared APR-C with those of ENT-C using Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve and logistic regression analysis. Results: In the case of the morbidity of hypertension, the results were as follows: Where it was in the T-off point of APR-C, sensitivity was 67.5%, specificity was 43.1%, and Youden's index was 10.6. While in the cut-off point of ENT-C, it was 56.7%, 56.6%, and 13.3 respectively. In the case of the morbidity of diabetes, the results were as follows: In the cut-off point of APR-C, Youden's index was 14.2. While in the cut-off point of ENT-C, it was 17.2 respectively. The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) of the subjects who had more than 2 diseases among hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia was 0.615 (95% CI: 0.578-0.652). Compared to the normal group, the odds ratio of the hypertension group which will belong to the overweight or obesity was 1.79 (95% CI: 1.30-2.47) in the APR-C, and 2.04 (95% CI: 1.49-2.80) in the ENT-C (p < 0.001). Conclusions: We conclude that the optimal cut-off point of BMI to distinguish between normal weight and overweight was $24kg/m^2$ (ENT-C) rather than $23kg/m^2$ (APR-C).

Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Carcinoma of The Uterine Cervix : A Phase I/II Prospective Study (국소적으로 진행된 자궁경부암의 방사선치료와 복합 항암화학요법의 동시치료 결과)

  • Kang One Chul;Choi Eun Kyung;Chung Weon Kuu;Kim Jong Hoon;Chang Hyesook;Kim Yong Man;Kim Young Tak;Nam Joo Hyun;Mok Jung-Eun;Lee Moo-Song
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.311-323
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    • 1998
  • Purpose : Prospective, single arm, Phase I/II clinical trial was performed to assess the efficacy and toxicity of the concurrent chemotherapy and definitive radiotherapy (RT) in patients with previously untreated locally advanced carcinoma of the uterine cervix. Methods and Materials : From Mar 1992 to January 1997, a total of 73 patients with advanced cervical carcinoma were entered on the protocol but 5 patients were excluded in analysis because of patients' refusal of treatment. Their ages ranged from 31 to 77 years, median 58 years. The International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage distribution was as follows: IIB 46, IIIA 2, IIIB 15 and IVA 5. RT consisted of external beam irradiation to 4,140-5,040 cGy/23-28 fractions plus high dose rate intracavitary treatments to deliver a dose of 30-35 Gy to point A in 6-7 fractions. During the intracavitary treatments parametrial boost was delivered for point B dose of 60 Gy in stage IIB and 65 Gy in stage IIIB. Two cycles of concurrent 5-fluorouracil and cisplatin (FP) chemotherapy (5-fluorouracil 1,000 mg/$m^2$/day continuous infusion for 4 days, day 1-4, 29-32 and cisplatin 20 mg/$m^2$/day intravenous bolus for 3 days day 1-3, 29-31) administered starting on day 1 of RT. Results : The median follow-up was 24 months (range 4-68+). Sixty-four patients were evaluable for survival rate in this protocol: The 5-year actuarial and disease-free survival rate were 52$\%$ and 64$\%$, respectively. The 5-rear actuarial survival for stage IIB and III+IVA patients were 58$\%$ and 36$\%$, respectively The 5-year disease-free survival rate for stage IIB and III+IVA patients were 71$\%$ and 40$\%$, respectively. Of the 68 patients evaluated for patterns of failure, overall recurrence rate was 27.9$\%$ (19/68) : local failure in 5.9$\%$ (4/68), distant metastasis in 10.3$\%$ (7/68) and both in 11.8$\%$ (8/68). Of the 64 patients evaluated for response at one month after the completion of treatment the complete response rate was 78$\%$ (50/64). Concurrent chemoradiation appear to be a well-tolerated regimen but there were two treatment-related deaths. Conclusion : Concurrent chemotherapy of FP with high-dose definitive RT in locally advanced carcinoma of the uterine cervix is feasible and effective with acceptable toxicities. This chemoradiation regimen may offer a modest survival benefit for advanced stage. Further follow-up of these patients will evaluate the impact of this regimen on the long-term local control and their survival.

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Long-Term Outcomes and Risk factor Analysis after Pneumonectomy for the Sequelae of Pulmonary Tuberculosis (폐결핵의 후유증에 대한 전폐절제술의 장기 성적 및 위험인자 분석)

  • 김영태;김홍관;성숙환;김주현
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.35 no.7
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    • pp.535-541
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    • 2002
  • Background: The prevalence of pulmonary tuberculosis remains high in several areas of the world, and pneumonectomy is often necessary to treat the sequelae of the disease. We retrospectively analyzed the morbidities, mortalities, and long-term outcomes after pneumonectomy for the treatment of tuberculous sequelae. Material and Method: Between 1981 and 2001, 94 patients underwent either pneumonectomy or extrapleural pneumonectomy for the treatment of tuberculous sequelae. There were 44 males and 50 females. The mean age was 40(16~68) years. The pathology included destroyed lung in 80, main bronchus stenosis in 10, and both lesions in 4. Surgical procedures were pneumonectomy in 47, extrapleural pneumonectomy in 43, and completion pneumonectomy in 4. Results: One patient died postoperatively due to empyema. Twenty-three complications occurred in 20 patients; empyema in 15(including 7 bronchopleural fistulas), wound infection in 5, and others in 3. Univariate analysis revealed presence of empyema, extrapleural pneumonectomy, prolonged operation time, and old age as risk factors of postpneumonectomy empyema. In multivariate analysis, old age and low preoperative FEV1 were risk factors of empyema. Low preoperative FEV1 was the risk factor of bronchopleural fistula(BPF) in univariate analysis. Low preoperative FEV1, positive sputum AFB, and presence of aspergilloma were risk factors of BPF in multivariate analysis. There were twelve late deaths. Actuarial 5-and 10-year survival rates were 94$\pm$3% and 87$\pm$4%, respectively. Conclusion: Pneumonectomy could be performed with acceptable mortality and morbidity, and could achieve good long-term survival for the treatment of tuberculous sequelae. In patients with risk factors, special care is recommended to prevent postoperative empyema or bronchopleural fistula.

Risk Factors Analysis and Results of the Arterial Switch Operation for Transposition of the Great Arteries with Intact Ventricular Septum (심실중격결손을 동반하지 않은 대혈관전위증 환자에서 동맥 전환술의 결과 및 위험인자 분석에 관한 연구)

  • 김용진;오삼세;이정렬;노준량;서경필
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.108-118
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    • 1999
  • Background: To evaluate the risk factor and long-term result of arterial switch operation , a retrospective study was done. Material and Method: A retrospective analysis was done to evaluate the early and long-term results on 58 patients who underwent an arterial switch operation(ASO) for transposition of the great arteries(TGA) with intact ventricular septum, between January 1988 and December 1996. Beforesurgery, 36 patients(62.1%) underwent balloon atrial septostomy, 32 patients(51.7%) received PGE1 infusion, and preparatory banding of pulmonary artery was performed on 6 patients(mean LV/RV pressure ratio 0.53$\pm$0.11). Result: The age at operation ranged from 1 to 137 days(mean 24$\pm$26 days) and the weights ranged from 1.8 to 6.8 kg (mean 3.5$\pm$0.8 kg). There were 14 early deaths(24.1%), but of the last 24 patients operated on since 1994, there were only 2 early deaths(8.3%). In the risk factor analysis, the date of operation was the only risk factor for early death(p-value < 0.01). Eight of the 14 early deaths were due to acute myocardial failure(mainly inadequate coronary blood flow). The length of follow-up ranged from 2 months to 8 years, average of 36$\pm$27 months. The follow-up included sequential noninvasive evaluations and 21 catheterizations and angiographic studies performed 5 to 32 months postoperatively with particular attention to the great vessel and coronary anastomosis, ventricular function, valvular competence, and cardiac rhythm. There were 5 late deaths(11.4%), one of thesedeaths was related to the late coronary problems, two to aspiration, one to uncontrolled chronic mediastinitis, and one to progressive aortic insufficiency and heart failure. The most frequent postoperative hemodynamic abnormality was supravalvular stenosis and the degree of pulmonary or aortic obstruction had slowly progressed in some cases, however there were no children who had to undergo a reoperation for supravalvular pulmonary or aortic stenosis. Aortic regurgitation was identified in 9 patients, which was mild in 7 and moderate in 2 and had progressed in some cases. Two patients who had an unremarkable perioperative course were identified as having coronary artery obstructions. The other late survivors were in good condition, were in sinus rhythm, and had normal LV functions. Actuarial survival rate at 8 years was 68.8%. Conclusion: We concluded that anatomic correction will be established as the optimal approach to the TGA with intact ventricular septum, though further long-term evaluations are needed.

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Tertiary Cytoreduction for Recurrent Epithelial Ovarian Cancer: a Multicenter Study in Turkey

  • Arvas, Macit;Salihoglu, Yavuz;Sal, Veysel;Gungor, Tayfun;Sozen, Hamdullah;Kahramanoglu, Ilker;Topuz, Samet;Demirkiran, Fuat;Iyibozkurt, Cem;Bese, Tugan;Ozgu, Burcin Salman;Vatansever, Dogan;Tokgozoglu, Nedim;Berkman, Sinan;Turan, Hasan;Bengisu, Ergin;Sofiyeva, Nigar;Demiral, Irem;Meydanli, Mutlu
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1909-1915
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    • 2016
  • Background: The purpose of this study was to determine the benefit of tertiary cytoreductive surgery (TC) for secondary recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC), focusing on whether optimal cytoreduction has an impact on disease-free survival, and whether certain patient characteristics could identify ideal candidates for TC. Materials and Methods: Retrospective analysis of secondary recurrent EOC patients undergoing TC at three Turkish tertiary institutions from May 1997 to July 2014 was performed. All patients had previously received primary cytoreduction followed by intravenous platinum-based chemotherapy and secondary cytoreduction for first recurrence. Clinical and pathological data were obtained from the patients' medical records. Survival analysis was caried out using the Kaplan Meier method. Actuarial curves were compared by the two tailed Logrank test with a statistical significance level of 0.05. Results: Median age of the patients was 49.6 years (range, 30-67) and thirty-eight (72%) had stage III-IV disease at initial diagnosis. Twenty six (49%) had optimal and 27 (51%) suboptimal cytoreduction during tertiary debulking surgery. Optimal initial cytoreduction, time to first recurrence, optimal secondary cytoreduction, time interval between secondary cytoreduction and secondary recurrence, size of recurrence, disease status at last follow-up were found to be significant risk factors to predict optimal TC. Optimal cytoreduction in initial and tertiary surgery and serum CA-125 level prior to TC were independent prognostic factors on univariate analysis. Conclusions: Our results and a literature review clearly showed that maximal surgical effort should be made in TC, since patients undergoing optimal TC have a better survival. Thus, patients with secondary recurrent EOC in whom optimal cytoreduction can be achieved should be actively selected.

Analysis of Pulmonary Metastases according to a New Staging Proposal (새로운 병기 제안에 따른 전이성 폐암의 분석)

  • 강정한;백효채;이진구;정경영
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.34 no.8
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    • pp.615-620
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    • 2001
  • The new stage of metastatic lung cancer based upon resectability, disease-free interval, and the number of pulmonary metastases was proposed in 1998 by Ginsberg, et al. We evaluated the validity of the new staging proposal for pulmonary metastases through the analysis of experiences at Severance Hospital. Material and Method: The cases of 111 patients who underwent resection of metastatic lung cancer during the eleven-year period (1990-2000) were reviewed. Of these patients, 103(92.8%) underwent compete surgical resection. The primary tumor was carcinoma in 60 cases, sarcoma in 46, and others in 5. The disease-free interval(DFI) was 0 to 35 months in 79 cases adn more than 36 months in 32 cases. Single metastasis accounted for 53 cases and multiple lesions for 58 cases. Mean follow-up was 49 months. Result: The actuarial survival after complete metastasectomy was 48.2% at 3 years and 32.6% at 5 years; the corresponding values for incomplete resection were 21.9% at 3 years. The 3-year survival rate(3-YSR) for complete resction was 40.5% and 5-year survival rate(5-YSR) was 30.4% for patients with a DFI less than 36 months, the 3-YSR, 75.8% and 5-YSR, 39.0% for those with a DFI equal or more than 36 moths; 45.8% and 30.5% for single lesions, 50.0% and 34.4% for multiple lesions. The 3-YSR and 5-YSR were 58.5% and 43.8% for stage I patients, 54.0% and 37.4% for stage II, 38.2% and 27.9% for stage III and 21.9% for stage IV. Conclusion: The result of the analysis of new stage of pulmonary metastases showed that the survival rate was different according to stage and there was no statistical significance. We need more experiences and long-term follow up to determine the prognostic factor of metastatic lung cancer surgery.

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Adjuvant Postoperative Radiation Therapy for Carcinoma of the Uterine Cervix (자궁경부암의 수술 후 방사선치료)

  • Lee Kyung-Ja;Moon Hye Seong;Kim Seung Cheol;Kim Chong Il;Ahn Jung Ja
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2003
  • Purpose: This study was undertaken to evaluate the efficacy of postoperative radiotherapy, and to investigate the prognostic factors for FIGO stages IB-IIB cervical cancer patients who were treated with simple hysterectomy, or who had high-risk factors following radical hysterectomy and pelvic lymph node dissection. Materials and Methods: Between March 1986 and December 1998, 58 patients, with FIGO stages IB-IIB cervical cancer were included in this study. The indications for postoperative radiation therapy were based on the pathological findings, including lymph node metastasis, positive surgical margin, parametrial extension, lymphovascular invasion, invasion of more than half the cervical stroma, uterine extension and the incidental finding of cervix cancer fellowing simple hysterectomy. All patients received external pelvic radiotherapy, and 5 patients, received an additional intracavitary radiation therapy. The radiation dose from the external beam to the whole pelvis was $40\~50$ Gy. Vagina cuff Irradiation was peformed, after completion of the external beam irradiation, at a low-dose rate of Cs-137, with the total dose of $4488\~4932$ chy (median: 4500 chy) at 5 mm depth from the vagina surface. The median follow-up period was 44 months ($15\~108$ months). Results: The 5-yr actuarial local control rate, distant free survival and disease-free survival rate were $98\%,\;95\%\;and\;94\%$, respectively. A univariate analysis of the clinical and pathological parameters revealed that the clinical stage (p=0.0145), status of vaginal resection margin (p=0.0002) and parametrial extension (p=0.0001) affected the disease-free survival. From a multivariate analysis, only a parametrial extension independently influenced the disease-free survival. Five patients ($9\%$) experienced Grade 2 late treatment-related complications, such as radiation proctitis (1 patient), cystitis (3 patients) and lymphedema of the leg (1 patient). No patient had grade 3 or 4 complications. Conclusion: Our results indicate that postoperative radiation therapy can achieve good local control and survival rates for patients with stages IB-IIB cervical cancer, treated with a simple hysterectomy, as well as for those treated with a radical hysterectomy, and with unfavorable pathological findings. The prognostic factor for disease-free survival was invasion of the parametrium. The prognosic factor identified in this study for treatment failure can be used as a selection criterion for the combined treatment of radiation and che motherapy.

Local Control and Survival in Radiation Treatment of Locally Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (III 병기 비소세포성 폐암의 방사선 치료성적)

  • Song, Mi-Hee;Yong, Jin-Young;Oh, Won-Young;Yoo, Nam-Soo;Whang, In-Soon
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 1993
  • The retrospective analysis was performed on 37 patients with stage III non small cell lung cancer who received the radiotherapy from Feb. 1986 to Dec. 1990 at the Dept. of Radiation Oncology, National Medical Center. This analysis, with 29 patients $(78.4\%)$ having been followed from 10 to 60 months, was done to know the survival rate and significant prognostic factor. The actuarial 2,5-year survival rates were $20.6\%,6.9\%$ in our all patients and median survival time was 10 months. Of patients with KPS (Karnofsky prformance status) greater than $80\%,$ the 2, 5 year survival rate and median survival time were $29.2\%,9.7\%$ and 13 months, respectively. The 2-year survival rate and median survival time of patients with KPS less than $80\%\;were\;13.7\%$ and 7 months, respectively. The survival difference according to performance status was statisticaly significant $(29.2\%\;vs.\;13.7\%)(p<0.05).$ In stage IIIa, the 2,5-year survival rate and median survival rate and median survival time were $29.2\%,9.7\%$ and 12 months, respectively. The 2-year survival rate and metian survival time of stage IIIb were $8.6\%$ and 10 months, respectively. The survival difference between stage IIIa and IIIb did not show statistical significance (p>0.1). Of the prognostic factors, the difference of survival rate by initial performance status was statistically significant (p<0.05). But the difference of survival rates by pathologic cell type, stage, total radiation dose, radiotherapy response, and cmbination with chemotherapy were not statistically significant.

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Risk Factors for Recurrence after Conservative Treatment in Early Breast Cancer: Preliminary Report (조기유방암에서 유방보존술 후 재발에 영향을 주는 인자)

  • Suh Chang Ok;Chung Eun Ji;Lee Hy De;Lee Kyong Sik;Oh Ki Keun;Kim Gwi Eon
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.331-337
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    • 1997
  • Purpose : To evaluate our experience in the breast-conserving treatment for early breast cancer with special regard to recurrence Pattern and related risk factors. Materials and Method :Two hundred and sixteen patients with AJC stage 1and 11 breast cancer who received breast conserving treatment between January 1991 and December 1994 were evaluated A9e distribution ranged from 23-80 year old with a median a9e of 44. One hundred and seventeen Patients had 71 lesions and 99 Patients had 72 lesions. Axillary lymph nodes were involved in 73 patients. All patients received a breast conserving surgery (wide excision to quadrantectomy) and axillary node dissection followed by radiotherapy. Ninety six patients received chemotherapy before or after radiotherapy. Results : During the follow-up period (3-60 months, median 30 months), local recurrences were noted in six Patients (true: 3, elsewhere; 1, skin: 2). Sixteen patients developed distant metastases as the first sign of recurrence at 8-38 months (median 20 months) after surgery. Among them, three patients simultaneously developed local recurrence with distant metastases. Contralateral breast cancer developed in one Patient and non-mammary cancers developed in three patients. The actuarial 5 year survival rate was $88.4\%\;(stage\;I\;96.7\%,\;stage\;IIa\;95.2\%,\;stage\;IIb\;69.9\%)$. Age, I stage, number of involved axillary lymph nodes. and AJC stage were risk factors for distant metastases in univariate analysis. In the multivariate analysis, the number of involved axillary lymph nodes was the most significant risk factor for metastases. Conclusion : Local recurrence was not common in the early years after radiotherapy. Distant metastases occurred at a steady rate during the first three years and was more common in the Patients with larger tumors, higher number of involved axillary nodes, and younger age.

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The Mid Term Clinical Result and the Risk Factor Analysis of Isolated Aortic Valve Replacement (단독 대동맥판막 치환술의 중기 성적과 그 위험인자에 대한 분석)

  • Park Jae-Min;Jun Hee-Jae;Yoon Young-Chul;Lee Yang-Hang;Hwang Yoon-Ho;Cho Kwang Hyun;Han Il-Yong
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.38 no.2 s.247
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    • pp.110-115
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    • 2005
  • Background: The aims of this paper were to review the mid term clinical results and to analyze the preoperative risk factors of isolated aortic valve replacement (AVR). Material and Method: Between January 1992 and February 2003, 80 patients underwent isolated AVR. 58 were male and 22 were female patients, raging from 12 to 75 years of age (mean :$46.8{\pm}13.0$ years). 74 patients except one early death and 5 follow-up loss were contacted by OPD or by telephone. The mean duration of follow-up was $44.2{\pm}29.7$ months and the total cumulative period was 272.8 patient-year. Result: The complications in hospital occurred in 35 cases : 12 wound problems (11 superficial, 1 deep), 11 arrhythmias (9 temporary, 2 persistent), 3 low cardiac output, and so forth. The late deaths were 4 cases : the heart-related deaths were 2 cases ($0.7\%$ patient-year). Conclusion: The risk factors that influenced the early mortality and morbidity were older age (> 60 years)(p=0.04), poor preoperative NYHA functional class (> 3) (p=0.048), high preoperative serum creatinin level (> 1.2 mg/100 ml)(p=0.031), long operation time (aortic clamping time>90 min)(p=0.042). The same factors influenced the late mortality and morbidity. Freedom from valve-related complication was $86.4{\pm}5.3\%,$ actuarial survival rate were $96.8{\pm}2.3\%$ at 3 years and $90.8{\pm}4.6\%$ at 10 years.