• 제목/요약/키워드: accuracy analysis

검색결과 12,006건 처리시간 0.045초

인공신경망을 이용한 기업도산 예측 - IMF후 국내 상장회사를 중심으로 - (A Neural Network Model for Bankruptcy Prediction -Domestic KSE listed Bankrupted Companies after the foreign exchange crisis in 1997)

  • 정유석;이현수;채영일;서영호
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 2004년도 품질경영모델을 통한 가치 창출
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    • pp.655-673
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    • 2004
  • This paper is concerned with analysing the bankruptcy prediction power of three models: Multivariate Discriminant Analysis(MDA ), Logit Analysis, Neural Network. The after-crisis bankrupted companies were limited to the research data and the listed companies belonging to manufacturing industry was limited to the research data so as to improve prediction accuracy and validity of the model. In order to assure meaningful bankruptcy prediction, training data and testing data were not extracted within the corresponding period. The result is that prediction accuracy of neural network model is more excellent than that of logit analysis and MDA model when considering that execution of testing data was followed by execution of training data.

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DP780 초고장력 강판을 이용한 자동차용 시트레일의 성형공정 설계 (Process Design of Seat Rail in Automobile by the Advanced High Strength Steel of DP780)

  • 고대철;안재홍;장명진;배재호;김창호;김병민
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.197-202
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    • 2008
  • The control of springback is very important in sheet metal forming since springback affects the dimensional inaccuracy of product. The object of this study is to design the manufacturing process for the improvement of the performance of seat rail by DP780. The influence of process variables such as bend angle and pad force on the springback has been firstly investigated through the comparison between the results of FE-analysis and trial out for initial design based on designer's experience. The process variables of the initial design have been modified in order to improve the dimensional accuracy of seat rail from the prediction of springback by FE-analysis. It was shown from experiment that the improved design satisfied the required specifications such as the dimensional accuracy and the strength of seat rail.

동지점 유한요소를 이용한 정정보의 지진해석 (Seismic Analysis of Statically Determinate Beams Using Moving Support Finite Elements)

  • 김용우;이승열;정명조
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2013년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.194-199
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    • 2013
  • Using moving support finite elements, seismic analysis of statically-determinate beams subjected to support motions is performed to show its accuracy and its ease of use. Examples of cantilever and simply-supported beam subjected to support motions are illustrated and the numerical results are compared with the analytical solutions. The examples show the elements facilitate modeling beams with the conventional 2-noded, Hermitian, Euler-Bernoulli beam element. The comparisons of the results with analytical solutions show good agreements with high accuracy.

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천이행렬과 전압 미분을 이용한 전력계통의 과도 안정도 해석 (POWER SYSTEM TRANSIENT STABILITY ANALYSIS USING TRANSITION MATRIX AND VOLTAGE DERIVATIVES)

  • 박영문;김광원
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1990년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.135-138
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    • 1990
  • For transient stability analysis of a power system, the new method using transition matrix is introduced in this paper. At the present the, Runge-Kutta, Modified-Euler and Trapezoidal methods have been very popular in most stability programs, Modified-Euler and Trapezoidal methods are inferior in accuracy and Runge-Kutta method has problems in computation time. The proposed algorithm requires transition matrix and its integrated values with derivatives of nonlinear parts in nonlinear differential equations for stability analysis. The method presented in this paper is between Modified-Euler and Runge-Kutta methods from the view point of computation time and is superior to the other methods in accuracy.

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MFSC: Mean-Field-Theory and Spreading-Coefficient Based Degree Distribution Analysis in Social Network

  • Lin, Chongze;Zheng, Yi
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제12권8호
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    • pp.3630-3656
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    • 2018
  • Degree distribution can provide basic information for structural characteristics and internal relationship in social network. It is a critical procedure for social network topology analysis. In this paper, based on the mean-field theory, we study a special type of social network with exponential distribution of time intervals. First of all, in order to improve the accuracy of analysis, we propose a spreading coefficient algorithm based on intimate relationship, which determines the number of the joined members through the intimacy among members. Then, simulation show that the degree distribution of follows the power-law distribution and has small-world characteristics. Finally, we compare the performance of our algorithm with the existing algorithms, and find that our algorithm improves the accuracy of degree distribution as well as reducing the time complexity significantly, which can complete 29.04% higher precision and 40.94% lower implementation time.

자원 수급 및 가격 예측 -니켈 사례를 중심으로- (Resource Demand/Supply and Price Forecasting -A Case of Nickel-)

  • 정재헌
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.125-141
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    • 2008
  • It is very difficult to predict future demand/supply, price for resources with acceptable accuracy using regression analysis. We try to use system dynamics to forecast the demand/supply and price for nickel. Nickel is very expensive mineral resource used for stainless production or other industrial production like battery, alloy making. Recent nickel price trend showed non-linear pattern and we anticipated the system dynamic method will catch this non-linear pattern better than the regression analysis. Our model has been calibrated for the past 6 year quarterly data (2002-2007) and tested for next 5 year quarterly data(2008-2012). The results were acceptable and showed higher accuracy than the results obtained from the regression analysis. And we ran the simulations for scenarios made by possible future changes in demand or supply related variables. This simulations implied some meaningful price change patterns.

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와이어 충돌감쇠를 갖는 다공성 박판의 비선형 진동 해석 (Nonlinear Vibration Analysis of Thin Perforated Plate with Wire Impact Damping)

  • 김성대;김원진;이부윤;이종원
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제12권8호
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    • pp.639-647
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    • 2002
  • The nonlinear vibration of the thin perforated plate is analyzed in consideration of the V-shaped tension distribution and the effect of wire impact damping. The reduced order FEM model of the tension plate is obtained from dynamic condensation for the mass and stiffness matrices. Tension wire is modeled using the lumped parameter method to effectively describe its contact interactions with the plate. The nonlinear contact-impact model is composed of spring and damper elements, of which parameters are determined from the Hertzian contact theory and the restitution coefficient, respectively. From the evaluation of the computational accuracy and computation time for the deduced impact stiffness and damping coefficient, we determined proper values for the simulation works, accounting for the computational accuracy as well as the computational efficiency. Finally we discussed the results of nonlinear nitration analysis for variations of their design parameters.

Structural reliability analysis using response surface method with improved genetic algorithm

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제62권2호
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    • pp.139-142
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    • 2017
  • For the conventional computational methods for structural reliability analysis, the common limitations are long computational time, large number of iteration and low accuracy. Thus, a new novel method for structural reliability analysis has been proposed in this paper based on response surface method incorporated with an improved genetic algorithm. The genetic algorithm is first improved from the conventional genetic algorithm. Then, it is used to produce the response surface and the structural reliability is finally computed using the proposed method. The proposed method can be used to compute structural reliability easily whether the limit state function is explicit or implicit. It has been verified by two practical engineering cases that the algorithm is simple, robust, high accuracy and fast computation.

HRKPM을 이용한 키르히호프 판의 해석 (Kirchhoff Plate Analysis by Using Hermite Reproducing Kernel Particle Method)

  • 석병호;송태한
    • 한국공작기계학회논문집
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2003
  • For the analysis of Kirchhoff plate bending problems, a new meshless method is implemented. For the satisfaction of the $C^1$ continuity condition in which the first derivative is treated an another primary variable, Hermite interpolation is enforced on standard reproducing kernel particle method. In order to impose essential boundary conditions on solving $C^1$ continuity problems, shape function modifications are adopted. Through numerical tests, the characteristics and accuracy of the HRKPM are investigated and compared with the finite element analysis. By this implementatioa it is shown that high accuracy is achieved by using HRKPM for solving Kirchhoff plate bending problems.

Thermal buckling analysis of shear deformable laminated orthotropic plates by differential quadrature

  • Moradi, S.;Mansouri, Mohammad Hassan
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.129-147
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the thermal buckling analysis of rectangular composite laminated plates is investigated using the Differential Quadrature (DQ) method. The composite plate is subjected to a uniform temperature distribution and arbitrary boundary conditions. The analysis takes place in two stages. First, pre-buckling forces due to a temperature rise are determined by using a membrane solution. In the second stage, the critical temperature is predicted based on the first-order shear deformation theory. To verify the accuracy of the method, several case studies were used and the numerical results were compared with those of other published literatures. Moreover, the effects of several parameters such as aspect ratio, fiber orientation, modulus ratio, and various boundary conditions on the critical temperature were examined. The results confirm the efficiency and accuracy of the DQ method in dealing with this class of engineering problems.