• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident damage prediction

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KSLV 추진기관 종합시험설비 피해 사고 예측 모델 해석

  • Lee, Jung-Ho;Kang, Sun-Il;Yu, Byung-Il;Kim, Yong-Wook;Cho, Sang-Yeon;Oh, Seung-Hyub
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.163-170
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    • 2005
  • According to the KSLV program of KARI, it is planed to develop various launch vehicle and satellite 10 years hereafter. Large-scale test facilities, such as ReTF and PTA-II, are needed to fulfill this launch vehicle/satellite development project. The authors intend to arrange and describe various indexes that are needed in test facility design, construction and operation process. This technical paper is describing model analysis of damage prediction of accident in KSLV Integrated Propulsion System Test Facility based on propellant storage quantity and layout. In addition, the result can be used to produce safer design of test facility.

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A Study on Fault Prediction Method in a Pump Tower of LNG FPSO (LNG FPSO 펌프타워 고장 예지 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yongjae;Cho, SangJe;Jun, Hong-Bae;Ha, Chunghun;Shin, Jongho
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2016
  • The plant equipment usually has a long life cycle. During its O&M (Operation & Maintenance) phase, since the occurrence of an accident of offshore plant equipment causes catastrophic damage, it is necessary to make more efforts for managing critical offshore equipment. Nowadays due to the emerging ICTs (Information Communication Technologies) and sensor technologies, it is possible to gather the health status data of important offshore equipment and their environment data, which leads to much concern on CBM (Condition-Based Maintenance). In this study, we will propose an approach to estimate the remaining lifetime of an offshore plant equipment (pump tower) based on gathered ocean environment data.

A Study on the Safety Operational Envelope of a Submarine in Jamming (잠수함의 제어판 재밍에 대한 안전운항영역 설정)

  • Park, Jong-Yong;Kim, Nakwan;Shin, Yong-Ku
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.301-311
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    • 2017
  • Safety operational envelope (SOE) is the area which guarantees the safety of a submarine from the accident such as jamming and flooding. The maximum safe depth is set to prevent the damage to the hull from increasing water pressure with depth. A minimum safety depth is set to prevent a submarine from the exposure above the free surface and collision against surface ship. The prediction method for the SOE in the design phase is needed to operate the submarine safely. In this paper, the modeling and calculation methods of the SOE are introduced. Main ballast tank blowing modeling and propeller force modeling are conducted to simulate the accidents and the recovery process. The SOEs are established based on the crash stop and emergency rising maneuver simulation. From the simulation results, it can be known that the emergency rising maneuver is more effective recovery action than the crash stop.

Dynamic Response of Container Ship Subjected to Bow flare Slamming Loads

  • Choi, Tae-Soon;Islam, MD Shafiqul;Seo, Dae-Won;Kim, Joon-Gyu;Song, Kang-hyun
    • Journal of Advanced Research in Ocean Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.195-203
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    • 2018
  • The wave impact on ships could cause local damage to the ship's hull, which has been a concerning issue during the ship design process. In recent years, local structural damages of ships caused by slamming loads have been reported by accident; therefore, it is necessary to study the local slamming pressure loads and structural response assessment. In the present study, slamming loads around the ship's bow region in the presence of regular wave have been simulated by RANS equations discretized with a cell-centered finite volume method (FVM) in conjunction with the $k-{\Box}$ turbulence model. The dynamic structural response has been calculated using an explicit FE method. By adding the slamming pressure load of each time step to the finite element model, establishing the reasonable boundary conditions, and considering the material strain-rate effects, the dynamic response prediction of the bow flare structure has been achieved. The results and insights of this study will be helpful to design a container ship that is resistant enough to withstand bow flare slamming loads.

Development of a Tool for Predicting the Occurrence Time of BLEVE in Small LPG Storage Tanks (LPG소형저장탱크 BLEVE 발생 시점 예측 툴 개발)

  • Chae, Chung Keun;Lee, Jae Hun;Chae, Seung Been;Kim, Yong Gyu;Han, Shin Tak
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.74-83
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    • 2020
  • In Korea, about 110,000 LPG small storage tanks of less than three tons have been installed in restaurants, houses and factories, and are used as LPG supply facilities for cooking, heating and industrial use. In the case of combustible liquefied gas storage tanks, the tank may rupture due to the temperature increase of the tank steel plate (approximately 600℃) even when the safety valve is operating normally, causing large-scale damage in an instant. Therefore, in the event of a fire near the LPG small storage tank, it is necessary to accurately predict the timing of the BLEVE(Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapour Explosion) outbreak in order to secure golden time for lifesaving and safely carry out fire extinguishing activities. In this study, we have first investigated the results of a prior study on the prediction of the occurrence of BLEVE in the horizontal tanks. And we have developed thermodynamic models and simulation program on the prediction of BLEVE that can be applied to vertical tanks used in Korea, have studied the effects of the safety valve's ability to vent, heat flux strength of external fires, size of tanks, and gas remaining in tanks on the time of BLEVE occurrence and have suggested future utilization measures.

Prediction of Damages and Evacuation Strategies for Gas Leaks from Chlorine Transport Vehicles (염소 운송차량 가스누출시 피해예측 및 대피방안)

  • Yang, Yong-Ho;Kong, Ha-Sung
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.407-417
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    • 2024
  • The objective of this study is to predict and reduce potential damage caused by chlorine gas leaks, a hazardous material, when vehicles transporting it overturn due to accidents or other incidents. The goal is to forecast the anticipated damages caused by chlorine toxicity levels (ppm) and to design effective response strategies for mitigating them. To predict potential damages, we conducted quantitative assessments using the ALOHA program to calculate the toxic effects (ppm) and damage distances resulting from chlorine leaks, taking into account potential negligence of drivers during transportation. The extent of damage from toxic gas leaks is influenced by various factors, including the amount of the leaked hazardous material and the meteorological conditions at the time of the leak. Therefore, a comprehensive analysis of damage distances was conducted by examining various scenarios that involved variations in the amount of leakage and weather conditions. Under intermediate conditions (leakage quantity: 5 tons, wind speed: 3 m/s, atmospheric stability: D), the estimated distance for exceeding the AEGL-2 level of 2 ppm was calculated to be 9 km. This concentration poses a high risk of respiratory disturbance and potential human casualties, comparable to the toxicity of hydrogen chloride. In particular, leaks in urban areas can lead to significant loss of life. In the event of a leakage incident, we proposed a plan to minimize damage by implementing appropriate response strategies based on the location and amount of the leak when an accident occurs.

Optimal Sensor Placement for Improved Prediction Accuracy of Structural Responses in Model Test of Multi-Linked Floating Offshore Systems Using Genetic Algorithms (다중연결 해양부유체의 모형시험 구조응답 예측정확도 향상을 위한 유전알고리즘을 이용한 센서배치 최적화)

  • Kichan Sim;Kangsu Lee
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.163-171
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    • 2024
  • Structural health monitoring for ships and offshore structures is important in various aspects. Ships and offshore structures are continuously exposed to various environmental conditions, such as waves, wind, and currents. In the event of an accident, immense economic losses, environmental pollution, and safety problems can occur, so it is necessary to detect structural damage or defects early. In this study, structural response data of multi-linked floating offshore structures under various wave load conditions was calculated by performing fluid-structure coupled analysis. Furthermore, the order reduction method with distortion base mode was applied to the structures for predicting the structural response by using the results of numerical analysis. The distortion base mode order reduction method can predict the structural response of a desired area with high accuracy, but prediction performance is affected by sensor arrangement. Optimization based on a genetic algorithm was performed to search for optimal sensor arrangement and improve the prediction performance of the distortion base mode-based reduced-order model. Consequently, a sensor arrangement that predicted the structural response with an error of about 84.0% less than the initial sensor arrangement was derived based on the root mean squared error, which is a prediction performance evaluation index. The computational cost was reduced by about 8 times compared to evaluating the prediction performance of reduced-order models for a total of 43,758 sensor arrangement combinations. and the expected performance was overturned to approximately 84.0% based on sensor placement, including the largest square root error.

Proposal of Construction System to prevent Dongbari Collapse by applying IT Convergence Technology (IT 융합기술을 적용한 동바리 붕괴사고 방지를 위한 건설공사 시스템 제안)

  • Jeon, Kyong-Deck;Shin, Seung-Jung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 2020
  • Safety accidents, called industrial accidents in construction work, are causing a lot of casualties, property damage and social controversy in the event of an accident, causing the construction to lose public confidence. The risk of safety accidents at construction sites may continue to increase as the construction of high-rise, large-scale, and multi-purpose complex buildings has increased in recent years. In particular, the most frequently constructed apartment construction among reinforced concrete buildings is designed and constructed with a wall-like structure with no beams for each floor, while the lower floors are made of lamen with columns and beams. As a result, the transfer beam or transfer slab to withstand the upper load is installed on the upper part of the Ramen structure, so the system Dongbari, which is installed as a temporary material during concrete laying construction, may collapse at any time during plowing and curing. The purpose of this study is to apply IT convergence technology to prevent the collapse of the system Dongbari during concrete installation, and to apply many of the variables that may occur during construction on a case-by-case basis to check the stability of the system Dongbari and to propose a model of the anti-conducting prediction system.

A Study on Fire Protection of Chemical Plants Using FRA (Fire Risk Assessment) Method (FRA(Fire Risk Assessment)기법을 이용한 화학공장의 Fire Protection에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seung-Hoon;Yoo, Byung-Tae;Tae, Chan-Ho;Chae, Chung Keun;Ko, Jae Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2016
  • Chemical plants and oil gas refinery facilities are intrinsically vulnerable to industrial hazards, such as explosion or fire. Especially, the fire is extremely dangerous to facility structures and plant personnel because of direct flame, radiant heat and smoke. In addition, it has the ripple effect of destroying infra-structures and polluting the environment. In an effort to tackle these potential industrial risks, the procedure of FRA techniques in chemical plants were investigated. The main focus was put on the time variation of physical properties of the main building, i.e. control rooms, warehouses and electrical substations, from a direct flame contact and radiant heat. The deformation of a building due to fire was monitored and modeled with respect to time variable. A variety of case studies, domestic and abroad, was tested in the model to verify the FRA procedure. The developed model was proven to be highly effective to reduce the possible risks at chemical plants. An accurate accident frequency prediction and damage quantification was made by the developed model.

Calculation Method of Oil Slick Area on Sea Surface Using High-resolution Satellite Imagery: M/V Symphony Oil Spill Accident (고해상도 광학위성을 이용한 해상 유출유 면적 산출: 심포니호 기름유출 사고 사례)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Shin, Hye-Kyeong;Jang, So Yeong;Ryu, Joung-Mi;Kim, Pyeongjoong;Yang, Chan-Su
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.6_1
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    • pp.1773-1784
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    • 2021
  • In order to minimize damage to oil spill accidents in the ocean, it is essential to collect a spilled area as soon as possible. Thus satellite-based remote sensing is a powerful source to detect oil spills in the ocean. With the recent rapid increase in the number of available satellites, it has become possible to generate a status report of marine oil spills soon after the accident. In this study, the oil spill area was calculated using various satellite images for the Symphony oil spill accident that occurred off the coast of Qingdao Port, China, on April 27, 2021. In particular, improving the accuracy of oil spill area determination was applied using high-resolution commercial satellite images with a spatial resolution of 2m. Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, LANDSAT-8, GEO-KOMPSAT-2B (GOCI-II) and Skysat satellite images were collected from April 27 to May 13, but five images were available considering the weather conditions. The spilled oil had spread northeastward, bound for coastal region of China. This trend was confirmed in the Skysat image and also similar to the movement prediction of oil particles from the accident location. From this result, the look-alike patch observed in the north area from the Sentinel-1A (2021.05.01) image was discriminated as a false alarm. Through the survey period, the spilled oil area tends to increase linearly after the accident. This study showed that high-resolution optical satellites can be used to calculate more accurately the distribution area of spilled oil and contribute to establishing efficient response strategies for oil spill accidents.