• 제목/요약/키워드: accident analysis model

검색결과 832건 처리시간 0.024초

교통문화지수의 변화 패턴에 근거한 사고 요인 분석 (Analysis of Accident Factors based on Changing Patterns of Traffic Culture Index)

  • 김태양;박병호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.77-82
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims to analyze the accident based on changing patterns of traffic culture index. For this purpose, this paper particularly focuses on classifying the traffic culture patterns and developing the traffic accidents using panel count data model. The main results are as follows. First, the traffic culture patterns are divided into 'increasing', 'decreasing' and 'other' patterns. The null hypotheses that the number of accident are the same over patterns are rejected. Second, 4 fixed effect negative binomial models which are all statistically significant are developed. Third, the regions with 'increasing' pattern are analyzed to be mostly the counties, and to demand the traffic law enforcement. Fourth, the regions with 'decreasing' pattern are evaluated to be mainly the districts and to require such the traffic culture as turn signal usage. Finally, the regions with 'other' pattern are analyzed to be mostly the cities and to ask for enhancing the level of traffic culture.

Two Dimensional Analysis for the External Vessel Cooling Experiment

  • Yoon, Ho-Jun;Kune Y. Suh
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.410-423
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    • 2000
  • A two-dimensional numerical model is developed and applied to the LAVA-EXV tests performed at the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) to investigate the external cooling effect on the thermal margin to failure of a reactor pressure vessel (RPV) during a severe accident. The computational program was written to predict the temperature profile of a two-dimensional spherical vessel segment accounting for the conjugate heat transfer mechanisms of conduction through the debris and the vessel, natural convection within the molten debris pool, and the possible ablation of the vessel wall in contact with the high temperature melt. Results of the sensitivity analysis and comparison with the LAVA-EXV test data indicated that the developed computational tool carries a high potential for simulating the thermal behavior of the RPV during a core melt relocation accident. It is concluded that the main factors affecting the RPV failure are the natural convection within the debris pool and the ablation of the metal vessel, The simplistic natural convection model adopted in the computational program partly made up for the absence of the mechanistic momentum consideration in this study. Uncertainties in the prediction will be reduced when the natural convection and ablation phenomena are more rigorously dealt with in the code, and if more accurate initial and time-dependent conditions are supplied from the test in terms of material composition and its associated thermophysical properties.

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사진측량에 의한 교통사고분석처리 및 활용방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Traffic Accident Analysis Treatment and a plan Practical Use by Photogrammetry)

  • 백은기;김감래
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 1989
  • 교통사고분석처리에 있어서 거리측정기를 가지고 측정하는 것은 정확도 및 보존관계에 문제를 야기하고 있기 때문에 유럽 및 일본에서 사용하는 스테레오카메라를 사용하여 현장에서 직접 촬영하였다. 촬영 및 기준점측량의 시간을 비교하였고 입체모델에서 삼차원좌표를 측정 계산한 후 전용도화기PAMS을 이용하여 현장도를 작성하여 사고원인을 분석하였고 또한 사고차양을 모델로 하여 차양충돌후의 각도, 핸들의 방향실손양을 계산하여 사고처리에 대한 활용방안을 제시하였다.

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자동차보험용 스마트 컨트랙트를 위한 사고정보 기반 신뢰도 산정 모델 (Accident Information Based Reliability Estimation Model for Car Insurance Smart Contract)

  • 이수진;김애영;서승현
    • 정보처리학회논문지:컴퓨터 및 통신 시스템
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2020
  • 최근 보험 처리과정에서 소용되는 시간과 비용을 절감하고자, 자동차 보험에 블록체인 스마트 컨트랙트 기술을 도입하는 연구들이 활발하다. 그러나 기존의 연구들은 사고를 입증하기에 미흡한 수준의 교통 사고관련 데이터의 활용으로 악의적인 보험자의 사고 위조, 손상 확대 등의 보험사기 위협에 노출되어 있다. 이를 해결하고자, 본 논문에서는 자동차에 탑재된 센서, RSU, IoT 기기 등을 통한 다양한 종류의 데이터와 차량용 스마트 컨트랙트를 이용하여 사고데이터 기반 신뢰도 산정 모델을 제안한다. 특히 교통사고 데이터의 종류 및 상태에 따라 가중치를 달리하고, 다양한 사고 상황에 따라 학습되는 신뢰도 산정 모델을 고려하여 회귀모델을 적용했다. 제안 모델은 보험 처리과정의 투명성, 보험 처리 과정의 간소화와 같은 기존 장점을 유지하며 효과적인 보험사기 차단, 보험 소송의 감소의 효과를 보일 것으로 기대된다.

도시부도로 제한속도 산정모형 개발 및 효과분석 연구 (Development of Speed Limits Estimation Model and Analysis of Effects in Urban Roads)

  • 강순양;이수범;임준범
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.132-146
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    • 2017
  • Appropriate speed limits at a reasonable level in urban roads are highly important factors for efficient and safe movement. Thus, it is greatly necessary to develop the objective models or methodology based on engineering study considering factors such as traffic accident rates, roadside development levels, and roadway geometry characteristics etc. The purpose of this study is to develop the estimate model of appropriate speed limits at each road sections in urban roads using traffic information big data and field specific data and to review the effects of accident decrease. In this study, the estimate method of appropriate speed limits in directional two or more lanes of urban roads is reflecting features of actual variables in a form of adjustment factor on the basis of the maximum statutory speed limits. As a result of investigating and testing influential variables, the main variables to affect the operating speed are the function of road, the existence of median, the width of lane, the number of traffic entrance/exit path and the number of traffic signal or nonsignal at intersection and crosswalk. As a result of testing this model, when the differences are bigger between the real operating speed and the recommended speed limits using model developed in this study, the accident rate generally turns out to be higher. In case of using the model proposed in this study, it means accident rate can be lower. When the result of this study is applied, the speed limits of directional two or more lane roads in Seoul appears about 11km/h lower than the current speed limits. The decrease of average operating speed caused by the decrease of speed limits is 2.8km/h, and the decrease effect of whole accidents according to the decrease of speed is 18% at research road. In case that accident severity is considered, the accident decrease effects are expected to 17~24% in fatalities, 11~17% in seriously injured road user, 6~9% in slightly injured road user, 5~6% in property damage only accidents.

Analysis of marine accident probability in Mokpo waterways

  • Kim, Kwang-Il;Park, Gye-Kark;Jeong, Jung-Sik
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제35권9호
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    • pp.729-733
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    • 2011
  • The maritime risk assessment is important not only to evaluate the safety level of the ports and waterways but also to reduce potential maritime accidents at sea in terms of the proactive measures of the maritime accidents. In this paper, the collision risk assessment in Mokpo waterways has been carried out based on the IALA recommended model, IWRAP. To evaluate the accident probabilities in Mokpo waterways, all data of vessels were collected from AIS and Radar observations data and the computer simulations were carried out. To assess the risk on the traffic, the scenario-base approach has been applied to the Mokpo waterway by using the maritime accident statics over the past 5 years.

22.9kV 폐쇄 배전반내의 사고모델을 통한 실험적 검증 (Experimental Verification According to an Accident Model in a Metal-Clad Switchgear at 22.9kV)

  • 송길목;한운기;최충석
    • 전기학회논문지P
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    • 제55권2호
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    • pp.110-114
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    • 2006
  • This paper describes the accident analysis by modelling the current transformer mounting in a metal-clad switchgear at 22.9kV. In analyzing the accident, the reconstruction at the current transformer mounting(VCB connecting guide) has to be taken into account. The accident was modelled as a 3-phase ground fault occurring between the end plate of 22.9kV lines and the safety shutter at the current transformer mounting of the VCB inside the metal clad switchgear. Since the outside maintenance of the metal clad switchgear is restricted by the enclosed compartments, Its circumference has to be kept clean. Through the reconstruction results, it was confirmed that the fault of the enclosed switchboard could be reduced when the shutter made of Fe material was chanted into an insulation.

원자핵 융합 발전소의 삼중수소 유출 사고 예측 (Predicting the Tritium Release Accident in a Nuclear Fusion Plant)

  • 양희중
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.201-212
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    • 1998
  • A methodology of the safety analysis on the fusion power plant is introduced. It starts with the understanding of the physics and engineering of the plant followed by the assessment of the tritium inventory and flow rate. We a, pp.y the probabilistic risk assessment. An event tree that explains the propagation of the accident is constructed and then it is translated in to an influence diagram, that is accident is constructed and then it is translated in to an influence diagram, that is statistically equivalent so far as the parameter updating is concerned. We follow the Bayesian a, pp.oach where model parameters are treated as random variables. We briefly discuss the parameter updating scheme, and finally develop the methodology to obtain the predictive distribution of time to next severe accident.

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산업재해 발생이 산업생산성에 미치는 효과 (An Influence of Industrial Accident on Industrial Productivity in Korea)

  • 이재희;임진석;박진백
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.50-55
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to analyze an influence of industrial accident on industrial productivity. We analyzed relationship among industrial accident, labor force, and industrial productivity using vector error correction model (VECM). The data used in the analysis were the number of industrial accidents, the number of workers, and index of all industry production from January 2008 to June 2017 in Korea. Finally, the industrial accidents have played a role in reducing labor force and industrial productivity.

The Relationships Between Control Measures and Absenteeism in the Context of Internal Control

  • Bayram, Metin;Burgazoglu, Huseyin
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.443-449
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    • 2020
  • Background: The study tries to show the effect of Occupational Health and Safety (OHS) legislation implemented via plan-do-check-act methodology on accident and sickness absenteeism. Methods: The data for the study gathered via a questionnaire from a large-sized organization operates in production and maintenance of passenger coaches in February-March 2019 in Turkey. The data analyzed via structural equation model analysis. Results: The results showed that there are statistically meaningful relationships between OHS protective measures, training and informing of employees, and employee participation and accident and sickness absenteeism. In addition, a meaningful relationship between internal control and accident and sickness absenteeism was determined. Statistically meaningful relationships between emergency measures, and health surveillance and internal control, and accident and sickness absenteeism could not be determined. Conclusion: It is concluded that the actions implemented by organizations to reduce absenteeism should be as per OHS legislation.